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 Silver as investment V2, Don't cry, buy now.

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TSchunyen2020
post Nov 30 2011, 01:34 AM

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QUOTE(chef @ Nov 29 2011, 11:31 PM)
Hi chunyen, property,

it's o.k. I will view on your behalf.  tongue.gif

Come back and report to you guys what I find there yeah? I'm sure to meet some silver stackers there, and some new and rare product, and more suppliers too. will upload some brochures and pictures if I can too.

chef
*
=_=
If something interesting pops out, please take picture.
Maybe can korek something back from SG. tongue.gif
TSchunyen2020
post Nov 30 2011, 05:10 PM

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QUOTE(Kokolat @ Nov 30 2011, 03:29 PM)
Hi guys,

I just browsed through previous post and I found a few post at page 6-7 mentioning custom will ka-ka-cau-cau if we buy directly from oversea, is this still happening?
*
Yes, Because of tax.
So as long as tax is still imposed, then your package of silver coins (legal tender) might kena tax by CUSTOM.
I think we've spent few pages on discussing about tax.
Wouldn't want to raise it here again though.
Please kindly crawl for previous pages.
TSchunyen2020
post Nov 30 2011, 05:39 PM

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QUOTE(Kokolat @ Nov 30 2011, 05:27 PM)
Bad news for me... I was intend to buy silver bar directly from oversea...  shocking.gif
*
Bars WILL not be taxed. =_=
By the way, what brand your gonna buy?
TSchunyen2020
post Nov 30 2011, 09:48 PM

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Sometimes even you're importing bars, they will just you certain bucks as handling fee.
TSchunyen2020
post Dec 1 2011, 12:04 PM

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Just got this from my friend.
Haven't read it through yet.
Hope can discuss more with you guys later. =D
http://onemalaysiaforreal.blogspot.com/201...og-post_22.html

Google translate into ENGLISH


This post has been edited by chunyen2020: Dec 1 2011, 12:08 PM
TSchunyen2020
post Dec 1 2011, 10:33 PM

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QUOTE(cruzzie73 @ Dec 1 2011, 09:22 PM)
Chef, i had the same experience as you, guess we started collecting silver right about the same time. But what happened then was we were so new we did not know where to get the most competitive price.

Also, there weren't that many silver sellers then, so the traders could command higher profits. However, the past 2 months have seen a surge in the number of traders, especially notable in SLS. Naturally the sellers had to reduced their profit margin to stay competitive, thus we are seeing silver price becoming lower now. This reduction in price is merely reduction in traders' profits, not reduction in the value of silver.

Gold is different, its market is a lot more matured than silver. Profit margins 12 months ago is not much different from profit margins today. So you see the nett effect of gold price hike when spot goes up.

Personally i think silver market in Malaysia now has come so much nearer to spot, that if we buy today and sell in future, any increase in silver spot price would be converted in full (minus the small profit you paid to the seller earlier) into "profit" in fiat money terms.


Added on December 1, 2011, 9:29 pm

What i'm saying is that 12 months ago, traders selling at 15-20% profit. Today in SLS, traders selling at 3-5% profit. That is already a 10-15% reduction in selling price (assuming spot remained the same today as in 12 months ago).
*
I think to trade in gold, bigger modal is needed. But opposite for silver. That's why a lot trader shifts their target to silver. hmm.gif
TSchunyen2020
post Dec 2 2011, 05:13 PM

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I would say the exit time for your investment will determine which one you wanna get. Bars or coins as well as whether to pay the premium or not.
You gotta set a limit when you plan your exit.
What price should I sell out all?
When should I sell out all?
And of course everyone will say ' I wanna sell at the time where the price is at the peak'.
But for now, I see no accuracy of an exact exit time and price. All are just speculation currently.
So to avoid regret and being too greedy which may led to losses, one should decide their own exit plan.
TSchunyen2020
post Dec 3 2011, 04:56 PM

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QUOTE(chef @ Dec 3 2011, 10:43 AM)
Well,

I guess you really do not give credit to expert in malaysia or asia PM expert. You do know that the largest consumer of gold (big brother of PM) is in india? and by the way, china is over taking everyone as the world largest consumer of all PM. US guru? well, like I said, what makes the thing they say as facts? Like quackpack said, property boom in singapore or US, doesn't affect malaysia. Silver price goes up USD 5 per oz, US unemployment rate improved, doesn't make a coin size dent in ASIA.

