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 REIT V2, Real Estate Investment Trust

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wongmunkeong
post May 13 2011, 12:52 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ May 13 2011, 11:33 AM)
Not actually.

For office space, yes for near future 2-3 years time, yes.
For residential market, supply = demand at the moment.
Whether the demand is speculative demand, this is different perspective.

Do remember once the property market slow down, developers generally cut down the supply.
Supply can be elastic one based on demand.

For reit, there are different class, Mall, Office, Industrial, Hospitality.
Some are under long term lease, some are not.

So the effect of property slump will affect different reit at different degree.
Those under long term lease will have least impact.


Added on May 13, 2011, 11:35 am

If reit price is going down, while its earning still maintain, aka same dividend, it makes the reit more attractive as yield become higher.

Buying reit, is all about yield.
Don't buy reit if intended to get capital gain.
Capital gain is a bonus and shouldn't be first consideration when buying reit.
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notworthy.gif I'll be jumping in joy with U when REITs' market (not value) price goes down WHILE it's quantum of dividend remains (DY% moves higher) - time to go on a shopping spree for REITs thumbup.gif
wongmunkeong
post May 13 2011, 05:44 PM

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QUOTE(omgimnoob @ May 13 2011, 04:30 PM)
Not now...Jun will have special discount according to Feng Shui
*
Cool - June's birthday gift rclxms.gif
I'm armed and ammo prepared for the great hunt (of value) brows.gif
wongmunkeong
post May 16 2011, 11:42 PM

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QUOTE(HJebat @ May 16 2011, 11:26 PM)
cherroy, do you have the formula to calculate net yield?

How to minus the witholding tax from the yield%?
5-6% really doesn't attract my attention whistling.gif

I'm looking for 12-13%.

So, at the moment, i store my ammo in ASW arsenal.

Waiting for the right moment to declare war laugh.gif

Here's to our huat & fatt together! cheers.gif
*
Even when i bought at end 2008 and early 2009, my net DY% never hit 12%pa to 13%pa leh. TOTAL returns got lar - inclusive of capital gains, but pure net DY%, elek
Perhaps another round of WORSE crisis, then can hit lor tongue.gif

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: May 16 2011, 11:42 PM
wongmunkeong
post May 17 2011, 07:11 AM

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QUOTE(HJebat @ May 17 2011, 12:49 AM)
Not pure net DY%pa...
If i'm not mistaken, it's just the normal yield for Axis or is it Atrium during the crisis hitting 12-13%.
So, say, i bought Axis/Atrium at 13% yield, how do i minus the 10% witholding tax?
After the 10%, i don't think i'll get 12-13%, maybe around 10-11%...

Crisis, crisis where art thou?
zam zam ala kazam...
show me the money tomorow moneyflies.gif
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Heheh - my apologies HJebat. I track my investments in "net profit/loss" form, thus i disregard the gross DY%, not in my pocket = waffor, gimme false hope only that stats sweat.gif
wongmunkeong
post May 17 2011, 10:55 AM

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QUOTE(Evening @ May 17 2011, 10:39 AM)
Human style alwys like that .... tongue.gif
*
Thus, knowing this, perhaps a cold logical approach (no fear / greed) methodology can help? brows.gif
wongmunkeong
post May 18 2011, 05:13 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ May 18 2011, 04:59 PM)
I don't think I have 45 more years...  biggrin.gif
So less stock market crash scene for me may be.  tongue.gif  laugh.gif

Actually live through a crisis, is a valuable experience, which can be beneficiary for future.
*
What doesn't kill U, makes U stronger?
Sometimes, when actually GOING THROUGH it, U may wish it kills U OR U may have an out of body experience tongue.gif

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: May 18 2011, 05:13 PM
wongmunkeong
post May 19 2011, 07:56 AM

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HJebat, my calc of per transaction's net profit / loss, even if still held (thus pre-calculated), assumes:

Current Closing Price (or selling price if i just sold)
+ Dividends Received

Less Costs:
Purchase cost
Selling Cost (pre-calculated)

and divided into 364.25 days pa of time between purchase and selling to get XX%pa profit/loss

The ears? "" - i like ears, nice to hold, especially beautiful women's tongue.gif
Seriously though, i put "" as it's my personal definition of net profit / loss, even if still held. Some people tracks net profit / loss held without including the cost IF sold now. I'm more pessimistic that way brows.gif
wongmunkeong
post May 19 2011, 12:20 PM

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QUOTE(HJebat @ May 19 2011, 11:34 AM)
I can't get the bolded part...

