V1 http://forum.lowyat.net/topic/479946/+2500
REIT V2, Real Estate Investment Trust
REIT V2, Real Estate Investment Trust
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Mar 20 2010, 03:35 PM, updated 15y ago
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#1
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
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Mar 20 2010, 03:43 PM
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#2
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
REITS do have the future.
It is one of the effective tools to accumulate your retirement funds. Lower tax at 10% and with quarterly dividends. The law does force REITS to pay out at least 90% of the realized incomes to you as investors. Average Yield is about 8% p.a ( + - ). Not counting capital gain if any. In view of more good quality companies recently taken into private ( such as Hume, IOI properties etc ), REITS are of better choice. Many more to come. REITS could be the answer to some of your needs such as earning good and regular ( passive ) dividends./Incomes. You are more like a landlord of some good properties, without having the burden to collect the rentals on your own. Highly portable as you may switch from one to another ( charges involved ) . Having a traditional property needs time to sell. Hard to sell by piece. You could do so in REITS by way of 100 units per transaction. More matured people should strongly consider this form of passive and regular incomes. Likewise beginners should start their investments by way of REITS, before venturing into other stocks. Just my view. Happy Investing to all. This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 3 2010, 10:21 AM |
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Mar 20 2010, 04:57 PM
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Senior Member
542 posts Joined: Dec 2007 From: Principality of Zeon |
IMHO REITs are a good alternative to blue chips and unit trust investing, slow and steady but with even better yields.
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Mar 20 2010, 05:13 PM
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943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
REITS tend to be less volatile unless there is some unfavourable news (e.g. losing a major tenant). Also sometimes, the bad news can be a blessing in disguise as you are getting a bargain. So for those who have a weak heart can consider this investment vehicle.
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Mar 20 2010, 05:31 PM
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#5
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
The law/rule required Reit to distribute 90% of their income is the main reason why I invested in reit.
Simple reason, why invested in a listed company? because can share a chunk of its profit. And with real cash being distributed, you are reloaded with cash and can reinvest on your own liking, whether increaese your stake in reit or diversify into other area. Another one thing is simple business model, when you know the properties have good rental and occupancy then generally the reit income is pretty highly predictable. While it can have some part of inflation hedge as well as long as the properties is in highly demanded area. As we know proeprties price and rental rate generally goes up, when inflation. Downside: Due to nature of distributing 90% of its income, there is little money left, so repayment of borrowing totally is a long process, and they need constant or periodically refinancing for their borrowing. Any new acquisition, must either through increase the borrowing or private placement only. |
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Mar 20 2010, 07:07 PM
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Senior Member
3,589 posts Joined: Mar 2005 From: Bolehland |
Recently Hektar having a good run. Any good news?
How much impact on REIT if BLR keep on increasing back to 6.5-6.75%? |
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Mar 20 2010, 09:53 PM
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#7
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Senior Member
542 posts Joined: Dec 2007 From: Principality of Zeon |
QUOTE(whizzer @ Mar 20 2010, 05:13 PM) REITS tend to be less volatile unless there is some unfavourable news (e.g. losing a major tenant). Also sometimes, the bad news can be a blessing in disguise as you are getting a bargain. So for those who have a weak heart can consider this investment vehicle. Bargain for would-be unitholders, heartache for current unitholders who wanted to cash out anytime soon. |
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Mar 20 2010, 10:04 PM
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#8
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(Prince_Hamsap @ Mar 20 2010, 09:53 PM) Bargain for would-be unitholders, heartache for current unitholders who wanted to cash out anytime soon. Logically REITs are for long term, cashing out due to short term investment objective may not work.On the other hand, if you do DCA if unit price sinks , you may find your average effective yield goes up in the long run. Unit price may go up if tenant is found. The exceptional case is they cannot find a tenant at all. Then you can blame it on luck again |
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Mar 20 2010, 11:26 PM
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#9
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Mar 20 2010, 10:04 PM) Logically REITs are for long term, cashing out due to short term investment objective may not work. Either that, or the REIT management company couldn't find a replacement CEO after half a year. Lets not forget the due date for ATRIUM to find a replacement for its vacated CEO post is end of April. Until now, I think we still have no news on it. I do have a substantial amount in ATRIUM at ABP of 0.74, which is not a bad price. I am getting very good income from ATRIUM alone, so I would feel bad if I had to let it go close to the deadline.On the other hand, if you do DCA if unit price sinks , you may find your average effective yield goes up in the long run. Unit price may go up if tenant is found. The exceptional case is they cannot find a tenant at all. Then you can blame it on luck again Anybody has any idea what would happen if ATRIUM still hasn't found a replacement after the deadline? |
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Mar 20 2010, 11:51 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(Jordy @ Mar 20 2010, 11:26 PM) Either that, or the REIT management company couldn't find a replacement CEO after half a year. Lets not forget the due date for ATRIUM to find a replacement for its vacated CEO post is end of April. Until now, I think we still have no news on it. I do have a substantial amount in ATRIUM at ABP of 0.74, which is not a bad price. I am getting very good income from ATRIUM alone, so I would feel bad if I had to let it go close to the deadline. I don't think the CEO position is a big issue. Company can always apply extension from SC/KLSE to fulfill the requirement.Anybody has any idea what would happen if ATRIUM still hasn't found a replacement after the deadline? Atrium is relative small operation company, with 4 warehouses to manage which should be quite easy. Atrium's concern should be put on lease renewal issue, which one of its warehouse lease is expected to end this year second half, if not mistaken, correct me if I am wrong as I don't know or find any update whether negotiation is taking place to extend/renew the lease yet. This post has been edited by cherroy: Mar 20 2010, 11:52 PM |
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Mar 21 2010, 12:08 AM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(Jordy @ Mar 20 2010, 11:26 PM) Either that, or the REIT management company couldn't find a replacement CEO after half a year. Lets not forget the due date for ATRIUM to find a replacement for its vacated CEO post is end of April. Until now, I think we still have no news on it. I do have a substantial amount in ATRIUM at ABP of 0.74, which is not a bad price. I am getting very good income from ATRIUM alone, so I would feel bad if I had to let it go close to the deadline. I do not think it is so difficult to find a replacement.Anybody has any idea what would happen if ATRIUM still hasn't found a replacement after the deadline? Just that they may have someone in mind from within the company. The reason that they have not promoted him/her up, could due to the expectation not made, or more time is needed to judge their performances. They just cannot simply promote one just because there is no CEO. On the other hand , whatever savings if any, would be passed back to you in the form of dividends, as more realized profit . So not totally bad from investors point of view. This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 24 2010, 07:27 AM |
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Mar 21 2010, 12:14 AM
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All Stars
10,777 posts Joined: Sep 2009 |
not sure.. but REITS doesnt appeal much to an ordinary Malaysian investor... However, I hope to buy Sunway REIT's IPO coming out soon...
anyway allow me to post a pic just for fun - how the skyline of KL will be transformed.... by nazrey ![]() with many big projects coming up, so REIT has potential? not sure. This post has been edited by accetera: Mar 21 2010, 12:14 AM |
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Mar 21 2010, 08:28 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(accetera @ Mar 21 2010, 12:14 AM) not sure.. but REITS doesnt appeal much to an ordinary Malaysian investor... However, I hope to buy Sunway REIT's IPO coming out soon... Errr..... buying reit on IPO generally is not a good idea, as most reit IPO history showed. They tend to trade below NAV in general from various reit in the market except may be Axreit only. with many big projects coming up, so REIT has potential? not sure. Reit is not about having potential or not or growth. The mindset investing in reit is own the properties and get the rental only, one should be treat it as a fixed income instrument and don't expect much appreciation side from the reit price. Should treat it difference from ordinary share. |
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Mar 21 2010, 10:59 AM
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Senior Member
3,944 posts Joined: Jul 2008 |
Sorry i would like to make correction on my previous post the latest gearing ratio for UOA should be 39% not 43%.
Refer to UOA ANNUAL REPORT, the average interest for borrowings is 3%. Base on my calculation on the properties yield which is around 8% with respect to latest valuation. It still provides a lot of margin. Lets assume this interest rate rise to 4% within the next 3 years we still have quite a number of margin for that. So i am quite comfortable with UOA NEW acquisition. Base on my own calculation after deducting of the interest expenses the project EPS shoud be at least 16 cents per unit!!!!!! So for me i will hentam UOA REITS KAO KAO |
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Mar 21 2010, 12:53 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 20 2010, 11:51 PM) I don't think the CEO position is a big issue. Company can always apply extension from SC/KLSE to fulfill the requirement. Atrium is relative small operation company, with 4 warehouses to manage which should be quite easy. Atrium's concern should be put on lease renewal issue, which one of its warehouse lease is expected to end this year second half, if not mistaken, correct me if I am wrong as I don't know or find any update whether negotiation is taking place to extend/renew the lease yet. QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Mar 21 2010, 12:08 AM) I do not think it is so difficult to find a replacement. In the eyes of common investors, the post of CEO is important, and shouldn't be vacated for so long. Although it will not be reprimanded by SC, if left unfilled for too long, I'm afraid it would affect the price of ATRIUM.Just that they may have someone in mind ( from within ) the company. The reason that they have not promoted him/her up, could due to the expectation not made, or more time is needed to judge their performances. They just cannot simply promote one just because there is no CEO. On the other hand , whatever savings if any, would be passed back to you in the form of dividends, as more realized profit . So not totally bad from investors point of view. If they have someone in mind for the post, then it should be ok. QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Mar 21 2010, 10:59 AM) Sorry i would like to make correction on my previous post the latest gearing ratio for UOA should be 39% not 43%. darkknight81,Refer to UOA ANNUAL REPORT, the average interest for borrowings is 3%. Base on my calculation on the properties yield which is around 8% with respect to latest valuation. It still provides a lot of margin. Lets assume this interest rate rise to 4% within the next 3 years we still have quite a number of margin for that. So i am quite comfortable with UOA NEW acquisition. Base on my own calculation after deducting of the interest expenses the project EPS shoud be at least 16 cents per unit!!!!!! So for me i will hentam UOA REITS KAO KAO I don't get it. How did you get the EPS of 16 cents while the current EPS is around 10-11 cents? Did you take the EPS dilution into your calculation, or did you just ad it up to the current EPS? |
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Mar 21 2010, 03:15 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Mar 21 2010, 10:59 AM) Sorry i would like to make correction on my previous post the latest gearing ratio for UOA should be 39% not 43%. The market reaction ( sell down of UOA reit ) does not seem to go along with your analysis.Refer to UOA ANNUAL REPORT, the average interest for borrowings is 3%. Base on my calculation on the properties yield which is around 8% with respect to latest valuation. It still provides a lot of margin. Lets assume this interest rate rise to 4% within the next 3 years we still have quite a number of margin for that. So i am quite comfortable with UOA NEW acquisition. Base on my own calculation after deducting of the interest expenses the project EPS shoud be at least 16 cents per unit!!!!!! So for me i will hentam UOA REITS KAO KAOÂ Even some professional analysts could overlook certain facts from time to time, and hence give a strong buy call. LCL was one such that Analysts did not pay attention to LCL's cashflow, by giving a strong buy. But if you are pretty sure yourself ( like W Buffett used to be ), you would be very successful in time to come. Best of luck to you. This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 21 2010, 04:48 PM |
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Mar 21 2010, 05:36 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(Jordy @ Mar 21 2010, 12:53 PM) darkknight81, I think he may miss out the dilution on the private placement part, just my guess. I don't get it. How did you get the EPS of 16 cents while the current EPS is around 10-11 cents? Did you take the EPS dilution into your calculation, or did you just ad it up to the current EPS? It is unlikely to see reit can achieve EPS grow of 50% with just one or two acquisition through private placement and borrowing. In normal circumstance, market reaction on the share price is quite effective to reflect whatever news or development. As we see reit price generally well position in the range of 7-8% yield across, which most investors are comfortable with that kind of yield range. |
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Mar 21 2010, 06:10 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 21 2010, 05:36 PM) I think he may miss out the dilution on the private placement part, just my guess. That was what I was thinking as well. But I am still waiting for him to explain It is unlikely to see reit can achieve EPS grow of 50% with just one or two acquisition through private placement and borrowing. In normal circumstance, market reaction on the share price is quite effective to reflect whatever news or development. As we see reit price generally well position in the range of 7-8% yield across, which most investors are comfortable with that kind of yield range. This post has been edited by Jordy: Mar 21 2010, 06:10 PM |
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Mar 21 2010, 06:12 PM
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Senior Member
3,944 posts Joined: Jul 2008 |
Of course i did include the dilution and even the extra interest expenses UOA needed to pay in future and considering the extra interest hike of another 0.5 % even.
Of course if you guys look from the private placement of course the future EPS does not change much. But don forget the RM 270million loan which was raised through borrowings with interest rates of around 3.5% in future (last year borrowings interest was 3% we add another 0.5% for future interest rates hike). So as i said previously the margin is quite high. So in short leveraging is very important in managing reits This post has been edited by darkknight81: Mar 21 2010, 06:17 PM |
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Mar 21 2010, 06:15 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
In view of many facts and figures are still not available right now.
It is too optimistic to build your investment basing on Best case scenario. 1) Best Case 2) likely or possible case 3) Worst case. At most you could for 2. Let assume no errors or wrong assumptions on your part. Just my view. This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 21 2010, 06:21 PM |
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Mar 21 2010, 06:22 PM
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Senior Member
3,944 posts Joined: Jul 2008 |
My copy of analysis but quite messy haven't tidy up yet.
Actually through leveraging you can see increase in EPS but risk is there. As long as the interest rates and occupancy rates risk is manageable it should be alright. Imagine with additional RM 270 MILLION LOAN at 3.5% interest rates but with yield of around 8% don you think it is possible? Thats why reits EPS can be improve via acquisition or improve in occupancy rates. Correct me if wrong sifus. This post has been edited by darkknight81: Mar 21 2010, 06:38 PM Attached File(s)
UOA.pdf ( 43.81k )
Number of downloads: 63 |
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Mar 21 2010, 06:42 PM
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Senior Member
3,944 posts Joined: Jul 2008 |
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Mar 21 2010, 07:45 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Mar 21 2010, 06:12 PM) Of course i did include the dilution and even the extra interest expenses UOA needed to pay in future and considering the extra interest hike of another 0.5 % even. darkknight81,Of course if you guys look from the private placement of course the future EPS does not change much. But don forget the RM 270million loan which was raised through borrowings with interest rates of around 3.5% in future (last year borrowings interest was 3% we add another 0.5% for future interest rates hike). So as i said previously the margin is quite high. So in short leveraging is very important in managing reits Has the company actually announced the rental incomes of the 2 properties? Added on March 21, 2010, 8:33 pm QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Mar 21 2010, 06:42 PM) darkknight81,Your calculation is flawed as you have not taken into account the manager's fees, operating expenses, administrative expenses and other misc expenses. This post has been edited by Jordy: Mar 21 2010, 08:33 PM |
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Mar 21 2010, 11:18 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(Jordy @ Mar 21 2010, 07:45 PM) darkknight81, Yes , you are right.Has the company actually announced the rental incomes of the 2 properties? Added on March 21, 2010, 8:33 pm darkknight81, Your calculation is flawed as you have not taken into account the manager's fees, operating expenses, administrative expenses and other misc expenses. If he does not factor in the costs of running the new buildings, then his investments, I would say is based on Best Case Scenario Obviously unlikely to happen. He could be penalised ( by the market ) for doing all the hard works. Hopefully, I am wrong. P/S > For those who think their computations are to good to be true , then rethink about the Chinese saying " Frog jumping on the Street" , that possibly able to help you to spot your mistakes. I use this method over and over again. This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 22 2010, 12:24 AM |
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Mar 21 2010, 11:30 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Mar 21 2010, 11:18 PM) Yes , you are right. Nevermind, he is still learning to fine-tune his analysis. What I hope now is that he has not fallen into the trap of his own mistake.If he does not factor the costs of running the new buildings, then his investments, I would say is based on Best Case Scenario Obviously unlikely to happen. He could be penalised ( by the market ) for doing all the hard works. Hopefully, I am wrong. |
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Mar 22 2010, 08:01 AM
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Senior Member
3,944 posts Joined: Jul 2008 |
QUOTE(Jordy @ Mar 22 2010, 12:30 AM) Nevermind, he is still learning to fine-tune his analysis. What I hope now is that he has not fallen into the trap of his own mistake. I get what you meant. Thats y i am saying the dividend should be 16 cents in my previous post (you can refer it back) after deducting all these expenses but in my calculation is actually 17 cents as per attached which is the ideal case. I am lazy to take these exact figures into considerations but i understand what you guys meant so i already deducted 1 cents out from it. I am not an analyst i just want a rough estimations. Eventhough you are analyst you also cannot get the exact figures For you guys saying is easy but it took time to compile all this figures so i got to make some assumption on this and that. If you really read their annual report you can see the EPS growth for the past few years. So who say reits don have growth? Its all depends on how you manage it. Thats why i put a lot of "ASSUME" as this is just a rought estimations. I did not get paid for all these As i said earlier, leveraging is very important in reits... The margin between the properties yield and interest rates play a very important role. So i believe it is the right time for UOAREITS to acquire two building blocks before the interest rates raise further. The margin is around 4% and with RM 270 Million loan... it is around RM10.8 million extra you see. Actually no need to calculate much from here we already know the effect on future EPS. Those with some basic in math can calculate this out. Total new units after private placements is 422871776. So RM 10,800,000/422,871,776 = 0.025 CENTS extra here. Previous EPS is around 12 cents. So including this 2.5 cents should be added up to 14.5 cents. But this all depends on UOA REITS TOO, maybe they want to allocate more money to pay off their borrowings. NOTE : Current borrowings interest is only 3.25 i am assuming 4% interest and properties yield i am assuming 8% here which is quite fair. So there are margin here in actual fact it should be more than 10.8 million. This post has been edited by darkknight81: Mar 22 2010, 08:28 AM |
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Mar 22 2010, 09:43 AM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
Wanted to topup on HEKTAR after exiting BJTOTO but the price seems to be moving north.
