Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

Outline · [ Standard ] · Linear+

 EPF DIVIDEND, EPF

views
     
return78
post Jan 29 2018, 02:53 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
132 posts

Joined: Nov 2006
Is overseas investment classified as sharia-compliant? If not, it's little mind boggling how EPF Islamic can make a better return since oversea investment was outperformed.

https://www.thestar.com.my/news/nation/2017...r-year-returns/
return78
post Mar 12 2019, 10:04 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
132 posts

Joined: Nov 2006
QUOTE(David83 @ Mar 11 2019, 09:27 PM)
EPF i-Akaun Secret Image and Secret Phrase so easy to change without even need TAC/OTP via SMS.
*
Secret image / phrase is weak, outdated and improper way of control technically. It can be counterfeited by spoofing easily. Perhaps Malaysia banks still happily implement it due to ignorant of BNM's guideline and the rest of institution just blindly follow. Look around the world and you'll notice Malaysia is among the unique in this space.

https://www.archive.ece.cmu.edu/~lbauer/pap...urityimages.pdf

return78
post Jan 14 2020, 10:58 AM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
132 posts

Joined: Nov 2006
PNB is much smaller than EPF in term of fund size. 301bil (pnb as of May 2019) vs 859bil (epf as of Q1 2019)
return78
post Jan 14 2020, 10:38 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
132 posts

Joined: Nov 2006
QUOTE(plumberly @ Jan 14 2020, 02:54 PM)
Not saying you are wrong, sometimes getting too big can itself be a problem, more difficult to perform at its best.

From history ...

[attachmentid=10403474]

I have not updated my spreadsheet for the past few years. Too lazy to do it now. So just used the data I have.

Historical trend is no guarantee but it is a good indicator, predictor.

But hope I am wrong this time.
*
Just state the view from fund size perspective. And historically, for special god blessed fixed price Amanah saham, it always generating a higher return rate. While some variable priced fund which open for public might suffered negative returns. devil.gif

Following just my personal view:

Having Zeti there was meant to clean up any "bubble" or hanky-panky to ensure more sustainable return in long run. Thus, it reflects with a lower return rate which more align to real market condition.

While EPF is having more realistic return all these years and almost half of their investment in fixed income asset along with profit reserved, while oversea investment was the main driver for the income (diversified to other better performed market unlike Malaysia equity market). However, for last 3 consecutive quarters, their profit had dip around 12% for y2y comparison.


return78
post Jan 16 2020, 08:34 AM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
132 posts

Joined: Nov 2006
QUOTE(plumberly @ Jan 15 2020, 09:46 AM)
If my memory is still ok, revenue for 2018 was the highest in EPF history (Q1-3 revenues were higher than 2017 year total!). One expected the dividend to reflect that. But it did not. Of course, it is not comparing apple with apple as the funds it collected were higher than previous years. Still think the dividend rate for 2018 should be at least 1% higher.

My 2 cents, when things are good, the dividend may be slightly higher or even lower! Maybe to save some money for the coming bad years? But when things are bad, one gets the lower number with comments like  "very tough economy, etc., etc. "

Cheerio.
*
Agreed. I shared the same view and do believed "profit reserve" might do some magic during bad time. The majority of epf members are risk averse and don't expect much volatility in returns. Most of them are non financial savvy folks.

You may check out page 4 for their 5 years financial figures. It's a good piece of info and most of ppl will raise their eyebrows on their 2018 net investment income / net income vs dividend to members.

https://www.kwsp.gov.my/documents/20126/974...t=1564377638597


return78
post Feb 16 2020, 08:16 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
132 posts

Joined: Nov 2006
QUOTE(Havoc Knightmare @ Feb 16 2020, 03:51 PM)
Well, seems like you have made up your mind, so I will say nothing more... I think I will comment no more on this thread since everyone prefers to believe in their own version of reality.
*
Those familiar with corporate & IT workflow, they'll appreciate your viewpoints. Many factors had to considered to decide a release date, as it is a major activity that involve cross departments, public PR management, as well as IT system update.

Similar to gambling, those who trusted wearing red underwear might bring luck, or direction he/she facing will affect their luck, u can't argue with them as that's their believed. Or in medical field, ppl do had certain pantang food such as prawn on post surgery, it might make no sense from western medical stand points as it just provide protein,minerals and vitamins.

