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 Singapore REITS, S-REITS

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TSprophetjul
post Oct 15 2022, 05:32 PM

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QUOTE(wayton @ Oct 15 2022, 04:12 PM)
Prime and UtdHamp price now are lower than March/April 2020
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Yes. UtdHamp has shrunk so much! sad.gif
TSprophetjul
post Oct 19 2022, 08:51 AM

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QUOTE(Ramjade @ Oct 18 2022, 08:13 PM)
Always ask yourself any change in fundamentals? How's the occupancy? How's their debts?

For me I got better fish to catch hence I already abandon my sreits. Those there I just keep. Won't add more. Won't sell. Just hold.

Before you ask, what am I collecting, they are US counters and here's the answe.
BlackRock, visa. Microsoft, Google, Adobe. Brookfield infrastructure, Canadian national railway, AMD, Tesla (not listed in any orders)
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Hi mate.
Keep your US stocks to the US threads. Thanks
TSprophetjul
post Oct 20 2022, 11:11 AM

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https://drive.google.com/file/d/1w3I8e6OwuZ...iew?usp=sharing

Lots of SReits write up here.. biggrin.gif
TSprophetjul
post Oct 20 2022, 11:18 AM

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QUOTE(wongmunkeong @ Oct 20 2022, 11:15 AM)
.. and of all the REITs, Lippo shown in one of them pix having the highest gearing ratio..
Lippo and the Riadys, been there (long time back), done with that XD
IMHO, second to Eagle Hospitality Trust. Thank gawd avoided that bullet
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Any idea why FLCT is performing so badly. Seems like a reasonable Reit?
It's down from $1.40ish to $1.10 presently. That's a big fall for an index share.
TSprophetjul
post Oct 20 2022, 11:26 AM

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QUOTE(wongmunkeong @ Oct 20 2022, 11:23 AM)
sorry gold bro, no idea as i don't follow FLCT.
if no fundamental issues, must be animal spiritis aka crazy market throwing out baby with bath water.
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My fingers are bit itchy. laugh.gif
But i cannot decipher what is the reason why it plunge before even rate hike. Beginning of year was $1,50ish
Results are still good. 80% debt hedged. Debt leverage is 29%. Cost of debt is only 1.6% !
TSprophetjul
post Oct 20 2022, 11:31 AM

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QUOTE(Ramjade @ Oct 20 2022, 11:27 AM)
So you can pick up more? My guess is their Europe component. AK picked up some.
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i have no FLCT yet. But it looks compelling.
But yeah. Maybe the Euro, GBP and AUD is dropping against SGD too much.
TSprophetjul
post Oct 20 2022, 11:40 AM

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QUOTE(wayton @ Oct 20 2022, 11:34 AM)
Majority of its properties are in Australia and Europe.
A$ is dropping vs SGD, even worst than MYR,
While Europe,  as we know there are plenty of economy problems.
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But logistics in Euroland seems to be quite stable. In fact in some countries like Germany where FLCT has presence, the vacancy rate is very low. Cromwell is focussing on logistics because of this.
TSprophetjul
post Oct 20 2022, 03:58 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Oct 20 2022, 03:52 PM)
Shipping rate already seen drastic down turn. From port congestion just early this year, now container ships brace for empty vessel, so this may affect logistic demand going forward.

Borrowing cost escalates quickly, that may affect floating rate borrowing as well as affecting tenants businesses going forward aka demand for warehouses.
There are news of a number of big international corporate name may undergo retrenchment.

Headwind is ahead, investors are cautious on the impact of DPU going forward.

Having said that, yield is getting attractive when price keep on sliding.
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It's times like this which makes or breaks a Reit. If they can get through these economic troughs, they will become stronger.
Yes. It is difficult to say how they will fare.
Hedged debt helps.
Some has hedged 100% of their debt.
TSprophetjul
post Oct 20 2022, 05:24 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Oct 20 2022, 05:07 PM)
Hedged debt give room for relief, but hedging is not forever, most reit debts even at fixed rate or full hedged, are not likely to go more than 3-5 years.
Reit debt is not the same with personal property fixed rate loan.
Reit debt generally is shorter and rely on refinancing from time to time.

So high borrowing cost eventually will happen, what matter is lease income should be also go up in tandem with inflation. Then effect of high borrowing cost will be neutralized.

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «

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If they have fixed interest rates for 3 to 5 years, they will have rode over this high interest rate environment.
The high rates are not going to be forever. Certainly not for 3 years. Unless the Feds wants US and the world to go into depression.
TSprophetjul
post Oct 26 2022, 08:44 AM

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AIMS CAP Q2 results

https://links.sgx.com/1.0.0/corporate-annou...6c53e6f15e0b3d5
TSprophetjul
post Oct 27 2022, 04:11 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Oct 27 2022, 03:31 PM)
Bro,... Ara has been hammered down into the drain by the pandemic lockdowns. Now,.. int rate rise attacking it,... I think,... no need to talk abt Ara anymore.