This post has been edited by whizzer: Mar 22 2010, 09:53 AM |
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Mar 22 2010, 09:53 AM
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62 posts Joined: Feb 2008 |
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Mar 22 2010, 09:55 AM
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943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(jimmyysk @ Mar 22 2010, 09:53 AM) Heard from my broker said Hektar is a potential in term of dividend yield at least 8%-11%. Anything do with Bjtoto affect the Hektar price? Haha.. No relation. Sorry if misleading I was just "rebalancing" my dividend portfolio. Latest for all you REITers from MB attached below Looks like M-REIT is waiting to bubble.... buy now while still cheep This post has been edited by whizzer: Mar 22 2010, 10:42 AM Attached File(s)
reit.pdf ( 105.17k )
Number of downloads: 177 |
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Mar 22 2010, 11:21 AM
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Senior Member
3,944 posts Joined: Jul 2008 |
UOAREITS still no sellers at the moment
Want to buy some more also susah This post has been edited by darkknight81: Mar 22 2010, 11:21 AM |
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Mar 22 2010, 11:51 AM
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All Stars
17,018 posts Joined: Jan 2005 |
QUOTE(whizzer @ Mar 22 2010, 09:55 AM) Haha.. No relation. Sorry if misleading Eh.. Why I cannot find this M-REIT counter? Sorry. Noob reit investor here. I was just "rebalancing" my dividend portfolio. Latest for all you REITers from MB attached below Looks like M-REIT is waiting to bubble.... buy now while still cheep |
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Mar 22 2010, 12:09 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
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Mar 22 2010, 12:44 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Mar 22 2010, 08:01 AM) I get what you meant. Thats y i am saying the dividend should be 16 cents in my previous post (you can refer it back) after deducting all these expenses but in my calculation is actually 17 cents as per attached which is the ideal case. I am lazy to take these exact figures into considerations but i understand what you guys meant so i already deducted 1 cents out from it. I am not an analyst i just want a rough estimations. Eventhough you are analyst you also cannot get the exact figures darkknight81,For you guys saying is easy but it took time to compile all this figures so i got to make some assumption on this and that. If you really read their annual report you can see the EPS growth for the past few years. So who say reits don have growth? Its all depends on how you manage it. Thats why i put a lot of "ASSUME" as this is just a rought estimations. I did not get paid for all these As i said earlier, leveraging is very important in reits... The margin between the properties yield and interest rates play a very important role. So i believe it is the right time for UOAREITS to acquire two building blocks before the interest rates raise further. The margin is around 4% and with RM 270 Million loan... it is around RM10.8 million extra you see. Actually no need to calculate much from here we already know the effect on future EPS. Those with some basic in math can calculate this out. Total new units after private placements is 422871776. So RM 10,800,000/422,871,776 = 0.025 CENTS extra here. Previous EPS is around 12 cents. So including this 2.5 cents should be added up to 14.5 cents. But this all depends on UOA REITS TOO, maybe they want to allocate more money to pay off their borrowings. NOTE : Current borrowings interest is only 3.25 i am assuming 4% interest and properties yield i am assuming 8% here which is quite fair. So there are margin here in actual fact it should be more than 10.8 million. The adjusted previous EPS for UOAREIT is around 7.1 cents, so if the new acquisition would add around 2.5 cents, then the adjusted EPS going forward would be just about 10 cents. Anyhow, I have given you the basic guide to calculate the adjusted future EPS. |
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Mar 22 2010, 01:10 PM
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Senior Member
3,944 posts Joined: Jul 2008 |
Added on March 22, 2010, 1:28 pm QUOTE(Jordy @ Mar 22 2010, 01:44 PM) darkknight81, Sifu Jordy, The adjusted previous EPS for UOAREIT is around 7.1 cents, so if the new acquisition would add around 2.5 cents, then the adjusted EPS going forward would be just about 10 cents. Anyhow, I have given you the basic guide to calculate the adjusted future EPS. You missed out the contribution from the private placement….Thats why your earnings per unit so low…Let me explain to you more clearly. Is my fault of not explaining properly. 245,948,700 units = (EPS 12 CENTS for 2010) = 29.51 Milliion RM 230 million raise through private placement ( 176923076 new units) assuming yield of 8% (after deducting all the expenses ) = RM 18.4 MILLION. RM 270 Million through borrowings at 3.5% interest rates (Assuming yield of 8%) that’s means margin of 4.5% = 12.14 Million EPU = RM 60 Million / (422871776) = 0.14 CENTS. In conclusion acquisition will definitely increase future yield with 1 condition below: 1. Acquired properties yield must be higher than interest rates and almost equal with current yielding. I don think i need to explain further on these. Simple maths will do. This post has been edited by darkknight81: Mar 22 2010, 01:36 PM |
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Mar 22 2010, 03:54 PM
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All Stars
17,018 posts Joined: Jan 2005 |
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Mar 22 2010, 08:14 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Mar 22 2010, 01:10 PM) Added on March 22, 2010, 1:28 pm Sifu Jordy, You missed out the contribution from the private placement….Thats why your earnings per unit so low…Let me explain to you more clearly. Is my fault of not explaining properly. 245,948,700 units = (EPS 12 CENTS for 2010) = 29.51 Milliion RM 230 million raise through private placement ( 176923076 new units) assuming yield of 8% (after deducting all the expenses ) = RM 18.4 MILLION. RM 270 Million through borrowings at 3.5% interest rates (Assuming yield of 8%) that’s means margin of 4.5% = 12.14 Million EPU = RM 60 Million / (422871776) = 0.14 CENTS. In conclusion acquisition will definitely increase future yield with 1 condition below: 1. Acquired properties yield must be higher than interest rates and almost equal with current yielding. I don think i need to explain further on these. Simple maths will do. Correct, I knew that I have missed out the contribution by the placement, but you can add it into my projected EPS. Plus, remember that your RM18.4 million is the gross income, not net. But I agree with your figure now (which is more reasonable) than your previous estimation of 16-17 cents. You could expect about 13 cents EPS after the acquisition (around 12.4 cents with 95% payout). At the price of 1.30, you would expect 8.6% net distribution. Does my refined estimation sound more realistic? |
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Mar 23 2010, 07:56 AM
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Senior Member
3,944 posts Joined: Jul 2008 |
QUOTE(Jordy @ Mar 22 2010, 09:14 PM) darkknight81, Yes i admitted my previous figure seems too optimistic however i am not agree on your previous post stated the EPU before and after acquisition are equal. Correct, I knew that I have missed out the contribution by the placement, but you can add it into my projected EPS. Plus, remember that your RM18.4 million is the gross income, not net. But I agree with your figure now (which is more reasonable) than your previous estimation of 16-17 cents. You could expect about 13 cents EPS after the acquisition (around 12.4 cents with 95% payout). At the price of 1.30, you would expect 8.6% net distribution. Does my refined estimation sound more realistic? The 1 cents deducted from the 17 cents net rental was really not enough as we need to deduct property operating expenses + Manager's fees + trustee's fees etc and even tax. But i believe these two blocks of building are quite new so the maintenance cost should be quite low. This post has been edited by darkknight81: Mar 23 2010, 07:58 AM |
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Mar 23 2010, 08:30 AM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Mar 23 2010, 07:56 AM) Yes i admitted my previous figure seems too optimistic however i am not agree on your previous post stated the EPU before and after acquisition are equal. One concern that I want to point out is :The 1 cents deducted from the 17 cents net rental was really not enough as we need to deduct property operating expenses + Manager's fees + trustee's fees etc and even tax. But i believe these two blocks of building are quite new so the maintenance cost should be quite low. First thing first , I am not familiar with commercial properties, so comments quite limited. However, the present UOA premises are located at the centre of the city . The rental rate of RM 4plus seems to be a bit low as compared to the new buildings of rm 5.5 to 6. " Bear in mind, the new buildings at Bangsar or Damansara are not so " centre " as compared to places around Jln Sultan Ismail, where the existing building is located. The other thing is why the occupancy rate of the existing building is low at 70 plus in the centre of KL, whereas Damansara has 87% or so ? Where could it go wrong ? That is my question . Mind to share, anyone ? This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 23 2010, 06:51 PM |
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Mar 23 2010, 08:48 AM
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Senior Member
3,944 posts Joined: Jul 2008 |
QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Mar 23 2010, 09:30 AM) One concern that I want to point out is : Me too and i am from east malaysia some more. This figures i get it from internet too. I think Master Cherroy can explain on this.First thing first , I am not familiar with commercial properties, so comments quite limited. However, the present UOA premises are located at the centre of the city . The rental rate of RM 4plus seems to be a bit low as compared to the new buildings of rm 5.5 to 6. " Bear in mind, the new buildings at Bangsar or Damansara are not so " centre " as compared to places around Jln Sultan Ismail, where the existing building is located. The other thing is why the occupancy of the existing building is low at 70 plus in the centre of KL, whereas Damansara has 87% or so ? Where could it go wrong ? That is my question ? Mind to share, anyone ? |
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Mar 23 2010, 12:36 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Mar 23 2010, 07:56 AM) Yes i admitted my previous figure seems too optimistic however i am not agree on your previous post stated the EPU before and after acquisition are equal. darkknight81,The 1 cents deducted from the 17 cents net rental was really not enough as we need to deduct property operating expenses + Manager's fees + trustee's fees etc and even tax. But i believe these two blocks of building are quite new so the maintenance cost should be quite low. I would like to reiterate that I left the EPS equal on purpose because I have not factored in the contribution from the placement (was too lazy to calculate it). I will only perform a more in depth estimation on counters which I am going to buy. To add onto your point regarding the maintenance cost, you would have to consider the costs of security (devices and personnel), insurances, cleaning, minor repairs and also utilities. So, the maintenance cost for a high-rise would be high too even if it's a new building. |
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Mar 23 2010, 01:01 PM
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Senior Member
3,944 posts Joined: Jul 2008 |
QUOTE(Jordy @ Mar 23 2010, 01:36 PM) darkknight81, Thanks Jordy. I think the idea behind reits is "ALMOST" same as we buy a house for investment. We loan through bank and collect monthly payment to repay the debts. In the end we owned the house. It will took few decades to settle the loan same goes for reits.I would like to reiterate that I left the EPS equal on purpose because I have not factored in the contribution from the placement (was too lazy to calculate it). I will only perform a more in depth estimation on counters which I am going to buy. To add onto your point regarding the maintenance cost, you would have to consider the costs of security (devices and personnel), insurances, cleaning, minor repairs and also utilities. So, the maintenance cost for a high-rise would be high too even if it's a new building. The yield will improve in future as due to below factors: 1. Increase in rental rates. 2. Reduce in interest payment. This post has been edited by darkknight81: Mar 23 2010, 01:10 PM |
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Mar 23 2010, 04:15 PM
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Elite
14,576 posts Joined: May 2006 From: Sarawak |
Bought some more Stareits today!!!
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Mar 23 2010, 08:30 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Mar 23 2010, 01:01 PM) Thanks Jordy. I think the idea behind reits is "ALMOST" same as we buy a house for investment. We loan through bank and collect monthly payment to repay the debts. In the end we owned the house. It will took few decades to settle the loan same goes for reits. darkknight81,The yield will improve in future as due to below factors: 1. Increase in rental rates. 2. Reduce in interest payment. Yes, that is the reason why we buy REITs. Other advantages of REITs are that we do not need to manage our own properties, and we are also able to leverage on the diversification of REITs. Mind you though that the possibility of reduction of interest rate is very slim at current economic situation, therefore we won't take that into consideration. |
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Mar 24 2010, 07:45 AM
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Senior Member
3,944 posts Joined: Jul 2008 |
QUOTE(Jordy @ Mar 23 2010, 09:30 PM) darkknight81, Yup. Thats why i have factored in by assuming the interest at 3.5% for this year.Yes, that is the reason why we buy REITs. Other advantages of REITs are that we do not need to manage our own properties, and we are also able to leverage on the diversification of REITs. Mind you though that the possibility of reduction of interest rate is very slim at current economic situation, therefore we won't take that into consideration. |
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Mar 24 2010, 07:57 AM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Mar 24 2010, 07:45 AM) One thing you have to be careful with Interest rates.For short term loan of 5 years used for working capital, many companies do not use their properties to pledge. Therefore these working capital loan interest rates are higher than any property loans. Property loan rates so far are among the lowest in the market, as the risk is much lower. Many banks compete businesses in this area, also resulting lower rates. I do not know whether SC allow REITS to take property loans since money is collected by way of private placements or through proper right issues for purchase of any property. . KInda double financing to me if property loan is taken again. The borrowings of REITS are mainly for working capital. Perhaps you are more of pro REITS, less neutral in your computations. So be careful. This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 24 2010, 08:28 AM |
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Mar 24 2010, 08:07 AM
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Senior Member
3,944 posts Joined: Jul 2008 |
QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Mar 24 2010, 08:57 AM) One thing you have to be careful with Interest rates. Base on their 2009 annual report. It is 3%. Of course i do agree with you guys on the risk of interest hike in future to maybe 7 or 8% also possible. Its all depends on how UOA manage it. For me i will reduce the dividend payout to maybe 7 to 8% yield and allocate more fund to reduce the loan especially when the interest are still low.For short term loan of 5 years used for working capital, many companies do not use their properties to pledge. Therefore these working capital loan interest rates are higher than any property loans. Property loan rates so far are among the lowest in the market, as the risk is much lower. Many banks compete businesses in this area, also resulting lower rates. I do not know whether SC allow REITS to take property loans since money is collected by way of private placements or through proper right issues for purchase of any property. . KInda double financing to me if property loan is taken again. The borrowings of REITS are mainly for working capital. So be careful. This post has been edited by darkknight81: Mar 24 2010, 08:08 AM |
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Mar 24 2010, 08:20 AM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Mar 24 2010, 08:07 AM) Base on their 2009 annual report. It is 3%. Of course i do agree with you guys on the risk of interest hike in future to maybe 7 or 8% also possible. Its all depends on how UOA manage it. For me i will reduce the dividend payout to maybe 7 to 8% yield and allocate more fund to reduce the loan especially when the interest are still low. Well, if you very serious of investing in REITS.My advice to you is to know the types of interest rates for different types of loans. - Car loans - Personal loans - Business or working capital loans ( Mostly above BLR ) - property loans, as I say competition makes it cheaper Also risks play an important role. I mean these are just the basic stuff to know. That is all. |
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Mar 24 2010, 09:09 AM
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Junior Member
76 posts Joined: Apr 2008 |
The Edge, M-REITs provide opportunities in mispriced assets
http://www.theedgemalaysia.com/in-the-fina...ced-assets.html |
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Mar 24 2010, 10:52 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Mar 24 2010, 07:57 AM) I do not know whether SC allow REITS to take property loans since money is collected by way of private placements or through proper right issues for purchase of any property. . KInda double financing to me if property loan is taken again. Private placement is not a form of borrowing but required SC approval, which the company needs to state the reason for it in order to get it approve. Generally there are guidelines for the use of the money raised when SC approved the private placement or right issue.The borrowings of REITS are mainly for working capital. Perhaps you are more of pro REITS, less neutral in your computations. So be careful. So if the private placement stated the money raised is used to fund the acquisition, then it must use for it. Borrowing/term loan can use for properties acquisition as long as don't exceed the 50% guideline, there is no rule stated borrowing must be solely for working capital, as far as I know. Correct me if I am wrong. |
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Mar 24 2010, 11:10 AM
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Senior Member
3,944 posts Joined: Jul 2008 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 24 2010, 11:52 AM) Private placement is not a form of borrowing but required SC approval, which the company needs to state the reason for it in order to get it approve. Generally there are guidelines for the use of the money raised when SC approved the private placement or right issue. So far how is the interest rates for "ALL REITS" From what i know UOA REITS INTEREST RATES IS 3%. How about AXREIT, ATRIUM AND QCAPITA? You are heavily invested into these 3 counters from what i know.So if the private placement stated the money raised is used to fund the acquisition, then it must use for it. Borrowing/term loan can use for properties acquisition as long as don't exceed the 50% guideline, there is no rule stated borrowing must be solely for working capital, as far as I know. Correct me if I am wrong. This post has been edited by darkknight81: Mar 24 2010, 11:11 AM |
