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 V12 - Property prices discussion, For non "UUU" and "DDD" campers only...

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all blacks
post Jul 27 2013, 08:43 PM

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QUOTE(AmayaBumibuyer @ Jul 27 2013, 10:01 AM)
The topic reopened..then i saw a few new posts then i went in again and some disappeared already...did I imagine that?

Anyway i had a meeting in my bank 2 days ago. They highlighted the household debt is 80% of gdp...well we need to watch out, but dunt believe should not concern us dat much...yet.

In the meantime, if dont have a house buy one.
No need to think about it. Let say interest rate increase, would only then we want to buy? Doenst make sense. Only if dont hav one u buy

for investment..maybe should think twice.
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That's a very interesting statement (Bold sentence)... Let me ask u a question, how long is the usual housing loan take up by most people? 20 - 35 years? Maybe for the next year or so, the interest might stay low but how if it increases just by a 1- 2% n stays tat high for the remaining years.. I guess the damage for the next coming years will be much higher.. So suggesting buying property based on current interest rate might nt be such a gud idea... However for own stay it shouldn't b an issue if u buy within ur capacity now... if u stretch too much, even for own stay might end up in deep shit..
all blacks
post Jul 28 2013, 03:14 PM

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QUOTE(AmayaBumibuyer @ Jul 28 2013, 05:39 AM)
Factor in the increase salary that we should be expecting as the years gone by, increase interest rate should not be an issue, factor in the potential combine income with your spouse when you get married too if you are single. How mane basis points will BNM increase? If they want to increase, might be just another 25bps. It should be alright for everybody in my opinion. Can,t be increased 1% or 2%. Cant believe the FED will be doing that. That will be suicidal for US. That was why Bernanke took back his statement last time, but the damage was done, long term yield increased. But as I said, expect that your income should increase in d future. Do we expect in 10 yrs our income should be the same as what u are getting now? Me myself expect that it should be increasing next year. And if I am married, if there is trouble, which i don't think so, my wife can chip in a bit.
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I like ur take on the matter... But wat I am more worried about is "Wat happen in 2008"... All this while I am attached to big MNC's, wic r making hell a lot of money, but back in 2008 everyone was having the same thought as you increase salary that we should be expecting as the years gone by but ended up, 2008 no bonus and no increment unsure.gif .. then the worse was in 2009, salary cut, and many job was slashed especially those earning close to 5 figures doh.gif ... Many of them had to find job with low salary which basically means they went backwards n lost all the increments wic they worked their ass off for, couple of years worth of increment cry.gif ... n things continued up to 2011.. Only 2012 we got back the increments but again nt great and 2013 is a gud year.. The lesson here, dun take everything for granted n assume things gone be fine..

Most of us when we take loans, we assume everything gone be fine n work as usual so we tend to over leverage and when things go the other way round, we might end up at the wrong end... I am nt married so im nt sure on the wifey thing but most of my friends, their spouse own separate property... so it really depends on the situation I guess...

This post has been edited by all blacks: Jul 28 2013, 03:31 PM
all blacks
post Jul 28 2013, 09:48 PM

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QUOTE(AmayaBumibuyer @ Jul 28 2013, 06:05 PM)
Are u saying 2008 or 1998?
Because to tell you d truth, 2008 was good for me. Good bonus and increment as well. I dont believe 2008 had any effect in Malaysia..well in banks. I dunno about other industry.

If it is 1998, might be a different story but for 1998 to happen again is actually quite remote. The banks is fully prepared nowadays for it not to happen again.
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Im talking bout 2008 bro... Im from IT/Consulting background n would say most of the US based multinational companies suffered badly which indirectly hit UK companies too as business was quite bad since most of the revenue was flowing from US region.. Tats including semiconductor field as well as my frens were working in that industry.. I am assuming u r attached to a local bank? or even if an international bank I guess ur KPI would be based on ur regional or maybe only Malaysia performance? if tats the case u wouldn't have felt it.. Thanks to our weak RM, even though we were doing quite well here but the revenue was too small n even that went to 0 when local based MNC companies started to feel the impact..

This post has been edited by all blacks: Jul 28 2013, 09:49 PM
all blacks
post Jul 30 2013, 03:43 PM

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QUOTE(AmayaBumibuyer @ Jul 30 2013, 03:25 PM)
Correct, but if car price are cheaper then probaby a bulk of your income can be put on property. And the reason subprime reason is more complicated than just a simple defaulting. They call it subprime because they are giving out people who cannot afford to buy. In Malaysia that is not the case. Controls are there to manage these. We can go many angles here, but believe evrybody made up their minds already. And there are cheap rundown homes out there, look around, you'll find it. It is just that people want to buy a Ferrari instead of a rundown proton.
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Why do u think thats nt the case in Malaysia? There was once nt long ago, just couple of months before GE a couple of banks offered loan at 90% margin up to 50-70%% of my gross income... If I accepted the loan, I would definitely end up eating roti daily.. Luckily the deal fell through though... BNM have to play hardball on this matter n should constantly monitor these so called "controls"..

