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 EPF DIVIDEND, EPF

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Havoc Knightmare
post Feb 16 2019, 03:23 PM

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QUOTE(nexona88 @ Feb 16 2019, 03:14 PM)
Hmm..
True also what u said...
There's not much shariah compliance products out there... But the numbers are growing y-o-y... Future on, could outperform conventional one 🙏
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It's tough given EPFs size. And since the largest sector of the KLCI, the banks, are not shariah compliant, the Shariah funds are basically missing out on bank rallies especially such as Public and Hong Leong over the last few years.
Havoc Knightmare
post Feb 16 2019, 03:36 PM

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QUOTE(luvjiajia @ Feb 16 2019, 03:29 PM)
But last year never do any withdrawal also..
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It's nothing to do with withdrawal. The dividends is accrued based on when you contributed. Do you expect your December contribution to be paid 6.15% as well, after just being in the account for a month?
Havoc Knightmare
post Feb 20 2019, 07:00 AM

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QUOTE(beLIEve @ Feb 20 2019, 01:51 AM)
https://www.thestar.com.my/business/busines...ford-to-retire/

A lot of figures and explanation. Though I never verified, I thought govt bonds were higher than banks FD.
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Nope, due to BNM regulations, retail FD rates have been pushed up above govt bond yields. The 10 year bond yield is less than 3.90% now.
Havoc Knightmare
post Sep 7 2019, 11:56 AM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Sep 6 2019, 09:29 PM)
FYI. EPF doesn't declare mark up gains of bonds as revenues/profits... They only consider the interest payments.
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They will only recognize capital gains of the bonds when sold/realized.
Havoc Knightmare
post Jan 18 2020, 07:43 PM

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Its strange how people expect EPF to keep delivering high dividends when the KLSE has been among the worst performers since the change of government in 2018. Government policies continue to hammer EPF returns, with the latest PLUS toll reduction going to result in an immediate drop of profit for EPF, as PLUS is one of their cash cows. The people may say that they want lower toll rates, broadband prices and utility prices, but yet cannot accept lowered investment returns that comes as a consequence of such populist moves.
Havoc Knightmare
post Jan 19 2020, 02:00 AM

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QUOTE(abcn1n @ Jan 18 2020, 11:13 PM)
Gladly have lower return for lower broadband and utility prices
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QUOTE(David_Yang @ Jan 18 2020, 11:51 PM)
Come on, lowering the broadband prices was by no means a "populist move". We had almost the highest broadband prices in the world, certainly this couldn´t continue. In 2016 I was able to talk with a unit trust manager and asked him "Why do you not invest in TM shares with this massive revenues from the internet prices?". He answered because this certainly will not continue, within 3 years the prices in Malaysia will drop to a normal level".

Which was exactly what has happened. I still cannot believe I paid 250 RM per month for internet before.
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You may want to re-evaluate whether the lower prices benefits you, if you consider the impact on your investment returns. For every RM 100,000 in your account, a 1% reduction in returns results in a RM1,000 lower dividend per annum. Your savings on broadband and other utilities is unlikely to exceed this amount, especially if you have a few hundred thousands in your EPF account. If you are a retiree with RM 1,000,000 in your account, a loss of RM10,000 annually will hurt more than any cost savings. And that is just assuming that these moves have resulted in lower investment returns of just 1% permanently.

And all this is not considering the compounded effect of this drag over the decades from permanently lower returns. So yes, these are populist moves because they benefits the masses who have little financial assets, at the expense of those with financial assets.

This post has been edited by Havoc Knightmare: Jan 19 2020, 02:09 AM
Havoc Knightmare
post Jan 19 2020, 01:25 PM

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QUOTE(xcxa23 @ Jan 19 2020, 11:16 AM)
tbh, i dont think its right for epf ''profiting'' from malaysian so that the % will be higher
it seems like fishing in own pond, like a company exploiting its employee so that the bonus given will be bigger portion

instead, epf should have bigger exposure in overseas, bring IN more RM.
even epf themselves said so and with just around 36% of overseas asset, this alone generated revenue of at least 51%
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If EPF doesn't profit from Malaysians, someone else will then. Fiber optic networks, power plants, highways, airports will all need equity funding from the private sector (unless you prefer all these assets to be state-owned aka communism/socialism), which will generate profits for the owners. If you prefer that these profits flow into the hands of crony billionaires instead of EPF, I have nothing more to say then. Like say certain family-owned banks or a satellite pay-TV operator with a monopoly here. For me its preferable that these profits are owned by the public via institutions like EPF.
Havoc Knightmare
post Jan 20 2020, 11:24 AM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Jan 20 2020, 11:05 AM)
Looks like you want to have the cake and eat it too!  laugh.gif
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That is what I've been trying to point out here but people are not taking it well. Ah, the beauty of democracy where people want to receive everything and pay for nothing..
Havoc Knightmare
post Jan 20 2020, 12:38 PM

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QUOTE(xcxa23 @ Jan 20 2020, 11:24 AM)
some people dont like the idea of epf revenue get ''slash'' due to government decision or profit flow to crony
just like my previous reply, i prefer epf bringing IN more RM(RM will strengthen) rather than depending on ''fishing in own pond.''

otherwise, epf will keep increasing holdings in malaysia rather than overseas holdings.
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There is a very simple reason why EPF hasn't been able to do that. They know very well that they can get better returns in foreign markets. BNM has been struggling to contain the RM slide for the last few years. If EPF and the other institutions try to move just a few % of their assets abroad, the RM will crash. The government limits how much these bodies are allowed to invest abroad for this reason.

