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 US stock discussion v3, Double Bottom coming?

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danmooncake
post May 20 2011, 10:11 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ May 20 2011, 10:01 AM)
What area being said worldwide:
People are looking to buy anything that has the words 'social networking' in it," said Michael Yoshikami, chief investment strategist with YCMNET Advisors in Walnut Creek, Calif., which does not own LinkedIn share
It was very reminiscent of the good old days in Silicon Valley when a company trades on sentiment, not fundamentals," Yoshikami said
But LinkedIn's spectacular first day of trading revived memories of the dot-com era of the late 1990s — a bubble that, of course, ended in disaster as technology stocks crashed in the early 2000s
The closing price gave the Mountain View, Calif., company an eye-popping market value of nearly $9 billion, 37 times 2010 revenue of $243 million. By way of comparison, job hunting site Monster.com, a product of the first Internet boom, has a market cap of $1.9 billion, a paltry 1.7 times sales

Investors are betting on the prospects of a company that has established itself as the leader in professional networking with three revenue streams: online ads, premium subscriptions and hiring tools for recruiters.

Mutual funds, pension funds and other major money managers snapped up most of LinkedIn's shares. Hot IPOs typically are sold only to investment banks' top customers.
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Agree.. that's like mad gold rush..

Closing update:
Dow 12605.32 +45.14 +0.36%
Nasdaq 2823.31 +8.31 +0.30%
S&P500 1343.60 +2.92 +0.22%

LNKD 94.25 +49.25 (+109.44%)

LinkedLn closed at 94.25. It was pretty volatile on day 1, went as high as $120. Got to be careful trading this. sweat.gif

This is suppose to be a $45/stock, 4.5bln value, 30x PE, at $90, it is 60x times PE.

If LinkedLn can do this on day one, think of Facebook IPO in future. That would be super massive!
danmooncake
post May 20 2011, 10:34 PM

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Opex day..market in sea of red at open. Profit taking now for the weekend.

LNKD back above $100.. but I don't think it will hold.
Unfortunately, can't short this yet.




danmooncake
post May 21 2011, 12:17 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ May 20 2011, 11:43 PM)
I was hoping to short at 107 but still rejected... mad.gif
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Yes, can't short yet. But if you want to scalp, try to buy a little below 100 and just sell above that level to day or swing trade.

Tonight, general market pulling back. Money being taken out for the weekend but should hold at support.
Volatility dying - calls and puts premium will decay.
danmooncake
post May 24 2011, 09:12 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ May 24 2011, 12:38 AM)
Another doomsday...
Another excuse to short the market.

Still can't short MOFO LNKD... Imagine if short @ 119 x 200 shares..

Options still not available.
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Good evening!

LNKD shares now available to short today but it is very few.
The PUT options market will be available by Thursday evening.

LNKD now at 86. Could be a bit dangerous to short here because of the short float and
could trigger short squeeze if there is a surge of demand.
Since today market is up, it will probably be pumped up again above $90 before get taken down.
I'll wait on this.

CAT working out nicely for me.. so does AAPL. Ready to sell into this mini pop tonight.
danmooncake
post May 25 2011, 09:00 PM

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Good evening,

Did anyone see that futures dip horribly after close overnight because of Greece concerns again?
Now, they're better but I think we'll see more long risky position being unwind-ed today.
So, I'm ready to scalp on the short side tonight.

Tonight, stock to watch:AIG. US govt unloading 'em.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: May 25 2011, 09:05 PM
danmooncake
post May 26 2011, 07:40 AM

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QUOTE(prophetjul @ May 26 2011, 07:29 AM)
AGQ s stirr-ing again................    rclxms.gif

The rest of the PM stks are just lagging............  sad.gif
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Everything seems to be bouncing back up overnight. rclxms.gif

Dow 12394.66 +38.45 +0.31%
Nasdaq 2761.38 +15.22 +0.55%
S&P500 1320.47 +4.19 +0.32%

Exit some of my AAPL trading shares.

That's good.. tonight, maybe up a little more for me to short into the long weekend. tongue.gif


danmooncake
post May 26 2011, 11:43 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ May 26 2011, 10:14 AM)
Sold half and keeping half. Will it breaks $300 again?
Duh, was waiting for Apple to be at 330.00 before entry and now its too little too late.
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No, not too late. I believe, AAPL will attempt to test 50MA and may fail again, so you'll get another chance
when it dips again to 330. June will be here next week and it could be bearish for the rest of this low volume 'summer' month in US.

Same goes for QQQ, below that 50MA.. but will test it again but may not break above due to bearish 'summer' month.

Good luck!