Emm,... I think Manulife US REIT will bear the brunt of the other 4 US-based REITs. Look at KORE's results yesterday,... big fall in distributable income. This is a sign already.
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Bro Hansel.
For KORE, seems the Income available for distribution is affected by the manager receiving its fees in cash of $1.7mil?
TSprophetjul
post Nov 3 2022, 04:14 PM

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Strange. My account lost all the tracking features!
TSprophetjul
post Nov 4 2022, 01:59 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Nov 4 2022, 01:51 PM)
Which platform, bro ? How do you mean lost ?
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This lowyat forum. laugh.gif
Thanks for your concern, bro.
TSprophetjul
post Nov 9 2022, 10:33 AM

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QUOTE(TOS @ Nov 9 2022, 08:52 AM)
Daiwa House Logistics Trust 3Q business update: https://links.sgx.com/1.0.0/corporate-annou...49aff2c5c079080

United Hampshire US REIT 3Q business and operational updates: https://links.sgx.com/1.0.0/corporate-annou...94df6e76ab66cf8
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wongmunkeong

Any thoughts on Utd Hampshire?
Any reason not to add more ? biggrin.gif
TSprophetjul
post Nov 9 2022, 04:05 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Nov 9 2022, 03:46 PM)
Hi bro,...

For myself,... I won't add more yet,... 2 reasons :-
1) For anchor tenants, rental increase can only take place every 5 or 10 years. Anchor tenants are the big contributing tenants.
2) Gearing at 41.2%.
3) The US will be the first ctry that will face a Recession if it does happen.
4) Big rate hikes will certainly hammer onto the borrowing cost.

I suspect the price will drop more moving fwd,....
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QUOTE(wayton @ Nov 9 2022, 04:00 PM)
UtdH may face as not many challenge like Manulife in term of tenant issue, but its high gearing is a concern.

US interest rate rise from 0.25% to now 4%, so those unfixed debt interest rise may impact DPU in the future, so does when the needs of refinancing time.

USD debt now face more rise in term of interest rate compared to others due to steep raised by Fed, which is projected another 0.5% rise in next month, taking it to 4.5%.
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Presentation:

Sensitivity to
LIBOR/SOFR2
Every +50bps in
LIBOR/SOFR
translates to 0.053 bps
US cents in DPU p.a.
which is 0.89% of
trailing 12-month DPU



TSprophetjul
post Nov 9 2022, 04:32 PM

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QUOTE(Hansel @ Nov 9 2022, 04:28 PM)
Frankly,.. bro, I don't believe these sensitivity analysis. Firstly,... the analysis is only for the floating rate loans, and this effect will be negated as more refinancing of the fixed-rate loans become due. Secondly, wouldn't you think the 'debt/loan movements' are too dynamic to allow for a calculation like this ?

I don'r know how to count using the sensitivity analysis.
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Bro
i think this is based on the existing debt portfolio presently. That is 82% fixed portion and a weighted average interest rate of 3.05%.
So yes, the sensitivity is on the nonfixed part having its effect on the overall DPU.
TSprophetjul
post Nov 9 2022, 04:35 PM

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QUOTE(wayton @ Nov 9 2022, 04:30 PM)
So from 0.25% to 4.5%, it is 400+ bps
This impact is only for unfixed debt?

How about when debt matured and need to refinancing those fixed debt?

Because soon or later, debt needs to be refinanced.
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i think the 0.053 cents is on the overall DPU per 50bps interest rate changes.
You will need to look at the debt profile.

This post has been edited by prophetjul: Nov 9 2022, 04:36 PM
TSprophetjul
post Nov 10 2022, 08:59 AM

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QUOTE(TOS @ Nov 9 2022, 06:04 PM)
For IREIT Global, not much info is given on NPI and DPU.
Wonder if we should write to them?
TSprophetjul
post Nov 10 2022, 09:29 AM

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QUOTE(TOS @ Nov 10 2022, 09:19 AM)
Ya, you can write to them. But no guarantee they will show you the results.

I once wrote to Keppel DC REIT to ask for publishing of results briefing with analysts. The IR team replied me they will consider. Until today I can't find any results briefing video on the official website. https://www.keppeldcreit.com/en/investor-re...ancial-results/

Usually business updates won't show much info, or the management may want to conceal bad-looking numbers. CICT didn't show rental reversion numbers during April 2021's business update, for example: https://investor.cict.com.sg/newsroom/20210...JG4S2J2UB.1.pdf
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They should reveal the numbers since these will be actual numbers to guide investors.
If they don't or do not aceed to a simple request like the NPI or DPU, i fear they may have something to hide.
TSprophetjul
post Nov 24 2022, 10:27 AM

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https://ecwreit.listedcompany.com/newsroom/...55YAQQXM6.1.pdf

EC World woes

QUOTE
In respect of the obligation of the Sponsor to ensure that the Mandatory Repayment is made by 31
December 2022, the Board of the Manager (the “Board”) is of the view that the Sponsor has sufficient
financial resources to meet its obligations under the Offshore Undertaking and the Onshore
Undertaking by ensuring that the Mandatory Repayment is made by 31 December 2022. This is based
on the management’s review of latest audited financial statements of the Sponsor and written
confirmation from the Sponsor that the Sponsor is able to fulfil its undertakings to the existing lenders
of ECW that the Sponsor will ensure ECW to repay Mandatory Repayment by 31 December 2022.


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