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 EPF DIVIDEND, EPF

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prophetjul
post Jan 12 2021, 09:14 AM

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QUOTE(Dreamer09 @ Jan 11 2021, 03:42 PM)
Total dividend payout for 2019 was RM45.82b. The breakdown was RM41.68bn for Simpanan Konvensional (SK) and RM4.14b for Simpanan Shariah (SS). The payout amount required for every 1% dividend rate for 2019 for SK was RM41.68b divided by 5.45% = RM7.65b while for SS was RN4.14b/5% = RM828m. Source: https://www.kwsp.gov.my/-/appendix-epf-2019-performance

Earlier, it is projected that to pay 1% dividend, the amount is expected to increase from RM7.65b to RM9.2b....Previously, they did mention that in order to generate 5% dividend, they need at least RM46.0bn. Hence, RM46.0b/5% = RM9.2b for each 1%. Source https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/epf-...5-dividend-2020

Recap for the past 3 quarters EPF performance,
1Q2020 - Gross investment income was RM12.16b, net investment income was at RM7.5b, while total investment asset was fell to RM874.0b (from RM924.75b) https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/what...t-2020-dividend
2Q2020 - Gross investment income was RM15.12b, net investment income was at RM13.46b, while total investment asset grew to RM929.64b https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/what...s-2020-dividend
3Q2020 - Gross investment income was RM17.33b, net investment income was at RM16.87b, while total investment asset grew to RM941.77b https://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...me-of-rm1733bil

If we sum it up for the past 3 quarters, the total gross investment income totaled RM44.6b (full year for 2019 was only RM50.29b), while net investment income was RM37.83b (the net figures were not reported in 2019).

Assuming EPF requires RM9.2b to pay 1% of dividend, RM37.83b/RM9.2b = 4.1%, this has yet to add in 4Q2020 figures (barring any unforeseen circumstances like in 1Q2020 whereby about RM50b was written off in asset....EPF still manage to remain positive during the quarter)

However, with the various withdrawal schemes and the extension for contribution payment from the 15th to the 30th of every month from April until December 2020 by employers, am not too sure how it affects the dividend declaration. On the bright side, total investment asset continues to grow.
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i was thinking the same. The investment income has grown from 2019 by a substantial sum. i cannot see it less than 4.5%.
UNLESS they with hold declaring all the income as dividend.
prophetjul
post Jan 14 2021, 10:45 AM

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prophetjul
post Jan 14 2021, 09:28 PM

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QUOTE
“However, the dividend has not been finalised yet as it has to take into account the special withdrawals under the i-Lestari and i-Sinar, introduced under the Covid-19 stimulus packages.

“You can expect the announcement to be delayed a little because of this,” said one source.


What has i-Lestari got to do with dividends given.?????

Dividend declared is based on the previous year's earnings. The withdrawals are in the coming months.
Are they messing with us?

This post has been edited by prophetjul: Jan 14 2021, 09:31 PM
prophetjul
post Jan 27 2021, 10:10 AM

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QUOTE(plc255 @ Jan 27 2021, 09:46 AM)
Dividend payout: EPF may do better than ASB

I am hoping for the best!  rclxm9.gif  rclxms.gif  drool.gif
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I will be the first time in history. Hopefully it is acceptable! laugh.gif
prophetjul
post Jan 28 2021, 01:26 PM

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QUOTE(myrancid @ Jan 28 2021, 12:55 PM)
I didn't read the epf earning report yet, how much the earn last year?
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Then why are you making such a comment?
prophetjul
post Jan 28 2021, 01:36 PM

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QUOTE(Dreamer09 @ Jan 11 2021, 03:42 PM)
Total dividend payout for 2019 was RM45.82b. The breakdown was RM41.68bn for Simpanan Konvensional (SK) and RM4.14b for Simpanan Shariah (SS). The payout amount required for every 1% dividend rate for 2019 for SK was RM41.68b divided by 5.45% = RM7.65b while for SS was RN4.14b/5% = RM828m. Source: https://www.kwsp.gov.my/-/appendix-epf-2019-performance

Earlier, it is projected that to pay 1% dividend, the amount is expected to increase from RM7.65b to RM9.2b....Previously, they did mention that in order to generate 5% dividend, they need at least RM46.0bn. Hence, RM46.0b/5% = RM9.2b for each 1%. Source https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/epf-...5-dividend-2020

