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 Passive Income from Dividend

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river.sand
post Jan 18 2013, 05:16 PM

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QUOTE(Agent 592 @ Jan 18 2013, 04:54 PM)
Hi, just curious how feasible to actually accumulate passive income through stock in KLSE? Let's say 10k per month. If anyone have done it or is doing it, let's share your journey and experience. How long does it take you to get enough passive income to retire?
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10k per month is 120k per year.
Assuming DY of 6%, the capital you need is:
120000*100/6 = RM2000000

But if you can invest 2 mil in Bursa, chances are you won't be satisfied with 10k per month. In the end you would still be stuck in rat race tongue.gif

This post has been edited by river.sand: Jan 18 2013, 05:31 PM
river.sand
post Jan 18 2013, 05:31 PM

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QUOTE(Dias @ Jan 18 2013, 05:22 PM)
RM120k divided by 6% should be RM 2mil
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Corrected, thanks notworthy.gif
river.sand
post Jan 19 2013, 08:44 AM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Jan 19 2013, 02:50 AM)
My target is 15-20% capital gain per year. Lets take 17% as average.
So my capital can be doubled in 72/17 = 4.23 years.
From the same formula, my dividend yield will be doubled in 72/6 (assuming 6% growth rate) = 12 years.
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

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Wow, I never know there is such a simple formula notworthy.gif I thought I need to do exponential calculation biggrin.gif

But growth companies usually give very little dividend, and high dividend stocks usually can't grow that fast cry.gif
river.sand
post Jan 21 2013, 12:20 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jan 21 2013, 12:09 PM)
The simplest way is to look generally at PE, DY and PBV values. Also look at future growth, higher growth warrants higher PE.

My own ultra-simple layman formula for reasonable PE = (Future growth% + DY%)

For dividend stocks you need to see DY%, Payout ratio & dividend growth%. Generally DY>5% (~2x FD) with payout ratio of <50% (sustainable) and dividend growth >5% (chase inflation) is a good bet.

However that's my layman 555 formula, other investors might have different ideas...
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My criteria are very similar nod.gif

Somebody says that for growth stocks, we look at their EPS; for mature stocks, we look at their cash flow...
river.sand
post Feb 14 2013, 10:24 AM

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QUOTE(Dividend Warrior @ Feb 13 2013, 09:18 AM)
Save like mad, no holiday vacations overseas, no car.

Invest in dividend stocks (more than 6% yield). Then re-invest the dividends. Keep doing this for 4 years.

My portfolio is made up of mainly telcos and REITs.  smile.gif
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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Feb 13 2013, 10:42 AM)
Thanks for popping our dream bubble sad.gif
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I assume DW lives in his parents' house...

Sadly, I migrated from Perak to KL, gotta get a house at bloated price cry.gif

BTW, I go for overseas vacations occasionally, but I choose to stay in budget guesthouses. For example, my room in Bangkok cost just 200B/night - no air-con, just fan, and the bathrooms were shared among the guests laugh.gif
river.sand
post Feb 20 2013, 08:56 AM

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QUOTE(Hapeng @ Feb 20 2013, 07:29 AM)
historically?
not everyone goes into stocks merely for capital gain.
and if you find a stock that gives 6% div each year, more than likely you wont find it falling by 10% in value each year
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TECNIC's price was over RM4.00 before its last ex-date, giving a DY of more than 6%. Bu the price keeps dropping after the ex-date. Yesterday it closed at 3.16.
And, it has not been doing well in the last few quarters, so I doubt the price will rebound to 3.50 any time soon.
If its gives a dividend of 18 sen/share this year, the DY will again be more than 6%. But that's a far cry from last year's 25 sen/share.

Sadly, I am one of the investors who got burnt cry.gif (already cut loss)

This post has been edited by river.sand: Feb 20 2013, 08:59 AM
river.sand
post Feb 26 2013, 09:36 AM

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QUOTE(cybermaster98 @ Feb 26 2013, 09:24 AM)
Im planning to invest about RM20K but i lack any experience in stocks or REIT. I heard about Berjaya Sports Toto and am interested because of the low stock price and the dividends per annum.

Is this a good investment? Are there any better stocks or REIT which give better returns? Im not a high risk investor.
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You can post questions in specific threads...

BJTOTO
http://forum.lowyat.net/topic/1060611/+1140

REIT
http://forum.lowyat.net/topic/2498000/+760

river.sand
post Feb 28 2013, 05:34 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 28 2013, 05:01 PM)
Then it depends on how well the equipment is maintained. In reality, this can make a huge difference.

For simple illustration.
A car depreciation of 5 years, in accounting sense, 5 years obsolete, need to buy a new car to replace, but if the car is maintained well and still running well after 6,7 or 9 years, then on those year company is running without need a capex, without depreciation charge that reduce the profit figure.

