QUOTE(cherroy @ Jan 18 2012, 03:16 PM)
I don't know why people keep on using majority people affordability as reason to say property price is doom.
You don't need majority people can afford,
you just need enough people that can afford it.
Car price here is extra-ordinary expensive, 100k, 200k, 300k also got, which is way beyond majority affordability, but I still see many of those car, and those car dealer is not closing down nor slashing price.
Yes, increase 50% in 3-5 years is unprecedented, and unlikely to repeat.
Doom or storming coming or not, I don't know, I don't have the crystal ball to know, but the uncertainty mentioned is the one current limit the price surge, which is good, without those uncertainty, we might as well as see the price ballooning even higher.
Don't get me wrong, I also view house price should dip/correct after tremendous surge for the past few year.
But I don't agree the majority affordability theory.
As long as there is enough buyers to meet the supply, price stay, as simple as that, the most simple ultimate supply and demand theory.
Got 1k unit 1 million house, if got 1k buyers want to buy, price stay. Whether the rest 20 million people majority cannot afford to buy the 1 million house, it doesn't alter or matter for the price.
in the same way, i dun understand why people keep saying there are enough people with the means to buy all the props today at current prices.
the truth is in the supply and demand of the various classes of homes in relation to their income, cash and debt position.
in a general discussion like this, we are neither refering to below 100k low cost apts nor above 1 mil ones.
we are refering to the mainstream 300-500k homes which have now become 500-800k.
you have always argued there are enough of those who can keep buying to buoy the current supply.
pls make it clear if you are saying there are and will be enough of these buyers willing and can afford all these 500-800k homes, incl those coming onstream in the next 2-3 yrs or being launched new now. at least in the klang valley.
my position is there aren't enough to take up the supply in the next 2-3 yrs such that prices will stagnate or fall slightly.
because many who want to buy don't have the means and many of those who have the means are the ones that have invested and want to sell.
This post has been edited by AVFAN: Jan 18 2012, 04:18 PM