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 EPF DIVIDEND, EPF

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AVFAN
post Mar 4 2024, 11:20 AM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Mar 4 2024, 11:17 AM)
Well...pineapples in my places went from Rm4 p kg in pre MCO to RM6 pkg presently. That is 50% in crease.
Sweet potatoes went from Rm5 to 9.
Grab went from minimum Rm2 to 4.
Think he is more than RIGHT!
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ya... looks like that... even the rural places aren't fully spared.

it might get worse if the white rice pricing issue isn't resolved soon.
AVFAN
post Mar 4 2024, 02:35 PM

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QUOTE(jasontoh @ Mar 4 2024, 11:35 AM)
With stacked tax, I don't think it will take a genius to figure out the real inflation suffer by everyone is way higher than the official value, which one of the purpose to have our increment lower.
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QUOTE(virtualgay @ Mar 4 2024, 11:57 AM)
no matter how we count EPF is not the solution for retirement
things getting more and more expensive and epf is not able to provide a proper return to cover the differences
some will say haiya i stay in malaysia i use RM wont impact
one must remember - malaysia also import a lot of stuff when MYR weak we pay more money to import and indirectly this cost will hits consumer
GG Malaysia
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QUOTE(dark_axl21 @ Mar 4 2024, 12:30 PM)
I guess most forummers over here are better investors than EPF's investment portfolio.
That measly 5.5% isn't really gonna cover the inflation or allow most of us to even retire.
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above highlight a current and growing problem... can see more n more people getting stressed.

actual inflation for most things is much higher than reported.

reported low inflation hurts becos many employers pay increment with formula "inflation +1%"!

epf dividends been declining while RM declined even faster.

epf as a retirement/pension fund no longer guarantees a comfortable sunset.

tough for young and old, employed or retired.
AVFAN
post Mar 5 2024, 08:16 AM

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QUOTE(boyboycute @ Mar 5 2024, 03:10 AM)
If it's safety that you're looking for, then your return will reflects it as well. Most retireee here is looking for higher EPF dividend to hedge the rise in cost of living. It's disappointing to get under 6% since gov bond are paying higher + stock All time high. Looks like EPF owed their members a good open explanation. Keeping quiet on it and hope it will go off will only spark more speculation
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i have read some reports that provide some broad data but does not fully explain it.

i haven't noticed any major complaint anywhere.

media reports highlighting "higher than last year" and "most members are satisfied" seems to have worked.

i doubt there'll be more details coming.

and, from the many comments here, i think there's an even split in 2 broad categories:

1. those who are dissatisfied, vows to withdraw to diversify to other avenues.

2. those who are satisfied, not interested in any new risk, high EPF loyalty.

at the end of the day, the impt thing is all of us have a choice - pick the one u like most!
AVFAN
post Mar 5 2024, 08:26 AM

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QUOTE(CommodoreAmiga @ Mar 5 2024, 08:22 AM)
Got lah.

FB lots of complaints. Also seen some from online media.
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online media complain about everything!

any MP or ADUN complained?

any reputed economist or financial expert criticized?
AVFAN
post Mar 5 2024, 09:08 AM

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QUOTE(newtunes @ Mar 5 2024, 08:58 AM)
1. I have see many withdraw and with sudden splash of free cash, either spent it, make wrong investment decision or fall into quick rich scheme.

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if u r not so young, spent it happily, have a great time, ok la.... money is meant to be spent, not to take to the grave! biggrin.gif

kena scammed is the worst...

QUOTE(CommodoreAmiga @ Mar 5 2024, 09:03 AM)
Most people who diversify here do their own investment. UT is the worst place to put your money. Most can't beat EPF at all, some even lose money. I don't think anyone here is recommending UT for diversification against EPF...
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biggrin.gif

ya, UT sucks big time.

good only for first timers patronizing a fren seller.

UT shud not exist anymore with ETFs now in existence.
AVFAN
post Mar 7 2024, 10:15 PM

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QUOTE(virtualgay @ Mar 7 2024, 10:00 PM)
meaning everyone will hit 1 million even with starting salary of 2k
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Consider time value of money.

23->60 is 37 yrs.

In 2061, 1 mil at gomen 2.5% inflation, that is 333,000 today's money.

At 6% inflation which I think is more real, it is 116,000.

So, how long will rm116,000 last u if u only hv that money today?

AVFAN
post Mar 7 2024, 11:32 PM

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QUOTE(Wedchar2912 @ Mar 7 2024, 10:28 PM)
imagine someone who started working in 1987.... and today is 2024, and he is 60.
isn't it a lot better that he has at least 1 million, than nothing, using the assumptions inputted here?

Yeah, starting pay in 1987 of 2K is considered very high, lets start at 1K rm and keeping increment of 3% with zero bonus. This chap today has 500K in EPF. And his current pay at age 60 is 3K rm thereabout.
Not too shabby for such conservative numbers rite?
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Yep, that's another way to look at it.

