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 STOCK MARKET DISCUSSION V72, CNY RALLY !!

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Bonescythe
post Feb 14 2011, 11:44 AM

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QUOTE(sopol @ Feb 14 2011, 11:43 AM)
CI still climbing while mine still crawling.. sad.gif
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Slow and steady wins the game

Today sure close at Green !!! Tomorrow everyone can have a happy holiday, no need to worry about share prices.. smile.gif
Bonescythe
post Feb 14 2011, 11:54 AM

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QUOTE(sopol @ Feb 14 2011, 11:51 AM)
For those who like arreit...

Beats consensus, driven by new acquisitions

Maintain Buy. AAREIT’s 2010 RM41.4m realised net profit (+34% YoY) was within our expectation, but above consensus estimates by 12%. We continue to like AAREIT for its 7.7% 2011 yield (on par with 7.8% industry), and good earnings visibility and sustainability supported by long lease agreements with step-up features. We however lower our forecasts by 3-11% and DCF-based TP by 7 sen to RM1.12 to factor in slower-than-expected completion of three PKNS’s asset acquisitions.
Key highlights from 2010 results. 1) 34% YoY growth in realised net profit was mainly due to contributions from new assets i.e. Selayang Mall and Dana 13, both acquired in May’10. 2) Gearing is maintained at 0.36x as at Dec’10 and it is expected to hit 0.4x post-PKNS asset acquisitions. 3) AAREIT has proposed 1.7 sen DPU, bringing up 2010 total DPU to 7.3 sen (+2.3% YoY), in line.

More assets from new shareholder? AAREIT’s share price has performed well since Sep’10, up by 8%. We believe the rise was partly due to the emergence of new shareholder, PKNS (c. 30%) which provides AAREIT with more acquisition opportunities. AAREIT will be able to tap into PKNS’ property portfolio, including existing assets like De Palma Hotels, Wisma PKNS and future property projects like PJ Elevated City, PJ Sentral Garden City, Kelana Sports City, etc. As a start, AAREIT has proposed to buy Kompleks PKNS, SACC mall and Menara PKNS from PKNS in Sep 2010 for RM270m.

Lowering forecasts. We lower our 2011-12 net profit forecasts by 3-11% as we now expect the three PKNS asset acquisitions to complete in June’11 (previously Jan’11). We introduce 2013 forecast. We expect 3-year DPU CAGR of 4.8% to be driven by: 1) full year contributions from Dana 13 and Selayang Mall, 2) new assets i.e. Kompleks PKNS (retail) and SACC mall (retail) in Shah Alam, as well as Menara PKNS (office) in Petaling Jaya, and 3) rental hike from the existing assets. AAREIT’s investment property value is expected to rise by 30% to c.RM1.2b, from RM913.3m as at Dec ’10 post-PKNS asset acquisitions.
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I will wait for X-date smile.gif
Bonescythe
post Feb 14 2011, 12:03 PM

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QUOTE(sopol @ Feb 14 2011, 12:00 PM)
till then you buy at higher price  tongue.gif  buy la buy la now  biggrin.gif
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No la.. Quantity high, capital appreciation / depreciation will affect a lot..
Will continue to wait and poach the correct price.. Hehehe. While I play eye some quick profit counter.. smile.gif


Added on February 14, 2011, 12:20 pmWah.. All KLCI counter Green.. No red.. !!
Fuyoo!!!

This post has been edited by Bonescythe: Feb 14 2011, 12:20 PM
Bonescythe
post Feb 14 2011, 12:25 PM

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QUOTE(GIG@Z @ Feb 14 2011, 12:21 PM)
come share share .. what quick counters are u eyeing at XD
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KLCI counter's warrant.. Cheap and fast smile.gif Contra de wo.. Earn KFC meals only
Dunno hike over already anot

Dunno if you are ok with Genting Warrant smile.gif
Dunno Genting will go RM11 anot.. If yes.. warrant will be very drool.gif drool.gif drool.gif drool.gif

This post has been edited by Bonescythe: Feb 14 2011, 12:29 PM
Bonescythe
post Feb 14 2011, 12:35 PM

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QUOTE(GIG@Z @ Feb 14 2011, 12:31 PM)
klci warrant wats the price now ???
how do u calculate from the index value  never play warrant b4
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KLCI got 30 counter. Genting is 1 of them only.
Genting mothershare now at 10.1xx, and had been rising.
Warrant is a reflection of mothershare. But warrants are much cheaper, but comes with an expiry date.
Warrant can be exercise before due date, after due date.. So sorry, your warrant = dust
Warrant trader -> Trades warrant like share, and DO NOT INTEND to exercise them at all. Exercising them will cost you a bomb (For genting case)

There is a premium indicator in the warrant portfolio.. Etc, premium by how many % of the mothershare.
Remember, only trade those warrant that have volume, do not get stuck with trading low volume warrant.
Later even though you get a good amount of warrant, but no $$ to exercise, you will still be in deep sh*t.

Happy trading ya smile.gif
Bonescythe
post Feb 14 2011, 12:42 PM

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QUOTE(GIG@Z @ Feb 14 2011, 12:39 PM)
ooo warrant is like options for US stocks la correct ... warrant buy thru brokers as well ... we get leverage trading warrant  ... where can i find more info for trading klci warrant

tq so much
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But I am not trading KLCI warrant .. sad.gif
KLCI got 30 share counter in it.. Maybank, Public Bank and other heavyweights... Genting is one of them only
KLCI index is affected by all these 30 counters..

