QUOTE(gsc @ May 9 2013, 10:36 PM)
Follwing is Citi bank comments on interest rate...seems that the interest rate would maintain except for those promotion carred out by bank..
We maintain our expectation for the OPR to remain at 3% in 2013 with 50bps hikes
in 1H14 but conditional upon inflation approaching 3% within 2014......
HSBC Bank added that domestic demand has been robust, but has stayed low due to price controls and subsidies. “Upward normalisation of interest rates will still be necessary later this year, due to rising credit growth and household debt,” it said.
Meanwhile, the Consumer Price Index is expected to average between 2.7 percent and 2.9 percent this year, said OCBC Bank’s Gundy Cahyadi.
Thus, the central bank is expected to maintain the overnight policy rate at three percent as the existing inflation trajectory is still within it comfort zone.
“It has seemed to be more tolerant of the ringgit's strength since the second half of last year. To a certain extent, this could be their preferred method to dampen any inflationary concerns for now,” added Cahyadi.
Summing it up, there is theoretically less urgency for the central bank to change the official interest rate at present.