Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

12 Pages « < 3 4 5 6 7 > » Bottom

Outline · [ Standard ] · Linear+

 EPF DIVIDEND, EPF

views
     
fuzzy
post Mar 21 2024, 07:38 PM

*pew pew pew*
*******
Senior Member
7,106 posts

Joined: Jan 2003

QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Mar 21 2024, 07:19 PM)
Epf already has lots of exposure to SnP500.
*
Not that much. Majority of its investments are still domestic, and even equities is just half of its portfolios.

S&P500 returned 24% in 2023, and around 9% so far in 2024. If EPF had lots of exposure to S&P500, we wouldn't have see only 5.5% dividend from them.
fuzzy
post Mar 21 2024, 08:15 PM

*pew pew pew*
*******
Senior Member
7,106 posts

Joined: Jan 2003

QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Mar 21 2024, 08:08 PM)
Of course majority is Malaysian esp big chunks of government bonds But out of their 30 plus percent foreign holdings, the majority are equities and the majority of that would be in SnP500 stocks. Epf doesnt publish the numbers, but I would estimate at least 10%, or more than RM100b. Maybe even 15%. Epf has at least as much in foreign equities vs in bursa.

The SPX 24% returns are price appreciation..still.paper gains unless you sell. Recall that epf pays dividends only from realised gains.  Meaning, profits when they sell. To get the full returns as dividends from SnP500 then epf will have to sell all end of last year, which of course they wont.
*
They do publish some stats la but nothing concrete:

QUOTE
The Equities asset class contributed RM39.05 billion after netting off write downs, accounting for 58% of the EPF’s total investment income with an ROI of 8.68%. The increase in income, higher compared to RM27.12 billion in 2022, was mainly attributed to higher capital gains following better market conditions. Listed equity write downs for 2023 were minimal at RM0.40 billion, compared to the RM3.43 billion recorded in 2022. Private Equity investments generated an ROI of 9.69%.



Ya, so I go and get my own higher exposure to S&P lo. Paper gain or not, it's still a 20% contribution to my personal wealth. EPF will always be a more defensive play, their aim is not to maximise gains but rather to manage something better than inflation. Nothing wrong with that.

But I don't see the point doing that more, when I can get that 10-20% other place, and still have EPF to fall back on if it fails. So that's my play.


fuzzy
post Mar 22 2024, 02:44 PM

*pew pew pew*
*******
Senior Member
7,106 posts

Joined: Jan 2003

QUOTE(batman1172 @ Mar 22 2024, 09:18 AM)
EPF is a good place to keep realized gains after 20+ years of investing in SP500 and other ETFs. As long as market is positive, rebalance equity to EPF and reverse the process is market is down. Too bad EPF only allows 100k. why can' they increase it?
*
Because EPF's goal is not to increase the assets they have, rather ensuring people can have a safe retirement nest. They know if you allow people to pump in 200-300k, these people will treat it more like a HYSA, and that will disrupt their ability to invest long term as they might need to sell assets prematurely to fulfill withdrawals.

That's why also the returns will never be gangbusters, because they will invest a lot in very safe assets with lower returns.
fuzzy
post Mar 23 2024, 10:18 PM

*pew pew pew*
*******
Senior Member
7,106 posts

Joined: Jan 2003

QUOTE(Ramjade @ Mar 23 2024, 10:00 PM)
I didn't know maybank can do RM50k. My maybank can only do RM5k. Anyway not important to me as I only put in RM3k into EPF
under the  volunteer deposit to claim income tax on life insurance part.
*
Can, just tried.


Attached thumbnail(s)
Attached Image
fuzzy
post Mar 30 2024, 11:49 PM

*pew pew pew*
*******
Senior Member
7,106 posts

Joined: Jan 2003

QUOTE(ronnie @ Mar 30 2024, 12:07 PM)
agree....beat inflation need 10%.
Our CPI too fake easy to beat
*
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MYSPCPIPCPPPT

So both US Fed and International Monetary Fund also purposely go out to fake MY's CPI figures to make sure EPF no need to deliver high returns?