Recap for the past 3 quarters EPF performance,
1Q2020 - Gross investment income was RM12.16b, net investment income was at RM7.5b, while total investment asset was fell to RM874.0b (from RM924.75b) https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/what...t-2020-dividend
2Q2020 - Gross investment income was RM15.12b, net investment income was at RM13.46b, while total investment asset grew to RM929.64b https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/what...s-2020-dividend
3Q2020 - Gross investment income was RM17.33b, net investment income was at RM16.87b, while total investment asset grew to RM941.77b https://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...me-of-rm1733bil

If we sum it up for the past 3 quarters, the total gross investment income totaled RM44.6b (full year for 2019 was only RM50.29b), while net investment income was RM37.83b (the net figures were not reported in 2019).

Assuming EPF requires RM9.2b to pay 1% of dividend, RM37.83b/RM9.2b = 4.1%, this has yet to add in 4Q2020 figures (barring any unforeseen circumstances like in 1Q2020 whereby about RM50b was written off in asset....EPF still manage to remain positive during the quarter)

However, with the various withdrawal schemes and the extension for contribution payment from the 15th to the 30th of every month from April until December 2020 by employers, am not too sure how it affects the dividend declaration. On the bright side, total investment asset continues to grow.
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Unless Q4 is disastrous...........
prophetjul
post Feb 6 2021, 10:46 AM

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QUOTE(GrumpyNooby @ Feb 6 2021, 10:36 AM)
EPF’s diversification pays off

EVERYTHING points to the Employees Provident Fund (EPF) declaring a commendable dividend for 2020. The fund with RM950bil under its belt is expected to declare a dividend rate that is almost the same as Amanah Saham Bumiputera (ASB) or more.

ASB, which is Permodalan Nasional Bhd’s flagship fund, declared a dividend pay-out of 4.25 sen for every RM1 invested. It comprised an income distribution of 3.5 sen and bonus of 0.75 sen.

In addition, the national unit trust company declared a special Ehsan payment of 0.75 sen per unit for up to the first 30,000 units in conjunction with the 30th anniversary of ASB.

In a nutshell, ASB’s return is actually 4.25% for every RM1 invested with an additional 0.75% for the first 30,000 units.

The EPF, with some 14 million contributors, has recorded a net investment income RM37.83mil for the first nine months of 2020. If there are no major impairments to its portfolio, it should be able to match ASB’s 4.25% or come close to it based on the nine-month result.

https://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...cation-pays-off
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Seems that they are trying very hard not to exceed the dividend of ASB!
prophetjul
post Feb 6 2021, 11:25 AM

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QUOTE(GrumpyNooby @ Feb 6 2021, 10:47 AM)
I'm not surprised with such strategy by EPF.
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It is evidence that EPF could have been short changing us all these years.
prophetjul
post Feb 6 2021, 11:27 AM

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QUOTE(GrumpyNooby @ Feb 6 2021, 11:26 AM)
I thought this is not even a closely guarded secret. tongue.gif
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It was discussed but not evident.

Maybe it should be discussed whether this is fraudulent?

This post has been edited by prophetjul: Feb 6 2021, 11:28 AM
prophetjul
post Feb 6 2021, 01:29 PM

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QUOTE(Assassin's @ Feb 6 2021, 12:52 PM)
Did no one read the article? They explained it clearly why EPF return are usually below ASB.

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


Around half of EPF fund is allocated to fixed income instrument (e.g. Government bonds), while PNB funds is mostly in equities and real estate.

Here is EPF portfolio in Q3 2020

user posted image

https://www.kwsp.gov.my/-/epf-records-rm17....ome-for-q3-2020

And here is ASB portfolio in 2019

user posted image

https://www.pnb.com.my/pdf/AnnualReport/AR2...N/AR2019-EN.pdf
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EPF's equity investments is not only local.

It would be more interesting to know what percentage of income is from foreign investments since PNB is less active in this respect?

And also the returns per UNIT.