Anywhere, it just a forum, to me, it's making fool of myself if forcing others agreed my viewpoints.
return78
post Feb 19 2020, 01:21 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
132 posts

Joined: Nov 2006
QUOTE(KIP21 @ Feb 19 2020, 10:07 AM)
KWSP has like 800bil and 30% foreign investment while PNB has like 300bil and 8% foreign investment ( trying to reach 30% too in 2-3 years time ). KWSP 30% foreign investment brought in 37% of the income..

Hope hope EPF give 6%+ for 2019.. 2020 will be tough due to this Covid19
*
Any source / news for this? Reaching 30% in 2-3 years.

edited..

Found it. Was unaware of this, thanks.

https://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...t-more-overseas

2-3 years is pretty rush. This might one of reason local equity had lackluster performance as foreign fund is leaving too.

This post has been edited by return78: Feb 19 2020, 01:26 PM
return78
post Jan 14 2021, 12:44 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
132 posts

Joined: Nov 2006
https://www.freemalaysiatoday.com/category/...covid-19-gloom/
return78
post Feb 10 2021, 02:13 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
132 posts

Joined: Nov 2006
QUOTE(KIP21 @ Feb 10 2021, 10:44 AM)
Concerning when during this time, changing CEO. And some more not from internal EPF team... This guy seems like a jumper. Jump so many companies.
*
When appointing someone from outside during this critical period, that doesn't sound good and kinda smell high handed behind the scene.
return78
post Feb 11 2021, 10:48 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
132 posts

Joined: Nov 2006
QUOTE(Human Nature @ Feb 11 2021, 05:13 PM)
Est 108bil doe iSinar. That's around 11.5% out of 941.77bil (as of end Sept 2020) total assets. A sudden shot up from initial est 33bil to 108bil going caused selling pressure on the market. EPF might not able to cash out smoothly with good pricing if not given sufficient time, and everyone knew they're eager sellers.

After withdrawal, 941 - 108 = 833 bil, which equivalent to total assets back in 2018.






return78
post Feb 18 2021, 12:38 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
132 posts

Joined: Nov 2006
Put your thought in cash flow prior made the judgement. And yet, due to population advantage for time being, the members contribution > regular withdrawal. And if we drill deeper, things might get more complicated due to accounting treatment, the inflow and outflow held in different accounts, etc and beyond average folks like us able to comprehend. Perhaps accountants familiar in fund house accounting could shed some light.

In > members contribution, realized profits etc.
Out > Regular withdrawal, special withdrawal like isinar, realized loss, etc
return78
post Feb 27 2021, 03:29 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
132 posts

Joined: Nov 2006
I guess most of conspiracy theory and haters on dividend payout can be ceased for now and continue Feb 2022 . brows.gif

Next focus is back iSinar and how much withdrawal at the end of day.


return78
post Feb 27 2021, 05:25 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
132 posts

Joined: Nov 2006
QUOTE(YH1234 @ Feb 27 2021, 05:05 PM)
bursa 2018 1700, 2019 down to 1600, 2020 up to 1650
is my question illogical?
*
Yes, you are comparing apple with durian. You can't expect similar return on higher risk investment vehicle like equity.

The fundamental and purpose of EPF to ensure members having saving for retirement, thus, balance must be strike.
return78
post Mar 2 2021, 06:31 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
132 posts

Joined: Nov 2006
QUOTE(j.passing.by @ Mar 2 2021, 04:32 PM)

- "Lesser investment fund to generate higher returns" also means lesser cash on hand, as i-sinar withdrawals transfer the cash out. Same realised profit / Lesser fund = Higher ROI per ringgit.

*
Not accurate, fund size is shrinking too after isinar withdrawal.

However, huge isinar withdrawal definitely will affect their origin investment planning.

For instance, if they allocate and invested 5b on recovery stocks such as banking, aviation and hospitality sectors in mid - late 2020 with 3 to 5 years horizon timeline, huge withdrawal from isinar will affect their plan as its too early to harvest.
return78
post Mar 2 2021, 07:24 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
132 posts

Joined: Nov 2006
We can't simply plunge a implementation from other countries and implement here due to different social & economies structure. Majority Singaporean is under CPF while Malaysia merely 7mil+ active members + perhaps 8mil+ inactive members out of 32mil citizen. Tiered dividend are indirect taxing some saver from these pool of ppl and majority are working class.

