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 V11 - Property Prices Discussion, Intelligent debates only pls

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joeblows
post May 31 2013, 04:33 PM

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QUOTE(kochin @ May 31 2013, 03:40 PM)
actually who or what party stand to gain the most in the event of a property downturn?
*
The ones with least exposure to banks, developers and property.
Rooney1985
post May 31 2013, 04:37 PM

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QUOTE(kochin @ May 31 2013, 04:23 PM)
lol. i am asking who stand to make the most because am trying to see whether there's any opportunity for myself to benefit from a property downturn.
am not really bothered by who loses the most as it wouldn't benefit me in anyway.

as to which category i belong to, i was classified by someone as a DDD camper.
but i would like to term myself as a property enthusiast. it doesn't really bother me so much whether property prices goes north or south or sideways.
i believe some are ridiculously overpriced.
and i can't fathom why some props are not moving north as it should commands.
but in hindsight, i do hope for higher property prices on overall because i dislike the fact that we are cheaper than most of our neighbouring countries. it belittles our purchasing power and our option to migrate (eg a kiasuland fella can buy our props but not necessary vice versa).
*
Fair comments... however, purchasing power is more a result of the competitiveness of the country in terms of resource utilisation rather than property prices. Too much corruption, lack of transparency, leakages as well as other factors leading to an unfriendly business environment is reducing the RM's purchasing power... The higher the property prices in Malaysia doesn't mean that you're purchasing power is increasing, it just makes it worst for the locals... for all you know currency exchange may out perform increase in property prices... property prices increase 50% but RM currency drops 80% its still cheaper for foreigners to buy. The Euro zone is already a fine example of this... countries that wannabe great have failed because they just aren't competitive enough to join the big boys.

Kiasu land's currency is larger because for every RM invested there, the returns are higher than in Boleh land... funds are not left idle and people are not lazing around.

Ofcourse there are also other factors, livability, pollution, safety, cleanliness, transport systems etc, etc... unfortunately Bolehland loses out on every front... therefore my conclusion is the prices in Bolehland are at a delusional high and the only way is down??? That's my take la, obviously anything can happen, the govt suddenly cleans up the whole nation in 1 months time... (not impossible) and we really start competing on a global stage.
TSkochin
post May 31 2013, 04:38 PM

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QUOTE(joeblows @ May 31 2013, 04:33 PM)
The ones with least exposure to banks, developers and property.
*
not really the type of answers i'm trying to look for.

it's true that someone who have least exposure to banks, developers and property may suffer less compared to others who are more vested in those.
but is there any industries or profession which actually benefits correspondingly with direct property downturn?

eg.... when a prop drops 100k, does someone stands to pocket a % of that 100k through other means?
Rooney1985
post May 31 2013, 04:43 PM

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QUOTE(kochin @ May 31 2013, 04:38 PM)
not really the type of answers i'm trying to look for.

it's true that someone who have least exposure to banks, developers and property may suffer less compared to others who are more vested in those.
but is there any industries or profession which actually benefits correspondingly with direct property downturn?

eg.... when a prop drops 100k, does someone stands to pocket a % of that 100k through other means?
*
There are industries that profit from downturns... but in regards to your example of the 100K loss?.. no because in the first place this 100K was not added value in the first place but resulting from speculation. If 100K was added to the value in terms of renovations and this was the loss when sold during downturn then the purchaser has made that renovation (i.e. it cost him nothing). However, he would have to consider the total package value as certain price components that went into the property in non value added and paying for non-value added components is what adds to the uncompetitiveness of the nation.

Very interesting question too... this would also mean that any subsequent market transaction that is below the last market transaction would mean that anything above this is consider non-value added pricing (why pay more when one can buy it cheaper)... well once this happens the spiral starts.

Hope that answers your question. biggrin.gif

This post has been edited by Rooney1985: May 31 2013, 04:46 PM
TSkochin
post May 31 2013, 04:47 PM

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QUOTE(Rooney1985 @ May 31 2013, 04:37 PM)
Fair comments... however, purchasing power is more a result of the competitiveness of the country in terms of resource utilisation rather than property prices. Too much corruption, lack of transparency, leakages as well as other factors leading to an unfriendly business environment is reducing the RM's purchasing power... The higher the property prices in Malaysia doesn't mean that you're purchasing power is increasing, it just makes it worst for the locals... for all you know currency exchange may out perform increase in property prices... property prices increase 50% but RM currency drops 80% its still cheaper for foreigners to buy. The Euro zone is already a fine example of this... countries that wannabe great have failed because they just aren't competitive enough to join the big boys.

