Sorry Bee but I with i4 with this.
The reason is simple. It called probablity. We tend to have the gambler's fallacy to think that if its 0.8% chance, if we salvage it 800 times there will be a guaranteed outcome. No, as each time the salvage the probability resets and its back to 0.8%. So there is a possibility you can even salvage 1600 times and no brimstone or you can even do it once and hit the jackpot.
Easist way to understand this by eg Roulette. Red and Black. Chances are about 50%50% each spin. Assuming red has came out 100 times. Next spin chances of Black higher? No...cause the probablity resets again once the spin is carried out..its back to 50-50. Its just that the probability of 100 spins coming out red is really really low....
I hope you understand
Blacksmith Smithing Guide, coz Haedrig says "ITS HAMMER TIEM"!
Jul 3 2012, 11:24 AM
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