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Mar 24 2010, 12:13 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 24 2010, 10:52 AM) Private placement is not a form of borrowing but required SC approval, which the company needs to state the reason for it in order to get it approve. Generally there are guidelines for the use of the money raised when SC approved the private placement or right issue. Yes, you are right.So if the private placement stated the money raised is used to fund the acquisition, then it must use for it. Borrowing/term loan can use for properties acquisition as long as don't exceed the 50% guideline, there is no rule stated borrowing must be solely for working capital, as far as I know. Correct me if I am wrong. But if your purchase of property is fully covered by either a private placement or right issue ( like AXreit ) :- 1) there is no need to take a loan again , for what reason you need one ? It is a form of double " financing " to do so. 2) Unless it is for working capital , that is normal. Frankly, and personally I also prefer REITS to get a longer term property loan ,and the money is standby for their working capital. 1) It could be cheaper if the money could be parked back like those full flexi housing loans for individuals. 2) a long tenure loan may cut down the risk faced by a short term loan borrower. P/S : I do not think REITS use 5 years short term loans to partially buy properties. Correct me if I am wrong. Just my view. Added on March 24, 2010, 12:22 pm QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Mar 24 2010, 11:10 AM) So far how is the interest rates for "ALL REITS" From what i know UOA REITS INTEREST RATES IS 3%. How about AXREIT, ATRIUM AND QCAPITA? You are heavily invested into these 3 counters from what i know. AXreit > quite close to 4.5% for short term loan.Read somewhere, but cannot recall. Frankly AXREIT might have more disclosures than others , more transparent in a way. This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 24 2010, 12:36 PM |
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Mar 24 2010, 01:36 PM
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Senior Member
3,944 posts Joined: Jul 2008 |
QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Mar 24 2010, 01:13 PM) Yes, you are right. Leveraging as i have mentioned before. Borrowing at lower rates to get higher returns in terms of properties yield. But if your purchase of property is fully covered by either a private placement or right issue ( like AXreit ) :- 1) there is no need to take a loan again , for what reason you need one ? It is a form of double " financing " to do so. UOA REITS also have its weakness as 100% of its properties are acquired from its mother company so i don think the price are really fair compare with other reits as they can buy up undervalued properties which the owners want to dispose desperately. |
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Mar 24 2010, 02:00 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Mar 24 2010, 12:13 PM) 1) It could be cheaper if the money could be parked back like those full flexi housing loans for individuals. Company and individual is different. Company cannot secure individual housing loan like 25 years. Bank don't do it. 2) a long tenure loan may cut down the risk faced by a short term loan borrower. P/S : I do not think REITS use 5 years short term loans to partially buy properties. Correct me if I am wrong. Just my view. Added on March 24, 2010, 12:22 pm AXreit > quite close to 4.5% for short term loan. Read somewhere, but cannot recall. Frankly AXREIT might have more disclosures than others , more transparent in a way. A lot of borrowing are under 5 years under commercial paper, term loan and various type of credit. It is already considered long tenure if company can secure borrowing more than 5 years period. As I mentioned before, refinancing availability is very important for reit with gearing. In 2008, we saw a lot of reit under pressure being sold down and some even went under due to inability to get refinancing on matured borrowing, which eventually force them to liquidate their properties, or fire-sale. Most reit borrowing cost are around 4-5% as far as I came across. |
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Mar 24 2010, 02:29 PM
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Senior Member
554 posts Joined: Oct 2008 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 24 2010, 02:00 PM) Company and individual is different. Company cannot secure individual housing loan like 25 years. Bank don't do it. the risks probably is managing the cash flow ,,,,,,,,,and based on 4-5% cost.... will it burden their financial....A lot of borrowing are under 5 years under commercial paper, term loan and various type of credit. It is already considered long tenure if company can secure borrowing more than 5 years period. As I mentioned before, refinancing availability is very important for reit with gearing. In 2008, we saw a lot of reit under pressure being sold down and some even went under due to inability to get refinancing on matured borrowing, which eventually force them to liquidate their properties, or fire-sale. Most reit borrowing cost are around 4-5% as far as I came across. |
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Mar 24 2010, 03:33 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(Kamen Rider @ Mar 24 2010, 02:29 PM) the risks probably is managing the cash flow ,,,,,,,,,and based on 4-5% cost.... will it burden their financial.... Since the reit business model is simple, cashflow managing actually derived from occupancy rate and tenant's prompt payment. For reit, if able to have high occupancy and tenant quality is good aka long term lease and prompt payment each month, then 95% of the reit manager job is done. It is already ensure the reit is under good cashflow position and profitable in general. As in general, commercial properties yield is around 7-8%, so with 4-5% borrowing cost with high occupancy with prompt payment from tenants, then don't need to work out the math also can rougly know the cashflow situation. So as mentioned before for reit, the priority concern is more about lease issue. |
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Mar 24 2010, 03:38 PM
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Senior Member
3,944 posts Joined: Jul 2008 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 24 2010, 04:33 PM) Since the reit business model is simple, cashflow managing actually derived from occupancy rate and tenant's prompt payment. Yup simple math will do actually For reit, if able to have high occupancy and tenant quality is good aka long term lease and prompt payment each month, then 95% of the reit manager job is done. It is already ensure the reit is under good cashflow position and profitable in general. As in general, commercial properties yield is around 7-8%, so with 4-5% borrowing cost with high occupancy with prompt payment from tenants, then don't need to work out the math also can rougly know the cashflow situation. So as mentioned before for reit, the priority concern is more about lease issue. This post has been edited by darkknight81: Mar 24 2010, 03:39 PM |
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Mar 24 2010, 04:41 PM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
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Mar 24 2010, 05:19 PM
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Senior Member
3,944 posts Joined: Jul 2008 |
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Mar 24 2010, 05:54 PM
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Senior Member
1,184 posts Joined: May 2005 |
According to the schedule by Maybank IB, Tower REIT has 9m ST debt and Total Debt is 114m. But why is the ratio at 92%?
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Mar 24 2010, 05:59 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
Gearing and cashflow are important to REITS.
Cannot just simply assume they would have the cashflow. First, under the accounting method, you need to provide ONLY the interest accrued to the profit and loss accounts. Whatever profit ( realized at the end of the day), you can safely pay out 90% as dividends. However, for actual cashflow you need to factor in the whole instalment amount. The total instalment amount ( term loans ) if for short term loan of 5 years is fairly big. OD could be exceptional, but some may attach with a sinking fund condition. There could a a mis match, meaning short of cashflow . though the law may allow you to pay out 90% of the realized profit. The balancing act to me is not as easy as Investors thought. To say about Leveraging is much easier than in practice. Just my view Added on March 24, 2010, 6:26 pm QUOTE(kbandito @ Mar 24 2010, 05:54 PM) According to the schedule by Maybank IB, Tower REIT has 9m ST debt and Total Debt is 114m. But why is the ratio at 92%? It means 92% of the total loan is in the form of short termThis post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 24 2010, 07:44 PM |
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Mar 24 2010, 06:59 PM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(kbandito @ Mar 24 2010, 05:54 PM) According to the schedule by Maybank IB, Tower REIT has 9m ST debt and Total Debt is 114m. But why is the ratio at 92%? Hey.. You right. Maybe maybank calculator koyak at that point Added on March 24, 2010, 7:01 pm QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Mar 24 2010, 05:19 PM) Starhill gearing very low Also.. looks like it has the highest asset value. I wonder how much would be left after the rationalization ?Now i know why Master Cherroy pick up starhill liaw. This post has been edited by whizzer: Mar 24 2010, 07:01 PM |
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Mar 24 2010, 07:20 PM
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Senior Member
1,184 posts Joined: May 2005 |
But ST debt is only 9m out of the total 114m, it couldn't be 92% right?
Added on March 24, 2010, 7:23 pmI favor Tower REIT which is valued 30% under it's NAV, the most undervalued among all. But I wonder why there is so little discussion here. This post has been edited by kbandito: Mar 24 2010, 07:23 PM |
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Mar 24 2010, 07:42 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(kbandito @ Mar 24 2010, 07:20 PM) But ST debt is only 9m out of the total 114m, it couldn't be 92% right? some typo errors made by Maybank.Added on March 24, 2010, 7:23 pmI favor Tower REIT which is valued 30% under it's NAV, the most undervalued among all. But I wonder why there is so little discussion here. You can discuss it too. Why must you wait for people to discuss your reits ? You can bring it up here, to share more with us. This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 24 2010, 08:14 PM |
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Mar 24 2010, 11:53 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(whizzer @ Mar 24 2010, 06:59 PM) Also.. looks like it has the highest asset value. I wonder how much would be left after the rationalization ? As long as the rationalisation or selling of its properties at or around its NAV which is expected to be, NAV won't change. In fact those rationalisation process will realise the capital gain/properties valuation appreciation which is distributable if they wish to. But just my wishful thinking which I don't think it will. My view only. QUOTE(kbandito @ Mar 24 2010, 07:20 PM) But ST debt is only 9m out of the total 114m, it couldn't be 92% right? Invest in Reit, the primary concern is about yield, not about how much undervalued on its NAV (although it is an important as well, just it is secondary to the earlier factor).Added on March 24, 2010, 7:23 pmI favor Tower REIT which is valued 30% under it's NAV, the most undervalued among all. But I wonder why there is so little discussion here. It is not about short term debt vs long term debt at current point situation. As at current point, bankers are willing to lend and credit facilities are available, so short term debt or long term debt is not much an issue. Long term debt will become short term when come or near to its maturity as well, it is all about timing. As long as refinancing is achievable with ease, this is a none issue. And focus should shift to secured interest rate on the loan. Reit share pricing is primary towards yield issue, not on NAV. So you see reit price generally pricing at around 7-8% across. They follow the yield instead of NAV. Reit is not popular here, so seldom being discussed in general, no surprise, as many investors here still not fully aware and fully understanding about reit due to the fact reit is boring and somemore low liquidity which make reit volume is low and price generally move little. |
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Mar 25 2010, 12:23 AM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 24 2010, 11:53 PM) As long as the rationalisation or selling of its properties at or around its NAV which is expected to be, NAV won't change. I had also entered Stareit on this prospect of valuation appreciation from disposal. In your opinion, what are the possible risk to this? One that I can see is that we maybe forced to pay a premium for YTL resort properties.In fact those rationalisation process will realise the capital gain/properties valuation appreciation which is distributable if they wish to. But just my wishful thinking which I don't think it will. My view only. Invest in Reit, the primary concern is about yield, not about how much undervalued on its NAV (although it is an important as well, just it is secondary to the earlier factor). It is not about short term debt vs long term debt at current point situation. As at current point, bankers are willing to lend and credit facilities are available, so short term debt or long term debt is not much an issue. Long term debt will become short term when come or near to its maturity as well, it is all about timing. As long as refinancing is achievable with ease, this is a none issue. And focus should shift to secured interest rate on the loan. Reit share pricing is primary towards yield issue, not on NAV. So you see reit price generally pricing at around 7-8% across. They follow the yield instead of NAV. Reit is not popular here, so seldom being discussed in general, no surprise, as many investors here still not fully aware and fully understanding about reit due to the fact reit is boring and somemore low liquidity which make reit volume is low and price generally move little. This post has been edited by whizzer: Mar 25 2010, 12:26 AM |
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Mar 25 2010, 12:29 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(whizzer @ Mar 25 2010, 12:23 AM) I had also entered Stareit on this prospect of valuation appreciation from disposal. In your opinion, what are the possible risk to this? Valuation appreciation is already reflected in NAV (from Rm1 to Rm1.20), just the selling of the properties will realise the gain. The primary risk is about newer properties injection, which not yet being disclosed. Since there is no info on it, we don't know the future yield which is the primary risk of time being. |
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Mar 25 2010, 12:49 AM
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Senior Member
542 posts Joined: Dec 2007 From: Principality of Zeon |
REIT is a very good alternative to FD. But I rekomen anyone to maintain AT LEAST an FD equivalent to 1 month's net salary as 'emergency fund'. The rest of your surplus cash you don't intend to invest for long-term can park in REIT to eearn superior yields.
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Mar 25 2010, 07:22 AM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
Whatever loans taken by REITS, the proper way by right should be settled off every now and then when the loans are due. It should not be " Refinancied " let say every 4 years or so.
The refinancing method used by REITS indicates there is a major weakness in the system, possibly they are earning insufficient cashflow to pay back the loans taken when due . Meaning they are just merely serving the interest when due. This could be the downfalls of REITS in Singapore, I guess. And the downfalls of certain industries from time to time , cannot be attributed solely to the banks for non supports. LCL is one such I can think of. Companies have to manage their own cashflow very well. And the job falls under their management , not the bankers. Under normal circumstances, loans such as revolving credits or ODs that are needed for working capital of an entity , will be renewed, as the financing of working capital is an on going process. But it should not amount to 30 or 40% of the gearing ratio. And for commercial property loans taken by the companies, banks do allow a longer tenure of 10 years to pay back , possibly up to 15 years ( needed to reconfirm on 15 years ) There is a saying that long term assets should be financed by long term debts, the proper way. Those who are involving the the financial management of the companies would agree to this point. Just my view. This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 25 2010, 08:35 AM |
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Mar 25 2010, 08:12 AM
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Senior Member
3,944 posts Joined: Jul 2008 |
Borrowings for UOA (UNITED OVERSEA AUSTRALIA) reits are term as revolving credit which they have to choice to decide how much they are going to pay on that particular month.
The way they calculate their interest are base on A% + COF. COF (COST OF FUND) will vary from time to time. This post has been edited by darkknight81: Mar 25 2010, 08:14 AM |
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Mar 25 2010, 08:31 AM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
deleted.
This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 25 2010, 08:34 AM |
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Mar 28 2010, 09:24 PM
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Senior Member
637 posts Joined: Jan 2006 From: Petaling Jaya |
Why is Axis carrying such a premium compared to its peers? Other REITs have fractional price to nav per unit and comparable yields.
Are people placing a premium on the property diversification alone. |
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Mar 28 2010, 09:31 PM
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Senior Member
542 posts Joined: Dec 2007 From: Principality of Zeon |
QUOTE(Aggroboy @ Mar 28 2010, 09:24 PM) Why is Axis carrying such a premium compared to its peers? Other REITs have fractional price to nav per unit and comparable yields. I would say yes. If you look at others, Hektar purely on suburban retail, while UOA on office properties. Axis quite diversified. And the number of properties they have also quite big compared to the others, thus its risks are quite distributed. Hektar only have 3 properties, imagine if something were to happen to either 1, 33.33% (assuming equal contribution from each mall) of its income gone. Are people placing a premium on the property diversification alone. Also, generally REITs are priced around their yields. Axis is about 7%++, while Hektar and UOA about 8%++. So, the difference is not really that big in that sense. Btw, only these 3 REITs are within my coverage, so I'm only comparing among them. |
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Mar 28 2010, 10:28 PM
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Senior Member
1,037 posts Joined: Jan 2006 |
QUOTE(Aggroboy @ Mar 28 2010, 09:24 PM) Why is Axis carrying such a premium compared to its peers? Other REITs have fractional price to nav per unit and comparable yields. too add something beside what prince hamsap said, AXIS REIT is also the only Islamic REIT in Malaysia. I don't know what is the criteria of a ISLAMIC REIT, alot of syariah fund are shareholder in AXIS REIT.Are people placing a premium on the property diversification alone. |
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Mar 28 2010, 10:53 PM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(IEE @ Mar 28 2010, 10:28 PM) too add something beside what prince hamsap said, AXIS REIT is also the only Islamic REIT in Malaysia. I don't know what is the criteria of a ISLAMIC REIT, alot of syariah fund are shareholder in AXIS REIT. Not true that AXREIT is the only ISLAMIC REIT. The others are ALAQAR & BSDREIT. |
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Mar 28 2010, 11:07 PM
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Senior Member
1,037 posts Joined: Jan 2006 |
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Mar 28 2010, 11:18 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(IEE @ Mar 28 2010, 11:07 PM) There are still lot of arguments in the market of what is called a true Islamic Reit.So one should not use this Islamic factor as an overweight to buy. Things like sin businesses , traditional banks earning interest and coffee/entertainment outlets selling non halal food and drinks should not be allowed to operate in REITs Premises. Some argued that. This one was brought up in certain forums elsewhere. Just my view. This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 28 2010, 11:34 PM |
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Mar 29 2010, 12:42 AM
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Senior Member
542 posts Joined: Dec 2007 From: Principality of Zeon |
Islamic REIT:
Haram activities (vice, alcohol, entertainment, conventional banking, among others) are not allowed in the properties in their portfolio, or if I'm not mistaken there's a limit i.e. not totally prohibited. Can any muslims here advise? 2ndly, their financing must be by syariah-compliant instruments/banking. |
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Mar 29 2010, 10:05 AM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
AXREIT coming down.