You can also look at ECA's projections, as they are an private consultant for cost of livings that many global companies use to benchmark countries cost of living:

QUOTE
“Despite the forecasted nominal salary increase staying at 5.0%, inflation in Malaysia is expected to rise from 1.0% to 2.1%, which will reduce the rate at which salaries increase in real terms for workers in the country.


https://theedgemalaysia.com/article/malaysi...eases-next-year

Inflation is really hard to fake, thats why countries like Argentina cannot "fake" and lower their inflation to 3-4% instead of its 200%.

What most of us are suffering from is lifestyle creep, choosing to get the latest iphone 5000 max, when there are options at rm500-600. Same with laptop, last time laptop is like 8k, now a laptop at 2k easily is better. Same with car, a Saga from 2010 is around 33k, a Saga in 2024 is 34k. But of course we have to go drive latest beemer or Tesla. Don't forget telco also, I used to pay RM200 for a line with 30mins call and 100sms, now I'm paying like rm30 with unlimited calls and sms, god know how much 5G data i have because i can't even finish it.

But things like food, cafes, some entertainment is up, and thats what we tend to spend daily on so we are more attuned to that.


fuzzy
post Mar 30 2024, 11:51 PM

*pew pew pew*
*******
Senior Member
7,106 posts

Joined: Jan 2003

QUOTE(Wedchar2912 @ Mar 30 2024, 02:46 PM)
haha... that didn't take long... at least the idea of 4 million ringgit is enough for retirement did last a year at least. biggrin.gif

inflation is a tricky thing, because the word means different thing to different people… kinda reminded me of the fact that a he may not be a he anymore. (in this case: lifestyle inflation).
Nonetheless, what I know from own experience of being alive for at least 40 years and being aware almost the same number of years, it is genuinely not as high as everyone thinks. (of course it is not zero also).

A few concrete examples of numbers that I so happen to know:
My current car bought in 2009 for 150K, latest version price is ~190K :    inflation ~1.8% pa
Chicken rice in late 1980s is 1 rm, now is 7 to 8rm :                                inflation ~6%
Education in a Ivy U in late 1990s is ~ 70K rm (@3.8) per year, now is ~300K rm (@4.7) per year:    inflation ~5.5%
One of the few items I noticed that really has high inflation rate is luxury watches. A entry level AP watch was like around 30K rm in 2011, now if want to buy even second hand is like above 200K rm. That’s like 16% increase. Btw, this is just one luxury brand, not all brands can command such inflation rate.
What about medical bill? Anyone has factual numbers to share?

Media always claim education and healthcare will always have some of the highest inflations. Of all the unis, i would guess the US Ivies would command the highest inflation right? and that also is around 5 to 6% pa only in ringgit terms when our ringgit already crashed vs usd.

So to claim that we need EPF to be running at 10 to 20% return is silly… but beating inflation is a given and it is in EPF’s mandate to do so…
*
Medical inflation generally is 10-20% per annum, you can read up on it as its a real concern for a lot of insurers. But gomen is RM1 haha.

Luxury watches are not inflation, its just artificial pricing to create scarcity, thats why no all brands can do the same because they don't command that fomoness. But its good for my "portfolio" even if I probably would never sell any of it tongue.gif
fuzzy
post Apr 25 2024, 01:35 PM

*pew pew pew*
*******
Senior Member
7,106 posts

Joined: Jan 2003

QUOTE(theevilman1909 @ Apr 25 2024, 01:26 PM)
it's says account 3 is optional....

so those didn't "transfer" into account 3...

don't get account 3? for contribution after 11 May?? maintain 70/30??
*
QUOTE
All contributions after 11 May 2024 will be allocated into the new accounts in the following manners: 75% into Akaun Persaraan, 15% into Akaun Sejahtera and 10% into Akaun Fleksibel.
fuzzy
post Apr 25 2024, 01:39 PM

*pew pew pew*
*******
Senior Member
7,106 posts

Joined: Jan 2003

QUOTE(theevilman1909 @ Apr 25 2024, 01:36 PM)
so I'm forced to have account 3?