Kiasu land's currency is larger because for every RM invested there, the returns are higher than in Boleh land... funds are not left idle and people are not lazing around.

Ofcourse there are also other factors, livability, pollution, safety, cleanliness, transport systems etc, etc... unfortunately Bolehland loses out on every front... therefore my conclusion is the prices in Bolehland are at a delusional high and the only way is down??? That's my take la, obviously anything can happen, the govt suddenly cleans up the whole nation in 1 months time... (not impossible) and we really start competing on a global stage.
*
humour me along rooney boss for i think you do have some economic flair.

i believe a vast % contributing to our rise in property prices is because of our poor performing currency exchange.
while pricing could be high, what's stopping it to go higher IF our currency performs worse?

on the other hand, if strong economy kicks in, cost of doing businesses might actually go down with better transparency and less corruption.
this in return lowers cost of production including cost of construction.
but this would not translate to lower property prices still as with better economy, i believe consumer would spend more too.
but i do believe they would spend wiser.

can i sum it that poor currency, property price rise in tandem and citizens suffer.
good economy, property price rises in tandem and ties in with citizens' affordability?

This post has been edited by kochin: May 31 2013, 04:50 PM
Rooney1985
post May 31 2013, 04:59 PM

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QUOTE(kochin @ May 31 2013, 04:47 PM)
humour me along rooney boss for i think you do have some economic flair.

i believe a vast % contributing to our rise in property prices is because of our poor performing currency exchange.
while pricing could be high, what's stopping it to go higher IF our currency performs worse?

on the other hand, if strong economy kicks in, cost of doing businesses might actually go down with better transparency and less corruption.
this in return lowers cost of production including cost of construction.
but this would not translate to lower property prices still as with better economy, i believe consumer would spend more too.
but i do believe they would spend wiser.

can i sum it that poor currency, property price rise in tandem and citizens suffer.
good economy, property price rises in tandem and ties in with citizens' affordability?
*
True to a certain extent that increased property prices are due to currency exchange, but we also have to consider where these resources that go into building are coming from? locally? or imported? if imported by all means factor that into the price.. if locally... well something must be wrong somewhere that the prices are so high (corruption maybe... again not competitive)

If economy together with currency strengthens then well all should be rosy as long as this economic and currency strength is a resulting from competitive advantages... if not then again its just delusional...

I see no reason to disagree with your conclusion... maybe, for good economy, property will rise in terms of foreign currencies... but will remain affordable for citizens... again due to exchange rate (purchasing power).
zuiko407
post May 31 2013, 06:56 PM

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QUOTE(joeblows @ May 31 2013, 04:33 PM)
The ones with least exposure to banks, developers and property.
*
The ones with lot of cash money, not the young poor guy without any property and money
soules83
post May 31 2013, 07:17 PM

Hohoho I dunno
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QUOTE(zuiko407 @ May 31 2013, 06:56 PM)
The ones with lot of cash money, not the young poor guy without any property and money
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Please invest in me. zuiko407 I heard you are from this type.
AVFAN
post May 31 2013, 07:25 PM

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QUOTE(soules83 @ May 31 2013, 07:17 PM)
Please invest in me. zuiko407 I heard you are from this type.
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u or z is young and poor... or with lots of cash? which ones? tongue.gif biggrin.gif
savants
post May 31 2013, 07:32 PM

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I just wonder... those ppl that think its going to be bubble soon owns any property?
If yes, why you still owning it?
savants
post May 31 2013, 07:33 PM

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QUOTE(zuiko407 @ May 31 2013, 06:56 PM)
The ones with lot of cash money, not the young poor guy without any property and money
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Im one with properties but little cash only... scary
soules83
post May 31 2013, 09:47 PM

Hohoho I dunno
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QUOTE(AVFAN @ May 31 2013, 07:25 PM)
u or z is young and poor... or with lots of cash? which ones? tongue.gif  biggrin.gif
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aiyo AVFAN bro, I very poor one...now looking for investor with cash flow to invest in me icon_question.gif
soules83
post May 31 2013, 09:48 PM