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Mar 29 2010, 10:25 AM
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Senior Member
637 posts Joined: Jan 2006 From: Petaling Jaya |
No disrespect to Islam, but won't that restriction limit the range of properties and potential tenants AXIS can get? Some of their occupancy rates aren't 100% and what if Carlsberg or whatever comes calling
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Mar 29 2010, 11:22 AM
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Junior Member
64 posts Joined: Nov 2009 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 24 2010, 11:53 PM) As long as the rationalisation or selling of its properties at or around its NAV which is expected to be, NAV won't change. NAV do change when properties are revalued, there is an unrealised gain in most REIT. In fact those rationalisation process will realise the capital gain/properties valuation appreciation which is distributable if they wish to. But just my wishful thinking which I don't think it will. My view only. Invest in Reit, the primary concern is about yield, not about how much undervalued on its NAV (although it is an important as well, just it is secondary to the earlier factor). It is not about short term debt vs long term debt at current point situation. As at current point, bankers are willing to lend and credit facilities are available, so short term debt or long term debt is not much an issue. Long term debt will become short term when come or near to its maturity as well, it is all about timing. As long as refinancing is achievable with ease, this is a none issue. And focus should shift to secured interest rate on the loan. Reit share pricing is primary towards yield issue, not on NAV. So you see reit price generally pricing at around 7-8% across. They follow the yield instead of NAV. Reit is not popular here, so seldom being discussed in general, no surprise, as many investors here still not fully aware and fully understanding about reit due to the fact reit is boring and somemore low liquidity which make reit volume is low and price generally move little. The primary concern of yield should also add by the earning power of REIT, since most REIT distribute 90% of their income for tax free purpose. If gearing should be a problem , consider wise that any equity may require to pay an hefty 8% return for unit holder, compare to 4~5% of interest. |
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Mar 29 2010, 12:36 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(Aggroboy @ Mar 29 2010, 10:25 AM) No disrespect to Islam, but won't that restriction limit the range of properties and potential tenants AXIS can get? Some of their occupancy rates aren't 100% and what if Carlsberg or whatever comes calling If you check back the previous thread ( v one ) , one of their buildings was ( is ) vacant for quite some time.Also , Islamic reits may restrict themselves to Islamic borrowings only , loans could be in short supply when the economy is not doing so well. This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Mar 29 2010, 01:56 PM |
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Mar 29 2010, 01:59 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(wwloon32 @ Mar 29 2010, 11:22 AM) NAV do change when properties are revalued, there is an unrealised gain in most REIT. The NAV part posted is when Stareit disposes its properties at NAV then NAV will not change due to the disposal of properties.The primary concern of yield should also add by the earning power of REIT, since most REIT distribute 90% of their income for tax free purpose. If gearing should be a problem , consider wise that any equity may require to pay an hefty 8% return for unit holder, compare to 4~5% of interest. Don't know what is your meaning especially on the bolded part. There is no requirement or mandate to pay unit holder 8% or whatever %. Any distribution is given based on 90% of its profit or income. Lower income low distribution. No income, no distribution. Unit holder is not lendign money to reit company, unit holder is the one 'own' the company. This post has been edited by cherroy: Mar 29 2010, 02:50 PM |
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Mar 29 2010, 05:51 PM
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Junior Member
64 posts Joined: Nov 2009 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Mar 29 2010, 01:59 PM) The NAV part posted is when Stareit disposes its properties at NAV then NAV will not change due to the disposal of properties. Starhill REIT NAV doesn't change much when the propose disposal because they already revalued it. In fact, in the proposed disposal, there is a loss of 50 million. REITs are allowed to dispose their properties for no less than 90% of the last six month valuation.Don't know what is your meaning especially on the bolded part. There is no requirement or mandate to pay unit holder 8% or whatever %. Any distribution is given based on 90% of its profit or income. Lower income low distribution. No income, no distribution. Unit holder is not lendign money to reit company, unit holder is the one 'own' the company. There is a policy for Stareit to distribute 90% of it realised income, that is 8% yield for unit holders. If they wish to expand, one way is to issue more unit and meet the expected yield of 8% too, or dilute earning that may lead to liquidation that happen to AHP2. So, instead of yielding so much money, I think they should have borrow it somewhere else with only 4% interest. |
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Mar 29 2010, 07:50 PM
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Junior Member
18 posts Joined: Jan 2010 |
What I'm uncomfortable about Stareit is I'm not sure (once it turns into a hospitality REIT owning only hotels and resorts) how it gets income to pay us dividends. For industrial, retail and office REITs, it's pretty straightforward. They have tenants, and tenants pay rental. How about hospitality REITs? I presume they have to rely on individual visitors and tourists, and there are bound to be dry seasons - which in turn, could affect dividend payments. Correct me if I'm wrong. |
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Mar 29 2010, 09:00 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(Moolah @ Mar 29 2010, 07:50 PM) What I'm uncomfortable about Stareit is I'm not sure (once it turns into a hospitality REIT owning only hotels and resorts) how it gets income to pay us dividends. Moolah,For industrial, retail and office REITs, it's pretty straightforward. They have tenants, and tenants pay rental. How about hospitality REITs? I presume they have to rely on individual visitors and tourists, and there are bound to be dry seasons - which in turn, could affect dividend payments. Correct me if I'm wrong. REIT is a "trust" (or custodian) for the properties. It does not operate the properties under its trust. It is a management company which leases out all properties under it, be it hospitals or hotels. Therefore, the trust will only be earning rental for all its properties. Although STAREIT owns hotels, but it doesn't operate the hotels. In fact, it leases its hotels to its parent company (in this case is YTL) which in turn operates the hotels. So the cyclinal nature of the business only affects YTL's account. STAREIT will still be earning the rental even if the hotels are facing a downturn. |
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Mar 29 2010, 10:52 PM
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64 posts Joined: Nov 2009 |
QUOTE(Jordy @ Mar 29 2010, 09:00 PM) Moolah, That's right. It's a chance to go for it. Imagine if there is 1 billion and after reposition, the 1 billion investment give 10% of earning, there will be much increase in earning. On top of that, Stareit still owns JW Marriot and The Residences . So my thought is I pay for the 1 billion and I get the free JW Marriot and The Residences to keep.REIT is a "trust" (or custodian) for the properties. It does not operate the properties under its trust. It is a management company which leases out all properties under it, be it hospitals or hotels. Therefore, the trust will only be earning rental for all its properties. Although STAREIT owns hotels, but it doesn't operate the hotels. In fact, it leases its hotels to its parent company (in this case is YTL) which in turn operates the hotels. So the cyclinal nature of the business only affects YTL's account. STAREIT will still be earning the rental even if the hotels are facing a downturn. |
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Mar 29 2010, 11:32 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(wwloon32 @ Mar 29 2010, 05:51 PM) There is a policy for Stareit to distribute 90% of it realised income, that is 8% yield for unit holders. If they wish to expand, one way is to issue more unit and meet the expected yield of 8% too, or dilute earning that may lead to liquidation that happen to AHP2. So, instead of yielding so much money, I think they should have borrow it somewhere else with only 4% interest. 90% is not a policy for Stareit, 90% because if reit is not distributing 90% of its income, it won't be able to enjoy the tax-exempted status.There is no policy of 8% yield or whatever yield number being guaranteed or promised by any reit company. As income is depended on tenants and lease income. Stareit is earning about or near 7 cents per unit for the previous year so, at its old NAV of around RM1.00 (before revaluation), it is not a 8% yield either based on NAV. Don't confuse with the yield of current Stareit's market price around 8.x%. 90% distribution income never equal to 8%. Also, the realised gain of capital revaluation on disposal, is not the same as operating or rental income. Capital gain is tax-exempted in the first place, there is no mandate or requirement, 90% of the realised capital gain must be distributed to get the tax-exempted benefit like rental income does. |
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Mar 31 2010, 08:29 PM
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Junior Member
6 posts Joined: Oct 2005 From: PJ/KL |
I received a Malaysian Tax Voucher from TOWERreit recently which states that "The beneficiary is required to declare such Income in their own tax assessment submission to the Inland Revenue Authorities". Does this mean that Income Distribution from REITs are to be declared and is taxable at my personal income tax bracket ?
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Mar 31 2010, 10:31 PM
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Senior Member
637 posts Joined: Jan 2006 From: Petaling Jaya |
Supposedly 10% withholding tax, not our own personal tax rate
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Mar 31 2010, 10:35 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
Waw, LRT new extensions changed.
Many original plans now become " selective " http://thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?file=...0528&sec=nation |
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Mar 31 2010, 10:42 PM
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Senior Member
637 posts Joined: Jan 2006 From: Petaling Jaya |
Hmm would that affect the Subang Parade station plans
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Apr 5 2010, 09:58 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
ATRIUM has found its new CEO after some 6 months of wait. Chan Kum Chong was promoted from his previous post as COO. It sounds like a good match, so lets see how it goes.
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Apr 5 2010, 11:41 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(Jordy @ Apr 5 2010, 09:58 PM) ATRIUM has found its new CEO after some 6 months of wait. Chan Kum Chong was promoted from his previous post as COO. It sounds like a good match, so lets see how it goes. Based on the Atrium financial report, 2 of its property lease is going to expire this year end, wonder negotioation to renew it is under progress or not. |
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Apr 5 2010, 11:48 PM
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Junior Member
18 posts Joined: Jan 2010 |
Just read this week's The Edge. Apparently CapitaRetail Malaysia Trust is going for listing in the later part of this year.
As for Hektar, they are planing to extend Subang Parade. And there's plans for serviced apartments. Added on April 5, 2010, 11:50 pm QUOTE(Jordy @ Mar 29 2010, 09:00 PM) Moolah, Thanks for the explanation REIT is a "trust" (or custodian) for the properties. It does not operate the properties under its trust. It is a management company which leases out all properties under it, be it hospitals or hotels. Therefore, the trust will only be earning rental for all its properties. Although STAREIT owns hotels, but it doesn't operate the hotels. In fact, it leases its hotels to its parent company (in this case is YTL) which in turn operates the hotels. So the cyclinal nature of the business only affects YTL's account. STAREIT will still be earning the rental even if the hotels are facing a downturn. Anyway, I've decided Stareit is not my cup of tea. Am eyeing QCapita. This post has been edited by Moolah: Apr 5 2010, 11:50 PM |
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Apr 6 2010, 09:00 AM
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Junior Member
491 posts Joined: May 2008 |
the first reit to declare dividend for Q1 2010 arreit 1.8597 cents
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Apr 6 2010, 09:17 AM
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Senior Member
637 posts Joined: Jan 2006 From: Petaling Jaya |
I think they just want to copycat Axis
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Apr 6 2010, 11:09 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
Me really suprise with Arreit declaring quarterly basic, as I didn't came across any announcement they are going to do quarterly distribution before.
Anyway welcome it. |
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Apr 6 2010, 11:19 AM
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All Stars
17,018 posts Joined: Jan 2005 |
Just start this yrs to change to quarterly. Luckly just brought it last 2week.
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Apr 6 2010, 11:45 AM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Apr 6 2010, 11:09 AM) Me really suprise with Arreit declaring quarterly basic, as I didn't came across any announcement they are going to do quarterly distribution before. I love quarterly divy. Anyway welcome it. |
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Apr 6 2010, 11:50 AM
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76 posts Joined: Apr 2008 |
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Apr 6 2010, 12:04 PM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(ooyah98 @ Apr 6 2010, 11:50 AM) This one different from the new hospitality STAREIT ? |
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Apr 7 2010, 09:57 PM
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Senior Member
1,214 posts Joined: Oct 2007 |
REIT players hope for better year
fter two quiet years in the local real estate investment trust (REIT) market, industry players are hoping for a better year in 2010 through more active retail interest, asset expansion plans, and entry of new players. ccording to Malaysian REIT Managers Association (MRMA) protem committee chairman Stewart LaBrooy, news of some existing REITs’ plans to grow their portfolios after a two -year hiatus is encouraging. uite a number of REITs have plans to expand their asset portfolio, with expansion by UOA REIT, AmanahRaya REIT and Al-Aqar REIT to involve new investments of RM1bil. e said REITs would have better upside yields accretion potential if they had steady portfolio expansion through regular strategic asset acquisitions. n whether raising enough funding for their asset expansion plans still posed a challenge to REITs, LaBrooy said: “Since the global financial crisis, there has been a game change on the regulatory environment that is helping REITs and capital markets cope with issues like faster capital raising and more self regulation.†lthough under existing Securities Commission (SC) rules REITs can place out new units of only up to 20% of their unit base and it can be done only once every 12 months, the SC is prepared to grant specific approval to REITs to raise additional capital within 12 months on a case to case basis,†he told StarBiz. t is possible that with the upcoming capital raising plans and new listings, there is potential for the market size to be increased to RM18bil from the current RM8bil. aBrooy said if the listing of a few more sizeable REITs took place by this year-end, it would further add to the depth and liquidity of the market. he upcoming REITs include the Sunway REIT which is estimated to have asset value of around RM4bil and Malaysia’s first cross-border REIT, the RM1bil Qatar REIT. he coming onstream of these new players will inject a lot of liquidity into the market. This will create more excitement in the REIT sector in terms of size and asset class diversification and should place REITs on the radar of more local retail investors and larger foreign funds,†added LaBrooy, who is also Axis REIT Managers Bhd chief executive officer. urrently, retail investors only account for 10% to 15% of the total REITs’ market capitalisation of close to RM6bil. The biggest portion comes from institutional investors who account for close to 60% and REITs promoters at 25%, o promote greater trading interest and volume for REITs, the target is to raise the retail portion to 40% of the market capitalisation. ith the huge liquidity in the local system now, there is huge potential to expand the retail interest for REITs,†LaBrooy said. e added that retail investors were generally ill informed of the benefits of investing in REITs. “Investor education is essential and as a result the MRMA, has undertaken to conduct an investor outreach programme. So far we have conducted public roadshows in Penang, Ipoh, Klang Valley and Malacca. Our next roadshow will be held in Kuching on May 8.†aBrooy said to make REITs more popular with the retail investor, there was a need for more liberalisation on the regulatory front and the removal of the withholding tax for individuals. urrently, both local and foreign retail investors have to pay 10% witholding tax to the Government. e said the recently established MRMA, with nine out of the 11 REIT managers as members, would engage the regulators to overhaul the prevailing regulations and speak as an industry body on tax issues affecting REITs in time for the 2011 budget. n challenges ahead, LaBrooy said: “The biggest challenge for local REITs is to reach a size of US$500mil and grow beyond this. This is the minimum requirement if we are to attract foreign funds to our market and has to be an aggressive strategy for each manager. o achieve this, the REITs have to have four conditions in place – stock price that trades at a premium to net asset value (NAV), so that capital can be raised in a non- dilutive manner; an identifiable pipeline of new assets to acquire; market yield that is achievable at the time of acquisition; and a recovery in the bond market so that new sources of financing can be obtained without reliance on bank lending,†he pointed out |
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Apr 9 2010, 01:10 AM
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Junior Member
64 posts Joined: Nov 2009 |
QUOTE(espree @ Apr 7 2010, 09:57 PM) REIT players hope for better year I would like to point out in fact there isn't enough information for investor to participate in REITs. The aforemention MRMA isn't online, and info can't pass through internet, which is one of the most common way to distribute information. That is problem 1. fter two quiet years in the local real estate investment trust (REIT) market, industry players are hoping for a better year in 2010 through more active retail interest, asset expansion plans, and entry of new players. ccording to Malaysian REIT Managers Association (MRMA) protem committee chairman Stewart LaBrooy, news of some existing REITs’ plans to grow their portfolios after a two -year hiatus is encouraging. uite a number of REITs have plans to expand their asset portfolio, with expansion by UOA REIT, AmanahRaya REIT and Al-Aqar REIT to involve new investments of RM1bil. e said REITs would have better upside yields accretion potential if they had steady portfolio expansion through regular strategic asset acquisitions. n whether raising enough funding for their asset expansion plans still posed a challenge to REITs, LaBrooy said: “Since the global financial crisis, there has been a game change on the regulatory environment that is helping REITs and capital markets cope with issues like faster capital raising and more self regulation.†lthough under existing Securities Commission (SC) rules REITs can place out new units of only up to 20% of their unit base and it can be done only once every 12 months, the SC is prepared to grant specific approval to REITs to raise additional capital within 12 months on a case to case basis,†he told StarBiz. t is possible that with the upcoming capital raising plans and new listings, there is potential for the market size to be increased to RM18bil from the current RM8bil. aBrooy said if the listing of a few more sizeable REITs took place by this year-end, it would further add to the depth and liquidity of the market. he upcoming REITs include the Sunway REIT which is estimated to have asset value of around RM4bil and Malaysia’s first cross-border REIT, the RM1bil Qatar REIT. he coming onstream of these new players will inject a lot of liquidity into the market. This will create more excitement in the REIT sector in terms of size and asset class diversification and should place REITs on the radar of more local retail investors and larger foreign funds,†added LaBrooy, who is also Axis REIT Managers Bhd chief executive officer. urrently, retail investors only account for 10% to 15% of the total REITs’ market capitalisation of close to RM6bil. The biggest portion comes from institutional investors who account for close to 60% and REITs promoters at 25%, o promote greater trading interest and volume for REITs, the target is to raise the retail portion to 40% of the market capitalisation. ith the huge liquidity in the local system now, there is huge potential to expand the retail interest for REITs,†LaBrooy said. e added that retail investors were generally ill informed of the benefits of investing in REITs. “Investor education is essential and as a result the MRMA, has undertaken to conduct an investor outreach programme. So far we have conducted public roadshows in Penang, Ipoh, Klang Valley and Malacca. Our next roadshow will be held in Kuching on May 8.†aBrooy said to make REITs more popular with the retail investor, there was a need for more liberalisation on the regulatory front and the removal of the withholding tax for individuals. urrently, both local and foreign retail investors have to pay 10% witholding tax to the Government. e said the recently established MRMA, with nine out of the 11 REIT managers as members, would engage the regulators to overhaul the prevailing regulations and speak as an industry body on tax issues affecting REITs in time for the 2011 budget. n challenges ahead, LaBrooy said: “The biggest challenge for local REITs is to reach a size of US$500mil and grow beyond this. This is the minimum requirement if we are to attract foreign funds to our market and has to be an aggressive strategy for each manager. o achieve this, the REITs have to have four conditions in place – stock price that trades at a premium to net asset value (NAV), so that capital can be raised in a non- dilutive manner; an identifiable pipeline of new assets to acquire; market yield that is achievable at the time of acquisition; and a recovery in the bond market so that new sources of financing can be obtained without reliance on bank lending,†he pointed out Problem 2 is the policies and guidelines changes too often and not consistent. REITs suppose to be mandated to distribute 90% of their income, but I think there is no guidelines for this and debt ratio limits difer from one to another, and the same happen in NAV calculations, where unrealised gain recurring in some and not recurring in some, aren't asset should be revalue once every year according to guideline ? Third, it should be noted most (expect three) REITs are trading below their IPO or NAV. I believe the very reason for this is ex-date reference price have been adjusted to dividend paid. Stareit IPO price have been above RM1 , but dipped till 80 sen level after paying dividend for years, sum up those dividends we get the difference between IPO price and current unit price. Forth, the illiquid forms that took tolls on REITs, assets can't be sold and divided, neither there is cash to buy anymore asset. REITs turn into cash cow , where investor get milked. When the cow is fat enough, just butcher it. This is what happen to Amanah Harta 2, which resolution has been passed to disband the fund by unsatisfied unit holder. Instead of getting 2 sen dividend years afters years , they will realised the gains of property sold. REITs neither growth nor liquid. Fifth, while there is discount for NAV , REITs are trading above PE ratio of 10, while paying 90% of their income. That indicated a very disappointed return for assets which they manage. For every RM1 of asset, they earn 10sen and pay 9 sen. How can we pay above RM1 while expecting 10% of return ? It isn't growing, it isn't cheap and it isn't paying much. |