So I would say ASIA's point of view IS more important. If you are talking about old timer who knows more, well, looking small, GOLDCHAN is among on of the taikor here who has been in this for years, and prophetjul is equally long, so i guess their views are equally important. 

I do hope you do not assume all the readers here are not using their brains, and to assume that having 43 years of trading experience in some other product might not make you instant expert in something else, I believe all of us learn till we are old, and not claim EXPERT, be humble and you get to learn more. I'm sure not many people around you will give advice like that to you, since you keep using the old, experience, know more reason to prevent learning of even more useful info.

Like cruzzie and I said, everyone makes their own decision, let them be, we are not newbies, let us decide what we want to do with our funds, why get upset when people do not listen to what you have to say? I mean, will you pay for our losses if we just follow your every advice? I'm sure if you have  "guarranteed returns, guarranteed capital, no risk" scheme like those banks funds, we will all rush in and join your band wagon. Otherwise...

I know someone who googles for information for 8 years, but had no practical experience or expertise in the real thing compared to those who has been in the market for 2 years. you google silver is good! but you wouldn't google silver is bad! so all 800 hours of search is just to substantiate your train of thoughts. spend another 1,000 hours, it'll still be wasted if you are not looking at the right place. (Ha ha....hey everyone, don't shoot me, I didn't mean silver is bad, it was just an example, really...)  notworthy.gif

I used to trade in coffee beans and japanese cocoon, but I will not claim I know silver and gold after only 4 months, live is a on going learning process, do not let your age stop you from opening your mind.

chef

PS a reminder, let's not use dirty words or calling people brainless or name calling, civilized discussion only.  icon_rolleyes.gif


Added on December 3, 2011, 10:47 am

Ha ha,

Great job, I WAS trying to relax, spend free time coming in and join some discussion and share beautiful pictures of silver.

Hey, nice bars, but the premium is too high, I was poisoned by you when you show the 9 colored coin set, now I'm going to RESIST!! ha ha... by the way, how much is it? you selling?? ARGH!! ...

chef


Added on December 3, 2011, 10:55 am

Hi quackpack,

That was what I was started out as saying, that because of liquidity problem of silver bars in mlaaysia, I'm thinking of moving to gold, and I was right. (To be fair, for the current day, time and period) malaysia accept gold more readily than silver. I do see silver jumps higher and faster than gold because of the potential, but as most investor will tell you, buy some stock for long term gain, buy some for medium returns, and the rest for quick trading. Gold is for quick trading, 1oz silver bar is for quick trading (low margin and low volume). I think it's called spreading your investment portfolio, but this is the funds you set aside for PM, then you should have some set aside for property, and some for currency or shares...

Anyone disagree?

chef
*
Although that's rectangular in shape, but actually it's a rectangular COIN.. biggrin.gif

TSchunyen2020
post Dec 4 2011, 12:14 AM

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The pace of this thread really went up sinece v1. wink.gif
TSchunyen2020
post Dec 4 2011, 01:51 PM

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Hmm, still have any chances for the 'silver price will hit USD50 by end of december 2011' to happen? Luls..

TSchunyen2020
post Dec 5 2011, 12:09 AM

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QUOTE(kei18kun @ Dec 4 2011, 11:54 PM)
want to ask about this coin SHIPS THAT CHANGED THE WORLD - MAYFLOWER 2012 1OZ SILVER PROOF COIN
it has 5k pop, why nobody mention about it? since the first series is sold out


Added on December 4, 2011, 11:55 pmreally lots of beautiful coins at perth mint
haha, might get poisoned already
*
Well, for numismatic coins, you gotta see the market you're into because they're based on wiling seller willing buyer.
Different market different needs.
Currently, the market are flooded and get hype with DRAGONS.
If not mistaken, Nidz has the MAYFLOWER. Not sure whether he sold it out or not.
But gotta be careful with the tax if you wanna buy the coins from Perth Mint to here. unsure.gif
TSchunyen2020
post Dec 5 2011, 10:18 PM