cannot opt out??

later few years. tthe dividend would be lower...

as confirmed by EPF announcement
*
Betul tongue.gif

That whatever opt-in shit is more like to "seed" that account so you can take it out now instead of waiting till May. But next month onwards all contribution will be split to 3 account according to that.

whistling.gif
fuzzy
post Apr 26 2024, 02:27 PM

*pew pew pew*
*******
Senior Member
7,106 posts

Joined: Jan 2003

QUOTE(theevilman1909 @ Apr 26 2024, 01:06 PM)
EPF says expected around 25Bil only would be withdrawn by members, from total 57Bil.

but looking at the situation now, where everyone is waiting to withdraw asap.  I think that 25bil figure would be higher, towards 30bil or even 40bil
*
I think they looked at the majority of the fund holders belong to T20, who has no need for that extra money thus won't withdraw.

user posted image
fuzzy
post Apr 27 2024, 02:53 PM

*pew pew pew*
*******
Senior Member
7,106 posts

Joined: Jan 2003

QUOTE(batman1172 @ Apr 27 2024, 11:25 AM)
How 280k can be t20? It can’t even generate a 50k dividends annuallyand that’s only m40 income without considering inflation and ringgit depreciation.
*
Bro, its basic statistics. The twitter person also is using the wrong figures.

He's using the overall number of members, not ACTIVE members. Active Members as of Sept 2023 is 8.53 mil, so that means the other 8mil are no long active members.

Then B40,M40 and T20 is just 40%,40% and 20% across all the savings. As such, majority of the B40's will be accounts with RM0 because its no longer active, thus it also impacts the definition of the second tier 40% and also the final 20%.
fuzzy
post May 1 2024, 08:12 PM

*pew pew pew*
*******
Senior Member
7,106 posts

Joined: Jan 2003

QUOTE(HumbleBF @ May 1 2024, 05:52 PM)
Wow. Whose choosing not to opt in? Dividends will be the same isn't it? Plus now flexibility to withdraw why won't anyone opt in if you have above 3k
*
I opted out. Because I already have the flexibility without having to use acc3 😂
fuzzy
post May 2 2024, 10:29 AM

*pew pew pew*
*******
Senior Member
7,106 posts

Joined: Jan 2003

QUOTE(Wedchar2912 @ May 1 2024, 08:50 PM)
sorry, can opt out? i thought no option to opt out? or epf u-turn recently?
*
QUOTE(gashout @ May 2 2024, 06:49 AM)
can we opt now? using the app?
*
You can start by not adding any money to the Account 3, so it will be zero upon launch. Later, EPF will allow members to do a savings transfer from Account 3 to 1 or 2 at any EPF Offices by completing the ‘Savings Transfer To Akaun Persaraan/ Akaun Sejahtera Form (KWSP 12)'. But no details yet as to if I need to do it everytime, or can it be automated. Will see.

QUOTE
Members can transfer their savings as follows:
i. Akaun Fleksibel to Akaun Sejahtera
i. Akaun Fleksibel to Akaun Persaraan
iii. Akaun Sejahtera to Akaun Persaraan

Savings can only be transferred in one direction and cannot be reversed back into the original account. There is no limit on the amount that can be transferred between accounts.

Refer to the illustration below:

user posted image
Given this option of one-way transfer is mentioned, EPF has the intention of lowering the Acc 3 interest in the future. But given clause (iii) is also there, to transfer Acc 2 to Acc 1, are they gonna lower Acc 2 dividend as well? tongue.gif


fuzzy
post May 28 2024, 02:56 PM

*pew pew pew*
*******
Senior Member
7,106 posts

Joined: Jan 2003

QUOTE(leanman @ May 28 2024, 02:37 PM)
Damn now nobody talks about self contribution but about the opposite of withdrawing instead biggrin.gif its 28 of the month, best date to invest in order to get full next month's dividend again
*
Forgot lol. Just pumped in 10k. sweat.gif
fuzzy
post Jun 24 2024, 09:25 PM

*pew pew pew*
*******
Senior Member
7,106 posts

Joined: Jan 2003

QUOTE(yungkit14 @ Jun 23 2024, 10:14 PM)
Next year same dividen all of 3 accounts on what they announce. This was mentioned multiple time
*
Only Dividend for 2024 is confirmed the same. For 2025 they will look see look see.

