QUOTE(ben3003 @ Feb 17 2013, 09:38 PM)
Oh, u mean bond is reaching a limit? Sorry but i cannot analyze let say bond yield is rising, then what is the effects that it may brought, so as the region tat adjust the interest rates, if interest rates higher, means ppl rather put money in bank? And also, u talking about US side, u mean US market is quite optimistic?
Oh ok, maybe i should consider either one of them and take a more stable global equity fund.
Let me use a simple example to illustrate, then u pakai your own imagination to put into perspective...
Today I lend RM100,000 to Ah Jeep at interest rate of 9% p.a. Bank 1-month FD rate is now 3%. In simplistic language,
I perceive Ah Jeep's credit risk to warrant 3x of bank FD rate.
Not long after, bank 1-month FD rate rose to 5% due to Bank Negara adjusting interest rates.
If Ah Jeep were to come to me for a fresh loan now, I'd only lend to him at 15% p.a.Let's say I need cash now, the simplest way would be to "sell" Ah Jeep's debt to a third party ("hey, who wants to take over this loan?") But do u think I still can sell this 9% RM100,000 for RM100,000? Hell no! Here's the math (assuming it's an annuity i.e. no maturity date, cos the math is simpler

):
Annual interest payment for Ah Jeep's loan:
RM100,000 x 9% = RM9,000
How much can I get by selling Ah Jeep's loan to a third party?
RM9,000 x 100/15 = RM60,000
RM9,000 is 15% of RM60,000Understand the illustration?
When rates rise, existing bonds will experience paper loss. So, don't buy too much into bond funds now...take it slow and easy.
This post has been edited by Pink Spider: Feb 17 2013, 09:52 PM