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 STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V133, Bear coming?

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valan
post Jul 11 2013, 09:09 AM

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pantech oso bullish
Boon3
post Jul 11 2013, 09:14 AM

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QUOTE(andrewL @ Jul 11 2013, 06:13 AM)
anyone can share their opinion about padini's TA currently ?
*
The main chart.

user posted image

Padini was once a hot favourite. Backed by a strong growth story, you could see the extreme strong movement in the chart till end Aug 2012.
The earnings reported by Padini end Aug was terrible. Earnings declined like hell.
Was this a signal that perhaps the end of the growth story?
Would stores like Uniqlo eat into their future earnings.

With such a bad earnings, Padini corrected strongly.

Currently..

user posted image

As you can see that the end Aug/Sep correction had ended and the stock was trying to find its feet again (mixed feeling about this as the earnings are rather week compared the previous year).
It had a superb run in May until taper June send the stock crumbling down once again.
Despite the heavy June correction, TA would be happy to point out that the stock appears to have found a higher low of 1.84 and that higher bottoms can be seen since end Dec.
Could 1.84 be considered as a new found bottom?
If that is the case would you want to put a wager on this stock?

This post has been edited by Boon3: Jul 11 2013, 09:15 AM
Icehart
post Jul 11 2013, 09:27 AM

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Volume seems low today.
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 11 2013, 09:29 AM

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CI is green green but low volume, my watchlist counters not up much
alex_king
post Jul 11 2013, 09:30 AM

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Brother how about AZRB TA currently? Thanks
Icehart
post Jul 11 2013, 09:36 AM

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Boon3 got what tips today?
cclia
post Jul 11 2013, 09:53 AM

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QUOTE(valan @ Jul 11 2013, 09:09 AM)
pantech oso bullish
*
think becos rhb says the fv should be around 1.43... if it's true... =)
cclia
post Jul 11 2013, 09:55 AM

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QUOTE(cclia @ Jul 11 2013, 09:53 AM)
think becos rhb says the fv should be around 1.43... if it's true... =)
*
also, got annoucement: secured a USD1.5m (MYR4.8m) contract to supply induction long bends to Indonesia's state-owned O&G corporation Pertamina in 2QFY14.
takalimc
post Jul 11 2013, 10:13 AM

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Any views on EAH?

They secured a 59mil project with LHDN.

http://www.bursamalaysia.com/market/listed...cements/1347177

Looks quite promising but doesnt look like it's moving much :/
2611
post Jul 11 2013, 10:29 AM

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what happened to century bond ?

from 1.9x down to 1.6x in just 2 days ? shakehead.gif
cherroy
post Jul 11 2013, 10:32 AM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 11 2013, 09:06 AM)
hmm.gif Bernake said will continue support QE3.............until when no mention

he said even jobless rate reduce to 6.5%, the interest rate may not raise so soon
*
There is remote chance that Fed or most central banks raising rate (after last few week of interest rate story cooking) in the near term (1-2 years down the road).
The most is QE tapering or no more new QE.

Same with local interest rate situation.

While if interest rate is hiked, actually it is good thing to have as it means economy is doing well already.

jasontoh
post Jul 11 2013, 10:40 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 11 2013, 10:32 AM)
There is remote chance that Fed or most central banks  raising rate (after last few week of interest rate story cooking) in the near term (1-2 years down the road).
The most is QE tapering or no more new QE.

Same with local interest rate situation.

While if interest rate is hiked, actually it is good thing to have as it means economy is doing well already.
*
It is only good IF the economy IS REALLY doing well. And we know that most of the time, the central banks are wrong.
LOWYAT3AB
post Jul 11 2013, 10:40 AM

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QUOTE(Boon3 @ Jul 11 2013, 09:14 AM)
The main chart.

user posted image

Padini was once a hot favourite. Backed by a strong growth story, you could see the extreme strong movement in the chart till end Aug 2012.
The earnings reported by Padini end Aug was terrible. Earnings declined like hell.
Was this a signal that perhaps the end of the growth story?
Would stores like Uniqlo eat into their future earnings.

With such a bad earnings, Padini corrected strongly.