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Apr 9 2010, 01:27 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(wwloon32 @ Apr 9 2010, 01:10 AM) Problem 2 is the policies and guidelines changes too often and not consistent. REITs suppose to be mandated to distribute 90% of their income, but I think there is no guidelines for this and debt ratio limits difer from one to another, and the same happen in NAV calculations, where unrealised gain recurring in some and not recurring in some, aren't asset should be revalue once every year according to guideline ? 2) yes, there is guideline, debt ratio cannot more than 50% of their NAV. Asset is required to be revalued every 3 years. Third, it should be noted most (expect three) REITs are trading below their IPO or NAV. I believe the very reason for this is ex-date reference price have been adjusted to dividend paid. Stareit IPO price have been above RM1 , but dipped till 80 sen level after paying dividend for years, sum up those dividends we get the difference between IPO price and current unit price. Forth, the illiquid forms that took tolls on REITs, assets can't be sold and divided, neither there is cash to buy anymore asset. REITs turn into cash cow , where investor get milked. When the cow is fat enough, just butcher it. This is what happen to Amanah Harta 2, which resolution has been passed to disband the fund by unsatisfied unit holder. Instead of getting 2 sen dividend years afters years , they will realised the gains of property sold. REITs neither growth nor liquid. Fifth, while there is discount for NAV , REITs are trading above PE ratio of 10, while paying 90% of their income. That indicated a very disappointed return for assets which they manage. For every RM1 of asset, they earn 10sen and pay 9 sen. How can we pay above RM1 while expecting 10% of return ? It isn't growing, it isn't cheap and it isn't paying much. 3) This is not much an issue for long term investors, as if properties value still intact, the value of Stareit based on NAV is still more than Rm1.00. As share price is a reaction to the yield issue which there is little or no income increment as compared to other reit. 4) Asset can be sold if the property manager wish to, just like Stareit. Reit currently under 90% distriubtion policy only can grow through private placement to raise money which needed for new asset acquisition. AHP2 is a disappointed incident. It all depended on how well property manager manage the property and particular property issue, like location, rental demand for the particular type of property. 5) Reit is about how much yield investors willing to pay for or willing to have. Every year you are getting 9% yield while property is still yours. It is not like you are paying Rm1.00 to them and not returning back, The Rm1.00 property is still belonged to yours. In fact in reality, you buy a property (residential) adn rent out, it is almost near impossible to have yield more than net 8%. Someore the property you bought is more illiquid than reit. Which reit you can sell whenever you wish to, and with any amount. At 9%, it is miles better than money parked in FD. 10% return rate is considered moderate high or ok for investment class, giving that reit risk exposure is lesser than ordinary businesses. Yes, reit growing is little as they can only grow, if there is rental increment, or newer acquisition to improve yield while acquisition financing is only through either borrowing or private placement. As 90% distribution policy means that only 10% of income is retained in the company. This post has been edited by cherroy: Apr 9 2010, 01:33 PM |
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Apr 9 2010, 04:11 PM
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Senior Member
1,177 posts Joined: Nov 2007 |
QUOTE(wwloon32 @ Apr 9 2010, 01:10 AM) Fifth, while there is discount for NAV , REITs are trading above PE ratio of 10, while paying 90% of their income. That indicated a very disappointed return for assets which they manage. For every RM1 of asset, they earn 10sen and pay 9 sen. How can we pay above RM1 while expecting 10% of return ? It isn't growing, it isn't cheap and it isn't paying much. |
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Apr 9 2010, 06:52 PM
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Junior Member
64 posts Joined: Nov 2009 |
QUOTE(wankongyew @ Apr 9 2010, 04:11 PM) This sounds very unreasonable to me. How much return would you think is sufficient to compensate for the lack of capital appreciation? That is the big problem,on comparison, most REITs have RM1 of asset but only return 5 sen and distribute 4 sen. What I said is only the medicore ones, but there is much worse out there. What I really mean is that Earning per Unit aren't matching the NAV. Thereby affecting the yield and share price.I think it's the best to have 10% earning compare to NAV, 100% NAV to Share price, 100% distribute income and 10% yield. But for Malaysia REITs, it most REITs only archived half, reflecting 70~80% NAV and 7~8% of yield, therefore 50~60% of earning. Added on April 9, 2010, 7:01 pm QUOTE(cherroy @ Apr 9 2010, 01:27 PM) 2) yes, there is guideline, debt ratio cannot more than 50% of their NAV. Asset is required to be revalued every 3 years. 2,They changed the guideline again? Last time I look into the guidelines it said 40% and asset are revalued every year once. Doesn't matter, as most REITs have their own rules, such as revalue or syariah. Then there is MER, too very 3) This is not much an issue for long term investors, as if properties value still intact, the value of Stareit based on NAV is still more than Rm1.00. As share price is a reaction to the yield issue which there is little or no income increment as compared to other reit. 4) Asset can be sold if the property manager wish to, just like Stareit. Reit currently under 90% distriubtion policy only can grow through private placement to raise money which needed for new asset acquisition. AHP2 is a disappointed incident. It all depended on how well property manager manage the property and particular property issue, like location, rental demand for the particular type of property. 5) Reit is about how much yield investors willing to pay for or willing to have. Every year you are getting 9% yield while property is still yours. It is not like you are paying Rm1.00 to them and not returning back, The Rm1.00 property is still belonged to yours. In fact in reality, you buy a property (residential) adn rent out, it is almost near impossible to have yield more than net 8%. Someore the property you bought is more illiquid than reit. Which reit you can sell whenever you wish to, and with any amount. At 9%, it is miles better than money parked in FD. 10% return rate is considered moderate high or ok for investment class, giving that reit risk exposure is lesser than ordinary businesses. Yes, reit growing is little as they can only grow, if there is rental increment, or newer acquisition to improve yield while acquisition financing is only through either borrowing or private placement. As 90% distribution policy means that only 10% of income is retained in the company. 3, That one of the reason AHP2 disband, it doesn't reflect NAV. Share price drop and drop, volume isn't there, it is not liquid. In the long term, I guess it will be zero, huh? 4, Asset can be sold, but not less than 90% of six month their value. Consider this carefully, when buyers bought these asset , their maximum gain will only be 10% on market value. That is not very attractive, and REITs asset are huge numbers, meaning that they can't find buyers easily. Stareit sold their asset to relate REITs and reposition into hospitality REIT, that something different. Fifth I already reply. This post has been edited by wwloon32: Apr 9 2010, 07:01 PM |
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Apr 10 2010, 12:05 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(wwloon32 @ Apr 9 2010, 06:52 PM) That is the big problem,on comparison, most REITs have RM1 of asset but only return 5 sen and distribute 4 sen. What I said is only the medicore ones, but there is much worse out there. What I really mean is that Earning per Unit aren't matching the NAV. Thereby affecting the yield and share price. I don't think this is the case for most reit here. Generally there is around 7-8% out there. A lot of their NAV has been going up due to revaluation as we know properties price in general has gone up recent few year. But if taking into the origin NAV in consideration, they are achieving around 8% in average. I think it's the best to have 10% earning compare to NAV, 100% NAV to Share price, 100% distribute income and 10% yield. But for Malaysia REITs, it most REITs only archived half, reflecting 70~80% NAV and 7~8% of yield, therefore 50~60% of earning. Added on April 9, 2010, 7:01 pm 2,They changed the guideline again? Last time I look into the guidelines it said 40% and asset are revalued every year once. Doesn't matter, as most REITs have their own rules, such as revalue or syariah. Then there is MER, too very 3, That one of the reason AHP2 disband, it doesn't reflect NAV. Share price drop and drop, volume isn't there, it is not liquid. In the long term, I guess it will be zero, huh? 4, Asset can be sold, but not less than 90% of six month their value. Consider this carefully, when buyers bought these asset , their maximum gain will only be 10% on market value. That is not very attractive, and REITs asset are huge numbers, meaning that they can't find buyers easily. Stareit sold their asset to relate REITs and reposition into hospitality REIT, that something different. Fifth I already reply. 10% yield is asking a bit too much out there (but if one has bought last year, most are carrying more than 10% yield), you need to considered there is 1% charge on the management fee side of story. To have a property that can achieve gross 11-12% yield, which is not a reasonable target. 2) The guideline never change. Revaluation is every 3 years. There is SC guideline, not the like every reit has their own rules. It has been there since the reit industry kick off if not mistaken. Syariah and revaluation is 2 totally different matter. Doesn't relate. 3) AHP2 didn't fetch any income (I don't know what is the reason, as I don't follow the issue), but as far as I had known, shareholders had formed some group to sell off the asset owned which in return will get back money through the asset disposal. They still own the property, not zero. Whatever left is the property. When a company didn't generate any income, for sure, share price will drop and drop. Who want to invest in a share that doesn't make any money for you. Share not liquid has nothing to do with reit or any listed company fundamental. Again it is 2 different matter, it is the fundamental issue that causing the reit has little value or depreciated in market price. 4) This rule is to protect shareholders, imagine property manager sold the asset at 50% discount to someone (or though RPT), surely shareholders benefit will be hurt. The rule is to prevent property manager sold the property at significant discount rate due to whatever reason or intention. Any special circumstance can always apply exemption from SC. So this is little case of asset illiquid. Any guidelines/rules, you consider the unit holders benefit, where got people consider buyer or other party benefit one? You want to sell your property as close as to the market value. Let say your property/house market value is Rm300K, do you consider buyer must make more than 10% profit, then you decide you must only can sell less than 270K? It doesn't make sense. Having reit is about having faith the property manager is managing property properly and generate rental income or yield to the shareholders. Disposal of properties generally is not something good news to reit, what you want from reit is to expand the rental income scope and getting more properties into thier portfolio and diversified the asset and rental income. Invested in reit is about expectation of fixed income through rental collection, just like buying a property and rent it out and collect the rent. If one expect more return like 10-20%, reit is not a place to be. It is more like a fixed income instrument. Reit is not ordinary share. It is another different class of investment. Risk wise and risk rewards ratio is different. Cannot take in ordinary share return to compare with reit. The most important for ordinary reit investors, how much return and yield you can get through buying the reit in the market. You buy Axreit at Rm2.00, it can genearate about 16 cents or little more for you then it is 8%+ gross yield You buy Stareit at Rm0.86, it can generate about 7 cents, it is about 8% yield. So reit price is adjusting to the yield attractiveness in general. Properties revaluation or higher NAV is another bonus aspect, and investors out there don't buy the reit based on NAV but people buy reit due to the yield factor. Investors buying share out there don't look merely on NAV alone, what investors want is hard real return each year. It is as same acorss stock market. We have a lot of property counter (not reit) that are trading at Rm1.xx but NTA is Rm3-4 as well, why? Because share price react to ability to generate profit to the shareholders. This post has been edited by cherroy: Apr 10 2010, 12:21 AM |
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Apr 10 2010, 05:11 PM
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Junior Member
64 posts Joined: Nov 2009 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Apr 10 2010, 12:05 AM) I don't think this is the case for most reit here. Generally there is around 7-8% out there. A lot of their NAV has been going up due to revaluation as we know properties price in general has gone up recent few year. But if taking into the origin NAV in consideration, they are achieving around 8% in average. Some REITs do have "Unrealised Income" or "Fair value adjustment on investment properties" every year . If I'm not mistaken, those revalued property are counted in NAV, so when we buy a REITs, it already reflected the gained value on NAV. Unfortunately, some others REITs such as Stareit only revalue them once three year, hence there isn't any "Valuation fees" incurred. The guideline only asking a revaluation every three years, but most REITs do revalue every year.10% yield is asking a bit too much out there (but if one has bought last year, most are carrying more than 10% yield), you need to considered there is 1% charge on the management fee side of story. To have a property that can achieve gross 11-12% yield, which is not a reasonable target. 2) The guideline never change. Revaluation is every 3 years. There is SC guideline, not the like every reit has their own rules. It has been there since the reit industry kick off if not mistaken. Syariah and revaluation is 2 totally different matter. Doesn't relate. 3) AHP2 didn't fetch any income (I don't know what is the reason, as I don't follow the issue), but as far as I had known, shareholders had formed some group to sell off the asset owned which in return will get back money through the asset disposal. They still own the property, not zero. Whatever left is the property. When a company didn't generate any income, for sure, share price will drop and drop. Who want to invest in a share that doesn't make any money for you. Share not liquid has nothing to do with reit or any listed company fundamental. Again it is 2 different matter, it is the fundamental issue that causing the reit has little value or depreciated in market price. 4) This rule is to protect shareholders, imagine property manager sold the asset at 50% discount to someone (or though RPT), surely shareholders benefit will be hurt. The rule is to prevent property manager sold the property at significant discount rate due to whatever reason or intention. Any special circumstance can always apply exemption from SC. So this is little case of asset illiquid. Any guidelines/rules, you consider the unit holders benefit, where got people consider buyer or other party benefit one? You want to sell your property as close as to the market value. Let say your property/house market value is Rm300K, do you consider buyer must make more than 10% profit, then you decide you must only can sell less than 270K? It doesn't make sense. Having reit is about having faith the property manager is managing property properly and generate rental income or yield to the shareholders. Disposal of properties generally is not something good news to reit, what you want from reit is to expand the rental income scope and getting more properties into thier portfolio and diversified the asset and rental income. Invested in reit is about expectation of fixed income through rental collection, just like buying a property and rent it out and collect the rent. If one expect more return like 10-20%, reit is not a place to be. It is more like a fixed income instrument. Reit is not ordinary share. It is another different class of investment. Risk wise and risk rewards ratio is different. Cannot take in ordinary share return to compare with reit. The most important for ordinary reit investors, how much return and yield you can get through buying the reit in the market. You buy Axreit at Rm2.00, it can genearate about 16 cents or little more for you then it is 8%+ gross yield You buy Stareit at Rm0.86, it can generate about 7 cents, it is about 8% yield. So reit price is adjusting to the yield attractiveness in general. Properties revaluation or higher NAV is another bonus aspect, and investors out there don't buy the reit based on NAV but people buy reit due to the yield factor. Investors buying share out there don't look merely on NAV alone, what investors want is hard real return each year. It is as same acorss stock market. We have a lot of property counter (not reit) that are trading at Rm1.xx but NTA is Rm3-4 as well, why? Because share price react to ability to generate profit to the shareholders. And some REITs have syariah , some doesn't. When some do have, becareful because it maybe prohibited to have non-halal tenants, but the guidelines doesn't speak any of these. I wonder what the syariah fee for? Isn't the guideline be uniform about syariah issue? There is too a Management Expenses Ratio: Management Expense Ratio (MER) is computed based on total fees including Manager’s fee, Trustee’s fee , valuation fees and administration expenses charged to the Trust divided by the average net asset value during the year. Since the average net asset value of the Trust is calculated on a monthly basis, the MER of the Trust may not be comparable to the MER of other real estate investment trust/unit trusts which may use a different basis of calculation. For the borrowing issue: Borrowings may be used for the acquisition of real estate and single-purpose companies. Unless otherwise approved by the trustee and the SC, the total borrowings of the fund shall not exceed 35% of the total asset value of the fund at the time the borrowings are incurred. I think they do consider approving most of the borrowing above 35%? Isn't the debt ratio should be applied to all? Even some REITs are stating they are borrowing until 50%. And how they calculate it? Long term liabilities? What about short terms one? I think they should solve these guideline. It's easy to confuse. That is only problem 2. Thrid, it's about the share price, not the property. The main reason AHP2 disband is they wish to sell those asset and get their money back. These asset are worth more than their unit price, and they didn't bring much value for unit holder. Unit holder can only get return through appreciation of share price or the distributed income of unit trust. But for every sen of distributed income, the unit trust price drops. In the long tem, because of ex date, most unit trust fall below their IPO price and NAV, and I wonder will their unit price goes zero while NAV is increasing. 4, That why real estate are consider illiquid, because there are rules that prevent buyer to buy and seller to sell. Hence, REITs assets can be consider illiquid, and are very dependent to manager for appreciation of assets or increase of income. When these two factor doesn't come in, REITs can't gworth. That's a problem for Malaysia REITs, they can't get enough income which can't increase value of assets, thus stagnant yield and unit price. Moreover, most Malaysia REIT's NAV already reflected the "revalued" asset, but there is no increase of income and yield, thus discount to NAV become more and more. Either the increased income yield unit holder more realised gain, or the appreciation of assets increase unit price, making unrealised gain for unit holder. But Malaysia REITs do neither. 5, The EPU/NAV for REITs which measure how much gain for net asset value, range from 10% to 5%, average 7.5%, only 5 manage to achieve above 7.5% against 12 REITs (excluding AHP2 which soon disband), while yield average 8.5%, as most REITs have borrowing that could buy more asset and get more return. It means our assets are not running as efficient as I wish, 9.7% return before deducting 0.7% of managent fee. It's an alarm that REITs may not have an high return exceeding 7% without borrowing, and with shrinking unit price but increasing net asset value, REITs may see more disgruntled unit holder and in the long term request disband, such as AHP2. |
