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Investment ICON CITY PJ | NEON | I-SOVO | ICON RESIDENZ [OT], A world class urban centre for you

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intoxicat
post Mar 30 2017, 01:50 PM

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Plenty of so called integrated development where developer will just sell almost everything including retail, and leave all the buyers in a lurch when completed.

What is the point to claim that a development is integrated but the developer is not retaining the retail and spend more money to make the retail a success?


With today's retail market, almost all retailers are looking for capex in order to open in malls that are semi successful, what more in a new unproven mall.
intoxicat
post Apr 3 2017, 01:56 PM

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QUOTE(mister_giam @ Apr 3 2017, 01:20 PM)
no i dont recall MS keep anything retail shops in their project either. by far i know they are holding icon city tower 5 as their asset only.
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How about Southgate?

Look at this write-up :- http://www.skyscrapercity.com/showthread.php?t=503955&page=5

What is happening to this "Shanghai@ themed Mall today?
intoxicat
post Apr 3 2017, 02:05 PM

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QUOTE(accetera @ Mar 30 2017, 11:08 PM)
The retail lots are actually meant for sale right from beginning. In fact the frontage ones are sold as 7- and 8-storey enblocs. These were known as the 30 Jewels last time. My personal opinion is that the design of the retail shops have a rather short width frontage.

The rest of the retail shops are those formerly known as "Gourmet Street" and central park shops with alfresco space. Those are meant for sale as well while the developer leaseback some, or rather most, of the units for their leasing team to work on since the vacant possession. Hopefully the many retail tenants will be confirmed soon and come in.

The Level 1 retail carpark, Level mezzanine and Level 2 carparks and two basement level carparks are also sold to Pelaburan Hartanah Bhd as a carpark investment. Total = 1,967 bays.
http://www.phb.com.my/carPark.html

During my time there when they haven't installed the autopay system, PHB outsourced to a third party carpark operator to operate the carpark on their behalf who is charging RM5 per entry. This means most people do not park inside the carpark levels, they just park at visitor carparks. Hopefully when they start the autopay system, the rates will come down accordingly by hourly.
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They actually wanted to keep the retail mall, see this write-up :-

http://www.theedgemarkets.com/my/article/m...-icon-city-mall

The deal was subsequently aborted after a huge fanfare.

How many purchasers have relied on this information to depart with their hard-earned money to invest in the project?

Now, someone tried to paint a positive picture that all is moving in the positive direction with the proposed opening of Secret R, a few convenience stores etc. Made me laugh my S out.
intoxicat
post Apr 3 2017, 10:32 PM

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QUOTE(accetera @ Apr 3 2017, 07:04 PM)
This joint venture for the proposed mall refers to Phase 2 which is not built or launched at all yet. Not the existing Icon City (Phase 1: 5+2+1 blocks). It's clearly mentioned in the article. There is no mall in Phase 1.
There is another 10 acres vacant land next to Icon City earmarked for Phase 2, which now includes the future developer HQ block. My prediction is Phase 2 is planned for 2019 onwards.

Hope there is no confusion between Phase 1 and Phase 2. All these while the retail mall is for Phase 2.

user posted image
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Thanks for clarifying the 2 phases.

I am actually aware that the mall will be on Phase 2. However, when Phase 1 was marketed, buyers were told that there will be a mall and with the announcement on the cooperation with Thailand’s Central Pattanna Pcl (which happens to be the largest shopping mall operator in Thailand), wouldn't a purchaser back in 2011 had a reasonable expectation that the mall will be opened "not too long" after Phase 1 being delivered?

As Phase 1 was delivered in 2016, a reasonable period for the mall to open would be say, a year or so later.

Now you said it will be "planned 2019 onwards", which could mean that the mall will open 10 years later!?

Questions :-

1. Back in 2011, if a purchaser knew that the mall would only open after 2019, would the purchaser still proceeded to buy his unit?

2. If the answer to Q1 is yes, would the purchaser still agreed to pay the "so-called integrated" development price for their office and/or SOFO units?