This post has been edited by danmooncake: May 26 2011, 11:43 AM
danmooncake
post May 26 2011, 09:00 PM

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QUOTE(ronn77 @ May 26 2011, 12:07 PM)
U see, last year May investors are worried on european crisis and this year May is having the same cycle. I think it more like a routine news to pull market lower before they re-enter again.
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Yes, indeed. It is call shaking the tree, weak hands will sell. The big funds are selling the risky stocks now and they're going all in again perhaps after July.


danmooncake
post May 31 2011, 08:50 PM

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Good evening,

US market is back after long weekend.. last day of the month for window dressing before they head into summer month of low volume. I'm going to sell into this pop tonight (still got some AAPL calls spread).

Interesting news for AAPL vs. Samsung. I don't think AAPL will comply because that's like revealing their secrets all out in the open.

For this week, everyone will be waiting for the job number (for May) this Friday.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: May 31 2011, 08:51 PM
danmooncake
post Jun 1 2011, 04:25 AM

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Closing for end of May
Dow 12569.79 +128.21 +1.03%
Nasdaq 2835.30 +38.44 +1.37%
S&P500 1345.20 +14.10 +1.06%

AAPL +10.42 (3.09%). Nice! rclxms.gif
Steve Jobs going to appear in next week Apple Developer
Conference certainly is giving this a boost! thumbup.gif

My AAPL calls exploded up 90% tonight. rclxm9.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jun 1 2011, 04:27 AM
danmooncake
post Jun 1 2011, 09:03 PM

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Time to dump tonight at open. ADP (private job growth) numbers are pretty bad.. only 38k versus 177k (April).
Here we go, market looking for excuse to sell again once we're back up at the top of the channel.
So, let's go with the momo to south.


Added on June 2, 2011, 5:32 am
QUOTE(t5t @ May 29 2011, 07:13 PM)
Conclusion
Lets wait for all the sign to be bullish that is when this index will rebound up for another positive round

Entry Price 12400
Resistance at 12866
Support at 12359

Source: http://edwinextremebullrun.blogspot.com/20...-and-go-up.html
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Support at 12359 taken out by the bears! laugh.gif

June 1st closing price @ NYSE
Dow 12290.14 -279.65 -2.22%
Nasdaq 2769.19 -66.11 -2.33%
S&P500 1314.55 -30.65 -2.28%

AAPL still looking good (-2.32 -0.67%) despite -2.33% pull back on the Nasdaq.

Looking to rebuy AAPL again shortly. nod.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jun 2 2011, 05:39 AM
danmooncake
post Jun 7 2011, 08:54 PM

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QUOTE(edwin32us @ Jun 6 2011, 01:56 AM)
Look that is broke the support at 12289 and diving down to next support at 11876.

This counter form a lower low instead of rebound  sweat.gif
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Yesterday was another puke day. So, shorts working out nicely so far.
Tonight permarket is greenish.. time to cover and wait for short entry again.

3 more weeks to QE2 ending. smile.gif
danmooncake
post Jun 8 2011, 02:24 AM

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QUOTE(ronn77 @ Jun 7 2011, 11:14 PM)
Any ideas what happened to China IT stocks? Seems dropping like nobody business. YOKU and DANG taking a huge hit.
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Yes, all the new speculative Chinese Internet stocks with no earnings been taken to the wash house during this take down. The funds are selling those with high PEs.

The US financials (WFC, C, BAC and JPM) also got whacked big time.

BAC - 52 weeks low.
C - back to last year price. C after the reverse split, it has been downhill ever since.
WFC - downgraded to sell.
JPM - holding support at 40.50 so far. If this fails, then bye bye $40.

Financials are performing horribly since last month.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jun 8 2011, 02:26 AM
danmooncake
post Jun 8 2011, 08:56 PM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jun 8 2011, 10:39 AM)
That's the danger. YOKU off high from 60's early April to now mid 30's.
Same pattern of YOKU and DANG.

The only China stock that I ever traded was Jewelery - now below $10 due to accounting fraud.  doh.gif  It was also Dan's favorite stock. Can't recalled the name now.

http://chinhdangvu.blogspot.com/2011/06/ch...-dogged-by.html
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It was FUQI. It was completely FUcQ'ed now. Nothing but OTC pink sheet. It was a nice short after accounting shortfall. smile.gif
Don't INVEST in any of the speculative Chinese stocks especially if they've been listed only the last 2-3 years.
Only use them as short term trading vehicle.

Yes, that article highlights the big issues about reverse-merger technique used by many Chinese companies seeking listing in major market like NYSE but can't cope up with the strict accounting standards resulting in reinstatement that could shock many investors. Their bookkeeping in China is totally different from the world GAAP. Perhaps only big companies like BIDU perhaps able to hire enough accountants or auditors to keep two different systems in check.


danmooncake
post Jun 9 2011, 07:32 AM

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QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jun 8 2011, 10:11 PM)
Thanks Dan.. FUQI... sounds dirty in malay... whistling.gif
Market sideways again today.
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LOL! It fits perfectly for this company. Totally horrible management. Used to like it but ends up hating it.