Even both person earn identical wages, one that contributed for 20 years may need to subsidize one just work for 2 years due to having higher epf saving.

Another example if both having identical wage and same age, one may withdraw for buying million worth house, reduced epf saving allowed him enjoy full dividend. Its fair his being subsidized by saver stay at apartment.

There might alot scenario overlook in tiering dividend, end up unfair implementation. Besides, all these complications will cause epf spending lots more resources, money on system upgrade & implementation.

Remembered epf contribution is compulsory and ppl might not able to opt out but forced to 'subsidize' other.


return78
post Mar 3 2021, 04:47 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
132 posts

Joined: Nov 2006
QUOTE(catherintherye @ Mar 2 2021, 09:04 PM)
Nonsense! 10 years ago EPF size 400 Billion still return 5.8%

Doesn't matter withdrawal, increasing, size 100 billion, 500 billion, 1 trillion....EPF job to get decent return each time.

They got the creme de la creame master degrees finance guys, hahvard, standford learn from the gurus in there. If they can't do the job managing the fund, should be fired years ago. They know what to do la
*
U din get the point, it just example pointing out a logical scenario if huge withdraw isinar exceed their original budget eg 70b, it'll screw up some of their plan. Regardless who is fund manager and graduated from where.

Level of education doesn't meant anything in investment. Did you aware some good fund manager like Cheah (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cheah_Cheng_Hye) doens't have degree from tops institution u mentioned. And did you noticed it never short of story of a degree/master/PHD graduated in accountant and finance end up can't beat some persistent and low profile investor.




return78
post Mar 3 2021, 04:54 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
132 posts

Joined: Nov 2006
And the problem doesn't lie on these Harvard or Standford or 250 professional staff. But the top down push that forced some of their plan need to tweak and re-strategies. Why EPF ex-CEO get ditched away and his original stand on isinar withdrawal meant something.

If you happen working in corporate long enough, u shall appreciate what these top down approach meant and potential implication.
return78
post Mar 3 2021, 05:30 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
132 posts

Joined: Nov 2006
QUOTE(TheEquatorian @ Mar 3 2021, 05:18 PM)
If you read between the lines on his linkedin updates, it is quite clear he was removed. Seems like a solid CEO.
*
Agreed. He is with EPF for years and and there're always reasons for him defend his stand. Too bad, it cost him a CEO post.

IF one wanna come out some conspiracy theory, look at elevated credit loss provisioning reported by CIMB compared to other bank. Who are the ex-CEO allowing all these high risk deals? Is CIMB short of degree, master/ PHD in finance and economics? And who are the "boss" using top down approach to force thru the isinar without conditions?
return78
post Jan 24 2022, 04:45 PM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
132 posts

Joined: Nov 2006
https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/woul...-poorer-members

Another punishment suggestion to saver. Esp for to those elders which higher saving.
return78
post Jan 28 2022, 10:54 AM

Getting Started
**
Junior Member
132 posts

Joined: Nov 2006
QUOTE(dasecret @ Jan 26 2022, 02:04 PM)
This is going to be unpopular opinion in this forum, because I'm on the same page with the Edge's Cindy and the previous Mr Thomas.
People tend to react negatively to this sort of suggestion for a simple reason, all private sectors employees are vested in EPF. As soon as they hear their returns will be lower, they just shut off their mind and insists it's a terrible terrible idea. So I understand where you came from. But maybe you have not understood where the likes of Cindy and Thomas are thinking.

Well, before you start bashing me, I want you to do one thing - Pretend this is not EPF for a moment, it's a pension fund in another country with similar income disparity and aging population. Pretend you are running that pension fund, or running that country. What is best for the country, not what is best for an individual depositor.

Not every forummer would be able to do that, I've accepted the fact. But I hope you rise up to the challenge, and really use an objective mind to look at what I have to say

My suggestion would be taking some ideas from Cindy and Thomas, and added my own twist to it.

1. There would be a "bonus" dividend for those depositors having less than basic savings set by EPF at their age - This is a concept borrowed from Tabung Haji dividend distribution. It could be 3-5% and will give a boost to those who are not earning as much, and the power of compounding is going to work to the advantage of the younger population who are not making as much as they are expected to be able to have sufficient retirement savings. It also reduces the low income earners' urge to withdraw from EPF at every chance they have.

