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 Overall new property price drop next year? , Reason- no more DIBS + Higher Govern Tax

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TSwanted111who
post Aug 21 2013, 10:45 AM, updated 13y ago

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My reason, Heard govern will increase tax and no more DIBS = less flipper = less demand , Another factor that help is a lots of highrise development in Klang valley

Lots of supply + less demand = price drop .

Please kindly share. Thank you
TSwanted111who
post Aug 21 2013, 11:02 AM

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QUOTE(norman05051984 @ Aug 21 2013, 10:59 AM)
IMHO, typical malaysian mentally once property price go up, it will never go down (unless that place got hantu, environment turn to ghetto etc)

I vote for stagnant
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Mind to share why stagnant?
TSwanted111who
post Aug 21 2013, 11:10 AM

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QUOTE(tikaram @ Aug 21 2013, 11:06 AM)
we have many agent with many dupes accounts.

u know i know the result won't be accurate.
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Maybe nod.gif but beside result i also wanna check on others opinion.I'm into rental play but still it is bad for me if the price drop sad.gif
TSwanted111who
post Aug 21 2013, 11:12 AM

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QUOTE(ProperTYcoon @ Aug 21 2013, 11:09 AM)
You should understand 1 thing,

the trend of Investing in property is an addiction which nothing will be able to stop.

by Removing DIBS and increase RPGT will make the situation worse.
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You mean price will increase?
TSwanted111who
post Aug 21 2013, 11:16 AM

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QUOTE(ProperTYcoon @ Aug 21 2013, 11:13 AM)
That's for very sure, the more the RPGT will be, the price will increase further.

simple theory
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I see now, no DIBS , 1st buyer need to pay more + RPGT = cost increase , hence need to flip at higher price. and no matter how expensive, like you mention property investment is an addiction , there will always be buyer. Am I right?
TSwanted111who
post Aug 21 2013, 11:18 AM

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Thanks for all your opinion , I am positive now.very positive indeed
TSwanted111who
post Aug 21 2013, 11:22 AM

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Still have one question, can people afford to pay 10% down-payment for overprice property for sub-sale? let say 400k property need 40k..
TSwanted111who
post Aug 21 2013, 11:24 AM

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QUOTE(asil66 @ Aug 21 2013, 11:23 AM)
i think it all depends on the type of properties n location.... i don't think price for landed properties wil drop... but condos n commercial properties, maybe.....
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sad.gif these is bad for me
TSwanted111who
post Aug 21 2013, 11:30 AM

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QUOTE(tikaram @ Aug 21 2013, 11:27 AM)
what if rpgt suddenrly go up to 200% tomorrow

650 x 2 = dsl house need to sell 650+650+650 =1950k wo.
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shocking.gif I don't think government will kill her own people and themselves.
TSwanted111who
post Aug 21 2013, 11:22 PM

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QUOTE(mytaffeta @ Aug 21 2013, 04:34 PM)
not only the 10%, the initial cost is 15% from selling price.. 400k prop require ~60k!  shakehead.gif
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Agree rclxms.gif and based on another forum-er info, 50% of malaysian still below 30 and buying their 1st house. 60k cash for people below 30 ? rclxub.gif rclxub.gif not sue to bankruptcy due to PTPTN also considered very good already , need buy car , give family money... how old would they be till they save 60K cash ? and it is only for 400k property - which nowadays buy only condo/service apartment.
TSwanted111who
post Aug 21 2013, 11:33 PM

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QUOTE(xin @ Aug 21 2013, 03:36 PM)
Sounds legit, this should be directed to the younger generations. The future bread winners, i think without the support of parents on this. Even a down payment is not affordable.
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nod.gif nod.gif but sadly nobody give any feedback ... guess most of them who post here is already playing in million ringgit field . 60k cash is just like 60 cent for them , Hope can get some insight regarding these issue from someone to guide young investor (ikan bilis investor)

Price increase = million dollar landed property investor

but for 300-400 k pigeon hole investor how? can someone pls share?

