Jul 10 2011, 01:51 PM
QUOTE(nightshade_nova @ Mar 12 2011, 07:53 AM)
Just started playing after a long time.Im currently addicted to Food Club.
Used to require a heck lot of works.Now found a great sites that does all the job from expected value calculator, food modifiers, estimated ratio and win/lose history.
http://foodclub.daqtools.info/index.php
Can make millions playing.
[attachmentid=2089816]
Winnings so far.
Anyway, anyone whos playing, I got some extra info wanna share which I just discovered.
If you add this, you can sometimes get a sure bet (or anchor) for maxing parlays.
First, you need a 1v1 situation.
Like an arena with odds of 1:2 1:2 1:13 1:13 , where its likely only pirate A vs pirate B.
Or sometimes itd go 1:2 vs 1:3 or higher odds.
You see, you can calculate consecutive wins/lose with this formula, and this applies regardless of any other factors.
Chance of winning streak = winning percentage^(winning streaks)
For example, Tailhook Kid with a winning % of 31.4, the chance for him to win 5 consecutive matches are 0.314^5, which is 0.00305.Translate to 1/0.00305, meaning the chance for him to win 5 consecutive matches is 1 in a 327 times.It means he wont win.
In a A vs B situation:
So, if A was Tailhook, and he has been winning straight for 4 days, then B is the winning pirate, and there you go, a sure winner for your parlays.
You can also exploit losing streak with this formula:
(100%-winning percentage)^(losing streaks)
Example would be Gooblah with a 65% winning percentage, meaning the chance for a 6 losing streak is (100-65)^6 = 1 in a 544
So, if you ever caught him in a 5 losing streak, the next round, he is sure to win.
Another thing to note, is that 1 in a 1xx is still considered high, and not safe,
you should get something higher than 100 to be sure, at least 1 in 200 chance or more.
SHORT VERSION:
search for a 1v1 bets, and see if theres a losing/winning streaks exploit.
set the sure winner as anchor to your parlays and win big.
Im gunning for a trophy.Wish me luck.
p/s: my id is nightshade_nova, and yes...my page is outdated.
Food club etc , betting game really is profit making game but its kindda sad cause i am not good at this kind of game x_x doesnt bother to read either cause i just dont understand Used to require a heck lot of works.Now found a great sites that does all the job from expected value calculator, food modifiers, estimated ratio and win/lose history.
http://foodclub.daqtools.info/index.php
Can make millions playing.
[attachmentid=2089816]
Winnings so far.
Anyway, anyone whos playing, I got some extra info wanna share which I just discovered.
If you add this, you can sometimes get a sure bet (or anchor) for maxing parlays.
First, you need a 1v1 situation.
Like an arena with odds of 1:2 1:2 1:13 1:13 , where its likely only pirate A vs pirate B.
Or sometimes itd go 1:2 vs 1:3 or higher odds.
You see, you can calculate consecutive wins/lose with this formula, and this applies regardless of any other factors.
Chance of winning streak = winning percentage^(winning streaks)
For example, Tailhook Kid with a winning % of 31.4, the chance for him to win 5 consecutive matches are 0.314^5, which is 0.00305.Translate to 1/0.00305, meaning the chance for him to win 5 consecutive matches is 1 in a 327 times.It means he wont win.
In a A vs B situation:
So, if A was Tailhook, and he has been winning straight for 4 days, then B is the winning pirate, and there you go, a sure winner for your parlays.
You can also exploit losing streak with this formula:
(100%-winning percentage)^(losing streaks)
Example would be Gooblah with a 65% winning percentage, meaning the chance for a 6 losing streak is (100-65)^6 = 1 in a 544
So, if you ever caught him in a 5 losing streak, the next round, he is sure to win.
Another thing to note, is that 1 in a 1xx is still considered high, and not safe,
you should get something higher than 100 to be sure, at least 1 in 200 chance or more.
SHORT VERSION:
search for a 1v1 bets, and see if theres a losing/winning streaks exploit.
set the sure winner as anchor to your parlays and win big.
Im gunning for a trophy.Wish me luck.
p/s: my id is nightshade_nova, and yes...my page is outdated.
if there's a pro teaching me beside me in rl,probably i would XD anyway,this is one of my fav game before, managed to get around 5mils+ doing reselling and sniping(?) . Oh totally forgot all the terms already stock market is good too but you need patience. managed to get around 2mils before from POWR.
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