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 REIT V2, Real Estate Investment Trust

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SKY 1809
post Mar 20 2010, 03:43 PM

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REITS do have the future.

It is one of the effective tools to accumulate your retirement funds.

Lower tax at 10% and with quarterly dividends. The law does force REITS to pay out at least 90% of the realized incomes to you as investors. Average Yield is about 8% p.a ( + - ). Not counting capital gain if any.

In view of more good quality companies recently taken into private ( such as Hume, IOI properties etc ), REITS are of better choice. Many more to come. REITS could be the answer to some of your needs such as earning good and regular ( passive ) dividends./Incomes.

You are more like a landlord of some good properties, without having the burden to collect the rentals on your own.

Highly portable as you may switch from one to another ( charges involved ) . Having a traditional property needs time to sell. Hard to sell by piece. You could do so in REITS by way of 100 units per transaction.

More matured people should strongly consider this form of passive and regular incomes.

Likewise beginners should start their investments by way of REITS, before venturing into other stocks.

Just my view.

Happy Investing to all.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 3 2010, 10:21 AM
SKY 1809
post Mar 20 2010, 10:04 PM

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QUOTE(Prince_Hamsap @ Mar 20 2010, 09:53 PM)
Bargain for would-be unitholders, heartache for current unitholders who wanted to cash out anytime soon. cry.gif
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Logically REITs are for long term, cashing out due to short term investment objective may not work.

On the other hand, if you do DCA if unit price sinks , you may find your average effective yield goes up in the long run. Unit price may go up if tenant is found.

The exceptional case is they cannot find a tenant at all.

Then you can blame it on luck again cool2.gif
SKY 1809
post Mar 21 2010, 12:08 AM

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QUOTE(Jordy @ Mar 20 2010, 11:26 PM)
Either that, or the REIT management company couldn't find a replacement CEO after half a year. Lets not forget the due date for ATRIUM to find a replacement for its vacated CEO post is end of April. Until now, I think we still have no news on it. I do have a substantial amount in ATRIUM at ABP of 0.74, which is not a bad price. I am getting very good income from ATRIUM alone, so I would feel bad if I had to let it go close to the deadline.

Anybody has any idea what would happen if ATRIUM still hasn't found a replacement after the deadline?
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I do not think it is so difficult to find a replacement.

Just that they may have someone in mind from within the company.

The reason that they have not promoted him/her up, could due to the expectation not made, or more time is needed to judge their performances.

They just cannot simply promote one just because there is no CEO.

On the other hand , whatever savings if any, would be passed back to you in the form of dividends, as more realized profit .

So not totally bad from investors point of view.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 24 2010, 07:27 AM
SKY 1809
post Mar 21 2010, 03:15 PM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Mar 21 2010, 10:59 AM)
Sorry i would like to make correction on my previous post the latest gearing ratio for UOA should be 39% not 43%.

Refer to UOA ANNUAL REPORT, the average interest for borrowings is 3%. Base on my calculation on the properties yield which is around 8% with respect to latest valuation. It still provides a lot of margin. Lets assume this interest rate rise to 4% within the next 3 years we still have quite a number of margin for that. So i am quite comfortable with UOA NEW acquisition. Base on my own calculation after deducting of the interest expenses the project EPS shoud be at least 16 cents per unit!!!!!!

So for me i will hentam UOA REITS KAO KAO  thumbup.gif
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The market reaction ( sell down of UOA reit ) does not seem to go along with your analysis.

Even some professional analysts could overlook certain facts from time to time, and hence give a strong buy call. LCL was one such that Analysts did not pay attention to LCL's cashflow, by giving a strong buy.

But if you are pretty sure yourself ( like W Buffett used to be ), you would be very successful in time to come.

Best of luck to you.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 21 2010, 04:48 PM
SKY 1809
post Mar 21 2010, 06:15 PM

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In view of many facts and figures are still not available right now.

It is too optimistic to build your investment basing on Best case scenario.

1) Best Case
2) likely or possible case
3) Worst case.


At most you could for 2. Let assume no errors or wrong assumptions on your part.

Just my view.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 21 2010, 06:21 PM
SKY 1809
post Mar 21 2010, 11:18 PM

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QUOTE(Jordy @ Mar 21 2010, 07:45 PM)
darkknight81,

Has the company actually announced the rental incomes of the 2 properties?


Added on March 21, 2010, 8:33 pm

darkknight81,

Your calculation is flawed as you have not taken into account the manager's fees, operating expenses, administrative expenses and other misc expenses.
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Yes , you are right.

If he does not factor in the costs of running the new buildings, then his investments, I would say is based on Best Case Scenario hmm.gif

Obviously unlikely to happen.

He could be penalised ( by the market ) for doing all the hard works.

Hopefully, I am wrong.