This post has been edited by prophetjul: Feb 6 2021, 01:31 PM
prophetjul
post Feb 10 2021, 10:34 AM

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QUOTE(GrumpyNooby @ Feb 10 2021, 10:33 AM)
TNB’s Amir Hamzah slated to take the helm at EPF, say sources

KUALA LUMPUR (Feb 10): Tenaga Nasional Bhd’s (TNB) president and CEO Datuk Seri Amir Hamzah Azizan is heading to the Employees Provident Fund (EPF) to take the helm as the CEO of the provident fund, according to sources.

https://www.theedgemarkets.com/article/tnbs...epf-say-sources
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Who is this?
prophetjul
post Feb 11 2021, 08:40 AM

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QUOTE(KIP21 @ Feb 10 2021, 10:44 AM)
Concerning when during this time, changing CEO. And some more not from internal EPF team... This guy seems like a jumper. Jump so many companies.
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We should be very worried about a utility guy taking over one of the world' s largest pension fund management company!

How is he even qualified?

This post has been edited by prophetjul: Feb 11 2021, 08:44 AM
prophetjul
post Feb 13 2021, 11:29 AM

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QUOTE(backspace66 @ Feb 12 2021, 06:44 PM)
Err, you can only take out the money that exceed 1 million not all of the money unless you satisfy any of the requirement such as 55 years old, etc.

Like i said better use facts than assuming things or making things up. The total fund for this group as at the end of 2018 is at 66 billions, so the amount on top(of that 1 million per person) is just around 26-27 billion which is relatively small in comparison the total fund size of almost 1 TRILLION. This amount (66bil) is only for active contributor though, no information provided for retired person who keep their fund in epf is available as far as i remember.
There is also this yearly inflow of rm80 billion of fresh fund although i believe this is before pandemic. I am unsure how much of that is mandatory contribution and self contribution. Logically self contribution might have taken a hit under expectation of poor future performance but i have no data on that so am not gonna assume.

https://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/asia/m...rement-13644480

He also reassured that given the RM960 billion in assets belonging to EPF and a yearly inflow of RM80 billion, this effort by the government would not affect the dividends for the members or the returns for EPF.
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ALL THESE in the hands of a utility man! ohmy.gif
prophetjul
post Feb 13 2021, 05:33 PM

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QUOTE(TheEquatorian @ Feb 13 2021, 05:04 PM)
I am a member of another country’s retirement fund which similarly invests a large portion in the domestic market. The logic is that you will be retiring in Malaysia and your fund growth should follow the local market movements (which in my other case has outperformed global indices). Moreover there is a currency factor. It is sound to keep a minimum 20% in the local market but I agree that EPF may have too much in Malaysia. I think they will be increasing foreign exposure with time unless there is political interference.
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EPF primary duty is to subscribe and support Malaysian government bonds to support national development. That is one primary reason that the returns is largely muted by bond yields.
prophetjul
post Feb 15 2021, 10:44 AM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Feb 15 2021, 10:39 AM)
5% is best we can get...
But I think would be little lower or same with ASB 🙏
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Face says same as ASB. Manipulation.
prophetjul
post Feb 18 2021, 09:23 AM

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it is the time of the year this thread heats up.

Anything below 4.25% is manipulation of profits attributed to us as shareholders. This is considering the good performance of Y2020.
unless there is a total collapse of Q4.
prophetjul
post Feb 18 2021, 09:28 AM

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QUOTE(GrumpyNooby @ Feb 18 2021, 09:24 AM)
How about right on the dot at 4.25%?
What does it indicate?
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4.25% was what ASB declared. I believe EPF has done better than PNB last year going by the first 3 qtrs of results. Indeed, if they maintain the same for Q4, the dividend should be at least on par with 2019.

This post has been edited by prophetjul: Feb 18 2021, 09:29 AM
prophetjul
post Feb 18 2021, 10:33 AM

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QUOTE(romuluz777 @ Feb 18 2021, 10:18 AM)
A portion of last year's earnings could be retained for i-sinar.
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Why? earnings are earnings. Principal is principal. i sinar needs cash, not earnings.
prophetjul
post Feb 18 2021, 01:48 PM

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QUOTE(romuluz777 @ Feb 18 2021, 11:52 AM)
They need cash and liquidity in the short term which could be derived from those.
I could be wrong, just an off the cuff opinion from a noob man on the street.
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That is what i said. biggrin.gif Cash to pay the i sinar withdrawals.
Earnings are paper numbers, not necessarily cash.


prophetjul
post Feb 18 2021, 02:33 PM

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Fund may be deprived of opportunity to invest in higher return asset classes such as overseas equity, real estate and infrastructure

by NUR HANANI AZMAN / graphic by MZUKRI MOHAMAD

THE Employees Provident Fund (EPF) may be forced to deviate from its investment strategy following the decision to allow i-Sinar withdrawal without conditions last week.

