QUOTE(yhtan @ Oct 3 2012, 09:26 AM)
Have to monitor closely, only CPO Oct contract affected badly, Nov onwards still ok, i believe most of the company do hedging to lock in profit
still ok meh?
The news posted yesterday:
http://www.palmoilhq.com/PalmOilNews/asian...market-for-now/QUOTE
Ending BMD Crude Palm Oil (CPO) futures prices in MYR/ton:
Month Close Previous Change High Low
Oct'12 2,083 2,300 -217 2,250 2,140
Nov'12 2,175 2,392 -217 2,345 2,175
Dec'12 2,255 2,464 -209 2,430 2,250
Jan'13 2,360 2,528 -168 2,495 2,36
The numbers above look pretty bad to me.

I would assime your main interest now is on the 'buying side'.

You want to bargain hunt, look for 'whalloped until dunno who their mummy is' plantation stocks.
Problem is we know that there still isn't any significant correction in the plantation stocks YET and the KEY now is how to find the bottom?
Many will use the 'most used' method of looking at the chart and drawing lines to see where the last previous support was.
Some even will use the fib numbers.
I won't. Based on current circumstances, if I were to buy in this sector, I will wait for the market to show me their hand first.
I am not going to make a fool of myself by buying at prices where I 'think/assume/guess' the support will be.
It is risky.
FCPO is tradeable.
Geng traders like Chef Long (lol, let me put him on table

) have smell blood.
The short side is the easy play.
Why? When stocks breakout, traders always trade for the long side and when they breakdown, they trade for the short side.
This is the normal flow.
The herd ruling.
No questions needs to be asked. Just follow.

This is why I feel that FCPO has lots more to fall.
When the market shows it hands, it will show where it wants to support the price.
Let the market show the hand.
Yes we won't get the bottom prices using this strategy but we could still get maybe 8-10% of the bottom.
And if you trade longer or invest, 8-10% of the bottom is not bad.
Remember, one will never be able to sell exactly at the top and one will also never be able to buy exactly at the bottom too.
Mind you, for plantation stocks, this is not a 100% fool proof plan.
We could buy at a point where CPO bottomed but bottoming out doesn't mean much because we also need to address what's next.
Are we brave enough to assume that CPO will bottom say at 2000 and then recover back to 3000 or more?
What if CPO find bottom say at 2000 and then recover to 2400 and then go sideways for a long time?