Imagine this apply on multi-millions machinery and equipment.

This can be the huge difference of a well managed company vs a poor managed company.
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In your example, assuming there are no other major activities, from year 6 onwards there is no huge difference between earning and free cash flow. Which is what Pink Spider said, "... cash flow and accounting earning even out over time."

Dividend payout can be over 100% between year 2 and year 5, but it can't be forever...

= = =

Let's describe this in a simple, perfect example:

- A company's EBITDA is 500k year after year
- in year 1, it has a capex of 500k, depreciated over 5 years
- no tax, interests etc
- no other major investing and financing activities

Y1 - earning 400k, cash flow 0
Y2 - earning 400k, cash flow 500k
Y3 - earning 400k, cash flow 500k
Y4 - earning 400k, cash flow 500k
Y5 - earning 400k, cash flow 500k
Y6 - earning 500k, cash flow 500k

From Y2 to Y5, cash flow is more than earning, so payout ratio of over 100% is possible. Still, if it is 174%, I will be skeptical.
Y6 onward, payout ratio cannot be over 100%.

This post has been edited by river.sand: Mar 1 2013, 08:35 AM
river.sand
post Mar 3 2013, 08:30 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 2 2013, 02:26 PM)
Good thing won't cheap.  tongue.gif

Cheap thing not necessary good.
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Unless we can spot a good thing before others 'discover' it...
But even if we do, we may not have confidence in ourselves biggrin.gif
river.sand
post Mar 11 2013, 07:42 PM

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QUOTE(Agent 592 @ Mar 11 2013, 05:04 PM)
But company with high capex normally comes with certain degree of risk(at least higher than low capex industry) even if their capex can bring them more revenue. so one bad decision in the future might jeopardize the stability of the income stream d. So, isn't it safer to invest in industry that do not need high capex to generate higher return?
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Cherroy has already mentioned telcos.
High capex industry does have one advantage - high entry barrier.

river.sand
post Mar 13 2013, 05:08 PM

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QUOTE(Pink Spider @ Mar 13 2013, 03:00 PM)
Top Glove for long-term growth and dividend, can buy? Current yield is only 3% hmm.gif
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Should we open a thread specifically for glove makers? I want to learn more about this industry...
river.sand
post Mar 13 2013, 09:25 PM

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QUOTE(Kamen Rider @ Mar 13 2013, 07:31 PM)
wait a minute.... how do u sure you buy at the low price during past crisis..... are we catching a falling knife...
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I copy some texts from Peter Lynch's One Up on Wall Street...

Obviously you don't have to be able to predict the stock market to make money in stocks, or else I wouldn't have made any money.
(page 84)

If you get interested in buying a turnaround, it ought to be for a more sensible reason than the stock's gone done so far it looks like up to you. Maybe you realize that business is picking up, and you check the balance sheet and you see the company has $11 per share in cash and the stock is selling for $14.
(page 260)

Most the money I make is in the third or fourth year that I've owned something...
(page 266)

river.sand
post Mar 15 2013, 11:44 AM

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I have already mentioned my failure with TECNIC. I'll repeat here...

I bought TECNIC at RM3.90. It's dividend for last year was 25 sen/share. That gave a DY of 6.4%
I also check the annual reports. Its revenue and earning had increased every year from 2006 to 2011. But the EPS dropped in Q4 2011. That was a red flag I missed.

It turned out that, its EPS went down for four consecutive counters (and only slightly went up in Q4 2012). The stock price also kept dropping. In the end, I cut loss at 3.40.

TECNIC is now traded at 3.20, and no dividend proposed for this year...

river.sand
post Apr 8 2013, 04:38 PM

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How to earn 50% dividend in stock market?

http://gpcbiz.com/

What do ya think?





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river.sand
post Apr 23 2013, 08:40 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Apr 22 2013, 12:48 PM)
For me, there are two ways to count dividend yield.

1. Yield on price
2. Yield on cost

If the yield on price is no longer attractive, i will see the overall business/growth if it is still doing rather well, AND my yield on cost is still good. Why sell?  laugh.gif

Otherwise yield on price is no good, business is declining & not doing well, then i will consider to let go EVEN with good yield on cost.

If yield on price is still attractive, and business/growth doing well, i will add more.  whistling.gif

If sometimes a company reduce/cut dividend and my yield on cost is no longer attractive, then i will sell

Well that is my 2 sen, others may have different perspective. wink.gif
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I add my 2 sen...

Let's say I own reit A. It's yield on price is just 5%. OTOH, reit B's yield on price is 7%. (Let's ignore other factors in this simple example.) I may sell reit A and use the proceed to buy reit B.
But if I can't find that reit B with good yield, there is no point selling reit A and keep the money in FD.

 

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