Experts said the fund may need to have a higher percentage of its investment in liquid investments such as money market instruments, which normally give a lower return on investment.

“The reason for doing this is to ensure enough liquidity to cater to these withdrawals. However, this will deprive the opportunity to invest in higher return asset classes such as overseas equity, real estate and infrastructure,” Putra Business School Assoc Prof Dr Ahmed Razman Abdul Latiff told The Malaysian Reserve (TMR) yesterday.

“Nevertheless, the impact will not be severe and EPF will still be able to give a competitive rate for its dividend.”

The EPF’s overall investment assets stood at RM924.75 billion as of Dec 31, 2019, of which 37% comprised a Shariah-based portfolio and 63% conventional portfolio or Simpanan Konvensional.

Returns from the entire conventional portfolio and part of the Shariah portfolio are attributable to Simpanan Konvensional.

For 2019, the EPF reported a gross investment income of RM50.29 billion, with two-thirds coming from stable interest and dividend streams.

Of the RM50.29 billion, RM45.82 billion was attributed to Simpanan Konvensional.

Ahmed Razman believes EPF’s dividend for 2021 will not be heavily impacted by the i-Sinar programme on expectations of a recovery in the global economy in light of the Covid-19 vaccine rollout.

“On these factors, EPF will be expected to get a higher return than 2020 and the impact of the withdrawals under the i-Sinar programme will be minimised,” he explained.

Finance Minister Tengku Datuk Seri Utama Zafrul Tengku Abdul Aziz had previously said the i-Sinar withdrawal would cost the fund about RM70 billion.

Last week, he said the fund is in the process of removing all conditions for the i-Sinar facility, on the advice of Prime Minister Tan Sri Muhyiddin Yassin after receiving public’s feedback.



The fund also announced the appointment of new CEO Datuk Seri Amir Hamzah Azizan effective March 1.

Ahmed Razman said the latest initiative will be the best to aid people in need without the hassle of bureaucracy.

He cautioned against withdrawing the retirement savings, other than for addressing immediate financial woes, saying the money should not be used to buy unnecessary items, to invest in shares or to start up a business.

“The implications from these actions will probably impact their retirement savings levels.”

Centre for Market Education CEO Dr Carmelo Ferlito said while it is commendable to give individuals access to those facing financial difficulties, the same aid may not be available in the future if the savings are exhausted.

“The main challenge I see ahead is that resources withdrawn now will not be available in the future. In fact, the fund is mainly created to prepare people for the future and not to support in moments of crises.

“Therefore, individuals will have to carefully weigh the trade-offs between present and future availability of funds in order to come up with the right decision,” he told TMR.

Ferlito said the fund must have weighed on all possible scenarios before reaching such a decision.

Institute for Democracy and Economic Affairs senior economist Adli Amirullah believes the i-Sinar facility can help alleviate the household burden caused by the pandemic.

“This (move) will only provide temporary relief. The real answer to this is how much the government is willing to spend from its own pocket to help out these households that are really impacted by the crisis.

“i-Sinar is just a temporary tool and in fact, not an effective one to help the most vulnerable group during this crisis,” he told TMR.

Universiti Kuala Lumpur Business School economics lecturer Assoc Prof Dr Aimi Zulhazmi Abdul Rashid said the withdrawals will impact minor wage earners most, but not those who already have significant EPF savings.

“This will benefit the small wage earners who lost their incomes, as well as injecting cash into the domestic economy.

“Those who have significant savings of EPF may have to think carefully as the percentage of savings in banks or other agencies are currently lower than what is given by EPF,” he told TMR.

Aimi stressed that as long as the EPF is able to manage its operations, including i-Sinar applications, it would not pose a burden for the fund.

“Otherwise, the massive withdrawal activities will overwhelm EPF operations.”

https://themalaysianreserve.com/2021/02/16/...ar-withdrawals/

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