Currently..

user posted image

As you can see that the end Aug/Sep correction had ended and the stock was trying to find its feet again (mixed feeling about this as the earnings are rather week compared the previous year).
It had a superb run in May until taper June send the stock crumbling down once again.
Despite the heavy June correction, TA would be happy to point out that the stock appears to have found a higher low of 1.84 and that higher bottoms can be seen since end Dec.
Could 1.84 be considered as a new found bottom?
If that is the case would you want to put a wager on this stock?
*
Agree 1.84 is likely short-term support. Padini tried to rebound many times after correcting
from the recent run up but could not close above 1.94 likely short-term resistance on the last
2 days even with higher than normal volume yesterday. It is expected to trade within the
10c range between the resistance and support levels until the price can close above or below
them for possible break outs . Need to monitor the daily closing prices to detect any shifts in
the daily likely resistance and support levels.

This post has been edited by LOWYAT3AB: Jul 11 2013, 11:03 AM
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 11 2013, 10:57 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 11 2013, 10:32 AM)
There is remote chance that Fed or most central banks  raising rate (after last few week of interest rate story cooking) in the near term (1-2 years down the road).
The most is QE tapering or no more new QE.

Same with local interest rate situation.

While if interest rate is hiked, actually it is good thing to have as it means economy is doing well already.
*
laugh.gif it like a drug..........worldwide is addited with the QE. Even stop the addiction.......good for health but will the worldwide (drugger) can simply throw this habit?

laugh.gif stop the drug habit, must pain in short term
lambethwalk
post Jul 11 2013, 11:37 AM

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QUOTE(LOWYAT3AB @ Jul 11 2013, 10:40 AM)
Agree 1.84 is likely short-term support. Padini tried to rebound many times after correcting
from the recent run up but could not close above 1.94 likely short-term resistance on the last
2 days even with higher than normal volume yesterday. It is expected to trade within the
10c range between the resistance and support levels until the price can close above or below
them for possible break outs . Need to monitor the daily closing prices to detect any shifts in
the daily likely resistance and support levels.
*
padini managed to rise to a high of 2.050 yesterday. looks like a good early xxxxxx...
Icehart
post Jul 11 2013, 11:48 AM

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MBB bought 19.5 million shares yesterday to stabilize AAX price at RM 1.25 hmm.gif
Bonescythe
post Jul 11 2013, 11:56 AM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Jul 11 2013, 10:57 AM)
laugh.gif it like a drug..........worldwide is addited with the QE. Even stop the addiction.......good for health but will the worldwide (drugger) can simply throw this habit?

laugh.gif stop the drug habit, must pain in short term
*
Stop the drug and many people will jump from high rise building.
yok70
post Jul 11 2013, 02:25 PM

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QUOTE(Icehart @ Jul 11 2013, 11:48 AM)
MBB bought 19.5 million shares yesterday to stabilize AAX price at RM 1.25 hmm.gif
*
this morning at 80% buy rate. looks like more to buy to stabilize this naughty kid. tongue.gif

MBB can play 15% right? so max is 355.5m shares. laugh.gif

This post has been edited by yok70: Jul 11 2013, 02:26 PM
SUSStupidGuyPlayComp
post Jul 11 2013, 02:52 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 11 2013, 02:25 PM)
this morning at 80% buy rate. looks like more to buy to stabilize this naughty kid.  tongue.gif

MBB can play 15% right? so max is 355.5m shares.  laugh.gif
*
hmm.gif Even the price being supporting...........end up it hard to surge later.

Once the price stabled, MBB will sell back the share to get back cash
cherroy
post Jul 11 2013, 03:10 PM

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QUOTE(jasontoh @ Jul 11 2013, 10:40 AM)
It is only good IF the economy IS REALLY doing well. And we know that most of the time, the central banks are wrong.
*
At the moment or situation, the only wrong decision that central bank can make is raising rate too slow, and let inflation running wild.

In fact, what I see is that most central banks are not hawkish enough on rate.
We have been running at negative real interest rate for sometimes already, and yet most central banks do not act on it.

So I do not see how interest rate can go up in near term.

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