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Apr 10 2010, 05:50 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(wwloon32 @ Apr 10 2010, 05:11 PM) Some REITs do have "Unrealised Income" or "Fair value adjustment on investment properties" every year . If I'm not mistaken, those revalued property are counted in NAV, so when we buy a REITs, it already reflected the gained value on NAV. Unfortunately, some others REITs such as Stareit only revalue them once three year, hence there isn't any "Valuation fees" incurred. The guideline only asking a revaluation every three years, but most REITs do revalue every year. Properties is required to be revalued every 3 years, that's for sure. But under reit, there are many properties, so the every 3 years period is not the same for each one, so you may see revlaution happen every year, but they will state which one is revalued in the period. And some REITs have syariah , some doesn't. When some do have, becareful because it maybe prohibited to have non-halal tenants, but the guidelines doesn't speak any of these. I wonder what the syariah fee for? Isn't the guideline be uniform about syariah issue? There is too a Management Expenses Ratio: Management Expense Ratio (MER) is computed based on total fees including Manager’s fee, Trustee’s fee , valuation fees and administration expenses charged to the Trust divided by the average net asset value during the year. Since the average net asset value of the Trust is calculated on a monthly basis, the MER of the Trust may not be comparable to the MER of other real estate investment trust/unit trusts which may use a different basis of calculation. For the borrowing issue: Borrowings may be used for the acquisition of real estate and single-purpose companies. Unless otherwise approved by the trustee and the SC, the total borrowings of the fund shall not exceed 35% of the total asset value of the fund at the time the borrowings are incurred. I think they do consider approving most of the borrowing above 35%? Isn't the debt ratio should be applied to all? Even some REITs are stating they are borrowing until 50%. And how they calculate it? Long term liabilities? What about short terms one? I think they should solve these guideline. It's easy to confuse. That is only problem 2. Thrid, it's about the share price, not the property. The main reason AHP2 disband is they wish to sell those asset and get their money back. These asset are worth more than their unit price, and they didn't bring much value for unit holder. Unit holder can only get return through appreciation of share price or the distributed income of unit trust. But for every sen of distributed income, the unit trust price drops. In the long tem, because of ex date, most unit trust fall below their IPO price and NAV, and I wonder will their unit price goes zero while NAV is increasing. 4, That why real estate are consider illiquid, because there are rules that prevent buyer to buy and seller to sell. Hence, REITs assets can be consider illiquid, and are very dependent to manager for appreciation of assets or increase of income. When these two factor doesn't come in, REITs can't gworth. That's a problem for Malaysia REITs, they can't get enough income which can't increase value of assets, thus stagnant yield and unit price. Moreover, most Malaysia REIT's NAV already reflected the "revalued" asset, but there is no increase of income and yield, thus discount to NAV become more and more. Either the increased income yield unit holder more realised gain, or the appreciation of assets increase unit price, making unrealised gain for unit holder. But Malaysia REITs do neither. 5, The EPU/NAV for REITs which measure how much gain for net asset value, range from 10% to 5%, average 7.5%, only 5 manage to achieve above 7.5% against 12 REITs (excluding AHP2 which soon disband), while yield average 8.5%, as most REITs have borrowing that could buy more asset and get more return. It means our assets are not running as efficient as I wish, 9.7% return before deducting 0.7% of managent fee. It's an alarm that REITs may not have an high return exceeding 7% without borrowing, and with shrinking unit price but increasing net asset value, REITs may see more disgruntled unit holder and in the long term request disband, such as AHP2. Borrowing cannot exceed 50% disregard long term or short term. can refer here http://www.axis-reit.com.my/images/axisrei..._08_chap1-8.pdf Regarding the ex-date, deduct out the share price, as long as company is earning constantly through rental income, the lower price of the share price, the higher yield it is and more attractive. It will not become zero. For eg. Stareit is earning 7 cents, so after 10 years, it deduct out 70 cents, so theorectically, it will become 0.86-0.70 = 0.16. It is not the case. If Stareit is still continue rent out its properties, and earn 7 cents, I can assure the share price won't be 0.16. It is no braniner to see it will be 0.16 if it is still earning 7 cents. Do not take ex-div which deduct out share price will devalue the share. It doesn't. The share valuation come from ability to generate profit/income to shareholders. Share price will auto adjust by market force which dictate by yield factor. For eg. Axreit is giving out average 12-15 cents for the past few years, but share price of Axreit is higher than before because it managed to grow its earning, diversified and expand through acquisition which through private placement. AHP2 didn't generate any income to the shareholder previously which is the major downfall of this reit and the reason why unit holder disgruntled, not about share price below or above NAV. So unit holders have no choice to liquidate the properties to get back the money. As said before, no one will want to invest in anything that doesn't generate income for them. Reit is about renting, leasing properties which is the core income and attractiveness. You look for the properties can be rent out for long term. You buy reit not because of NAV, you buy reit because about its yield. As said, if wish to see return rate of 10%, reit is not a place to be. It is as same as you buy a property then rent out only. The situation is identical to reit. You cannot grow your properties portfolio, if you have no new money or through borrowing. You cannot possible get more than 10% yield through renting out. Rental market yield is about 7-8%. |
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Apr 10 2010, 08:04 PM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Apr 10 2010, 05:50 PM) Properties is required to be revalued every 3 years, that's for sure. But under reit, there are many properties, so the every 3 years period is not the same for each one, so you may see revlaution happen every year, but they will state which one is revalued in the period. Can I say that for property, most time there should be almost guaranteed capital gain whereas in REIT, the capital gains are mostly dictated by the market.Borrowing cannot exceed 50% disregard long term or short term. can refer here http://www.axis-reit.com.my/images/axisrei..._08_chap1-8.pdf Regarding the ex-date, deduct out the share price, as long as company is earning constantly through rental income, the lower price of the share price, the higher yield it is and more attractive. It will not become zero. For eg. Stareit is earning 7 cents, so after 10 years, it deduct out 70 cents, so theorectically, it will become 0.86-0.70 = 0.16. It is not the case. If Stareit is still continue rent out its properties, and earn 7 cents, I can assure the share price won't be 0.16. It is no braniner to see it will be 0.16 if it is still earning 7 cents. Do not take ex-div which deduct out share price will devalue the share. It doesn't. The share valuation come from ability to generate profit/income to shareholders. Share price will auto adjust by market force which dictate by yield factor. For eg. Axreit is giving out average 12-15 cents for the past few years, but share price of Axreit is higher than before because it managed to grow its earning, diversified and expand through acquisition which through private placement. AHP2 didn't generate any income to the shareholder previously which is the major downfall of this reit and the reason why unit holder disgruntled, not about share price below or above NAV. So unit holders have no choice to liquidate the properties to get back the money. As said before, no one will want to invest in anything that doesn't generate income for them. Reit is about renting, leasing properties which is the core income and attractiveness. You look for the properties can be rent out for long term. You buy reit not because of NAV, you buy reit because about its yield. As said, if wish to see return rate of 10%, reit is not a place to be. It is as same as you buy a property then rent out only. The situation is identical to reit. You cannot grow your properties portfolio, if you have no new money or through borrowing. You cannot possible get more than 10% yield through renting out. Rental market yield is about 7-8%. |
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Apr 10 2010, 09:09 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(whizzer @ Apr 10 2010, 08:04 PM) Can I say that for property, most time there should be almost guaranteed capital gain whereas in REIT, the capital gains are mostly dictated by the market. If that is the case, there would not be any serious problem such as Sub Prime Crisis.Another danger of holding properties , would be " Asset Bubbles " I mean no investment instruments are totally perfect and without risks. It is just that you tend to understand more about REITS, so much so the risks are somewhat " reduced". That is why forex traders see no risks at all in playing forex. Sure win one IF you know how. This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Apr 10 2010, 09:34 PM |
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Apr 10 2010, 10:25 PM
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Junior Member
64 posts Joined: Nov 2009 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Apr 10 2010, 05:50 PM) Properties is required to be revalued every 3 years, that's for sure. But under reit, there are many properties, so the every 3 years period is not the same for each one, so you may see revlaution happen every year, but they will state which one is revalued in the period. The Al-‘Aqar KPJ REIT recorded additional contribution to the income from the revaluation of properties in conformance with Financial Reporting Standard 140 (FRS 140) requiring the revaluation of all properties annually. The revaluation, announced on 31 December 2009, increased the valuation of the nineteen properties by RM 17 million, concurrently increasing the Al-‘Aqar KPJ REIT’s market value to RM 962 million.Borrowing cannot exceed 50% disregard long term or short term. can refer here http://www.axis-reit.com.my/images/axisrei..._08_chap1-8.pdf Regarding the ex-date, deduct out the share price, as long as company is earning constantly through rental income, the lower price of the share price, the higher yield it is and more attractive. It will not become zero. For eg. Stareit is earning 7 cents, so after 10 years, it deduct out 70 cents, so theorectically, it will become 0.86-0.70 = 0.16. It is not the case. If Stareit is still continue rent out its properties, and earn 7 cents, I can assure the share price won't be 0.16. It is no braniner to see it will be 0.16 if it is still earning 7 cents. Do not take ex-div which deduct out share price will devalue the share. It doesn't. The share valuation come from ability to generate profit/income to shareholders. Share price will auto adjust by market force which dictate by yield factor. For eg. Axreit is giving out average 12-15 cents for the past few years, but share price of Axreit is higher than before because it managed to grow its earning, diversified and expand through acquisition which through private placement. AHP2 didn't generate any income to the shareholder previously which is the major downfall of this reit and the reason why unit holder disgruntled, not about share price below or above NAV. So unit holders have no choice to liquidate the properties to get back the money. As said before, no one will want to invest in anything that doesn't generate income for them. Reit is about renting, leasing properties which is the core income and attractiveness. You look for the properties can be rent out for long term. You buy reit not because of NAV, you buy reit because about its yield. As said, if wish to see return rate of 10%, reit is not a place to be. It is as same as you buy a property then rent out only. The situation is identical to reit. You cannot grow your properties portfolio, if you have no new money or through borrowing. You cannot possible get more than 10% yield through renting out. Rental market yield is about 7-8%. The real estates shall be revalued at least once every (3) years from the date of the last valuation (or such other times as required under the Securities Commission Guidelines on REITs), or at any time where the Trustee, the Manager or the independent auditor appointed by Atrium REIT reasonably believes that there has been a significant change in the value of real estates. They can revalue any time , any properties or annually revalue. Difer from one and another. Did you see the Stareit income statement for 2008, they don't have valuation fee? I wonder what the guideline trying to tell me, are REITs setting their own revaluation policy? Regarding the ex-date, deduction of unit price is a pain. Imagine you brought Stareit and its IPO price is above RM1, now there is only RM0.86 left, that is the distribution amount you collected past years. It makes sense that price seems "attractive" when distributed profit hasn't changed much, but the price drop and drop. Example, Stareit pay 6 sen of dividend, with 5% on the very beginning, but till today, it still pay 6 sen, but it yield 8%, because the price droped and the more it drop, the more it seems more "attractive", but the truth is there is an unrealised loss and if you sell them they will incurred realised loss. And a particular truth is, now Stareit propose to reposition their REITs into a Hospitality REITs, that is not something that you want since IPO and you have two choices, either selling at a loss or continue to go along. Story never end there, AHP2 may another sad story. There maybe more out there, only three REITs manage to have 120% gain since their IPO, 7% annualised gain on unit price, over the period of 3 years. Adding dividends, only these three manage to reflect their "appreciation" on properties, their high "yield" and their "expected" return that deflect inflation. Out of 12 REITs (excluding AHP2), 3 dipped below their IPO price despite the roaring market. The medicore 6 only manage to cling around 100%. To make REITs a steady option to invest, at least REITs should reflect strong unit price. If one were to find an so called attractive yield of 7%, then he/she maybe dissapointed that the unit price dipped below purchased price, yielding 14% even though distributed income remain same. That is a loss of 50% of unit price, which I believe some of REITs perform during 2008-2009. NAV doesn't reflect to share price, so does the yield too, the more the yield, the less the unit price, while the distributed income remain same. And as you said, rental yield 7%, if one have RM1 and borrow another RM1 with 4% interest, it only have to pay 4 sen while collecting 14 sen, net income 10 sen, that already 10%, but the fact is REITs only manage to have a 7% of return on equity, that mean even though they borrow RM1 and have RM1, they only manage to earn 11 sen on a total of RM2, pay 4 sen of interest and another 7 sen for unit holder. That only 5.5% of return on total asset. Or they may pay more interest, which maybe perceived as more riskier. This post has been edited by wwloon32: Apr 10 2010, 10:35 PM |
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Apr 10 2010, 11:07 PM
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Senior Member
2,991 posts Joined: Jun 2007 |
QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Apr 10 2010, 09:09 PM) If that is the case, there would not be any serious problem such as Sub Prime Crisis. HOW?? Another danger of holding properties , would be " Asset Bubbles " I mean no investment instruments are totally perfect and without risks. It is just that you tend to understand more about REITS, so much so the risks are somewhat " reduced". That is why forex traders see no risks at all in playing forex. Sure win one IF you know how. |
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Apr 11 2010, 12:30 AM
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Junior Member
51 posts Joined: Sep 2009 |
QUOTE(wwloon32 @ Apr 10 2010, 10:25 PM) The Al-‘Aqar KPJ REIT recorded additional contribution to the income from the revaluation of properties in conformance with Financial Reporting Standard 140 (FRS 140) requiring the revaluation of all properties annually. The revaluation, announced on 31 December 2009, increased the valuation of the nineteen properties by RM 17 million, concurrently increasing the Al-‘Aqar KPJ REIT’s market value to RM 962 million. One should have the right concept before invest in REIT. If you are looking for quick capital appreciation, REIT may not be the right place for you. Technically, property will increase in value, but under certain circumstance, it will not. The real estates shall be revalued at least once every (3) years from the date of the last valuation (or such other times as required under the Securities Commission Guidelines on REITs), or at any time where the Trustee, the Manager or the independent auditor appointed by Atrium REIT reasonably believes that there has been a significant change in the value of real estates. They can revalue any time , any properties or annually revalue. Difer from one and another. Did you see the Stareit income statement for 2008, they don't have valuation fee? I wonder what the guideline trying to tell me, are REITs setting their own revaluation policy? Regarding the ex-date, deduction of unit price is a pain. Imagine you brought Stareit and its IPO price is above RM1, now there is only RM0.86 left, that is the distribution amount you collected past years. It makes sense that price seems "attractive" when distributed profit hasn't changed much, but the price drop and drop. Example, Stareit pay 6 sen of dividend, with 5% on the very beginning, but till today, it still pay 6 sen, but it yield 8%, because the price droped and the more it drop, the more it seems more "attractive", but the truth is there is an unrealised loss and if you sell them they will incurred realised loss. And a particular truth is, now Stareit propose to reposition their REITs into a Hospitality REITs, that is not something that you want since IPO and you have two choices, either selling at a loss or continue to go along. Story never end there, AHP2 may another sad story. There maybe more out there, only three REITs manage to have 120% gain since their IPO, 7% annualised gain on unit price, over the period of 3 years. Adding dividends, only these three manage to reflect their "appreciation" on properties, their high "yield" and their "expected" return that deflect inflation. Out of 12 REITs (excluding AHP2), 3 dipped below their IPO price despite the roaring market. The medicore 6 only manage to cling around 100%. To make REITs a steady option to invest, at least REITs should reflect strong unit price. If one were to find an so called attractive yield of 7%, then he/she maybe dissapointed that the unit price dipped below purchased price, yielding 14% even though distributed income remain same. That is a loss of 50% of unit price, which I believe some of REITs perform during 2008-2009. NAV doesn't reflect to share price, so does the yield too, the more the yield, the less the unit price, while the distributed income remain same. And as you said, rental yield 7%, if one have RM1 and borrow another RM1 with 4% interest, it only have to pay 4 sen while collecting 14 sen, net income 10 sen, that already 10%, but the fact is REITs only manage to have a 7% of return on equity, that mean even though they borrow RM1 and have RM1, they only manage to earn 11 sen on a total of RM2, pay 4 sen of interest and another 7 sen for unit holder. That only 5.5% of return on total asset. Or they may pay more interest, which maybe perceived as more riskier. So, why invest in REIT? Those people who have additional fund and want to invest in property for long term with intention to collect rental income are the one looking for this investment class. In fact, they are even more happy if the price of REIT fall below their buying price, as they can add more unit every year with even cheaper price, but in the same time increase in yield return. Assume you buy a house for 100K and can rent for 8K each year. Now, someone from same row want to sell a same unit of house for 80K, would you buy it? I will buy it, as I know the house can rent out for 8K each year and in future people will realise its true value. I will not explain more, this is the secret of rich people making money. |
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Apr 11 2010, 01:18 AM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(Vinct @ Apr 11 2010, 12:30 AM) One should have the right concept before invest in REIT. If you are looking for quick capital appreciation, REIT may not be the right place for you. Technically, property will increase in value, but under certain circumstance, it will not. Hypothetical question. I would have to look at my how much my borrowings So, why invest in REIT? Those people who have additional fund and want to invest in property for long term with intention to collect rental income are the one looking for this investment class. In fact, they are even more happy if the price of REIT fall below their buying price, as they can add more unit every year with even cheaper price, but in the same time increase in yield return. Assume you buy a house for 100K and can rent for 8K each year. Now, someone from same row want to sell a same unit of house for 80K, would you buy it? I will buy it, as I know the house can rent out for 8K each year and in future people will realise its true value. I will not explain more, this is the secret of rich people making money. Personally for me, I would also have property in addition to REIT. The REIT component to guarantee at least some cash generation & property for cash generation/capital gain purpose. |