Anyway, market is going down this month .. one step at a time. I was expecting big -3 digits but I guess we won't see that until Dow breaks below 12000. I'm going big time short there.

Dow 12048.94 -21.87 -0.18%
Nasdaq 2675.38 -26.18 -0.97%
S&P500 1279.56 -5.38 -0.42%

There were rubbish chatter about QE3 but I seriously doubt that the US govt going to do that since QE2 failed to uplift the economy. All ending up devaluing the US dollar even more and forcing unreasonable hike in commodities and energy prices. China now scare sh*t in pants because of the large amount of treasury they're holding.

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jun 9 2011, 07:33 AM
danmooncake
post Jun 9 2011, 08:22 PM

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QUOTE(ronn77 @ Jun 9 2011, 11:13 AM)
That's true, technical chart only serve as a platform for indication of where the price likely heading to, however it still lack of human sense and judgement. I'm eager on China techie stocks but normally these companies lack of transparencies and mis-management so any single issue probed will make the shares price halved in just matter of days. Banking stocks is dying since beginning of 2011, in fact heading backwards compared to 2010 level (I'm still stuck with my AIG and C). Metals has been rising since this year and still looks expensive despite correction in past couple of months.
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Metals and mining indeed still holding up so far but it is begun some declining, yet not as much the major indexes.
Looking at TCK and FCX. Both are beginning to look attractive again. I'm thinking of buying some deep in money calls leaps. IMO, both TCK and FCX will surge up once the China's tightening begin pause despite what US may or may not do in the 2nd half.

Also, Energy prices are still holding up very well. Oil still above $100 mark. It is a like a magnet. Oil goons won't let it drop below $100 for too long and they've bid it up again despite no major shortage of Oil.

Will we see a 10% correction? If so, that would be sweet spot to load up. So far, we got 6.5% it is getting closer to phase 1 bottom. Buy signal could be here soon. Get ready!

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jun 9 2011, 08:23 PM
danmooncake
post Jun 10 2011, 10:07 PM

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QUOTE(ronn77 @ Jun 10 2011, 10:08 AM)
You are gurus in precious metal and commodity counters so maybe you want to share the info with us when you enter any of these stocks for our guidance  notworthy.gif
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I'm just watching TCK, FCX (copper mining) and GLD, SLV (Gold and Silver ETF).

Tonight is another expected blood bath because yesterday is head fake for bulls. smile.gif

Watching to see if DOW will break below 12000 here. If so, we'll see a quick deceleration down.
Energy price pulls back because of OPEC.. but don't expect much.

Let see how it goes. Bears have continue to win for the past 6 weeks.
Trend is still downwards. So, no hurry to buy until trend change.


danmooncake
post Jun 13 2011, 02:59 AM

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QUOTE(ronn77 @ Jun 12 2011, 08:34 PM)
No matter what level is the support, many stocks already reach attractive prices to enter. Probably by this end of month should get our bullets in to enjoy the 2nd half fruitful year.
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Correct! 10% re-tracement from April high almost here.
Ready to back up the lorry for loading up. drool.gif



danmooncake
post Jun 14 2011, 02:26 AM

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QUOTE(ronn77 @ Jun 13 2011, 11:45 PM)
I'm looking into China's Amazon  biggrin.gif
"DANG" which right now is only $12.00.
However a bit worried that despite looks attractive but next few weeks it may become either $20 or $2.
Does it worth the risks?
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It depends how risk tolerant you are.

11.50 tonight another -12% haircut. Definitely a big hit on the short sellers list for now.
DANG does not seem to have any reported earnings for now.



danmooncake
post Jun 14 2011, 09:52 AM

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QUOTE(ronn77 @ Jun 14 2011, 07:43 AM)
I'm quite a risk takers investors but I'm just worried if the downtrend may persist on this counter or laggards below $10 for years to come. Very scary to see that everyday it's dropping despite the low price but do not want to hold another GM that I bought 3 years ago.
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Well, GM -> at least you know what it is doing. It has balance sheets, earnings, and real products.

For DANG,.. it is a wild card. Who knows, throw a dart, hope for bulls eye.

If you're bullish -> buy it
If you're bearish -> short it laugh.gif


Anyway, back to market. Anyone noticed that the banks seems to be going the other direction here?
The last two trading sessions are tell tale. They're first to go down during the correction and if they rally ahead, that could be bulls are just around the corner. Be sure to watch the financial sector. nod.gif

This post has been edited by danmooncake: Jun 14 2011, 09:53 AM

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