QUOTE(sakura888 @ Apr 4 2013, 02:25 AM)
dont you realize nobody even bothers what he says ?
sometimes it's easy to see which one have substance and which one is empty.
V10 - Property Prices (Up, Down or .....), and the debate goes on and on and on ...
|
|
Apr 4 2013, 08:47 AM
|
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]()
All Stars
10,722 posts Joined: Nov 2011 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
Apr 4 2013, 11:03 AM
|
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]()
Senior Member
1,548 posts Joined: Apr 2005 |
QUOTE(AMINT @ Apr 3 2013, 08:57 PM) Guys, a boss of mine said if opposition wins, property investment will collapse. Agree? I dont coz i think the market drives it. Government has a bit influence but mainly market Some things are more important than property prices. I have no clue about what the short term effect would be. Long term PR winning should be better for Malaysia and thus for property prices. |
|
|
Apr 4 2013, 12:29 PM
|
![]() ![]()
Junior Member
133 posts Joined: Feb 2009 |
|
|
|
Apr 4 2013, 12:56 PM
|
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]()
All Stars
10,722 posts Joined: Nov 2011 |
QUOTE(prody @ Apr 4 2013, 12:03 PM) Some things are more important than property prices. +1 I have no clue about what the short term effect would be. Long term PR winning should be better for Malaysia and thus for property prices. up camp or down camp disagree this and that on property but when come to politic. we all agree with this. |
|
|
Apr 4 2013, 01:04 PM
|
![]() ![]() ![]()
Junior Member
320 posts Joined: Aug 2010 |
|
|
|
Apr 4 2013, 01:11 PM
|
![]() ![]()
Junior Member
279 posts Joined: Aug 2012 |
agree on the bumi part.
obviously you have seen enough what happen in the low cost segment.... i am not talking abt foreigner at all. Local! QUOTE(tat3179 @ Apr 4 2013, 07:53 AM) Yes, but not low cost and bumi lands. And especially to foreigners. Already to purchase low cost land you need to get consent and other red tape for local citizens, foreigners additionally need to get foreigner's consent on top of that and the props they are allowed to buy must not be less than 500k in selangor... So no, foreigners can't just come in and scoop up low cost houses and collect rent from the locals. Imagine the stink to the state gomen of the day if that really happened and on the papers or the Internet. Low cost are usually bumi lot houses too....it is nearly impossible. If you say some undeclared local rich guy slipping the net I might believe you, but foreigners, no... |
|
|
|
|
|
Apr 4 2013, 01:15 PM
|
![]() ![]()
Junior Member
279 posts Joined: Aug 2012 |
our real estate boom start since late 80' and the AFC 97 was not a burst!
asset class boom usually last 2 or 3 decades. just share a fact here. I am not seeking your 'wisdom' QUOTE(tat3179 @ Apr 4 2013, 07:58 AM) You can't really compare the south sea bubble to the housing crash really. The south sea bubble was people buying paper assets and contracts without them really knowing what they are buying. They just buy only so that could sell out later. Props are different in some ways. For example, subang jaya which I am familiar with, even during the real dark days of 97 the prices did not drop much, in fact after the crisis is over it shot up even more. Location is unlike stocks, it can't be reproduced. Some strategic places will retain its value because people want to stay there regardless of economic situation.... |
|
|
Apr 4 2013, 01:17 PM
|
![]() ![]()
Junior Member
279 posts Joined: Aug 2012 |
hard to say.
Have some experiences with PR govt in Selangor, ah..hem... same animal. but i do bet for a change though. malaysia need stronger opp. to check/balance more effectively.... QUOTE(prody @ Apr 4 2013, 11:03 AM) |
|
|
Apr 4 2013, 01:26 PM
|
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]()
Senior Member
1,359 posts Joined: Nov 2010 |
QUOTE(tikaram @ Apr 4 2013, 12:56 PM) +1 tic tac, told you dun betray ddd camp. be more consistence. one hand support pr1ma, the other hand want a change. deh, what a nonsense. or u still in dilemma with 5 bijis to flip?up camp or down camp disagree this and that on property but when come to politic. we all agree with this. |
|
|
Apr 4 2013, 02:14 PM
|
![]() ![]()
Junior Member
279 posts Joined: Aug 2012 |
Total residential loan (val) approval 2010, 2011, past 14 month: 19.5%, 13% and 12.8% (14 months combined)
since the loan growth has slowed considerably, and the question is: how to sustain the price upward movement with the shrinking demand? anybody with the right mind will get this: the market forward is bleak and property boom could end badly. ** loan growth (or money expansion) = demand ** Please watch, just take you 7 mins. how a boom go burst. |
|
|
Apr 4 2013, 02:17 PM
|
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]()
Senior Member
1,331 posts Joined: Sep 2007 |
QUOTE(agentdiary @ Apr 4 2013, 01:15 PM) our real estate boom start since late 80' and the AFC 97 was not a burst! "fact" indeed...if you are providing facts instead of opinions may I have the source of your assertions please.asset class boom usually last 2 or 3 decades. just share a fact here. I am not seeking your 'wisdom' If the AFC is not a bust, I suppose cancer is also not a life threatening disease either. Another thing, I am not providing wisdom. I am providing my opinion. Do try to distinguish which is which. |
|
|
Apr 4 2013, 02:20 PM
|
![]() ![]()
Junior Member
279 posts Joined: Aug 2012 |
AFC we have a burst in currency and stock market. So did the bond to certain extend.