If all counters are Green, sure KLCI will go green. Just now, 27 counter in KLCI is green, 3 unchanged.. So KLCI index go up.

So i am not trading KLCI future or warrants or option.. I am trading Genting Warrant..
Just want you to get the correct info.. Later u got the wrong stuffs.
Bonescythe
post Feb 14 2011, 03:06 PM

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QUOTE(GIG@Z @ Feb 14 2011, 03:02 PM)
ho wah is raging ...... no chance for me to buy ... sad up 5% 2day (0.88)
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Why didn't buy earlier just now? Or last week sad.gif
But wait for opportunity.. Sometimes, you just do not need to hesitate.. That is share thumbup.gif thumbup.gif
Bonescythe
post Feb 14 2011, 03:25 PM

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JOTECH cooking quite vigorously
Bonescythe
post Feb 14 2011, 04:05 PM

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Despite KLCI heading upwards.. So much of an anxiety in my heads, and counters seem to be moving in a "fake" manner..

Haizh..
Bonescythe
post Feb 14 2011, 04:13 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Feb 14 2011, 04:07 PM)


Added on February 14, 2011, 4:09 pmmegb below 2.0 jor.  rclxub.gif
Confirmed got something wrong internally. It had went way down IPO..
Bonescythe
post Feb 14 2011, 04:40 PM

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QUOTE(2611 @ Feb 14 2011, 04:34 PM)
megb below rm 2 will trigger some panic sellings  doh.gif
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I nearly want to enter this counter already when things started to fall..
Tricky counter la.. Research paper say is undervalue, but prices does not reflect it, foreign fund like FF selling at loss.. Major shareholder disposing.. Do you people think it is still a good undervalue share? Still a good buy?
There are no news of any development, management not doing anything as well. Prices did not seems to be performing as well.

Maybe internal fighting.. sad.gif
Bonescythe
post Feb 14 2011, 04:58 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Feb 14 2011, 04:52 PM)
luckily i didn't buy more. looks like another freezer food now.  doh.gif
however, good divvi though, just treat it as reit then.  cool2.gif
i think its business is kind of monopoly (i mean, with the scholarship thing). so as soon as it able to get investor in, FF selling will be finished and price can move back to "normal" level.  blink.gif
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If volume is big, capital depreciation will affect a lot, and dividend not able to cover it.
Somehow, I will wait for it.. I think those big investor are pulling out to invest other place rather than putting there and grow dust (No movement at all, really can grow dust). With this, it it had made some chain effects, triggering some panic sell down, and mark a record low for this counter.

But as a big investor, that will be a good move, because market is moving, but money stuck at not much volume traded counter is really a bad move. No chance to hike at all. Waste all opportunity.

Bonescythe
post Feb 14 2011, 05:05 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Feb 14 2011, 05:02 PM)
9000 lots!....seems like the ff selling is not ended yet...


Added on February 14, 2011, 5:03 pm

grow dust i'm not afraid, just treat it as a FD. 
profit drop i afraid.  tongue.gif
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Hope something is up to it...
Maybe like issue warrants or stuffs
Bonescythe
post Feb 14 2011, 05:10 PM

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QUOTE(yok70 @ Feb 14 2011, 05:07 PM)
agree. the uptrend today doesn't look promising. can't consider a rebound.
however, wed is about the day where many fund managers back to work. so, it's a "hard to say" situation.  biggrin.gif
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More sh*t when they come back to work.. When they see so high, direct sell down.. Ouch
Bonescythe
post Feb 14 2011, 10:05 PM

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QUOTE(john123x @ Feb 14 2011, 09:39 PM)
MBSB highest yield?

prove it.... by data, not by ur questionable motive
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GO and check them...
http://www.mbsb.com.my/deposits/

Btw, the FD rate is ok ok lar... Quite flexible..
Bonescythe
post Feb 15 2011, 12:08 PM

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Peace out peace out... smile.gif smile.gif smile.gif
Bonescythe
post Feb 16 2011, 01:49 PM

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QUOTE(StupidGuyPlayComp @ Feb 16 2011, 11:51 AM)
smile.gif I saw many (most) ppl hurt by these VT's product...............

Buy high sell low, then the counter surge again, the small fish another times buy high sell low. Keep on hurt
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This counter need patience to play mah..
Bonescythe
post Feb 16 2011, 03:33 PM

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CI going up wor... 1504, but still red zone smile.gif
Bonescythe
post Feb 16 2011, 03:51 PM

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QUOTE(mazda626 @ Feb 16 2011, 03:39 PM)
if not mistaken, Insider, she accumulating since 2 mths ago. A director from Penang. I believe a private placement stuff.
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2 Mths ago -> Means selling at a lost?


Added on February 16, 2011, 3:52 pm
QUOTE(htt @ Feb 16 2011, 03:36 PM)
If magician report to work today, should have no problem to 'jump' to green tongue.gif
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Going soon...

This post has been edited by Bonescythe: Feb 16 2011, 03:52 PM
Bonescythe
post Feb 16 2011, 03:54 PM

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QUOTE(mazda626 @ Feb 16 2011, 03:53 PM)
i whack since at 65sen on december... tongue.gif
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I think you mean 6.5 sens? 65 sens, you will be bleeding like nothing...

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