This post has been edited by Havoc Knightmare: Jan 20 2020, 12:39 PM
Havoc Knightmare
post Jan 25 2020, 01:49 PM

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QUOTE(romuluz777 @ Jan 25 2020, 01:46 PM)
Will the dividend be announced after CNY ?
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No, likely closer to mid-Feb. They have yet to do certain things which are a pre cursor to the dividend announcement.
Havoc Knightmare
post Jan 25 2020, 04:48 PM

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QUOTE(oro101 @ Jan 25 2020, 02:31 PM)
What are those things?
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I'm not at liberty to say it here, but they will conduct certain meetings/briefings just prior to announcing the dividend rate.
Havoc Knightmare
post Jan 26 2020, 09:56 PM

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Instead of worrying or speculating about EPF dividends, it would be more productive to spend more time focusing on our investments that we have actual control over... I just treat my EPF account as my FD/bond portion of my asset allocation which allows me to invest my own funds fully into stocks. Since EPF returns are likely to continue beating FD rates and bonds in the long run, plus are 'capital protected', there is no point for me to seek out bank FDs, bonds and etc to invest in. Putting them into a blue chip REIT is much better option, for starters.

This post has been edited by Havoc Knightmare: Jan 26 2020, 09:59 PM
Havoc Knightmare
post Jan 29 2020, 05:13 PM

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QUOTE(Wedchar2912 @ Jan 29 2020, 04:21 PM)
Makes no sense to be below 5% as it will be political suicide for government to do so. As this would mean that nothing is going on right for the country since government change.
EPF dividend rate is basically anything Minister of Finance wish to declare, and anything too low is political suicide.
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I've been saying that the new government has basically messed up the local stock market but people took my comments very negatively, to the point of ignoring logic and resorting to sentiments/feelings of 'right' and 'wrong'.

On another note, we have seen lowered dividends for LTH, LTAT and PNB already, I would be surprised if EPF is any different. They basically hold the bulk of KLSE-listed stocks and it's tough for the performance of one investment entity to significantly outperform the others when the whole ship is basically sailing in one direction.

This post has been edited by Havoc Knightmare: Jan 29 2020, 05:37 PM
Havoc Knightmare
post Jan 30 2020, 05:22 PM

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QUOTE(abcn1n @ Jan 30 2020, 01:42 PM)
If really end up with 3.8-4.5%, EPF and government really gonna kena hentam kuat kuat by the people
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I did try to warn people pre-GE that this was the inevitable outcome of PH implementing their manifesto but I got hentam instead on so many fronts. You know the saying- be careful of what you wish for, you might just get it.. From my portfolio perspective, I am just glad I sold all my RM out and moved my money abroad the day after GE14.

This post has been edited by Havoc Knightmare: Jan 30 2020, 05:23 PM
Havoc Knightmare
post Jan 31 2020, 12:47 PM

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QUOTE(kart @ Jan 30 2020, 06:41 PM)
Havoc Knightmare

Thank you very much for sharing your opinions. smile.gif
Please do not be discouraged from the criticisms by others. Everyone is entitled to his or her opinion. Sometimes, we just have to agree to disagree.
Surely, we want EPF dividend to be as high as possible. Then again, if we suspect that EPF dividend may not as high as before, we should have sought higher return, by managing our fund ourselves in riskier investment. As Havoc Knightmare said before, it is better to take charge of what we can control, rather than complaining about what we cannot control.
Sorry, off topic a bit. Recently, you start to reinvest in KLSE as mentioned in your post, right?
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I respect people's opinions, but the issue here is that folks here tend to make arguments that are emotional and personal, rather than based on facts and rational thinking process.

And yes, I have been investing selectively in the KLSE over the last year since some stocks are starting to look attractive. While the large cap stocks are getting bashed due to the government's policies, there are small and mid cap stocks that benefit from their populist policies.

QUOTE(Dd2318 @ Jan 30 2020, 08:07 PM)
Too early to count Malaysia out.... But, couple signs emerging to suggest Singapore maybe the biggest loser.
With China financial markets, Artic Route, Hdb depreciation, small economy. Siamese twin as with Hong Kong.
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I am not counting Malaysia out, just the government of today. I am still based in Malaysia with no intentions of moving. I'm not sure why you brought Singapore up to bash, when the world out there to invest beyond Malaysia is far larger than just the red dot south of us.
Havoc Knightmare
post Jan 31 2020, 03:27 PM

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QUOTE(Dd2318 @ Jan 31 2020, 02:43 PM)
Me working in the little red dot.....
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I don't think SG is anywhere near as bad as HK.. people are not up in arms trying to overthrow the government there, are they? I think that the PAP government should be reasonably happy with the developments in Malaysia and Hong Kong serving as warnings for their own people.
Havoc Knightmare
post Feb 1 2020, 01:10 PM

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QUOTE(plumberly @ Feb 1 2020, 11:29 AM)
My 2 cents on EPF and govt ...

