all the qe/bond buying in the past years = lots of liquidity, lots of new usd money floating around = weak usd = high gold price.
add the hedge funds/etfs piling on gold = incredibly high gold price.
etfs have since pulled out, gold price dropped.
if qe tapers, usd will strengthen, gold price will drop further.
the uncertainty is how sharp is the taper, fast taper or slow taper or zero/never taper?
that will depend on fed's view of us economy, whether it is recovering, pretty sick or very diseased.
whatever it is, the usd is not going to get weaker than most currencies. as we all can see, after trillions of new usd, a usd sneeze sent rupees, rupiahs, bahts and ringgits down the drain quickly. see how weak some currencies actually are?
From your point of view. It doesnt seems good for gold. As the price is more likely to drop further.
Investors prefers to invest in stocks and less in commodity.