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 Air Asia X : IPO, Air Asia X

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GHz
post Nov 1 2012, 08:45 AM

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QUOTE(zitis @ Nov 1 2012, 04:19 AM)
Is this another trap by Ananda? The man behind the shadow for AAX..

No prospectus but the application is out via MITI ???.... Friends, this time better study the prospectus first before apply...

Dont let urself drown for second time... sad.gif
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Is Ananda is behind AirAsia X? I thought Tony Fernandes.
GHz
post Nov 1 2012, 09:40 AM

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QUOTE(zitis @ Nov 1 2012, 08:58 AM)
Tony is the face.... While ananda is the shadow.. He is one of AAX investors..
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I see, then better to wait for the prospectus & more details .
GHz
post Nov 1 2012, 10:40 PM

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QUOTE(Oracles99 @ Nov 1 2012, 10:29 PM)
AsiaX reported 1H2012 result a pretax loss.
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For 2011 also loss..
GHz
post Nov 1 2012, 10:46 PM

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I can see that their biggest expenditure is Aircraft fuel. I think as long as fuel price still high, their account may be still in red.

This post has been edited by GHz: Nov 1 2012, 10:46 PM
GHz
post Nov 1 2012, 10:52 PM

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QUOTE(yfchin2 @ Nov 1 2012, 10:47 PM)
fuel price is not really that high atm??? correct me if im wrong  thumbup.gif
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I think it is higher when compare to 2 years ago when AirasiaX making profit. Just imagine what happen if fuel price rise much further.
GHz
post Nov 2 2012, 12:09 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Nov 2 2012, 10:57 AM)
AAX Summary... for the benefit of forumers

Fixed Asset = 2.16 billion (including 700 mil in tax asset and deposits)
Current Asset = 224 mil (only 24 mil cash)
Current liability = 953 mil (including 464 mil short term borrowing)
Non-Current liability = 917 mil long term borrowing
NTA = RM 0.35/share
Debt/Equity Ratio = 3.61  sweat.gif

2009 EPS = RM 0.66/share
2010 EPS = RM 0.63/share
2011 EPS = RM -0.36/share
2012 EPS (Proforma) = RM -0.22/share

2009 and 2010 gain is mostly in deferred taxation.. and not based on performance

Operational Profit/loss

2009 = LOSS RM 31 mil
2010 = PROFIT RM 7 mil
2011 = LOSS 60 mil
2012 (proforma) = Loss 10 mil

Now looking at how much future profit AAX can make

Gross Margin

2009 = 3.4%
2010 = 12.7%
2011 = 9%
2012 = 15.4%

Please note that revenue growth has been more or less stagnant in 2011 to 2012.
2009 = 8 planes
2010= 11 planes
2011 = 11 planes
2012 = 9 planes ( doh.gif ) , 2 plane classified as asset for sale wink.gif
Future = 2 more plane on order

Revenue per ASK is stagnant 2009-2012, cost per ASK also stagnant 2009-2012, basically cost of fuel is countered by fuel surcharge...

Now lets see what the pricing/share will be  laugh.gif
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I think fuel surcharge does not enough to cover for fuel cost increase.

If look at how much they collect fuel surcharge in 2011, it is only 44 million.

On the other hand fuel cost increase by 421million from 2010 to 2011. From 597million to 1,018 million.

Yes they maybe fly more as we can see the increase in revenue but revenue increase only 42% compare to fuel cost increase by 70% in the same period
GHz
post Nov 2 2012, 02:54 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Nov 2 2012, 12:17 PM)
Yes you are right.. but we have to see the overall picture.. thats is why we commonly see the ASK cost.
ASK = Available Seat Kilometer, means total cost or revenue divided by number of seats and km traveled.

If you see this the cost increase in fuel has been countered by lowering the non-fuel ASK cost, it means they are using other method to counter rising fuel cost such as shorter haul flights and/or higher frequency flights. laugh.gif In maintaining ASK even though fuel cost is up, AAX is doing a great job... wink.gif
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If like that, why they are in red in 2011 & 2012 ?
GHz
post Nov 2 2012, 03:12 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Nov 2 2012, 03:00 PM)
cause ... price < cost  tongue.gif All those cheap flight offer they advertise all rugi one... laugh.gif
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LOL rclxub.gif rclxub.gif .

That's very bad management. Advertise cheap flight until company losing money for years.

 

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