I advocate transparency in any marketing activities because we are asked to depart with our hard earned money.
intoxicat
post Apr 4 2017, 09:36 AM

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QUOTE(BEANCOUNTER @ Apr 4 2017, 01:29 AM)
back in 2011, everything was rosy...if the property prices can ride on 2011 sentiments for the next 10yrs, am sure MS will surely open the mall 'not long' after completion of phase 1.

now its a hard fact the malls are truly and overly supplied in KV. it will be committal suicide if MS proceed to open the mall in the next 2-3 years.

same thing with BBCC TRX BDR MALAYSIA all comes with malls.....if you believe in their vision and execution...then part your hard earned cash in these projects.

when the economic turns south....got mall could hurt the apartments too.
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There are a few other integrated developments that were launched around the same time back in 2010-2011 together with this development, namely :-

1. Sunway Velocity, launched April 2011. Velocity Shopping opened December 2016.

2. Uptown Residences, launched end of 2011. Stirling Mall opened January 2017.

Why the other developers can deliver on their malls despite the challenging market?

Whether there are too many malls in KV, is a separate issue. The point here is developer promised a mall when they were selling the overpriced products (which were overpriced to fund their cash flow to build the mall), but failed to deliver on time.

Argument that the apartments/offices may not necessarily do well even with the presence of the mall, is again a separate issue.

Its like you invest in Bandar Malaysia because of the HSR, and after VP, you are told that it is still in planning stage......enough said.
intoxicat
post Apr 4 2017, 09:42 AM

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QUOTE(accetera @ Apr 4 2017, 09:15 AM)
The central pattana mall is mostly exploring stage. It didn't happen.

Today, a property does not necessarily will do well with a mall, even with a mall that has some footfall.

The secondary market is based on demand and supply factors, needs-based factors, affordability factors and the comparative benchmarking sense, ie where else can I get a property of similar price.
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I am afraid you miss the issue here, whether the property does well or otherwise in an integrated development is not the issue here.

The issue is, when you have charged a purchaser premium on the selling price due to the future incorporation of a mall, but subsequently renege in delivering this promise.

Perhaps, to make you understand the issue better, BBCC is being sold today with Mitsui Fudosan managing their mall and TRX with Lend Lease managing their mall. Purchasers of either project, have expectations that their properties would be easily rented out due to presence of footfall. How would these purchasers felt, if the mall that was promised is to be deferred indefinitely after VP?
intoxicat
post Apr 9 2017, 04:20 PM

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QUOTE(papadon @ Apr 9 2017, 12:03 PM)
all said and done - the quality of my unit is very good. i only had ONE complaint - water mark above toilet bowl which i hope is easily rectified.

i'm impressed with their customer office, management office, overall quality of materials used, the park landscaping and even the underground carpark isn't HOT like many other malls - the airflow is good.

not interested in all the punting comments i.e. this will fail because 1,2,3 or this will be a success because 1,2,3 - what's important to me is the finishing is good (not sure other blocks - i'm in T2 residence) and i'm OK with the price I paid.

i'm playing the long game - so i know in 10-15 years once I've paid off the loan, the rental cashflow will be decent. to all owners, let's work together to make it a good place - JMB will be an important next step.
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I am glad that you are happy with your purchase.

Your assumption is you could easily lease out your unit, a fact which I doubt very much for this development because every now and then I pass by this site at night, I see total darkness without any lights.

Another fact which you may have missed out is the monthly service charge and sinking fund that you have to pay.

Another disadvantage that I have pointed out earlier is the absence of the retail mall element for the foreseeable future for this development, despite promises made by the developer earlier.

I am however amazed that you feel paying for an office unit for an integrated price is fine despite the subsequent absence of the retail element.

This development may have similar fate with PjX and PJ8.
intoxicat
post Apr 12 2017, 03:25 PM

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QUOTE(cannible @ Apr 12 2017, 03:17 PM)
I have made a simple calculation based on assumptions you have using the rate of return evaluation of free cash flow.
It turns out the investment will be at a loss of rate of return 1.23% per annum if the property price is to sell at 30% increase price only after 15 years. The reality is that if the loan interest is at 4+% a year, the increment of capital price should be more than bank interest of 4% and additional of another 3 to 3.5% of inflation to each year, which means increase of property price should be at 7-8% with a quick calculation. Should  price increment is less than that, the investment will be at a loss and bank earns the investment returns from that property.
The IRR should be above the inflation rate or the fixed deposit rate or any bench mark % if this cash were to use in another investment which could fetch a certain %, e.g opportunity cost.

Something to share.
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I totally agree.

In fact the assumptions used have not catered for the estate agents' fees of 2% of selling price, which would be around 16k, and also the commercial sewerage charge during the vacancy of the property.

Another expense item missing is the refurbishment cost to be incurred from time to time after a tenant moves out.


 

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