QUOTE(joeblows @ May 10 2013, 11:49 PM)
Well I think if you are being rational, the result of GE13 is the worst possible result for BBBB camp and for Malaysian economy.
If PR won: Short dip for 1-2 years but can recover due to low corruption, lower brain drain (those migrated already coming back), opening up of monopolized markets, less cronies, open tender, etc.
Personally think that the current housing price is driven by the low interest rate.
There is an uncertainty on whether the PR's government will increase the interest rate or not (same to BN gov't).
Current Malaysia housing interest rate =BLR
-X.xx%Personally think that the gov't might remove the
-X.xx% and back to BLR+0% or BLR+X.xx% if US economy recovers in Year 2015 (assumption only)
QUOTE(joeblows @ May 10 2013, 11:49 PM)
Now: Bad long term, very bad short term too. So much uncertainty - PR don't accept the election results - but on the other hand UMNO people also blame Najib for bad results and plan to kick him out. Whole nation is in paralysis - notice no one even know who is in cabinet yet. Racists gain more power in BN govt, higher brain drain, possibility of more funds flowing out and lower FDI (when Utusan is slamming Chinese everyday will Chinese Singaporean buy property in Iskandar? LOL). With gap between PR and BN closing year by year even despite BN best efforts to cheat and buy votes - they will turn up the give all ppl welfare goodies tactic again, the only tactic they know. This means more govt debt.
You can call my analysis biased, but deep down, I think you agree.
BN gov't is weak since it got only 49% popularity vote.
1) PR does't accept the election result--> can't do much even if you sue to the court.
2) Blame Na->Moo replace Na but sad to other races. The "good" point is BN will face challenge in GE14 by non-malays
3) Who are in the new cabinet?--> GE 13 is just over by 6 days only. The new cabinet is composing of so many complicate interests, so it needs time to sort out.
4). Foreigners not willing to invest due to racist?--> Even before election and history of Malaysia, the racist is always there.
5). GOv't more debt--> cut subsidy and implement GST, these implementation will cause inflation and indirectly increase the housing price. Good point is that the people will feel the pain and BN will be in danger in GE 14. If gov't doesn't cut subsidy and implement GST but borrow more, more urban citizens will vote in favor of PR in GE14...either way, BN is not in favourable position in GE14.
In fact, GE 13 result is a continuation from GE 12 result. This give hope to many people that support PR to look forward in GE 14.
This post has been edited by firee818: May 11 2013, 09:08 AM