Current closing price + Dividends : RM2.25
Less costs : RM1.55
Bought in 2008 & assume that i sell in 2011.
How do i do the math when i reach the bolded part? hmm.gif
*
To be clearer, i'll use the example below. Your data needs to be more specific in terms of Dividend amount, date bought (2008 isn't a date, it's a year), date sold tongue.gif

Eg.
Bought: 1/1/2008
Bought at $1
Units: 3,000

Dividends: $0.10 single tier

Sold: 30/06/2009
Sold at $1.20
Units: 3,000

a. Cost of Purchase = ($1 * 3,000) +brokerage +stamp duty
I'll assume here that Cost of Purchase = $3,043

b. BEP = Cost of purchase - Net Dividend received, say $3,043 - $300 = $2,743

c. Net Profit = Sales - (brokerage + stamp duty) - BEP,
say $3,600 -$21 -$2,743 = $836


Thus the pa% returns calculation based on the above (in Excel formula) would be:
((BEP +Net Profit) / BEP) ^(1 / (Date Sold -Date Purchased) /364.25) -1

where: (BEP +Net Profit) / BEP = simple Profit % (er.. minus 1 please from here)
where: (Date Sold -Date Purchased) = days held. Dividing this by 364.25 days will get U years
where: ^(1 / blah blah). The basic formula is derived from S = P * (1+%)^n

Anyone rclxub.gif yet? heheh - it looks simple in Excel. Any maths genius can check the above? I just translated it from my Excel spreadsheet from interpretation of the cells' data - did my spreadsheet (finalized) several years ago wub.gif

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: May 19 2011, 01:07 PM
wongmunkeong
post May 21 2011, 05:30 PM

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QUOTE(debbieyss @ May 21 2011, 05:23 PM)
kmarc, thanks for the reply.

I'm comparing between REITs and Mutual Fund and actual property.

After super much study and considerations, the conclusion i get is - CASH is always the king, the rest comes later. laugh.gif
*
Cash is KING... of opportunities brows.gif
Like any investments, i think it all depends on what are U after? What's your time horizon, what's your expectations (returns pa, risks, etc.), what's your entry & exit rules to manage these expectations?
eg. Dont lar say U want to use the $ in 1 year's time AND THEN dump the lump $um into an equity mutual fund. High probability of not meeting your expectations.
eg2. Dont lar expect plonking yr $ into an FD for 5 years (yearly term) and coming out tops based on effective returns pa. UNLESS there's a (highly improbable) high deflation within those 5 years

wongmunkeong
post May 22 2011, 03:33 PM

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QUOTE(HJebat @ May 22 2011, 03:24 PM)
wong,
thanks for your effort. Appreciate it thumbup.gif
I tried but failed spectacularly doh.gif  laugh.gif
Not up to your standard yet.
Nonetheless, i'll keep your formula for future reference.
*
HJebat, there's no bad students, just baka teachers tongue.gif. Concepts i can simplify, formulas.. that's my kryptonite laugh.gif BTW, i was a B or C only student during skooldaze, thus perhaps i can't simplify mathematical equations as well as concepts sweat.gif

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: May 22 2011, 03:34 PM
wongmunkeong
post May 26 2011, 01:24 PM

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QUOTE(cwhong @ May 26 2011, 01:09 PM)
...Weighted dividend yields continued to compress in the second half of 2010, thanks to the strong stock price rally. The weighted dividend yield for Asian REITs contracted further to 5.36 per cent as of the end of 2010, from 6.86 per cent recorded in mid-2010 and 9.62 per cent as of the end of 2008. As investors required a much higher dividend yield during the downturn, REITs were reluctant to add new assets to their portfolio as any new acquisitions would have had a diluting effect on dividend yield. “As dividend yield has been compressed to the level close to yields for physical assets, REITs are expected to turn more active in sourcing new investment objects,” said Danny Mohr, Executive Director, International Valuation, Asia for CB Richard Ellis.
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And thus Value is found elsewhere, $ flows to elsewhere, REITs $ goes lower, DY% increase and Value Folks waiting for REITs buffet feast! brows.gif
Ok ok - it works for other Asset Types too
wongmunkeong
post Jun 11 2011, 08:15 PM

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QUOTE(KVReninem @ Jun 11 2011, 08:09 PM)
Guys, what is DPU?
*
http://sreitinvestor.blogspot.com/2009/11/...dpu-and_13.html

Distribution Per Unit
wongmunkeong
post Jul 13 2011, 09:01 PM

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QUOTE(Bonescythe @ Jul 13 2011, 08:39 PM)
Just a fast recap.. Lazy to check Arreit portfolio

What is Arreit main focus in reit? Office space? Or retail? Or what?

