Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

8 Pages « < 4 5 6 7 8 >Bottom

Outline · [ Standard ] · Linear+

 U.S. Stock Market Portfolio

views
     
TSDuarte
post Jun 12 2013, 11:44 AM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
73 posts

Joined: Feb 2013
QUOTE(Materazzi @ Jun 2 2013, 05:43 AM)
are you unemployed now?
*
No.

TSDuarte
post Jun 12 2013, 11:50 AM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
73 posts

Joined: Feb 2013
QUOTE(mabsandcals @ Jun 9 2013, 06:23 PM)
yes i think we need to propose this to be moved to the finance section
*
I proposed to move the topic to finance section, but received no response.
TSDuarte
post Jun 12 2013, 11:56 AM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
73 posts

Joined: Feb 2013
The following is the list of the last auxiliary calculations in the U.S.:
user posted image

The following is the list of the last closed trades in the U.S.:
user posted image
netmask8
post Jun 12 2013, 01:02 PM

Regular
******
Validating
1,525 posts

Joined: Oct 2012


QUOTE(Duarte @ Jun 12 2013, 11:50 AM)
I proposed to move the topic to finance section, but received no response.
*
Hi,

Create new topic in FInance / Stock Market section.. More ppls will view and appreciate yr value/expertise.

TSDuarte
post Jun 12 2013, 08:53 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
73 posts

Joined: Feb 2013
I've been hesitant to buy, but now I decided to buy. I will use a small percentage of the portfolio. If market rises, so after I increase the exposure.

8 New Buys:
user posted image
TSDuarte
post Jun 24 2013, 09:24 AM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
73 posts

Joined: Feb 2013
The following is the last closed trade in the US:

user posted image
TSDuarte
post Jun 24 2013, 09:28 AM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
73 posts

Joined: Feb 2013
The following is the portfolio:

user posted image
TSDuarte
post Jun 24 2013, 10:29 AM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
73 posts

Joined: Feb 2013
Below are the monthly charts along with brief commentary.

I am going to look to the period between 1967 and 1984, as well as, for the period between 2000 and 2013.
As I have written before now, my guess about what is happening is that the S&P 500 since 2000 is following the path between 1968 and 1984.
At this time the key is to understand if the breakout above the long-term resistance line was or not decisive.
When the breakout is decisive, the resistance level then becomes a support level, but I don“t know yet whether or not this will happen. My big question is this: Will red support line hold?

user posted image

user posted image
netmask8
post Jun 24 2013, 11:05 AM

Regular
******
Validating
1,525 posts

Joined: Oct 2012


Saw many charts here.. I dun really trust charts.
I'm looking mainly at company business, growth, financial statements, greed + fear index,
valuations to make my buy/sell decision.. IMO, Greed + Fear Index are very hard to implement,
monitor and measure it correctly. Many tools in the net, but somehow, it still lack of good inputs.

This post has been edited by netmask8: Jun 24 2013, 05:06 PM
kimyee73
post Jun 24 2013, 01:31 PM

Regular
******
Senior Member
1,007 posts

Joined: Oct 2006
From: island up north


QUOTE(Duarte @ May 6 2013, 02:31 AM)
Up until now I have adopted a prudent and defensive investment strategy, but now I“ll search a more aggressive valorization strategy opting for an increased market exposure, in order to catch the benchmark index. At the same time, however, I will take into account the 6-month unfavorable seasonality period, which begins on May 1 and ends on October 31 of the same year, and I will keep my eyes wide open to the possibility of trend reversion in the coming months.
*
Are you a trend follower? Is this portfolio for real or just paper trading? How do you choose a ticker to trade? Sorry for many questions. I'm a trend follower myself but also swing trade as well during ranging market.
TSDuarte
post Jul 2 2013, 07:22 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
73 posts

Joined: Feb 2013
netmask8 and kimyee73: Thank you for your comments.


The portfolio has a rule to see what is going to happen before it takes place:

All trade ideas and stop loss orders must be sent to this thread, with a minimum of 5 minutes before the next market opening, and automatically placed on the market after the market opens. The orders will be executed at the opening price, except in the case of stop loss orders. I consider 5 USD per buy or sell order.

I trade my trade ideas in my own account.