Hohoho I dunno
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QUOTE(savants @ May 31 2013, 07:32 PM)
I just wonder... those ppl that think its going to be bubble soon owns any property?
If yes, why you still owning it?
*
I want....but no enough cash....so I holding cash lo... flex.gif
pobox
post May 31 2013, 11:41 PM

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QUOTE(kochin @ May 31 2013, 04:38 PM)
not really the type of answers i'm trying to look for.

it's true that someone who have least exposure to banks, developers and property may suffer less compared to others who are more vested in those.
but is there any industries or profession which actually benefits correspondingly with direct property downturn?

eg.... when a prop drops 100k, does someone stands to pocket a % of that 100k through other means?
*
You do have a crazy idea to achieve this, don't you? wink.gif Kind of like short selling eh?
savants
post Jun 1 2013, 01:21 AM

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QUOTE(soules83 @ May 31 2013, 09:48 PM)
I want....but no enough cash....so I holding cash lo... flex.gif
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I dont have the cash.... cry.gif
SUSworgen
post Jun 1 2013, 07:57 AM

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QUOTE(tikaram @ May 31 2013, 09:18 AM)
warming here....

u will come at a point some up up up camp saying this again in V11.
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
- Anytime is a good time to buy

- Properties prices will always go up in the long-term

- The market cannot collapse because of demand from foreigners

- Mickey mouse units are the trend of the future
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
read more here why they said that? rclxms.gif  rclxms.gif  rclxms.gif     http://sg.finance.yahoo.com/news/property-...-151909308.html
*
Are you serious on this? But why are you still looking at Tropicana Metro Park, One Amerin Residency@Balakong and CloudTree @ Cheras. You also bought 2 bijis C180, 2 bijis Empire Damansara and 2 bijis JadeHill. You really got 2bijis. Salute. rclxms.gif

P/s : all this you bought for friends?
https://forum.lowyat.net/index.php?showtopi...&#entry60744128

This post has been edited by worgen: Jun 1 2013, 07:58 AM
Dern
post Jun 1 2013, 11:34 AM

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QUOTE(Aventador360 @ May 31 2013, 11:58 AM)
Is this discussion referring to new launches or the secondary market?
I notice that new launch prices keep going up but the secondary market is open field depending on the unit and location. I have concerns about continuous stream of new launches when there are so many already built units empty.
*
in fact, a lot of places you go will have many empty units....
Dern
post Jun 1 2013, 11:47 AM

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QUOTE(kochin @ May 31 2013, 04:23 PM)
lol. i am asking who stand to make the most because am trying to see whether there's any opportunity for myself to benefit from a property downturn.
am not really bothered by who loses the most as it wouldn't benefit me in anyway.

as to which category i belong to, i was classified by someone as a DDD camper.
but i would like to term myself as a property enthusiast. it doesn't really bother me so much whether property prices goes north or south or sideways.
i believe some are ridiculously overpriced.
and i can't fathom why some props are not moving north as it should commands.
but in hindsight, i do hope for higher property prices on overall because i dislike the fact that we are cheaper than most of our neighbouring countries. it belittles our purchasing power and our option to migrate (eg a kiasuland fella can buy our props but not necessary vice versa).
*
hhmmm, you're very funny. you do realize in a coin there's 2 situation, yet you say you are only interested to know opportunity instead of losses, when both are actually related side by side. your replies is a bit stupid, no offence. the moment you admitted it wont benefit you anyway, i think it's very obvious you arent a investor or whatever that the people here claim they are.

but you are right on 1 thing, the property some are ridicilous.


Aventador360
post Jun 1 2013, 01:13 PM

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Does anyone have any thoughts of MK11 in Mont Kiara? Is it a good buy at 700psf? I know that Kenny Heights is coming up in front of it and will block most of the good views but....it is a pretty nice place, stupid private lift foyer though smile.gif
savants
post Jun 1 2013, 04:57 PM

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QUOTE(Aventador360 @ Jun 1 2013, 01:13 PM)
Does anyone have any thoughts of MK11 in Mont Kiara? Is it a good buy at 700psf? I know that Kenny Heights is coming up in front of it and will block most of the good views but....it is a pretty nice place, stupid private lift foyer though smile.gif
*
For own stay ...why not?

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