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 Fundsupermart.com v3, Manage your own unit trust portfolio

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blizice
post Jul 19 2013, 09:00 AM

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Dear Sifu's

I am still new in mutual fund investment.

Currently bought HSAQF, KGF, AGEF, HSBF and OSK-Kid Save due to the 1 percent sales charge.

Feel wasted last time sold my EI small cap which rally really well recently
blizice
post Jul 19 2013, 09:14 AM

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currently around 40% RHB Bond , 20% HSAQF, 20% HSBF, 8% AGEF, 8% KGF and 4% OSK-Kid Save

blizice
post Jul 19 2013, 10:26 AM

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QUOTE(yklooi @ Jul 19 2013, 10:01 AM)
hmm.gif RHB Bond....
pls read
http://www.fundsupermart.com.my/main/admin...rtsMYRHBBOF.pdf

in Page 2, there is this....
"*Note: Ample Zone Bhd has been classified as receivable as it has matured on 27 January 2012.
Following the downgrade in its rating, the Fund manager has maintained the bond’s valuation at the
last fair value price quoted by Bond Pricing Agency Malaysia (“BPAM”), pending further developments."

RHB bond has abt >10% asset in Ample Zone, Ample zone seek for an extension of repayment .....if cannot get back how?

read this for more info,
http://www.fundsupermart.com.my/main/resea...?articleNo=2062

just a note:
*
Thanks for your info. I bought it last year thus still waiting for 1 year period to over then i can sell it without the 1% penalty..

Should have bought other bonds...but nowadays all bond not performing also
blizice
post Jul 20 2013, 11:06 PM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Jul 20 2013, 03:16 PM)
Today's seminar conclusion:

1. OSK-UOB speakers is bullish on small cap either in locally or Asia Ex Japan.
2. Hwang DBS speaker is still bullish on Asia Ex Japan and promoted their two star Asia Ex Japan funds.
3. Eastspring speaker talks about China but no impressive outlook or strategy from them.
4. FSM speaker emphasize on developed market.
*
Dear Sifu's

I am not from finance background so still struggling to understand all the financial term and analogy.

Correct me if i am wrong, base on my observation with current economy(without referring to any data or analysis) :

1. Global economy is recovering slowly and is moving toward a more stable and mature growth. Tightening or pull back might hurt short term economy but it will avoid the credit crunch / financial crisis like 2008.

2. Economy will continue to grow because everyone want to live better .As long as the unemployment rate can be lower down, it will continue to drive growth.

3. After recent sell down in South East Asia, investors are coming back again . I feel the confident level is there.

4. China is recovering however i believe there will be more tightening measure in future.

5. Developed country are recovering also and they learnt their mistake on the past. Thus they are more careful in their policy and enforcement.

6. Bond no longer able to stabilize our portfolio . This same goes to gold also.

I plan to put my best on to Malaysia, South East Asia and US / Europe. However my favourite EI global leader is not in the recommended list..


blizice
post Jul 20 2013, 11:21 PM

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QUOTE(yklooi @ Jul 20 2013, 11:11 PM)
some "noise" on US economy....
"who is driving the housing recovery?"
http://edition.cnn.com/2013/07/19/opinion/...html?hpt=hp_bn1
*
Just like in Malaysia...who is the one driving the house price going up like rocket..haha
blizice
post Jul 20 2013, 11:43 PM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Jul 20 2013, 11:25 PM)
1. China is definitely slowing down and won't grow as fast as last decade with double digit growth in GDP. China is on its multi-year efforts on reforming its economy structure to become domestic driven and to resolve shadow banking and local government debt issue. They can afford to slow down till 6.5% of GDP (the point of hard landing)

2. Europe or Eurozone won't be out from the sovereign debt mess so fast.  Therefore, they won't recover that fast and that much. The stock market is doing pretty well recently is not because of the domestic (Eurozone) economy is doing well. It is mainly contributed by earnings from MNCs which most of their revenues come from Asia particularly China.

3. Japan is printing money till they hit 2% of inflation target and tried to suppress strong. This may take longer period than expected.

4. US is definitely on track of recovery. Recent economic data is pointing to good figures and that's why Bernanke can afford that to stay of chance of tapering QE3. This will bring 10-year US bond back to the level pre-QE2. Outflow of fund from emerging market hit their currencies and USD is getting stronger.

5.  Asia ex Japan and particular ASEAN has attractive valuation due to the recent correction. That also includes China and Hong Kong but China gain needs to spread longer as they have a lot of reform to take place.

Disclaimer: Above points are quoted from today's seminar. I don't take any credits from them and I tried my best to recover what I remembered.
*
Sharing is caring.. Thanks for the fruitful messages conveyed tongue.gif

1. We not sure what really happen in China . A lot of issues hasn't surface yet. Economy slow down doesn't mean the demand reduced but is just not expand as much ( in percentage) as before ..Correct me if i am wrong..

2. Is this a signal for us to invest in large cap in europe?

3. Japan is like in its own world now. But personally i do hope they will recover so every other country will benefit from it.

4. What is your opinion on the QE pull back? I think by the time investor wont have rapid sell down like what happen last 2 months.

