QUOTE(lynetnonyma @ Jun 16 2013, 07:14 PM)
I think it is important to note that a trend is only an indication of what *might* happen next and not what *will* happen next. Although they say the trend is your friend, it only serves as a guideline, not an absolute. There are too many factors locally and around the world that could affect the stock market at any given time. You could have our index showing a 5 point increase every day for 2 weeks which means an upward trend, but it does not mean it will continue that way as anything can happen anywhere around the world that could affect the market to suddenly go down. Trends are only best guesses based on everything staying the same as when the trend was projected. Otherwise, it would be predicting the future instead. Its like flipping a coin or choosing black or red at the tables, which is about your best guess and probability and your luck as you really don't know what will happen next.
Agree. It is not possible to predict what is going to happen next. I pick stocks based on some FA and interesting news.
Then everyday, I look at the closing price or end of day (EOD) price charts of the particular counter to find the resistance®
and support(S) levels. I keep tracking EOD prices and R,S levels everyday until I see a good entry or exit price. I do not
chase high prices and prefer to buy stocks about to rebound . If I have bought, I then ride the uptrend until the supports
break or I have to cut loss. It may take weeks or months to get good profits.
I do not use charts to predict target prices but only to increase my chances of winning big and losing small.
This strategy has helped me to buy some good stocks and get some big gains by not selling too soon and also to
cut loss fast before getting caught in a crash. It is, of course, not 100% accurate but it is much better than trading
without knowing some obvious trends and ending up buying too high or buying into a downtrend or selling too early
or selling too late.
One recent example is Axiata. Many could have gone in to buy the rebound on Monday. But I did not buy because
the charts show it was not a good time to buy and the upside was not much. I do not know why prices are down now,
but I have avoided getting my money stuck and using up my bullets. The support is still holding but prices can come
down further if the support breaks.
Not boasting. Not teaching TA and not selling any products or courses.
This post has been edited by LOWYAT3AB: Jun 19 2013, 01:03 PM