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Apr 11 2010, 05:41 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(wwloon32 @ Apr 10 2010, 10:25 PM) The Al-‘Aqar KPJ REIT recorded additional contribution to the income from the revaluation of properties in conformance with Financial Reporting Standard 140 (FRS 140) requiring the revaluation of all properties annually. The revaluation, announced on 31 December 2009, increased the valuation of the nineteen properties by RM 17 million, concurrently increasing the Al-‘Aqar KPJ REIT’s market value to RM 962 million. For revaluation issue,The real estates shall be revalued at least once every (3) years from the date of the last valuation (or such other times as required under the Securities Commission Guidelines on REITs), or at any time where the Trustee, the Manager or the independent auditor appointed by Atrium REIT reasonably believes that there has been a significant change in the value of real estates. They can revalue any time , any properties or annually revalue. Difer from one and another. Did you see the Stareit income statement for 2008, they don't have valuation fee? I wonder what the guideline trying to tell me, are REITs setting their own revaluation policy? Regarding the ex-date, deduction of unit price is a pain. Imagine you brought Stareit and its IPO price is above RM1, now there is only RM0.86 left, that is the distribution amount you collected past years. It makes sense that price seems "attractive" when distributed profit hasn't changed much, but the price drop and drop. Example, Stareit pay 6 sen of dividend, with 5% on the very beginning, but till today, it still pay 6 sen, but it yield 8%, because the price droped and the more it drop, the more it seems more "attractive", but the truth is there is an unrealised loss and if you sell them they will incurred realised loss. And a particular truth is, now Stareit propose to reposition their REITs into a Hospitality REITs, that is not something that you want since IPO and you have two choices, either selling at a loss or continue to go along. Story never end there, AHP2 may another sad story. There maybe more out there, only three REITs manage to have 120% gain since their IPO, 7% annualised gain on unit price, over the period of 3 years. Adding dividends, only these three manage to reflect their "appreciation" on properties, their high "yield" and their "expected" return that deflect inflation. Out of 12 REITs (excluding AHP2), 3 dipped below their IPO price despite the roaring market. The medicore 6 only manage to cling around 100%. To make REITs a steady option to invest, at least REITs should reflect strong unit price. If one were to find an so called attractive yield of 7%, then he/she maybe dissapointed that the unit price dipped below purchased price, yielding 14% even though distributed income remain same. That is a loss of 50% of unit price, which I believe some of REITs perform during 2008-2009. NAV doesn't reflect to share price, so does the yield too, the more the yield, the less the unit price, while the distributed income remain same. Reit guideline has stated 3 years once at least. New FRS stated every year. This is applied across all company account if they start to adopt the new FRS. This is not applied on reit only. So I don't see any clash between the guideline and FRS. If adopted the new FRS, then every year revaluation once. I don't see an issue here. The new FRS every year revalaution means they will overwrite the guideline only. There is no such thing of every reit adopted their own guideline. If one view the ex-date distrubtion/dividend deduction is actually culprit of share price dropping, I can't help to explain more further (has been explained many times). In actual fact, it is not. Whether there is distrubtion or not, share price still will drop to 0.8x to match the overall market yield around 8% if Stareit cannot earn more than 6.+ cents. Market share price always respond and react to how much earning ability. After the recent financial crisis, investors demanded more yield to justify their risk, especially with real estate is the main culprit of recent crisis and a number of overseas reit actually went under and have their own problem, mainly due to leverage issue. If one view short term like that (ex-date of dividend deduct out the share price), then please don't buy any dividend stocks. No offence. Stareit IPO price at 6.x% yield is not attractive enough for investors, that's why the share price drop to 0.8x become a 8.+% yield. Somemore Stareit DPU never go up at all and with the rationalisation plan uncertainty (new properties injection), then share price will be traded at this range for near term until situation become clearer and how much the future yield it will be. As said before, you buy reit, you look at yield as primary factor, you don't look at its IPO price nor NAV, as this is secondary. Look at how much IPO offer price at what expected yield, then only decide the price you are going to enter. If yield is not attractive enough as compared to overall market existing has, then high chance it will drop below IPO price or NAV. Every reit situation is different, some may have rental revision for every 2-3 years, so if the rental being revised upwards, then there is positive contribution to the profit made. To make reit price steady, the only and effective way to to have consistently earning power and may be some little improvement in income. (it is not possible to see earning of reit double or triple over short to mid-term, without expanding through borrowing or private placement. If a reit is earning steady 7% over the long term, it is very unlikely to see its market price drop become 14%, as people will already snap up if the yield become higher and higher. It is no brainer for anyone to sell the reit which is yielding 14% and still able to earn steady and consistently over long period of time. Except for some special circumstance like financial crisis which lead to risk of reit facing (like cannot find tenants, refinancing facilities is totally shut like what happen during 2008 etc) or FD interest rate become 7% which make 7% reit become non-attractive. |
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Apr 12 2010, 12:00 AM
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Elite
14,576 posts Joined: May 2006 From: Sarawak |
I need some clarification on income tax assessment. Already went to LHDN last week to ask about REITs "dividend" and the lady said that I don't have to declare the dividend from REITs. Is that true?
If that is so, why do I need to keep the "Tax vouchers"? This post has been edited by kmarc: Apr 12 2010, 12:00 AM |
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Apr 12 2010, 12:07 AM
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Senior Member
2,991 posts Joined: Jun 2007 |
QUOTE(kmarc @ Apr 12 2010, 12:00 AM) I need some clarification on income tax assessment. Already went to LHDN last week to ask about REITs "dividend" and the lady said that I don't have to declare the dividend from REITs. Is that true? It's true.If that is so, why do I need to keep the "Tax vouchers"? The tax voucher is for your record, and to substantiate your income in case of a tax audit. For example, I remember Neo buys alot of REITs. He earns so much reit-dividend income. He doesn't need declare this. Then if he buys property with cash, IRB come knock on his door, ask him, "You declare only so little income, how come you can buy property with cash? You under declare your income is it?". Then Neo shows the IRB officer all his reit-dividend voucher. "Already 10% witholding tax la. See my reit-dividend RM200k. This is where the money comes from to buy the property with cash". IRB officer's eyes almost pop out, says "Ok. case closed." |
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Apr 12 2010, 01:39 AM
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Junior Member
64 posts Joined: Nov 2009 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Apr 11 2010, 05:41 PM) For revaluation issue, Guidelines do change and different company have different revaluation, that leads to two earnings. In the next few years there will be changes and beware of different company that have different revaluation. If guidelines are mean to guide and uniform, why things have different interpretions?Reit guideline has stated 3 years once at least. New FRS stated every year. This is applied across all company account if they start to adopt the new FRS. This is not applied on reit only. So I don't see any clash between the guideline and FRS. If adopted the new FRS, then every year revaluation once. I don't see an issue here. The new FRS every year revalaution means they will overwrite the guideline only. There is no such thing of every reit adopted their own guideline. If one view the ex-date distrubtion/dividend deduction is actually culprit of share price dropping, I can't help to explain more further (has been explained many times). In actual fact, it is not. Whether there is distrubtion or not, share price still will drop to 0.8x to match the overall market yield around 8% if Stareit cannot earn more than 6.+ cents. Market share price always respond and react to how much earning ability. After the recent financial crisis, investors demanded more yield to justify their risk, especially with real estate is the main culprit of recent crisis and a number of overseas reit actually went under and have their own problem, mainly due to leverage issue. If one view short term like that (ex-date of dividend deduct out the share price), then please don't buy any dividend stocks. No offence. Stareit IPO price at 6.x% yield is not attractive enough for investors, that's why the share price drop to 0.8x become a 8.+% yield. Somemore Stareit DPU never go up at all and with the rationalisation plan uncertainty (new properties injection), then share price will be traded at this range for near term until situation become clearer and how much the future yield it will be. As said before, you buy reit, you look at yield as primary factor, you don't look at its IPO price nor NAV, as this is secondary. Look at how much IPO offer price at what expected yield, then only decide the price you are going to enter. If yield is not attractive enough as compared to overall market existing has, then high chance it will drop below IPO price or NAV. Every reit situation is different, some may have rental revision for every 2-3 years, so if the rental being revised upwards, then there is positive contribution to the profit made. To make reit price steady, the only and effective way to to have consistently earning power and may be some little improvement in income. (it is not possible to see earning of reit double or triple over short to mid-term, without expanding through borrowing or private placement. If a reit is earning steady 7% over the long term, it is very unlikely to see its market price drop become 14%, as people will already snap up if the yield become higher and higher. It is no brainer for anyone to sell the reit which is yielding 14% and still able to earn steady and consistently over long period of time. Except for some special circumstance like financial crisis which lead to risk of reit facing (like cannot find tenants, refinancing facilities is totally shut like what happen during 2008 etc) or FD interest rate become 7% which make 7% reit become non-attractive. Market share price doesn't reflect yields. REITs do have tendency of dropping even though earning and therefore yield is rising. Given the statistics of mid 2008, when markets did perform average, only half of 12 REITs manage to cling above IPO price, another half sinking below it. It average yield is 7%, compare to 8.5%, still REITs unit price perform sluggish, haven't recover, although earning and yield did improve. As the matter of fact, the top three REITs yield of 2008 unit price did fall, compare to 2010 unit price. The main things is unit price, it doesn't go along with yields and NAV, it isn't as effective as you thought. If you opened The Edge, you will find our REITs are one of the highest yield in the world. And a point to counter yours, if REITs yields average on 8.5%, which make it more attractive compare to listed dividend counter and our country bond, REITs should attract these capital and make it yield lower in long term, but it didn't happen. |
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Apr 12 2010, 06:39 AM
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Elite
14,576 posts Joined: May 2006 From: Sarawak |
QUOTE(simplesmile @ Apr 12 2010, 12:07 AM) It's true. Owh, I see what you mean. Thanx for the clarification. The tax voucher is for your record, and to substantiate your income in case of a tax audit. For example, I remember Neo buys alot of REITs. He earns so much reit-dividend income. He doesn't need declare this. Then if he buys property with cash, IRB come knock on his door, ask him, "You declare only so little income, how come you can buy property with cash? You under declare your income is it?". Then Neo shows the IRB officer all his reit-dividend voucher. "Already 10% witholding tax la. See my reit-dividend RM200k. This is where the money comes from to buy the property with cash". IRB officer's eyes almost pop out, says "Ok. case closed." |
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Apr 12 2010, 10:54 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(wwloon32 @ Apr 12 2010, 01:39 AM) Guidelines do change and different company have different revaluation, that leads to two earnings. In the next few years there will be changes and beware of different company that have different revaluation. If guidelines are mean to guide and uniform, why things have different interpretions? FRS has nothing to do with the reit guideline as said, Guideline provide a guide so that reit doesn't cross the line. I do see any different interpretation. Market share price doesn't reflect yields. REITs do have tendency of dropping even though earning and therefore yield is rising. Given the statistics of mid 2008, when markets did perform average, only half of 12 REITs manage to cling above IPO price, another half sinking below it. It average yield is 7%, compare to 8.5%, still REITs unit price perform sluggish, haven't recover, although earning and yield did improve. As the matter of fact, the top three REITs yield of 2008 unit price did fall, compare to 2010 unit price. The main things is unit price, it doesn't go along with yields and NAV, it isn't as effective as you thought. If you opened The Edge, you will find our REITs are one of the highest yield in the world. And a point to counter yours, if REITs yields average on 8.5%, which make it more attractive compare to listed dividend counter and our country bond, REITs should attract these capital and make it yield lower in long term, but it didn't happen. Market is always has some kind of effectiveness. The good example is Axreit. Axreit earning and DPU has been increasing quite steadily, eventually, reit price also move along and respond to the DPU. You reward the investors with more earning and yield, then it eventually will lure investors in it. Yes, local reit market is not as liquid and effective compared to ordinary share, (without liqudiity and volume, effectiveness surely is severely distorted or affected) but there is some kind of effectiveness as well. As we can see most reit price is positioning to around 7-8% in general. So want higher unit price, then company need to deliver high DPU. The issue/problem about reit is Locally reit market is very unknown and not understanding to retailers, so eventually there is little retail investors participation, we can see most reit have shareholders around 1K or so only. And somemore retailers in KLSE are more adventurous, they don't want to have something that price is stagnant and move little and trade little one. To say reit tend to drop, yes, they tend to drop from IPO price, because I don't find IPO price in some reit is attractive because its yield at IPO price is lower than market out there. But it doesn't drop straight line down, as long the reit is having constant income, then the reit market price will be positioning at around 7-8%. So market unit price will react how well their DPU. For instituitional, Reit liqudity is not high enough to prompt instituitional investors to dump big into it. The reit size is singificant smaller to attract large instituitinal investors. Even some insurance fund, and UT only invest around a couple million to ten plus millions in it. The size and liquidity is simply too small for reit industry as compared to overseas. As said before as well, reit has little or not much room for growth due to restriction on borrowing, so with not much room to grow, it is not justified for investors for own a reit if yield is around 5-6% which is just a notch higher then bond market, as having a reit, risk wise is higher than a bond. If a steady strong dividend stock that carry 6% and a reit also carry 6%, why investors want to choose the reit over dividend stock? While ordinary dividend stock has way much room to grow in ordinary businesses. Another aspect, overseas like Sg reit income or distribution is not subjected to 10% witholding tax, while Malaysia reit does. So investors will 'discount' this factor on the reit price as well. As investors care about the net yield they are getting. A gross 8% means real yield is 7.2% only. I no doubt there are problem/challenge on local market reit which summarise a few as below 1. Size 2. liqudity 3. witholding tax 4. Low understanding on reit for local retailer investors. 5. Restriction on borrowing (which I view, it is good) 6. RPT But to say reit price is tend to go down, or the distribution is the culprit make reit market price going down, is inclusive conclusion. As said, 50% of reit is actually above IPO price, as reflect there is about individual issue on reit itself like quality of their portfolio, management that improve the reit earning etc issue. It is as same for ordinary stock as well, some perform good, some worst. This post has been edited by cherroy: Apr 12 2010, 11:48 AM |
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Apr 12 2010, 11:19 AM
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Senior Member
637 posts Joined: Jan 2006 From: Petaling Jaya |
Essay vs essay, I'm seeing stars liao
Anyways newspapers are getting more vocal about REITs closing the gap with their NAVs, but do people actually buy REIT for arbitrage? |
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Apr 12 2010, 02:40 PM
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Junior Member
230 posts Joined: Jan 2008 |
QUOTE(Aggroboy @ Apr 12 2010, 12:19 PM) Essay vs essay, I'm seeing stars liao You could do a poll I suppose if you're really that interested to know. My own reason is for portfolio diversification (10%) and stable returns. I find it re-assuring that the past few times when the whole market is red, the reits I own are unchanged. Anyways newspapers are getting more vocal about REITs closing the gap with their NAVs, but do people actually buy REIT for arbitrage? |
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Apr 14 2010, 09:00 AM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
AmanahRaya to pay higher dividend
PETALING JAYA: AmanahRaya Real Estate Investment Trust (AmanahRaya REIT) has declared a higher dividend of 1.86 sen per share in the first quarter ended March 31, up from 1.8 sen per share previously. The distribution was on the back of higher net profit of RM8.67mil, or 2.01 sen per share, posted in the quarter under review versus RM7.76mil, or 1.8 sen per share, previously. The increased profit was on the back of improved revenue to RM12.2mil against RM11.47mil before. The improved performance was attributed to an increased in rental rates, which came into affect in the second quarter of last year. |
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Apr 16 2010, 04:31 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
The volume for AXREIT in these 4 days have been over 10,000 (with 2 days breaching 13,000). Such high volumes could only mean one thing, another round of expectation for high distribution
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Apr 20 2010, 08:02 PM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(Jordy @ Apr 16 2010, 04:31 PM) The volume for AXREIT in these 4 days have been over 10,000 (with 2 days breaching 13,000). Such high volumes could only mean one thing, another round of expectation for high distribution Submitting Merchant Bank : - Company Name : AXIS REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST Stock Name : AXREIT Date Announced : 20/04/2010 EX-date : 30/04/2010 Entitlement date : 04/05/2010 Entitlement time : 05:00:00 PM Entitlement subject : Income Distribution Entitlement description : First Interim Distribution of Income of 3.70 sen per unit (of which 3.65 sen per unit is taxable and 0.05 sen per unit is non-taxable in the hands of unitholders) in respect of the period from 1 January 2010 to 31 March 2010. Period of interest payment : to Financial Year End : 31/12/2010 Share transfer book & register of members will be : to closed from (both dates inclusive) for the purpose of determining the entitlements Registrar's name ,address, telephone no : Symphony Share Registrars Sdn Bhd Level 6, Symphony House Block D13, Pusat Dagangan Dana 1 Jalan PJU 1A/46 47301 Petaling Jaya Selangor Darul Ehsan Tel No. 03-7841 8000 Payment date : 27/05/2010 a. Securities transferred into the Depositor's Securities Account before 4:00 pm in respect of transfers : 04/05/2010 b. Securities deposited into the Depositor's Securities Account before 12:30 pm in respect of securities exempted from mandatory deposit : c. Securities bought on the Exchange on a cum entitlement basis according to the Rules of the Exchange. Number of new shares/securities issued (units) (If applicable) : Entitlement indicator : Currency Currency : Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) Entitlement in Currency : 0.037 Remarks : |
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Apr 20 2010, 08:38 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(whizzer @ Apr 20 2010, 08:02 PM) Submitting Merchant Bank : - Yup, I noticed that. Very disappointing indeed. A lower distribution than the previous quarter. Tomorrow the price of AXREIT might go down after the huge interests in it the past week.Company Name : AXIS REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST Stock Name : AXREIT Date Announced : 20/04/2010 EX-date : 30/04/2010 Entitlement date : 04/05/2010 Entitlement time : 05:00:00 PM Entitlement subject : Income Distribution Entitlement description : First Interim Distribution of Income of 3.70 sen per unit (of which 3.65 sen per unit is taxable and 0.05 sen per unit is non-taxable in the hands of unitholders) in respect of the period from 1 January 2010 to 31 March 2010. Period of interest payment : to Financial Year End : 31/12/2010 Share transfer book & register of members will be : to closed from (both dates inclusive) for the purpose of determining the entitlements Registrar's name ,address, telephone no : Symphony Share Registrars Sdn Bhd Level 6, Symphony House Block D13, Pusat Dagangan Dana 1 Jalan PJU 1A/46 47301 Petaling Jaya Selangor Darul Ehsan Tel No. 03-7841 8000 Payment date : 27/05/2010 a. Securities transferred into the Depositor's Securities Account before 4:00 pm in respect of transfers : 04/05/2010 b. Securities deposited into the Depositor's Securities Account before 12:30 pm in respect of securities exempted from mandatory deposit : c. Securities bought on the Exchange on a cum entitlement basis according to the Rules of the Exchange. Number of new shares/securities issued (units) (If applicable) : Entitlement indicator : Currency Currency : Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) Entitlement in Currency : 0.037 Remarks : |
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Apr 20 2010, 09:20 PM
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Junior Member
491 posts Joined: May 2008 |
too bad i did not buy axreit when it was hovering around rm1.00 for few days last time. otherwise could have been enjoying 16% ROI every year.