I am afraid there will be more bankruptcy cases if the interest rate is increased, as I can observe that there has been irregularities in bank practices which allowed too many people to leverage on cheap credit and push it to the max.. The slightest increase could push them out of window n we need to bear in mind, it's easier to sell a car but nt a house..

House transaction takes a very long time, thus for someone to bail out within a short period of time is quite challenging.. Luckily not many lock-in type of loans anymore..

This post has been edited by all blacks: Jul 30 2013, 03:44 PM
all blacks
post Jul 30 2013, 04:25 PM

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QUOTE(AmayaBumibuyer @ Jul 30 2013, 04:01 PM)
Well that is actually not bad all blacks. But US case was much worst, they believe that house will just increase that you dont need to go and prove to them how much you actually make. some banks just say, o u wanna buy a house? Ok sign here and your loan is approved. If u hav trouble getting loan becuase of ur income is low. we can give u loan but at a high interest. That was the practice in US and i think UK too.  At least malaysia check your income. I feel it coz it was so hard for me to get the second loan approve. But i know i can pay up.
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Thats crazy.. doh.gif
all blacks
post Jul 30 2013, 05:39 PM

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This report doesn't sound so convincing, RPT-Fitch revises Malaysia's outlook to negative; affirms IDRs at 'A-'/'A' ...
all blacks
post Jul 31 2013, 12:13 PM

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QUOTE(kidmad @ Jul 30 2013, 10:18 PM)
Your not telling the whole story. 50% - 70% is a huge margin.. and within this 20% margin.. if you take up the loan you will makan roti? are you talking about couple of hundreds? such variance should be huge and if it's too minimal that it forces you to makan roti.. then I have nothing much to say.
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What I meant was, some bank willing to offer up to 50% of my gross salary n some were up to 70% of my gross salary.. If I accepted the one with 70% of my gross salary I sure makan roti la.. If my gross salary is 5K, juz imagine paying up to 3.5K housing loan.. Remember I still havent include my car monthly installment.. Another RM600.. Do u think u can have a decent life? if u can then bravo..
all blacks
post Jul 31 2013, 12:15 PM

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QUOTE(AVFAN @ Jul 31 2013, 11:56 AM)
that article is just some fresh comments, probably prompted by yesterday's fitch downgrade.

bursa taking a knock today, rm continues to slide.

will bnm raise rates soon enough?
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Previously Std Charted indicated increase of interest rate around Nov... but if current situation continues, should be sometime soon...
all blacks
post Jul 31 2013, 02:41 PM

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QUOTE(AmayaBumibuyer @ Jul 31 2013, 12:35 PM)
I believe your story about this banks 70% margin is in your total loan, which includes the car loan too. Right? That 3.5k should have include your car loan. I mean bank checks your total loan not just the loan on the house that you are applying.

And your story is if the salary is 5k. If the salary is 10k, then you hav balance 3k. If salary 20k, then balance 6k. A reasonable margin by all accounts. And seriously, if you are at 5k salary, who would want to buy a house that has to pay 3.5k monthly?
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Nope.. Bank of sotong didn't include my car loan when they came out with the 70%, if im nt mistaken + car loan it was around 75%... Well there is something called as "over leverage", u can go for a hse which is worth around 7xxK for full tenure of 35 years n previously 40 years... n ur installment will be around 3.1-3.3K monthly.. Thats the reason I mentioned "cheap credit", so easy to get loan for first hse? I did mention about some FD btw, but can that boost my chances of securing higher loan by tat margin?

But in my case monthly installment should be manageable since I will be living with my brother so he will chip in some money monthly, but when I am buying a property they are solely assessing my capabilities in paying back.. So in my opinion that percentage is ridiculous.. Im nt sure wat happen to the 30% margin (Total loan, car + hse)...
all blacks
post Jul 31 2013, 02:43 PM

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QUOTE(kidmad @ Jul 31 2013, 01:37 PM)
Exactly I don't think his telling the whole story. Adding on shouldn't one be finding something which his own head can wear? RM3.5k monthly you are talking about financing a 650k home loan.. Now that's not too advisable for someone who is merely making rm5k.
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Again thats my point... "not too advisable for someone who is merely making rm5k" but doesn't stop me from taking up the loan right?

BNM should never allow such scenarios at all.. Btw so many juniors in my company purchased 5xx-6xxK condo recently n their salary is less than 4K.. Tat shows how flexible BNM has been..

Most of them took 90% loan somore.. but DIBS + discount assisted them too, since many of them spend less than 40K for dp..

This post has been edited by all blacks: Jul 31 2013, 02:46 PM
all blacks
post Jul 31 2013, 02:55 PM

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QUOTE(kidmad @ Jul 31 2013, 02:46 PM)
bank of sotong is quite famous.. not only 40 years loan.. they will give you.. pre approve personal loan.. pre approve renovation loan up to 30% of property value. Yes FD boost your chances to secure a loan. If you have approx rm100k in your FD account you submit your application I think in 2 days time your loan application will be approved without much dispute on it. So in the end you bought it? Double Storey landed?
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No wonder... Never knew FD plays such a big role.. I actually submitted only my base salary and that also can lepas dy, but per annum salary is higher due to bonuses..