1987.... I wud think a fresh economics or bsc grad earns 1.2k then. if he retires at 60 with 500 or 600k today, I think he'll feel miserable.
AVFAN
post Mar 7 2024, 11:35 PM

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QUOTE(fuzzy @ Mar 7 2024, 11:20 PM)
Income and interest generally keeps up with inflation.

Inflation is not 6%, it feels like 6% because the things you and I buy tend to be imported, given we live in KL or higher income area.

This year's increment budget is around 5.5-6%, which translates into around 2%-3% of real wage growth.

2022 and 2023 is a weird year because US suffered it's highest inflation in over 40 years and such had to also raise their rates in an effort to combat it. Those that tracks it through FDs, MMs or stocks would feel great, but it's a shitty end of many of those who just works on a day to day basis.
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Yes, inflation n income increment are very sensitive variables over long periods.

I say 6% inflation after checking on basic food. Houses, much higher. I mean over last 40-50 years in urban-suburban areas. And I dun believe it's going to come down.

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Mar 8 2024, 07:17 AM
AVFAN
post Mar 7 2024, 11:58 PM

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QUOTE(Wedchar2912 @ Mar 7 2024, 11:45 PM)
he will be miserable and should be ashamed of himself... 3% salary inflation with no promotion and wage adjustment?
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That has to be true. Becos he's a qualified n skilled person. More likely he wud hv 2-3:times that as he wud have changed jobs, salary jumps.

Today, a casual worker earning 2k won't be the same. Won't be able to switch easily, get big increments. May even hv to be jobless intermittently. Becos gomen says inflation 2.5%, employers exploit that. On top of that, there r foreign workers ready to replace him.
AVFAN
post Mar 8 2024, 09:02 AM

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QUOTE(CommodoreAmiga @ Mar 8 2024, 08:57 AM)
In 30 years. Jiken rice=RM1000. brows.gif Like Japanese Yen. Ok lah, at least RM50 like that.
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bingo! thumbup.gif

at 6% pa inflation (my estimate), RM8 chicken rice will be RM50 in 30 yrs time.

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Mar 8 2024, 09:02 AM
AVFAN
post Mar 8 2024, 09:56 AM

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QUOTE(ronnie @ Mar 8 2024, 09:50 AM)
The Chicken Rice Shop (TCRS) lunch set for chicken rice is RM10.90 since pre-covid (now still maintain same price)
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this shop is usually in malls, higher rental, etc.

the good news, for now, if u ever buy raw chicken, is price of chicken is good, <rm9 a kg.

rice, on the other hand is getting tricky... some stalls are charging rm3 for a plate of white rice.


AVFAN
post Mar 8 2024, 10:17 AM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Mar 8 2024, 10:14 AM)
Sure? I remembered paying over RM100 for 5 persons 2 years back.
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u must have had a lot of spare parts la...


in that famous shop... cowan street, i think... a plate of beansprouts can be rm15...die or not? biggrin.gif
AVFAN
post Mar 8 2024, 10:43 AM

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QUOTE(plc255 @ Mar 8 2024, 10:32 AM)
For anyone who think that Maybank give nice dividend yield of 6% or whatever and EPF all-in Maybank easy-peasy job please take a look at this :-
that is understood.

EPF fund size is rm1,1 trillion.

maybank capitalization is only rm117bil.

AVFAN
post Mar 8 2024, 01:35 PM

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QUOTE(Rinth @ Mar 8 2024, 01:00 PM)
1983 21 yo RM1200/1.50 = 800 plates

2024 21 yo RM 2500 (fresh grad) / RM 7 (basic chicken rice) =~ 350 plates.

Jialat....
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QUOTE(prophetjul @ Mar 8 2024, 01:09 PM)
Yes. Our grad salaries have NOT grown at all.
1983 Corona 20,000/ 1,200 = 16.67
2024  Camry 220,000/2,500 = 88    shocking.gif
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i hope this point is now understood well by all. biggrin.gif

those who graduated in the 70s and 80s got the best deal.

still OK in the 90s. after that, it's all poor.

at actual inflation rate using chicken rice, cars or houses, fresh grads today shud be paid at least 3 times higher, like rm8-10k pm.

in SG, fresh grads get SGD3-4K, which is reasonable.

the reasons for this shitty wage growth (and hence EPF contributions) are multiple, we all know.

MNCs gone, left with mid-low tech industries; low foreign workers salaries pulling down the whole chain; greedy employers exploiting gomen twisted inflation 2-3% year after year.

This post has been edited by AVFAN: Mar 8 2024, 01:55 PM
AVFAN
post Mar 9 2024, 07:45 AM

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EPF: Syariah savings not part of Simpanan Konvensional
https://www.nst.com.my/news/nation/2024/03/...an-konvensional

 

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