P/S > For those who think their computations are to good to be true , then rethink about the Chinese saying " Frog jumping on the Street" , that possibly able to help you to spot your mistakes. I use this method over and over again.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 22 2010, 12:24 AM
SKY 1809
post Mar 22 2010, 12:09 PM

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QUOTE(ozak @ Mar 22 2010, 11:51 AM)
Eh.. Why I cannot find this M-REIT counter? Sorry. Noob reit investor here.  blush.gif
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It stands for Malaysian REITS generally.

Meaning Singapore REITS are not covered here.
SKY 1809
post Mar 23 2010, 08:30 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Mar 23 2010, 07:56 AM)
Yes i admitted my previous figure seems too optimistic however i am not agree on your previous post stated the EPU before and after acquisition are equal.  wink.gif

The 1 cents deducted from the 17 cents net rental was really not enough as we need to deduct property operating expenses + Manager's fees + trustee's fees etc and even tax. But i believe these two blocks of building are quite new so the maintenance cost should be quite low.
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One concern that I want to point out is :

First thing first , I am not familiar with commercial properties, so comments quite limited.

However, the present UOA premises are located at the centre of the city . The rental rate of RM 4plus seems to be a bit low as compared to the new buildings of rm 5.5 to 6.
"
Bear in mind, the new buildings at Bangsar or Damansara are not so " centre " as compared to places around Jln Sultan Ismail, where the existing building is located.

The other thing is why the occupancy rate of the existing building is low at 70 plus in the centre of KL, whereas Damansara has 87% or so ?

Where could it go wrong ? That is my question .

Mind to share, anyone ?

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 23 2010, 06:51 PM
SKY 1809
post Mar 24 2010, 07:57 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Mar 24 2010, 07:45 AM)
Yup. Thats why i have factored in by assuming the interest at 3.5% for this year.
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One thing you have to be careful with Interest rates.

For short term loan of 5 years used for working capital, many companies do not use their properties to pledge.

Therefore these working capital loan interest rates are higher than any property loans.

Property loan rates so far are among the lowest in the market, as the risk is much lower.

Many banks compete businesses in this area, also resulting lower rates.

I do not know whether SC allow REITS to take property loans since money is collected by way of private placements or through proper right issues for purchase of any property. . KInda double financing to me if property loan is taken again.

The borrowings of REITS are mainly for working capital.

Perhaps you are more of pro REITS, less neutral in your computations.

So be careful.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 24 2010, 08:28 AM
SKY 1809
post Mar 24 2010, 08:20 AM

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QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Mar 24 2010, 08:07 AM)
Base on their 2009 annual report. It is 3%. Of course i do agree with you guys on the risk of interest hike in future to maybe 7 or 8% also possible. Its all depends on how UOA manage it. For me  i will reduce the dividend payout to maybe 7 to 8% yield and allocate more fund to reduce the loan especially when the interest are still low.
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Well, if you very serious of investing in REITS.

My advice to you is to know the types of interest rates for different types of loans.

- Car loans
- Personal loans
- Business or working capital loans

( Mostly above BLR )

- property loans, as I say competition makes it cheaper

Also risks play an important role.

I mean these are just the basic stuff to know.

That is all.



SKY 1809
post Mar 24 2010, 12:13 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 24 2010, 10:52 AM)
Private placement is not a form of borrowing but required SC approval, which the company needs to state the reason for it in order to get it approve. Generally there are guidelines for the use of the money raised when SC approved the private placement or right issue.

So if the private placement stated the money raised is used to fund the acquisition, then it must use for it.

Borrowing/term loan can use for properties acquisition as long as don't exceed the 50% guideline, there is no rule stated borrowing must be solely for working capital, as far as I know. Correct me if I am wrong.
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Yes, you are right.

But if your purchase of property is fully covered by either a private placement or right issue ( like AXreit ) :-

1) there is no need to take a loan again , for what reason you need one ? It is a form of double " financing " to do so.
2) Unless it is for working capital , that is normal.


Frankly, and personally I also prefer REITS to get a longer term property loan ,and the money is standby for their working capital.

1) It could be cheaper if the money could be parked back like those full flexi housing loans for individuals.
2) a long tenure loan may cut down the risk faced by a short term loan borrower.

P/S : I do not think REITS use 5 years short term loans to partially buy properties. Correct me if I am wrong.

Just my view.


Added on March 24, 2010, 12:22 pm
QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Mar 24 2010, 11:10 AM)
So far how is the interest rates for "ALL REITS" From what i know UOA REITS INTEREST RATES IS 3%. How about AXREIT, ATRIUM AND QCAPITA? You are heavily invested into these 3 counters from what i know.
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AXreit > quite close to 4.5% for short term loan.

Read somewhere, but cannot recall.

Frankly AXREIT might have more disclosures than others , more transparent in a way.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 24 2010, 12:36 PM
SKY 1809
post Mar 24 2010, 05:59 PM

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Gearing and cashflow are important to REITS.

Cannot just simply assume they would have the cashflow.

First, under the accounting method, you need to provide ONLY the interest accrued to the profit and loss accounts.

Whatever profit ( realized at the end of the day), you can safely pay out 90% as dividends.