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Just to let you guys know.
We're having an awesome deal at LSGG.
Don't miss it. wink.gif
TSchunyen2020
post Dec 9 2011, 09:10 AM

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Pretty sure that silver is in stealth phase although now it seems that silver is in bear trap.
Silver is in the middle of phase 1. IMO, it will only enter phase 2 when BENBEN start to do another QE.
By the way, I've been thinking that we're now in a mild deflation, then will only enter mild inflation during the end of 2012.
If this is correct, then we shall see that silver price will not break USD45 until next year.

Last time I did some reading on palladium too.
Palladium is mainly used in car industry and medical industry.
Their price are expensive as gold but very volatile.
If you check it graph, you can see a BIG spike. That was due that FORD bought it in a large quantity.
IMO, palladium is being manipulated by some pretty big companies.
And too less of investors into palladium.

BTW, palladium is mainly used by IRON MAN.
Luls...
TSchunyen2020
post Dec 9 2011, 09:32 AM

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QUOTE(hitsugaya2010 @ Dec 9 2011, 09:27 AM)
erm..maybe i can input some here regarding metal usage.
For your info, many semiconductors are using gold wires rite? i think u guys should have known this. Due to the high cost they try to change it to copper wire.. which is very much lesser cost and also usable.
Now they even tried to avoid using silver since it has cost slightly higher compared to last few years. they use silver in some leadframes of semiconductor. erm.. dunno how to explain leadframe.. basically a frame holding the semiconductor before being singulated.
If the metal price goes higher, the industry will alwiz try to find an alternative to change their resource. They alwiz succeding in doing that. They can produce something with lower cost with the same or higher quality.. haha.. dunno how much this info can help u guys.. haha.. me still new in PM investment thou. Palladium is expensive because its rare.. but i do not think its feasible to be kept..need very special care... its kinda fragile (react easily) for pure palladium, different from gold or silver.. studied this during my FYP abit.. hahaha..
*
I thought not much of them uses silver due to it's not-so-good tensile strength? hmm.gif
That's why PAMP's palladium are enclosed with it's certiPAMP. tongue.gif

TSchunyen2020
post Dec 11 2011, 02:43 PM

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QUOTE(RRR @ Dec 11 2011, 10:38 AM)
I did read some of the articles from your website which really open up my mind to this PM, sometimes I'm quite lazy to read.
Even Mike Maloney "Guide to Investing in Gold and Silver" I listened to the audio book.
Anyway special thanks to (not in particular order) :
Property101
chef
taurusbull
chunyen2020
goldchan
& others for all your contributions.
Without you guys guidance I'll not be looking at this PM at all
*
I'm flattered. blush.gif
Thanks anyway, more superb sifus at here.
Should check out here regularly.
Sometimes there might be some good article and discussion. smile.gif
TSchunyen2020
post Dec 12 2011, 05:19 PM

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QUOTE(property101 @ Dec 12 2011, 05:13 PM)
actually a lot of people talks about learning from history, even my history teach in school told us to learn from history
but the fact is... history always repeat itself... why???
*
Because this is a cycle? Nothing doesn't change in this world.
When something changes, another thing will change hence cause chain reaction.
This reaction will then try to find its equilibrium point.
So are gold and silver.

This post has been edited by chunyen2020: Dec 12 2011, 05:21 PM
TSchunyen2020
post Dec 12 2011, 10:45 PM

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QUOTE(RRR @ Dec 12 2011, 09:01 PM)
Somebody quoted me
Grizzly Bear -> RM160
Timber Wolf -> RM210

Not sure bargain or normal.
*
Normal price only.
Grizzly bear a bit expensive. blink.gif


Added on December 12, 2011, 11:05 pm
QUOTE(chef @ Dec 12 2011, 06:39 PM)
That's profound and deep thoughts...