Not real estate really. QUOTE(tat3179 @ Apr 4 2013, 02:17 PM) "fact" indeed...if you are providing facts instead of opinions may I have the source of your assertions please. If the AFC is not a bust, I suppose cancer is also not a life threatening disease either. Another thing, I am not providing wisdom. I am providing my opinion. Do try to distinguish which is which. |
|
|
Apr 4 2013, 02:31 PM
|
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]()
Senior Member
1,331 posts Joined: Sep 2007 |
QUOTE(agentdiary @ Apr 4 2013, 02:20 PM) AFC we have a burst in currency and stock market. So did the bond to certain extend. The point is, stocks and property are not the same asset class.Not real estate really. Both are prone to have bubbles, of course, but you cannot set up a new company and issue shares with land. Also, people can live without buying shares, but people still need a place to stay and will strive to live in the best neighborhood possible, which is limited and unique unlike shares. Real estate did suffer during the AFC, just not by much. And it rebounded quickly after the crisis. As whether there is a bubble now, well, my bones tell me it is so, but by how much, I have no idea. |
|
|
|
|
|
Apr 4 2013, 03:25 PM
|
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]()
Senior Member
986 posts Joined: May 2012 |
|
|
|
Apr 4 2013, 04:06 PM
|
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]()
Senior Member
6,747 posts Joined: Sep 2010 |
QUOTE(tat3179 @ Apr 4 2013, 02:17 PM) "fact" indeed...if you are providing facts instead of opinions may I have the source of your assertions please. +1If the AFC is not a bust, I suppose cancer is also not a life threatening disease either. Another thing, I am not providing wisdom. I am providing my opinion. Do try to distinguish which is which. |
|
|
Apr 4 2013, 04:14 PM
|
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]()
Senior Member
737 posts Joined: Dec 2007 |
No property burst during AFC because
1. Impact on stock and currency is to huge that property dip was overlooked. 2. Prop price is cheap back then. 30% decline was peanut compare to second board share price (average >Rm10) dip to penny level, Repco fell from >140 to the abyss and Hwa Tai >200 to penny, stock market was one crazy place back then. 3. Khazanah was set up to sapu all NPL to prevent fire sales and lelong basically worked as a firewall to prevent the chain effect to cause more damage. I do remember many developers were forced to sell their property with free goodies like kancil and saga. Vista commanwealth condo came with kancil if my memory served me right. Many contractors got their pay in the form of consigned property. I cannot imagine if the same thing happen again with astronomical property price of today. I wish history will never repeat again. This post has been edited by KLsooner: Apr 4 2013, 04:16 PM |
|
|
Apr 4 2013, 04:23 PM
|
![]()
Junior Member
16 posts Joined: Mar 2013 |
|
|
|
Apr 4 2013, 06:43 PM
|
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]()
All Stars
24,454 posts Joined: Nov 2010 |
QUOTE(tat3179 @ Apr 4 2013, 07:53 AM) If you say some undeclared local rich guy slipping the net I might believe you, but foreigners, no... foreigners can become bums, marry bums, use bum names, etc. dun forget some lowcost units are non-bum allocated, can be sold too, and there are auctions, etc. i've been to a seminar to learn how u can buy and invest into these units, so never say never! tis is boland, remember?i will not say more on tis, so believe wat u want, that's ok. after all, in boland, it's all about how to "go about things", isn't it? |
|
|
Apr 4 2013, 06:49 PM
|
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]()
All Stars
24,454 posts Joined: Nov 2010 |
QUOTE(prody @ Apr 4 2013, 11:03 AM) Some things are more important than property prices. absolutely. if u r true mysian, better prices (for houses and cars, at least) crash for the 95% mysians rather then upupup for the 5%. in the unlikley event (so they say) of a pr win for putrajaya, the monopolies for land, props and car imports will be pressured. so, there shud b a price correction since the corruption, leakage, patronage and wastage will be reduced - in theory. we'll see about that since it is the 1st time we get a shot at an alternative scenario. QUOTE Monopolies to suffer in the event of unlikely Pakatan win, says Maybank http://www.themalaysianinsider.com/malaysi...n-says-maybank/ This post has been edited by AVFAN: Apr 4 2013, 06:52 PM |
|
|
Apr 4 2013, 07:55 PM
|
![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]() ![]()
Senior Member
1,091 posts Joined: Sep 2012 |
QUOTE(tat3179 @ Apr 4 2013, 02:31 PM) Also, people can live without buying shares, but people still need a place to stay and will strive to live in the best neighborhood possible, which is limited and unique unlike shares. There very certainly can be an oversupply of commercial prop (shoplots, offices and yes, malls too) which is already happening now. There can also be oversupply of residential props especially for those where there are very few takers - like so-called "high-end condo" (where the only thing high end is the price and not the fittings) in non-prime areas or landed areas in the arse end of nowhere where people have to drive 1 hour + to get to KL every morning selling for megabucks. BTW don't tell me X is only X mins from KL if you take MEX/SKVE/blablabla. It sure is only x mins, if you drive at midnight on a weekday, all the traffic lights are green, speeding along at 140+km/h, etc. Normal peak hour traffic, it will be xxx mins instead... |
|
Topic ClosedOptions
|
| Change to: | 0.0209sec
0.64
6 queries
GZIP Disabled
Time is now: 9th December 2025 - 01:17 PM |