However, for actual cashflow you need to factor in the whole instalment amount. The total instalment amount ( term loans ) if for short term loan of 5 years is fairly big. OD could be exceptional, but some may attach with a sinking fund condition.

There could a a mis match, meaning short of cashflow . though the law may allow you to pay out 90% of the realized profit.

The balancing act to me is not as easy as Investors thought. To say about Leveraging is much easier than in practice.

Just my view


Added on March 24, 2010, 6:26 pm
QUOTE(kbandito @ Mar 24 2010, 05:54 PM)
According to the schedule by Maybank IB, Tower REIT has 9m ST debt and Total Debt is 114m. But why is the ratio at 92%?
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It means 92% of the total loan is in the form of short term

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 24 2010, 07:44 PM
SKY 1809
post Mar 24 2010, 07:42 PM

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QUOTE(kbandito @ Mar 24 2010, 07:20 PM)
But ST debt is only 9m out of the total 114m, it couldn't be 92% right?


Added on March 24, 2010, 7:23 pmI favor Tower REIT which is valued 30% under it's NAV, the most undervalued among all.
But I wonder why there is so little discussion here.
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some typo errors made by Maybank.

You can discuss it too.

Why must you wait for people to discuss your reits ?

You can bring it up here, to share more with us.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 24 2010, 08:14 PM
SKY 1809
post Mar 25 2010, 07:22 AM

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Whatever loans taken by REITS, the proper way by right should be settled off every now and then when the loans are due. It should not be " Refinancied " let say every 4 years or so.

The refinancing method used by REITS indicates there is a major weakness in the system, possibly they are earning insufficient cashflow to pay back the loans taken when due . Meaning they are just merely serving the interest when due.

This could be the downfalls of REITS in Singapore, I guess. And the downfalls of certain industries from time to time , cannot be attributed solely to the banks for non supports. LCL is one such I can think of.

Companies have to manage their own cashflow very well. And the job falls under their management , not the bankers.

Under normal circumstances, loans such as revolving credits or ODs that are needed for working capital of an entity , will be renewed, as the financing of working capital is an on going process.

But it should not amount to 30 or 40% of the gearing ratio.

And for commercial property loans taken by the companies, banks do allow a longer tenure of 10 years to pay back , possibly up to 15 years ( needed to reconfirm on 15 years )

There is a saying that long term assets should be financed by long term debts, the proper way. Those who are involving the the financial management of the companies would agree to this point.

Just my view.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 25 2010, 08:35 AM
SKY 1809
post Mar 25 2010, 08:31 AM

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deleted.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 25 2010, 08:34 AM
SKY 1809
post Mar 28 2010, 11:18 PM

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QUOTE(IEE @ Mar 28 2010, 11:07 PM)
thanks for the correction,want to say AXIS REIT is the first ISLAMIC REIT.
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There are still lot of arguments in the market of what is called a true Islamic Reit.

So one should not use this Islamic factor as an overweight to buy.

Things like sin businesses , traditional banks earning interest and coffee/entertainment outlets selling non halal food and drinks should not be allowed to operate in REITs Premises. Some argued that.

This one was brought up in certain forums elsewhere.

Just my view.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 28 2010, 11:34 PM
SKY 1809
post Mar 29 2010, 12:36 PM

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QUOTE(Aggroboy @ Mar 29 2010, 10:25 AM)
No disrespect to Islam, but won't that restriction limit the range of properties and potential tenants AXIS can get? Some of their occupancy rates aren't  100% and what if Carlsberg or whatever comes calling hmm.gif
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If you check back the previous thread ( v one ) , one of their buildings was ( is ) vacant for quite some time.

Also , Islamic reits may restrict themselves to Islamic borrowings only , loans could be in short supply when the economy is not doing so well.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 29 2010, 01:56 PM
SKY 1809
post Mar 31 2010, 10:35 PM

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Waw, LRT new extensions changed.

Many original plans now become " selective "

http://thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=...0528&sec=nation
SKY 1809
post Apr 10 2010, 09:09 PM

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QUOTE(whizzer @ Apr 10 2010, 08:04 PM)
Can I say that for property, most time there should be almost guaranteed capital gain whereas in REIT, the capital gains are mostly dictated by the market.
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If that is the case, there would not be any serious problem such as Sub Prime Crisis.

Another danger of holding properties , would be " Asset Bubbles "

I mean no investment instruments are totally perfect and without risks.

It is just that you tend to understand more about REITS, so much so the risks are somewhat " reduced".

That is why forex traders see no risks at all in playing forex. Sure win one IF you know how.

This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Apr 10 2010, 09:34 PM
SKY 1809
post May 1 2010, 02:56 PM

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I think REITS were grossly undervalued in the past bcos many investors failed to understand REITS.

Now more investors understood the product, then tends to approach the fair value.

In Malaysia, no matter how good a product is , if buyers do not get to see and believe, then slowly it becomes a bad product.

Just my view.

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