Is there a link? Most likely yes.

First, I think one of EPF's (hidden?) missions is to help the govt by catalysing the domestic market growth besides giving good dividends. Govt helps it by giving cash cows to EPF. Those top guys there are appointed by the govt and will try to follow the direction and current sentiment set by them. Just imagine giving 2.5% for 2019 (even if the market was really that bad), followed by the uproars in the streets, houses, coffee shops, malls, webs, etc. Most likely the top guys will be leaving the job a week later due to ill health.  hmm.gif

Secondly, I am extrapolating from fund companies to EPF here, think there is a set lowest limit EPF has to invest in the local shares market. Learned from a seminar, fund companies are required by law to invest x% of their funds in local shares market at ALL time (x= 70%? 80%? 90%?). How important is this? Say the stock market crashes, some companies will prefer to cut losses and cash out. If many companies do this, the market will drop deeper and faster! Don't know whether there is a similar law for EPF, ie, they have to keep x% of their allocated fund in the share market regardless of the market condition.  bangwall.gif

If you look at some of the companies EPF has invested in, you will see some big purchases AND sales by EPF on the SAME day! Isn't that a waste of money for the transaction fees? Maybe EPF is exempted from paying fees? I think the purchases and sales by EPF on the same day are due to different fund managers they have and they strategise their investment differently. But I wish these fund managers will discuss, analyse and challenge together before doing the buy-sell of the SAME company on the SAME day. If friends here know the secret on why they are doing this, please share. Thanks.

My 2 cents, just my view, open to correction. Cheerio.  :confused:
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You are partially correct about giving cash cows to EPF, which was the case under the previous government. PH instead chooses to 'prioritize the people' by slaughtering these cash cows, such as the toll reduction/abolishment move (EPF is among the largest owner and creditor of toll roads in the country with PLUS being their largest), MRT and other mega project price tag reduction (construction firms being widely owned by EPF and other institutions), broadband price reduction and many others. Among the coming ones are the electricity market liberalisation which will impact TNB, another very large cap company owned by institutions. While many of you here will rage about morality and doing the 'right' thing, foreigners don't give a damn and will sell out on these news. It's frankly quite dishonest for the government to be blaming 1MDB for the stock market drop, which by no coincidence has been falling uninterruptedly since May 2018. So while the government has been touting all these cost reductions and cutting the fat of the BN era, they conveniently neglect to mention that part of that cost savings is borne by EPF.


As for your last question, this should explain all-

https://www.kwsp.gov.my/-/epf-outsourced-rm...l-fund-managers

Havoc Knightmare
post Feb 1 2020, 01:38 PM

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QUOTE(Cubalagi @ Feb 1 2020, 01:22 PM)
I mentioned this before, Epf current asset allocation is roughly 50% Bonds, 40% Equities, 5% property n infra assets and 5% money market/cash. More than half of the equity exposure is outside Malaysia.

The reason epf buy and sell some counters is diue to the outsourcing of some its funds to external fund managers. Fund managers could have different strategies. Epf internal fund manager could be taking profit, while an external epf fund manager could be buying it cheap from his perspective. This is good, because you have diversity of views. They don't discuss before hand, otherwise that would be market manipulation and collusion.
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The external fund managers are pitted against each other and ranked... while the internal fund managers are under pressure to outperform their external fund managers. EPF has fostered this system to promote competition and avoid their internal fund managers from being complacent like certain other government institutions. Hence why there have been no news or even rumours of mismanagement all these years... The major downside is that all the fund managers operate in their own self interest hence the appearance of EPF buying and selling on the same day.
Havoc Knightmare
post Feb 3 2020, 09:59 AM

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QUOTE(TOS @ Feb 2 2020, 08:56 PM)
Seconded. Do you guys know where to check bond holdings from fund companies/individuals? Can't find any info on bixmalaysia. Only some basic bond issuance documents and trading info. No holding info at all.

https://www.bixmalaysia.com/
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There is no bond exchange, everything is an OTC market as opposed to exchange traded for stocks. Therefore there is no requirement for institutions to disclose their bond holdings to the public.
Havoc Knightmare
post Feb 3 2020, 06:59 PM

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QUOTE(oro101 @ Feb 3 2020, 11:27 AM)
Oh I see.. OTC is direct purchase from the source right?
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Not necessarily, it just means that the transactions are done on a private basis. Think of the OTC market like an individual person buying a unit trust (which is a private transaction between the person and a fund management company), as opposed to buying an ETF which is observable by the public on the stock exchange.

This post has been edited by Havoc Knightmare: Feb 3 2020, 07:01 PM

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