Need parent to support 60k cash? IDK, in my opinion most of them will give these reaction shakehead.gif then they will nag.... you work 5 years 1st.... payoff you car loan/PTPTN 1st ... get GF/BF 1st.... married 1st... have kid 1st....you know how many young malaysian go bangkrupt? all sort of rubbish.
TSwanted111who
post Aug 21 2013, 11:35 PM

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QUOTE(kh8668 @ Aug 21 2013, 11:25 PM)
that being said, buy more apartments because it would have bigger market pool in the future  blush.gif
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if we buy then go sale it at sub-sale , people who buy it from us need 60k cash ... question is can they afford it?
Guess it is a bad news for flipper , Btw when i visit propwall recently i can see alot of puchong setiawalk unit goes under lelong sweat.gif guess flipping fail for those who aren't so lucky

This post has been edited by wanted111who: Aug 21 2013, 11:38 PM
TSwanted111who
post Aug 21 2013, 11:53 PM

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ei??? what happen? all setiawalk auction in propwall has gone? swear i saw a lot unit few days ago... but i property still have alot of setiawalk auction.... something is fishy here

And the price didn't drop at all, not one bit rclxub.gif

This post has been edited by wanted111who: Aug 21 2013, 11:55 PM
TSwanted111who
post Aug 22 2013, 12:03 AM

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QUOTE(Chris Chew @ Aug 21 2013, 11:59 PM)
Setiawalk recently has a lot of units leong? Is that true? Profit consider good dy still can get lelong, and not tat no demand at all thats weird. Is that retails or apartments? If retails I know lah, got few units previously, but sapu-ed dy.
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still have , try google 'setiawalk auction iproperty' but the price is still high. the auction i saw at propwall fewdays ago is cheaper around RM 3++ PSF. but today it is all gone... not a single one left... i guess SP setia buy it back to maintain the price?

TSwanted111who
post Aug 22 2013, 12:25 AM

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QUOTE(Chris Chew @ Aug 22 2013, 12:17 AM)
Few months back, I did checked with 2-3 banks whether has such auction props and could let me informed or posted.

Normally, newly completed condos rarely have such quick auction props where the owners know that if he sell at the cheapest price compare to other available units, he still can cover back the loan with the bank and got untung somemore, wonder why they risk their names and go MIA without paying. If few million ringgit condo, then a lot happened in MK.

I don't think it is buy back from SP Setia bcz if it do, bank will informed them and SP Setia will straight nego with the bank before the bank has time to appoint the auction realty to sell for them. Moreover, exisitng clients and whoever got kang tao with banks, banks management, bank's existing clients or auction agents sure sapu first.
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I see, but if it was me, i rather make loss than to go MIA , guess the one lelong posted by i property is from same single person? buying from ground floor until 6th floor ? if one unit hit , he can hold for few more mth - year and might be able to survive and make big money , but sadly none of it hit ... from ground to 6th floor....

I'm kinda feel for him/her because I'm in these game (property investment) and it might happen to me if market crash.. touchwood

I will learn his/her lesson, not to be greedy

This post has been edited by wanted111who: Aug 22 2013, 12:26 AM
TSwanted111who
post Aug 22 2013, 12:41 AM

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QUOTE(Chris Chew @ Aug 22 2013, 12:32 AM)
Yes, make loss is a lot much better than go MIA and put ourselves into trouble with bank's summon and bankruptcy. I only dont understand the owner, who I reckon he bought it at RM 300k+ from developer and market now RM 500k+ say with fierce competition, if his financial in trouble, he should well understand the market of Setiawalk which is quite do-able as long as he is not too selfish and too greedy, say open price at RM 450k ( or RM 50k below any other offer price for same size ), I am quite sure the unit would be quickly taken by the agent himself, his close friend or investor before public viewers.

For the commercial, I can see the level 1 is not too struggling but upper floors are very struggling with water above the nose. But ground floor is doing quite well, so I think at RM 1.8mil is quite a good price if only opts for strata unit ground floor only.

There were 4 units were up for lelong last year or early this year, and very quickly it had been bought by the bank's existing clients without involving the auctioneers.
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Do you normally opt in for lelong unit? it is a new strategy to me.... I only know these strategy need a lots of cash reserved . Mind to share how you play your game?

is it like get 1st hand info from banker 1st then straight away conclude the deal without having to auction it ? did you pay kopi money to the banker etc ?
TSwanted111who
post Aug 22 2013, 01:04 AM

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QUOTE(Chris Chew @ Aug 22 2013, 12:50 AM)
It's part of my strategy but not using it always, or yet bcz I duwan the risk of being 10% forfeit as I have very very difficulty to get loan.

For some newly completed condo / landed or some good properties, I will asked some bankers whether is there any unit of such projects listed into auction soon, so I can rty to conclude the deal without having to auction it.