Generally speaking, firstly I use technical analysis and, secondly, I use fundamental analysis.
I always give more importance to the technical analysis.

I read chart trend and then I follow the trend, and I also try to identify possible reversal points.
There are several ways to read the trend - for example, with the help of trend lines, technical indicators, chart patterns, et cetera. And I use it. I also use the Dow Theory definition of a trend based on highs and lows. A stock trending up is making higher highs and higher lows.

On the fundamental analysis, I give more attention to the Cash Flow from Operating Activities.
http://www.investinganswers.com/financial-...activities-2784

netmask8
post Jul 2 2013, 10:11 PM

Regular
******
Validating
1,525 posts

Joined: Oct 2012


do you trade FOREX, which is much liquid ?
kelvinlym
post Jul 4 2013, 04:27 PM

Yes, that was my car.
******
Senior Member
1,152 posts

Joined: Jun 2007
From: Kuala Lumpur


QUOTE(netmask8 @ Jul 2 2013, 03:11 PM)
do you trade FOREX, which is much liquid ?
*
High volume traded stocks are very liquid too. My broker credits my account in less than 10 minutes after an executed order.

I personally don't trade Forex.

But I'll let TS to answer your question.
TSDuarte
post Jul 5 2013, 08:36 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
73 posts

Joined: Feb 2013
3 Buys:

user posted image

The following are the annotated charts:

user posted image

user posted image

user posted image
TSDuarte
post Jul 8 2013, 03:51 AM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
73 posts

Joined: Feb 2013
QUOTE(netmask8 @ Jul 2 2013, 10:11 PM)
do you trade FOREX, which is much liquid ?
*
Yes, I trade forex.
The Forex market is very liquid but it is very different from stocks.




kimyee73
post Jul 8 2013, 01:07 PM

Regular
******
Senior Member
1,007 posts

Joined: Oct 2006
From: island up north


QUOTE(Duarte @ Jul 5 2013, 08:36 PM)
3 Buys:

user posted image

The following are the annotated charts:

user posted image

user posted image

user posted image
*
Why you bought ERX? ERX is in between 20SMA and 50SMA. Are you confident that it will break above this strong 50SMA? Why not wait until it break above first instead of pre-empt it? Just want to hear your rationale. Thanks.
TSDuarte
post Jul 8 2013, 08:29 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
73 posts

Joined: Feb 2013
QUOTE(kimyee73 @ Jul 8 2013, 01:07 PM)
Why you bought ERX? ERX is in between 20SMA and 50SMA. Are you confident that it will break above this strong 50SMA? Why not wait until it break above first instead of pre-empt it? Just want to hear your rationale. Thanks.
*
It is written on the annotated chart:
"ERX reacted positively to the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA200) and has been rising ever since.
The consensus of the 12 technical indicators that I use is on the buy signal."

The movement of ERX has been similar to the UPRO.
TSDuarte
post Jul 8 2013, 08:30 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
73 posts

Joined: Feb 2013
9 Buys:

user posted image
NoTea
post Jul 9 2013, 05:36 AM

New Member
*
Junior Member
21 posts

Joined: Feb 2010


Hi Duarte/TS,
Nice to see your post. I am fascinated by the charts and all that info displayed, in order to help you make the best decision (profit)

One question - based on your starting portfolio value of USD 35k (Mar 1) how much profit do you intend to make in 6 months' time ? (or 1 year ?)
kimyee73
post Jul 9 2013, 02:37 PM

Regular
******
Senior Member
1,007 posts

Joined: Oct 2006
From: island up north


QUOTE(Duarte @ Jul 8 2013, 08:29 PM)
It is written on the annotated chart:
"ERX reacted positively to the 200-day exponential  moving average (EMA200)  and has been  rising ever since.
The consensus of the 12 technical indicators that I use is on the buy signal."

The movement of ERX has been similar to the UPRO.
*
12 ohmy.gif I can see you're using MACD, RSI and EMA. Mind to share the rest?
What is the return so far in term of return to risk ratio? What is the max capital utilized and max drawdown experienced so far? Thanks.

8 Pages « < 4 5 6 7 8 >Top
 

Change to:
| Lo-Fi Version
0.0180sec    0.50    5 queries    GZIP Disabled
Time is now: 21st December 2025 - 09:35 AM