It's like GAIA, where the earth is trying to heal itself from pest and virus. And we happen to be the virus. So when the world starts to behave sickly like more earth quake and extreme weather, it is just killing off the unwanted inhabitant and some other creature will take over us, like we take over dinosaur from pre-historic times.

Everything balances it self, and the world is forever "work in progress".

Anyway, learn from history is important, learning the right thing from history is even more so. But everyone's views is different, what our teacher teaches to a class of 40 student is general, how each of them learn and what they learn is really up to themselves.

Sorry, getting a little long winded smile.gif

Anyway, Gold price quite a major correction compared to the normal USD 20 - 50 price movement. Silver is following around but not by much, so it show's it's fundamentally strong.

chef


Added on December 12, 2011, 6:42 pm
Hi Kei18kun,

You are graduating very fast!! smile.gif usually people buy bars and rounds and it takes a while for them to move to coins and those with premiums. I think maybe you're a collector by heart. But don't get over excited and over buy with "non spare cash" as you will be very affected by the spot price movement daily.

Wolf is usually Above RM 200, anyone offer lower GRAB!! grizzly err, not sure, I do have a few I would keep, not selling though. But you should keep the whole series, which include cougar also.

chef
*
I'm flattered. I'm still learning. blush.gif
Chef explained it in a detailed manner. smile.gif

user posted image
Taken from kwaves.com

So the current cycle will be for the commodities.
We might not be the earliest batch to join the ride, but we're not too late.
I always try to persuade my friend with this graph to give up on investing stocks.
Short term, stocks might earn you money but not really applies for long term because we're on the commodities cycle.


Added on December 12, 2011, 11:06 pm
QUOTE(property101 @ Dec 12 2011, 05:38 PM)
wow....thats deep~
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I'm flattered. I'm still learning too. smile.gif
Thanks.

This post has been edited by chunyen2020: Dec 12 2011, 11:06 PM
TSchunyen2020
post Dec 13 2011, 01:02 AM

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QUOTE(Quinn @ Dec 13 2011, 12:34 AM)
Just to let u know that I have requested Manesh Patel to do a free webinar on Ichimoku this Saturday 17th Dec 2011, 7.30pm.

Please register at https://www1.gotomeeting.com/register/883633160 and you will receive the instruction on how to attend this webinar.

You can ask questions or request a forecast.

See you there!
*
Great.
It's been time didn't see you around. biggrin.gif
Registered.
TSchunyen2020
post Dec 13 2011, 05:15 PM

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QUOTE(ballackahn @ Dec 13 2011, 05:07 PM)
I browsed through 'Silver - The New Shine' book at MPH today and it got me interested to check out on silver. i stumbled on this thread and as of now, spend almost 3 hours reading pages and pages of good stuff written. Now I'm getting really interested in this.

my only questions will be:

i am a complete newbie in the field,and I can allocate 300 a month for buying anything silver. what would be your recommendation?

thanks!
*
Start with buying something with low premium such as silver bars and silver rounds such as APMEX, Sunshine, Scottdale and etc.
With current price, you should be get 2 x 1oz with price each of RM115 as I see at the market.
TSchunyen2020
post Dec 14 2011, 06:02 PM

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QUOTE(kei18kun @ Dec 14 2011, 08:44 AM)
come down lower! then can get more cheaper. for newbie its better
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The problem that will arise later is whether is there any seller gonna sell at that price?


Added on December 14, 2011, 6:05 pm
QUOTE(kei18kun @ Dec 14 2011, 02:57 PM)
want to ask if its normal for silver bar to have black spots on it like fungus


Added on December 14, 2011, 3:06 pmgold thread truly is terrible, nobody bothered to answer question. all they talk about is price this and that. they're just trader. no wonder gold is boring not like silver. this thread is still the best in whole forum for me. the people here is very nice

anyway anyone here know if its true whether can buy cheaper gold at bank negara. i know, i just google it and nothing there. just want to confirm. my mom heard from another friend can buy there. so many wrong info
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Not normal if the bars were to grow fungus.
But I think the black spot is the oxidation rather than fungus. tongue.gif

This post has been edited by chunyen2020: Dec 14 2011, 06:05 PM

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