2. How to fund the extra dividend for (1)? For every RM above RM1million savings per depositors, they will get 1% less dividend than the dividend rate declared for that year. These people have the ability to withdraw at anytime, they are basically treating EPF as their personal investment manager without having to pay for it. This is the best risk free capital guaranteed, min 2.5% guaranteed return product you would ever find in Malaysia. Sure, the rich put their money elsewhere, but they also put some of their money in EPF as a replacement of FD. Remember - they can withdraw these savings ANYTIME, EPF had to keep buffer in cash because of these people and dragging down the returns. So it's not to OUR advantage that the rich keep a lot of money in EPF

3. You may ask, how can that 1% reduction in the rich's returns give 3-5% extra returns to those with less than basic savings? Well, because the rich are keeping so much money in EPF currently; and I dare say, even if this is implemented, most will still keep their money there as it's still higher than commercial banks. currently EPF targets inflation rate + 3% returns on 3 years rolling and it's really good for almost risk free investment

user posted image

Only 0.3% of the depositors need to take this 1% hit actually and benefit more than 70% of the depositors. Sounds like a good impact to a country, no? Fairer distribution of income.

4. Many of you felt that these low deposit balance people "deserved being poor", or "did it to themselves". I tend to disagree, but I do feel that there need to be better social safety net to "help people help themselves"
How about this? In conjunction with the implementation of (1), which adds money to their account, it comes with a condition that at the retirement age, the amount below basic savings are retained to be put into annuity scheme, where they get paid an income on monthly basis, it's probably very little, like RM2000 or so with RM240,000 basic income at 55 yo. This is similar to what CPF had implemented a few years ago and it's again a necessary but unpopular move that EPF had shy away due to public negative reactions.
Why is this annuity scheme important? Obviously too many people spend the retirement savings soon after they took all of it, and research shows that poor people make poor decisions because of their circumstances, sometimes they couldn't help it, so it's necessary for policy making to take that into consideration.
Now, back to you as one of EPF depositor, why should you not react negatively to EPF giving more returns to the poor than the rich when you belong in the "rich group"?
Because, believe it or not, we pay for these poor people who have not enough retirement savings one way or another. If we don't pay for it in the form of lower EPF returns, we will pay for it in taxes (could be inheritance tax, capital gain tax, GST etc), or our future generation will pay for it, in both $$ and doomed future because the country is no longer competitive

For anyone who read all the way here, thank you  rclxms.gif 
You can now start bashing me  rclxs0.gif
*
Such tiering policy is unfair if no taking into age and employment status of EPF members. How do you address the situation below:

P1 - Age 30 with active annual income 84K, EPF below 50K.
P2 - Age 45, jobless for years, retrenchment due to severe impact of covid, EPF with 1mil (likely proceed for withdraw >1mil, pose higher risk if not well versed in investment)
P3 - Age 55, retired, EPF with 1mil (likely withdraw tiering introduced, subjected to higher risk if not well versed in investment, or placing into FD for meager 2% return, retirement plan affected)

Is tiering dividend is really helping those needs or causing more problem to savers (P2, P3)?

Beside, all these policy shall inform upfront and allow impacted members hv flexibility to withdraw the exceed. If introduced it abruptly, it going to be a mess.

However, if tiering start let says at 500K, such system will double tax the saver (income tax + indirect tax on EPF), more trying to withdraw money when they meet eligible criteria for education, housing, health issue etc.

All in, once more ppl losing faith on EPF, it trigger much higher withdrawal, it causing more long term damage to EPF investment strategy as they need cashing out at much higher rate.
Who going to absorbs government bond, main GLC linked company share like TNB, banks etc in short period of time? Try to see the bigger picture, don't try to save some trees but end up losing a forest without understand full spectrum of problems, but rush into decision.

edited: p/s: Pls be reminded those with higher contribution in EPF are faithful taxpayers (regardless like it or not as its trackable). Many real rich are outside of EPF system (fancy biz accounting with help of tax accountants).

This post has been edited by return78: Jan 28 2022, 11:19 AM

2 Pages  1 2 >Top
 

Change to:
| Lo-Fi Version
0.0425sec    0.37    7 queries    GZIP Disabled
Time is now: 7th December 2025 - 10:19 AM