Btw they did offer the reno loan which follows the BLR rate + x.x%.. but than I decided to drop the deal n yes, it was a double storey..

I juz found it nt worth it n too much of a risk.. The launching price, few years back was 50% of the current price n the owner actually wanted even more... Paying so much for a sub sale unit which also needs quite a bit of reno work wasn't a gud choice... Family advice me to pull off n I did...

But im nt sure if it would have been a smart move to take up a fixed rate loan through insurance company... Since they are offering lowest ever fixed interest rate n it's kind of immune to interest rate inflation..
all blacks
post Jul 31 2013, 03:18 PM

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QUOTE(kidmad @ Jul 31 2013, 03:01 PM)
ING/AIA? 4.8%? to be honest buying a 700k with RM5k is really a risk but again if you are buying something around 400k I think it's worth to park your money there. Yup the moment they print the CCRISS report you got what kind of saving they also know liao. As long as you park the amount with a bank they will know. Those banker will even tell you.. for your case ah? no problem one la... you got so much cash with the bank and bla bla bla.

On a contrary my brother who do not have a loan with the bank. do not have a credit card. already 3 years working as a sales rep.. want to buy car also need guarantor. In such cases having a minimal debt with the banks will really smoothen up the approval process.
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4.8 nt tat bad rite? No CC and no loan with bank also is considered as an issue doh.gif

QUOTE(AmayaBumibuyer @ Jul 31 2013, 03:03 PM)
I went to 3 different banks and none of them would have given me such loan. And they will take all your loans include car loan and not just that house loan itself. Frankly, if a guy in my bank approve such a loan, that guy will definitely get a warning or just be fired. Which sotong bank is this?

I said that you should look at the bonus, See how I am making? They dont wan't too. Then look at my increment and my potential increment in d future? Nope. We want your salary per month only. In the end I had to make a joint loan with a family member. But I am bearing it all of course.
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I actually tried couple of the banks and the worse was the famous P.. B la.. the rest was all around the same amount.. For sotong bank few branches quoted the same amount initially (Mostly PJ n few in KL).. But in my case I produced a letter from the company which states per annum salary for this year which includes bonuses n so on... So nt an issue la since my EA form can back it up...
all blacks
post Jul 31 2013, 03:35 PM

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QUOTE(paperbosz @ Jul 31 2013, 03:20 PM)
yeah, the loan that I took also include the loans (car, personal) + potential housing loan in the 70% DSR calculation. this sotong bank is very good to give you such package. plus reno loan summore. must be your FD amount  is super high.
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QUOTE(AmayaBumibuyer @ Jul 31 2013, 03:28 PM)
I dont think that sotong bank can do business like that, seriously. IF BNM knows they do this they are screwed. If you don't believe me all blacks, you can try and call BNM and ask. Maybe they give you a reward or something for highlighting this to them. If I were an auditor in BNM, this is an audit finding for me, and the bank's CEO is going to be in trouble.

Unless of course they say you are actually earning 20k a month and 70% is actually nothing. Then different story la.
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But again the 70% was from my base salary.. If they check per annum then its only around 50-60% which the officer didn't noe when I approached him.. The funny part is that, he mentioned to me that if u r degree holder + professional job the cap is higher which was 7x% percentage of ur gross salary.. I can't see how it actually helps..
all blacks
post Jul 31 2013, 03:40 PM

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QUOTE(kidmad @ Jul 31 2013, 03:32 PM)
No CC and loan really hard to get financing.. need gurantor here and there. 4.8% pretty high.. monthly I think need to pay extra rm150 if not mistaken had consider it previously.
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Extra RM150 isn't tat bad since u can worry less but how much was ur loan bro? I was calculating for 650 - 800K loan n the additional amount was quite high.. My dad always push me to take fixed rate since it's safer... n since he took Government fixed loan previously.. But if u take loan from the insurance company, then need to pay loan agreement fee + MRTA.. Thats the downside, but with banks u can include it into ur housing loan..
all blacks
post Jul 31 2013, 04:26 PM

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QUOTE(lowyatter @ Jul 31 2013, 03:59 PM)
Anon1986 has actually made a lot of very detailed and very informative posts, but that was V9 or V10.
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Agree.. Both Anon and agentdiary has been posting some gud stuff... Facts, graph n proper analysis...

Rather than up/down team never ending debate.. shakehead.gif
all blacks
post Aug 2 2013, 12:46 AM

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QUOTE(Veda @ Aug 1 2013, 11:14 PM)
Maybe your emotional make-up not suited to stocks?  hmm.gif I've lost sleep due to stress over my job, but I've never lost sleep due to stocks.

I have both stocks and properties. KLCI drop 20 points is nothing .... some overseas (blue chip) stocks can go down (and up) very sharply.

But one thing I noticed is that my friends who are heavily into properties (>10 biji) don't tend to do well in stocks. Maybe cause the skills and mind set required are very different.
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Different risk appetites..

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