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QUOTE(wongmunkeong @ Jun 21 2012, 09:22 AM)
Options as i see them (not too intimate with your data ar.. heheh, just assumptions + my own cow sense):
1. IF your bonds+cash for investments % is >= your investment equities held %, then i think U should stay put for now
Reason:
IF market goes south deep, say drop of 30% to 40%, and people starts swearing/suiciding, U have enough cash or bonds to buy at lelong $ equities to cover or more than cover your losses.
Note however, U need nerves of steel to go against the crowd of doomsayers.
2. IF your investment equities are totally overshadowing your bonds+cash for investments, then i think U should switch out enough to balance or overweight a bit on the bonds side.
Why not go 100% or 80% into bonds/cash?
IMHO (no crystal balls as usual

), no one knows how high is high and how low is low + how long the highs/lows will cruise before a reversal.
Wasn't KLSE's highest 16XX in early 2012 a surprise after 2011 Aug/Sep Euro scare?
Wasn't KLSE's plunge in 2008 a surprise after 2006/2007 highs?
Thus, when in doubt, look to your own Asset Allocation held VS planned - that, IMHO, is the "best bet".
Exit Planser.. in all our actions, best to have Entry, management/tracking and Exit plans lor
a. Entry plans = after filtering, the whens and whys to enter (eg. a TV, job, investment, relationship

, etc.)
b. Management/tracking = usage & life cycle management (eg. where to keep the dividends, how to climb the career ladder/project, how to grow the relationship, etc.)
c. Exit plans = when to cut-loss, take profit, dispose, and how much to execute, and how to execute
Thus, when "fire breaks out", one knows exactly what to do as the triggers and reasoning were done BEFORE hand.
Not too smart to plan AND execute during a fire right? Especially when fear & greed are on one's shoulders

Just a thought, no right/wrong yar

First of all, thanks again for taking the time...
Now i see what you mean by plans... yeah, the motivation behind the savings... for me, a simple man, just savings for rainy days and retirement. Other needs, I don't put into long term savings - plain FD without high entry cost would better serve those needs. And EPF still has a big bulk of my savings. (And if PM is reading this and waiting to lay a hand on this savings, dream on - until you lower the entry cost.

)
Ok, I also have savings in other assets (if I get the meaning of 'Asset Allocation' correctly). So in this category, I seems to be doing fine.
The major problem is my portfolio of PM funds; as mentioned in previous posts. Not in the same situation as yours to have 80-100% in bonds.
I started to raise a batch of fast horses while previously, having only a hardy goat. So without prior understanding, I treated the horses wrongly, letting them run free and wild like the goat. The goat is tame, very hardy, no problem when times were bad, and able to forage on its own. But not the horses, some run really wild, jump over the fence and got lost.
It's only this year, I got the time to tend to them; and now understand that with horses, the most profitable time is when they won a race. Win a race, sell them. Old horses become dog food. So by now, I also found most of them, with all the unsupervised free running, have turned lame as well.
And everyone knows what to do with a lame horse... you shoot it.
So, 3 months ago, I shot one. And another one today. There's still 5 more in the stable. It's too painful to shoot them all at once.
Still, I'm doing my best to balance the portfolio.
Has 3 licensed-to-kill agents in the wing to deploy if the situation turns ugly. (Yes, it's 3, not 2 as wrongly mentioned in above post.) And also 2 moderators, who should be able to negotiate their way out of trouble on their own.
Made 2 agents do fox runs 2 weeks ago. Got into panic mode during the mission, but all is well.
One of the 2 agents made a split run - into Singapore and to a lame horse. Did not complete the fox run, but did a grasshopper hop from Singapore to a safe haven moderator. Also shot dead the lame horse and carry it to another safe haven moderator.
The other agent is still in the PIOF coop, still stealing chicken!

I think he will complete the fox run after stealing enough chicken, and return to base. Another grasshopper hop is possible, as I can't afford to have too many agents sleeping in their bases.
Will only know how many chicken I got with the fox runs tomorrow, after the penalty fees and costs are calculated. But I think it will be more productive than allowing the agents to sit on their bums doing nothing.