5. When i check the market PE release by Fundsupermart, A few South East Asia ( Malaysia, Indonesia, Thailand and etc) current PE already exceed the Fair PE.. but the fund performance is recovering from recent sell down..I also dont know how to understand the message lying behind.
blizice
post Jul 21 2013, 12:05 AM

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QUOTE(yklooi @ Jul 20 2013, 11:57 PM)
rclxms.gif nice observation about the mkt PE,....but bear in mind that the MKT PE are normally obtained from the valuation of the index linked stocks.....ex KLCI consisted of about 30 stocks,
where else, the funds that you bought may consist of the stocks NOT from the index stocks.....so the MKT PE may not apply...
*
notworthy.gif i feel i found the key...haha thanks for your enlightening . So really hard to follow data that really tells the story..hmm hmm.gif
blizice
post Jul 21 2013, 12:33 AM

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QUOTE(David83 @ Jul 21 2013, 12:27 AM)
That's why OSK-UOB speaker is promoting small cap locally and regionally:

OSK-UOB SCOUT
OSK-UOB EOUT.
*
May i know what is the different between both of this ? (Want fast answer in the Mid Night)
blizice
post Jul 21 2013, 12:45 AM

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Noted with thanks!
blizice
post Jul 22 2013, 10:08 AM

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QUOTE(ben3003 @ Jul 22 2013, 09:40 AM)
KLCI keep rising.. going for 2k? lol..
*
Prison Broked .. Asia on the rise ..

Buying signal?

blizice
post Jul 31 2013, 09:45 AM

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Feels that Malaysia Funds are going south ..KLCI drop below 1800 yesterday..

My Kenanga Growth Fund affected
blizice
post Aug 1 2013, 09:36 AM

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QUOTE(wongmunkeong @ Jul 31 2013, 04:10 PM)
Today's whacking of KLCI due to:

http://www.thestar.com.my/Business/Busines...alysts-say.aspx

Published: Wednesday July 31, 2013 MYT 1:59:00 PM
Updated: Wednesday July 31, 2013 MYT 2:01:05 PM
Fitch ratings downgrade of Malaysia's outlook no surprise, analysts say
KUALA LUMPUR:  As the market reacted anxiously to Fitch Ratings' move to downgrade Malaysia's sovereign credit rating outlook to Negative from Stable, analysts say the decision by the ratings agency came as "no surprise".

According to CIMB Equities Research, it had previously mentioned the risk of the Big 3 rating agencies - Moody's, S&P, Fitch - downgrading Malaysia's sovereign credit rating outlook if there was no clear indications from the government on fiscal reforms regarding subsidies, taxes and government spending after the election.

Unfortunately, there has indeed been none.

The research house pointed to the stasis in the implementation of the GST and the request put in earlier this month in Parliament by the government to add RM12bil to Budget 2013 via supplementary budget, as examples.

The Fitch downgrade on Tuesday, which still maintained the country's existing high investment-grade ratings of "A-" on long-term foreign debt and "A" on long-term local debt, appears to have already spooked the market, with BIMB Securities Research saying it may have triggered a flight of foreign funds out of the country on the very same day.

Before the announcement was made by Fitch on Tuesday, the FBM KLCI closed down 3.7% at 1,795.08 points on profit-taking, while government bond yields climb to their highest level since April 2011 and the ringgit weakened to a three-year low.

At midday on Wednesday, the Malaysia's blue chips came under selling pressure, with fund selling seen in Maybank and CIMB which was sparked by Fitch Rating's downgrade. The KLCI was down 17.88 points to 1,777.20 at midday.

BIMB Securities Research pointed to Malaysia's public finances as its key rating weakness.

Federal Government debt rose to 53.3% of GDP at the end-2012, up from 51.6% at end-2011 and 39.8% at end-2008. The general government budget deficit (Fitch basis) also widened to 4.7% of GDP in 2012 from 3.8% in 2011, led by a 19% rise in spending on public wages in a pre-election year.

Hong Leong Investment Bank Research said while the downgrade came earlier than expected, it was already negative on the fundamental aspect of emerging Asia. The research house said it was hopeful the Fitch downgrade would lead to a revisit of fundamentals in Malaysia.

"Due to high foreign shareholding (of more than 47% in Malaysian government securities and 25.2% in equities), we expect both fixed income and equity markets to experience heightened volatility.

"Nevertheless, we do not expect a crisis as BNM has enhanced banking surveillance; reserves are at all-time high, and government debt is mostly financed domestically," it said.

Meanwhile CIMB Research said the Standard & Poor's team - which had affirmed Malaysia's Stable outlook five days prior to the Fitch downgrade - is reportedly heading to Malaysia in September for ratings review exercise.

Stressing that the government was now under pressure to act, it said it expects Budget 2014 presentation on Oct 25 to provide clarity on fiscal policy issues and direction.

Affin Investment Research pointed out that Fitch had warned that Malaysia's long-term foreign and local currency ratings could also be downgraded in the future, if Malaysia's fiscal performance continued to deteriorate and constrain its sovereign ratings.

"The risk of a downgrade in the country's credit ratings will make it expensive for Malaysia to borrow money from abroad. A lower rating will also dampen investment flow into Malaysia's equity and bond markets, with negative perceptions of the country's deteriorating credit quality," it said

However, it reiterated that Malaysia's economic fundamentals remained sound, with economic outlook improving, current account surpluses sustainable (albeit narrowing), and foreign exchange reserves steadily increasing.

"It is unlikely that other international rating agencies, such as S&P or Moody's, will downgrade Malaysia's sovereign rating outlook to negative in the near term. We believe the government is committed to a lower budget deficit of 4% of GDP in 2013 (4.5% of GDP in 2012), as well as sustaining government debt as well as contingent liabilities.
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Entered Malaysia fund (OSK-UOB Emerging Market, Kenanga Growth Fund and Hwang Select balanced) before the downgrade.. feel a bit worry now .

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