The biggest missed was a 22x80 USJ 11 linked house very early last year which I can conclude at RM 480k before it goes auction. It valued at RM 580k that time although the house never renovate at all but USJ 11 is one of the best taman in whole USJ. I still hesitate to enter lelong unit although I know I can easily gain RM 200-250k in early flip.

I did more interested into buying bumi units with condition of not so hard to convert to non bumi units, where I always seek my lawyer advise. Probably I a bit pantang lelong house.
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Thanks , I see a new theory here rclxms.gif

basically lelong play / bumi lot play like yours is a combination of appreciation play and flipping play

Standard appreciation play - buy house , renovate (make market value increase) then sale .
Standard flipping play get discount from developer , complete - sale

Your strategy is interesting , buy auction + bumi lot = straightaway got discount , then mark up slightly higher than market value , sale. time to offload a unit is within 6 month which is even better than standard flipping or standard appreciation play.

question, will the bank blacklist you if you do that quite too often ? obtain loan than settle within few month ? how about tax? can we runaway from government tax (not RPGT) that way? can the income be change to undeclared income which tax office cant detect ?
TSwanted111who
post Aug 22 2013, 10:08 AM

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QUOTE(Chris Chew @ Aug 22 2013, 01:35 AM)
A lot of people playing auction units for renovate and flip or for long term rental because most of the auction units normally older houses.

Not much people play both lelong and bumi lot game, as it really required a lot of network and connection for the fruits harvest nicely.

I like the idea of buying bumi lot, which the consent from the state office is able to carry on with the deal in 1-2 years time, I am fine, as long as it can be transferable, i would be very happy bcz I buy a bumi lot at August 2013 price and can nego summore, which is a lot lower than non bumi unit but if the deal is done and settled by 18 months later, say Feb 2015, key collection and starts monthly installment, the unit would be appreciate more where the value is the value of non bumi by Feb 2015 but the deal is just concluded at the price of bumi lot at August 2013. Anyway, rare deal and not easy. Hehehehe.

Definitely wont. The banks only will filter your upcoming loan applications as investment purpose, but as long as you made prompt payment and pay the bank exit penalty, they can't blacklisted you.

Tax? Definitely. It is part of the issue which I am learning now. But I definitely never run from government tax or RPGT Tax.
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I agree on bumi lot... So you didn't pay the 7 % upfront.. but wait until they (state office) give you discount. coz i notice bumi lot + 7% is still lower than market price for non-bumi. I thought you straight away pay the 7% and offload it. From my experience, bank normally only approved 80% + they wouldn't cover legal fee, we have to pay on our own. If the unit cannot obtain consent , have to pay half of the legal fee and cash reserve have to be strong for these kind of play be it lelong or bumi lot
Yup tax is a pain.when they know how much we earn , they will come kacau.
TSwanted111who
post Aug 22 2013, 10:17 AM

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QUOTE(ProperTYcoon @ Aug 22 2013, 10:10 AM)
That work at times, but there's one thing you have to remember.

Throughout all the processing time frame, you're losing your Opportunity Cost
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very true.. have to wait 1-2 years... but if pay 7% it can be done within 6 month right? but profit reduce by 7%.... overall non-bumi price is around 20% higher than bumi lot still can make around 10-13% profit right?
TSwanted111who
post Aug 22 2013, 10:33 AM

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QUOTE(ProperTYcoon @ Aug 22 2013, 10:19 AM)
the point is, you have to make your calculation right.

What is the purpose of purchasing the property?

some "Lelong" properties are not be able to Finance by the bank for some reasons.

And what kind of return are you expecting in return?

What other "Opportunity" that you have if you don't waste your time to buy such property?
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My main play is rental . but it is good to know such a great flipping play.cost aside.

Pardon me but i totally disagree with you when it come to waste time coz even if we buy new unit have to wait until they finish building it ,will take few year, buy sub-sale have to renovate in order to increase its value take 6 mth as well before offload.So if anything the fastest way to offload a unit and making money is lelong (new unit) or bumi.

the strategy Chris Chew play is very good. buy lelong (not old unit) buy newly build unit, so no need scare need to renovate,owe lots of utilities bill ,except people dun want move out - again for new property to be auction is only because of flipper.which i foresee the risk for these kind of lelong play is lower than a normal lelong play ,

For property investment , any kind of method which can make money within the calculated risk is worth the time . I don't want to limit my play only on rental.

This post has been edited by wanted111who: Aug 22 2013, 10:34 AM

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