QUOTE(Assassin @ Jan 16 2011, 11:44 AM)
With the recent natural disaster and weak export, do you think AU will go south soon after staying north for so long?
In short term, it may get affected with several considerations:1. Short term inflation threat due to rising raw material price since low supply on daily necessity including cooking; i.e price for tomato spikes up 20%; potato & banana up 10%
2. Jobs for rebuilding Queensland - job demand up but labour supply low (unemployment rate is at roughly 5%), may trigger rise paycheck
3. Interrupted export - not enough to export especially mining export
4. Money to rebuild
5. GDP will be reduced by 0.3% from estimation
6. Central bank has a tough decision either to maintain current interest rate for rebuilding or to increase for taming inflation
This post has been edited by David83: Jan 16 2011, 12:01 PM
Jan 16 2011, 11:49 AM

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