QUOTE
However, EPF chief executive officer Ahmad Zulqarnain Onn said that while at present the dividends remained the same across all three accounts, this could change in the future.

"This was because, by default, liquid assets do not attract higher interest rates or dividends," he was reported as saying

fuzzy
post Aug 13 2024, 05:38 PM

*pew pew pew*
*******
Senior Member
7,106 posts

Joined: Jan 2003

QUOTE(gashout @ Aug 13 2024, 03:57 PM)
i wanted to ask if we can start speculating 2024 dividend rate, thought too early, and your post came..
*
later say flash crash in Q3, so overall is down tongue.gif
fuzzy
post Aug 13 2024, 05:51 PM

*pew pew pew*
*******
Senior Member
7,106 posts

Joined: Jan 2003

QUOTE(nexona88 @ Aug 13 2024, 05:49 PM)
The EPF said over 80 per cent of the EPF's new investment allocation was directed to the domestic market, and its remains dedicated to supporting and contributing towards achieving the goals outlined in the Madani Economy Framework.

https://www.nst.com.my/business/corporate/2...qgMerWnv15-UfKQ
Basically don't expect high dividend rates going forward
whistling.gif
*
user posted image
fuzzy
post Aug 13 2024, 06:08 PM

*pew pew pew*
*******
Senior Member
7,106 posts

Joined: Jan 2003

QUOTE(nexona88 @ Aug 13 2024, 05:57 PM)
Would be lovely to see Q3 numbers....

Since it's would be heavy on local....

Compared to Q2 which 38% still international exposure
*
Think will still be bad. local or not, when the carry trade issue happened in Japan, local shares also tumbled badly, so any perceptions as if we are insulated from global affairs is fake la.

EPF just have no choice, else they'd diversify even more overseas.
fuzzy
post Aug 15 2024, 11:58 AM

*pew pew pew*
*******
Senior Member
7,106 posts

Joined: Jan 2003

Market 2nd half is pretty tepid. And with the expected interest rate lowering by Feds in Sept, there's be a bit more turmoil so I also hesitant to say will get 6%.
fuzzy
post Aug 21 2024, 10:07 AM

*pew pew pew*
*******
Senior Member
7,106 posts

Joined: Jan 2003

QUOTE(prophetjul @ Aug 21 2024, 09:34 AM)
How much asset value is considered rich today?  hmm.gif
*
QUOTE
High Net Worth Individual as defined in Part 1 of Schedule 6 and Schedule 7 of the CMSA being:

- An individual who has a gross annual income exceeding RM300,000 or its equivalent in foreign currencies per
annum in the preceding 12 months.

- An individual who, jointly with his or her spouse, has a gross annual income exceeding RM400,000 or its
equivalent in foreign currencies per annum in the preceding 12 months.

- An individual whose total net personal assets, or total net joint assets with his or her spouse, exceed RM3 million
or its equivalent in foreign currencies, excluding the value of the individual’s primary residence.


If you meet any of this, you are rich lo.
fuzzy
post Aug 21 2024, 10:16 AM

*pew pew pew*
*******
Senior Member
7,106 posts

Joined: Jan 2003

QUOTE(gashout @ Aug 21 2024, 08:44 AM)
once you have 1 mil by the age of 40, and not contributing more, it will be 2.6/2.7 mil by the age of 65 = 13k/ month passive.

1 mil as soon as possible is the game to play! rest is bonus.
*
I wanna hit 4m by 50. I don't want to work until 65 sad.gif

12 Pages « < 3 4 5 6 7 > » Top
 

Change to:
| Lo-Fi Version
0.0867sec    0.63    7 queries    GZIP Disabled
Time is now: 3rd December 2025 - 03:50 AM