Thanks..
*
Mixed bro

Holiday Villa Alor Setar + Langkawi
South City Plaza
Selayang Mall, Selayang

SEGI College, Subang Jaya + SEGI University College
W. AmanahRaya, Jln Ampang + Bhd
Wisma UEP SJ
Dana 13, PJ

Permatis Factory, Bangi
Kontena Nasional Distr Ctr 11
AIC Factory, Shah Alam
Silver Bird Factory, Shah Alam
Gurun Automotive Whse

whew...

I finally gave up queuing at $0.905 and took a small bite at 0.91. Bloody thing kept ignoring 0.905 for a few days & stayed at 0.91, gross DY shd be about 8% at that cost cry.gif

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Jul 14 2011, 10:01 AM
wongmunkeong
post Jul 14 2011, 10:00 AM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jul 14 2011, 09:37 AM)
Must have patience when investing. brows.gif Otherwise it is your emotion and not your brain making the decision to buy/sell.  tongue.gif
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Bro - i've been waiting for about 1 mth+ to "die-worse-ifie" into plantation (BSDREIT) & others (ARREIT was just an opportunity drop) heheh.

Backside itchy tongue.gif - bonus $ sitting in mortgage account saving/making me only 4.4%pa. + just a week ago, sold off a property, thus more idle $ allocated for REITs & Properties to be used. Just a small bite (not the whole shebang) used yesterday, no "lion open big mouth" method blush.gif
wongmunkeong
post Jul 14 2011, 11:23 AM

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QUOTE(alcibald @ Jul 14 2011, 11:17 AM)
@wongmunkeong: wahhh.... looks like things are going great. When wanna belanja us mamak? LOL
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Bro Alcibald - the property not much nar, cash-on-cash returns about 45% to 50% only for 1.5years. Not like 100% to 200% like some bros here. If U talking about bonus - heheh, if U are one of my team members, already belanja big makan liao tongue.gif.

My worries now is how NOT TO HOLD too much in cash and pump in into REITs of value (gross DY >=7% OR Price/NAPS <=70%, ROE >=8%, D/E <=0.8) - hard to find. IMHO, direct properties now a bit nuts, not of value for rental yield (i'm not a flipper).

This post has been edited by wongmunkeong: Jul 14 2011, 11:24 AM
wongmunkeong
post Jul 15 2011, 11:54 AM

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QUOTE(august.decision @ Jul 15 2011, 11:47 AM)
hmm...may i know that if arreit annual dividend is 8%, after the tax 25%, v only get 6%nett dividend?
*
er.. i thought all REITs' tax = 10% by law (if registered/setup as REITs lar).
wongmunkeong
post Jul 15 2011, 03:35 PM

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QUOTE(august.decision @ Jul 15 2011, 03:29 PM)
yes...i use a nominee account...
har...then lost many $$ due to the bank changes...
any other way to buy reit or share ?

thanks for the 10% tax clarification...
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Bro - last time (say about 3 years+ back), HLeB used to charge my nominee a/c service charges too in regards to dividends. However, i've noticed about 2 years back, they stopped charging biggrin.gif.
NOTE: I'm not a HLeB staff or related other than a customer, k. Definitely not helping them sell sell sell tongue.gif
wongmunkeong
post Jul 15 2011, 03:46 PM

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QUOTE(august.decision @ Jul 15 2011, 03:43 PM)
thanks for the info that HLeB didnt charge nominee a/c...but it is special for loyal user or same with new user too?
*
zhen zhen waka ri nae (i really dunno) tongue.gif

I'm not loyal - i moved from MBB to HLeB coz of the $ sitting in HLeB makes me % + cost is lower too. er.. i'm also no big shot, kuci rat investor, now kuci rat trader as well blush.gif
wongmunkeong
post Jul 15 2011, 03:53 PM

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QUOTE(august.decision @ Jul 15 2011, 03:51 PM)
ur statement of "$ sitting in HLeB makes me % + cost is lower too" mean what? what cost occur and what % given?
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$ sitting in my HLeB a/c attracts interest every month higher than savings a/c - i think it's nearly equals to FD 1mth term or 2.

Cost = brokerage is 0.38% or $12, whichever higher.
wongmunkeong
post Jul 15 2011, 04:09 PM

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QUOTE(august.decision @ Jul 15 2011, 04:04 PM)
HLeB a/c is normal or current or special account? wow...the interest is consider high oo...
*
er.. bro, i dont know how to answer that Q of yours leh. Mine's a nominee a/c with HLeB, not CDS

U may want to get it from the horses mouth: www.hlebroking.com
Their helpdesk is very erm.. helpful heheh. tongue.gif

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