Welcome Guest ( Log In | Register )

Bump Topic Topic Closed RSS Feed

Outline · [ Standard ] · Linear+

 STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION 118, Yat Yat Fatt - Apple Free

views
     
SUSwankongyew
post Apr 26 2012, 11:50 AM

Regular
******
Senior Member
1,177 posts

Joined: Nov 2007



QUOTE(Boon3 @ Apr 26 2012, 11:24 AM)
When crisis come, can you afford to not 'touch' the shares you hold?
*
Market timing is easier said than done. Studies have shown that those who sell after a downturn has hit to avoid further loss are about as likely to miss out on a rally as to succeed in cutting their losses. And historically the largest rallies come just after downturns. Not saying that it's impossible of course, but it really is a judgment call. If you see a dip now, do you know if it's just a temporary aberration or the start of a long plunge? If you hesitated and it really did plunge, do you know if an upturn is just around the corner or if the stock is in for a further fall?

In the absence of any clear idea of what to do, holding might not be that bad an idea.

Personal anecdote: I basically held through the 2008 recession. I did suspect that something big was brewing beginning from 2007 but it was hard to predict when exactly things would go bad so I didn't sell. However, I did hold off on adding any more money from 2007, diverting new money into safe assets (like FD and the Malaysian government bond funds) instead. Because of this, I had extra money to spend when I judged that things had settled down enough to start buying. Maybe I could have done better by selling everything the right time and buying back later, but I wasn't confident about the timing and so just held. I'm pretty happy with how I did overall so I don't worry about any potential extra gains I may have missed out on.
SUSwankongyew
post Apr 26 2012, 12:45 PM

Regular
******
Senior Member
1,177 posts

Joined: Nov 2007



QUOTE(Boon3 @ Apr 26 2012, 11:56 AM)
Eh? How did the question of market timing arise? I no nuts about market timing. Small question: 'market timing' and 'price timing' any difference?

Some have promoted the 'no sell button' strategy.  I only asked 'When crisis come, can you afford to not 'touch' the shares you hold?' because if one needs money during the crisis, could one afford not to 'touch' the shares they hold?
*
Ah, you meant crisis as in personal crisis and emergency as opposed to a general economic crisis that affects everyone. Sorry then. But like others have said, this then becomes a personal financial management issue, not a stock hold/buy/sell issue.

Topic ClosedOptions
 

Change to:
| Lo-Fi Version
0.0488sec    0.57    7 queries    GZIP Disabled
Time is now: 11th December 2025 - 03:08 AM