anybody knows when hektar's report out? i am hungry for divy cheque... |
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Apr 20 2010, 11:34 PM
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943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(Jordy @ Apr 20 2010, 08:38 PM) Yup, I noticed that. Very disappointing indeed. A lower distribution than the previous quarter. Tomorrow the price of AXREIT might go down after the huge interests in it the past week. I think after the private placement exercise, the pie needs to be cut into smaller pieces. |
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Apr 20 2010, 11:51 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
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Apr 20 2010, 11:54 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(whizzer @ Apr 20 2010, 11:34 PM) Yup, the total amount of income is increasing, just there are more unit to share the pie.But within the report stated, Quattro West will get 84% of tenant after second half 2010 and SADC1 manage to find a new tenant after 1.5 month without. So if everything goes right, can see some improvement back. I don't see there is more upside space from Rm2.00 onwards for near term, almost fully value based on current yield. But we also need to consider that 3.70 cents is actually a 95% payout only from its realised income, compared to 99% last year. |
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Apr 21 2010, 09:06 AM
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Senior Member
637 posts Joined: Jan 2006 From: Petaling Jaya |
Q2 onwards will be quite good, according to analysts.
However, I'm still not comfortable with its current price to NAV, despite the upside. |
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Apr 21 2010, 10:01 AM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(Jordy @ Apr 20 2010, 11:51 PM) For your information, the dilution effect has been accounted in the previous quarter's distribution. I don't think its a once off thing. After the private placement, they would need to increase income by equal proportion to the amount that has been increased to give the same divy. |
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Apr 21 2010, 12:39 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(whizzer @ Apr 21 2010, 10:01 AM) I don't think its a once off thing. After the private placement, they would need to increase income by equal proportion to the amount that has been increased to give the same divy. That is most definitely the case, but I am not expecting to see the same amount of distribution before the placement. I was comparing it directly with the previous quarter's distribution of 3.74 cents. This is justified by the lower income received this quarter compared with the previous quarter, which is not a positive sign for AXREIT to slow down. |
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Apr 21 2010, 02:19 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(Jordy @ Apr 21 2010, 12:39 PM) That is most definitely the case, but I am not expecting to see the same amount of distribution before the placement. I was comparing it directly with the previous quarter's distribution of 3.74 cents. This is justified by the lower income received this quarter compared with the previous quarter, which is not a positive sign for AXREIT to slow down. This Q, SADC1 has no rental income for 1.5 months. To have more accurate picture of quarterly basic comparison, The real/accurate comparison is on the realised income per unit, aka realised EPS, not DPU. As sometimes they opt 99% distribution, sometimes they can opt 90%. |
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Apr 21 2010, 09:09 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Apr 21 2010, 02:19 PM) This Q, SADC1 has no rental income for 1.5 months. cherroy,To have more accurate picture of quarterly basic comparison, The real/accurate comparison is on the realised income per unit, aka realised EPS, not DPU. As sometimes they opt 99% distribution, sometimes they can opt 90%. Yes, I completely understand this. I was only comparing the distributions of this quarter with the previous quarter. I did not derive the "lower income" part from the distribution, but I got it from the EPS. Although some may see that there was a slight improvement in income (a mere RM88k improvement), but for me that was a slow down. We all remember the times when AXREIT's income was boosted by double digits quarter after quarter. I'm starting to feel disappointed this quarter. Anybody feels the same? |
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Apr 22 2010, 01:16 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(Jordy @ Apr 21 2010, 09:09 PM) cherroy, The result is not that impressive, but I don't feel huge disappointment because double digit growth in never a realistic target to start with without leverage. I am comfortable if the income is steady and has slight improvement. Yes, I completely understand this. I was only comparing the distributions of this quarter with the previous quarter. I did not derive the "lower income" part from the distribution, but I got it from the EPS. Although some may see that there was a slight improvement in income (a mere RM88k improvement), but for me that was a slow down. We all remember the times when AXREIT's income was boosted by double digits quarter after quarter. I'm starting to feel disappointed this quarter. Anybody feels the same? I never aim/expect for double digit growth from any reit. But with borrowing being pared down, it is matter of time, they will again aim for new acquisition to boost their earning base. Just my guess, based on its management history or way of doing. |
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Apr 22 2010, 07:34 AM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Apr 22 2010, 01:16 AM) The result is not that impressive, but I don't feel huge disappointment because double digit growth in never a realistic target to start with without leverage. I am comfortable if the income is steady and has slight improvement. Well, maybe I was aiming too high to say the least. I can't afford to see my dividends slowing down (or decrease) I never aim/expect for double digit growth from any reit. But with borrowing being pared down, it is matter of time, they will again aim for new acquisition to boost their earning base. Just my guess, based on its management history or way of doing. Indeed they are getting a piece of land built with a warehouse in JB. The immediate yield would be 9.xx% for the first 3 years, with the lease signed for 10 years. Added on April 22, 2010, 7:25 pmOh my, what a historical day. I have never seen 10 counters up in a day This post has been edited by Jordy: Apr 22 2010, 07:25 PM |
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Apr 22 2010, 09:34 PM
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Junior Member
491 posts Joined: May 2008 |
any one has studied what will be the effect to arreit's eps, nav and its price when the proposal of injection of 2 new assets and issuance of new shares to partly finance the acquisition completed?
i am a bit concerned if it dilute the eps and eventually the DPU. i have a big plan on this counter actually but still in doubt about it.. |
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Apr 22 2010, 09:58 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(sopol @ Apr 22 2010, 09:34 PM) any one has studied what will be the effect to arreit's eps, nav and its price when the proposal of injection of 2 new assets and issuance of new shares to partly finance the acquisition completed? The issuance of new shares means that the share capital will be enlarged, therefore the future EPS and DPU will definitely be diluted. What you have to do now is to study the potential of these new buildings and also the yield, so as to offset the dilution.i am a bit concerned if it dilute the eps and eventually the DPU. i have a big plan on this counter actually but still in doubt about it.. |
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Apr 23 2010, 09:10 AM
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Junior Member
491 posts Joined: May 2008 |
QUOTE(Jordy @ Apr 22 2010, 09:58 PM) The issuance of new shares means that the share capital will be enlarged, therefore the future EPS and DPU will definitely be diluted. What you have to do now is to study the potential of these new buildings and also the yield, so as to offset the dilution. thank you jordy. what i like about the new properties are that the rental has been contracted for more than 5 years and there will be annual increments. arreit is quite transparent in their future earning disclosure. what i dont like is the increment is quite low 5-7% only. moreover, 4.5% interest need to be served every year as well. it should be 10% in line with property price appreciation which command higher rate of growth |
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Apr 23 2010, 10:40 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(sopol @ Apr 23 2010, 09:10 AM) thank you jordy. what i like about the new properties are that the rental has been contracted for more than 5 years and there will be annual increments. arreit is quite transparent in their future earning disclosure. what i dont like is the increment is quite low 5-7% only. moreover, 4.5% interest need to be served every year as well. it should be 10% in line with property price appreciation which command higher rate of growth Unless we want to see real estate bubble forming, a 10% or more every year is not something as long term investors want to see. It is not sustainable to expect this kind Annual increment of 5-7% in rental is considered very favourable already. Remember we are talking about increment rate itself only. I would say don't put too high expectation when investing in reit, as it is very similar to owning a properth then rent it out. The most important thing is to see from long term perspective. We don't want to see bubble forming then burst resulted difficulty in getting tenant afterwards. |
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Apr 23 2010, 11:34 AM
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491 posts Joined: May 2008 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Apr 23 2010, 10:40 AM) Unless we want to see real estate bubble forming, a 10% or more every year is not something as long term investors want to see. It is not sustainable to expect this kind very fair statement and realistic expectation from cherroy. long term wise, arreit getting bigger and bigger. post injection exercise will see the assets mark rm1 billion level. just hoping that they are not over geared. Annual increment of 5-7% in rental is considered very favourable already. Remember we are talking about increment rate itself only. I would say don't put too high expectation when investing in reit, as it is very similar to owning a properth then rent it out. The most important thing is to see from long term perspective. We don't want to see bubble forming then burst resulted difficulty in getting tenant afterwards. cherroy, do you give arreit a serious look? |
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Apr 23 2010, 01:57 PM
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Senior Member
4,436 posts Joined: Oct 2008 |
Wrt to ARREIT, just recently bought 10,000 units @ RM 0.89. Maybank Investment gave a DCF derived TP of RM 1.14. Current yield is at 8% and I expect it to increase in the future. This part of my portfolio will be going towards creating my second income.
Xuzen |
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Apr 23 2010, 02:54 PM
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Senior Member
637 posts Joined: Jan 2006 From: Petaling Jaya |
Doesn't look like ARREIT is going increase its dps much, as long as you are content with static 8% for the next 5 years or so.
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Apr 25 2010, 11:38 AM
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943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
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Apr 26 2010, 08:19 AM
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1,516 posts Joined: May 2006 |
Hey guys, I am an amateur in stock trading and would like to venture into REIT. I would like to learn more abuot REIT, be it from books, websites or anything. Do you guys have any recommendation?
I know I can google it or go to a bookstore any and buy the related books, but there are just too many to choose from. I don't know where and how to start... Thanks for your imputs guys! |
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Apr 26 2010, 10:31 AM
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Senior Member
637 posts Joined: Jan 2006 From: Petaling Jaya |
Just buy it like a regular counter in the stock market. Call your broker. If you don't have a broker then check the articles pinned above.
As for recommendations, safe choices would be AMFirst REIT or Axis REIT. Good luck bro and hopefully you do better than me |
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Apr 27 2010, 03:02 AM
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Junior Member
152 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
QUOTE(Larrylow @ Apr 26 2010, 08:19 AM) Hey guys, I am an amateur in stock trading and would like to venture into REIT. I would like to learn more abuot REIT, be it from books, websites or anything. Do you guys have any recommendation? This may help you gain quicker summary. Good luck.I know I can google it or go to a bookstore any and buy the related books, but there are just too many to choose from. I don't know where and how to start... Thanks for your imputs guys! http://mreit.reitdata.com/http://mreit.reitdata.com/ |
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Apr 27 2010, 09:53 AM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(Larrylow @ Apr 26 2010, 08:19 AM) Hey guys, I am an amateur in stock trading and would like to venture into REIT. I would like to learn more abuot REIT, be it from books, websites or anything. Do you guys have any recommendation? I recommend reading Lowyat NET's REIT V1 & V2 threads all the way from the beginning I know I can google it or go to a bookstore any and buy the related books, but there are just too many to choose from. I don't know where and how to start... Thanks for your imputs guys! Hopefully, you can persuade our resident biblographer kmarc to add a section for REITs in his "LYN stock market FAQs & Guide" |
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Apr 27 2010, 10:55 AM
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Senior Member
4,342 posts Joined: Apr 2010 From: The place that i call home :p |
hmmm, looking to buy reit stock any recommendation in terms of attractive reit stock?
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Apr 28 2010, 01:37 PM
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Junior Member
491 posts Joined: May 2008 |
i strongly feel displeasure that arreit has agreed to set the placement price of the new units at 84 cents to institutional investors. the 84 cents/unit is totally low and undervalued valuation in view of strong interest in reit by retail investors and disregard the interest of small investors. Moreover it is far away from the NTA value! the arreit manager should be sacked..
in my opinion, arreit should also offer the placement to retail investor. i am more than happy to subscribe the offer... |
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Apr 28 2010, 02:15 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(sopol @ Apr 28 2010, 01:37 PM) i strongly feel displeasure that arreit has agreed to set the placement price of the new units at 84 cents to institutional investors. the 84 cents/unit is totally low and undervalued valuation in view of strong interest in reit by retail investors and disregard the interest of small investors. Moreover it is far away from the NTA value! the arreit manager should be sacked.. Private placement price is based on market average price which cannot differ 5% from the market average price pre-determined. in my opinion, arreit should also offer the placement to retail investor. i am more than happy to subscribe the offer... This is pre-requisite when issuing private placement which approved by SC. For existing Arreit holders, there is also amendment of the private placement proposal, which SC require them to amend which send out to every Arreit shareholders. You can read the wording in between, and the amendment. |
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Apr 28 2010, 02:30 PM
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491 posts Joined: May 2008 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Apr 28 2010, 02:15 PM) Private placement price is based on market average price which cannot differ 5% from the market average price pre-determined. 5% differ i understand but can't it be above? why always below? if above, they may argue rather buy it on open market than the placement. however they also have to realise that the open market may not have enough supply because nobody want to sell.This is pre-requisite when issuing private placement which approved by SC. For existing Arreit holders, there is also amendment of the private placement proposal, which SC require them to amend which send out to every Arreit shareholders. You can read the wording in between, and the amendment. i havent read the amendment, do we retail holders can apply for the placement unit? |
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Apr 28 2010, 04:33 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(sopol @ Apr 28 2010, 02:30 PM) 5% differ i understand but can't it be above? why always below? if above, they may argue rather buy it on open market than the placement. however they also have to realise that the open market may not have enough supply because nobody want to sell. Private placement generally below one, as part of 'sweeten' deal. i havent read the amendment, do we retail holders can apply for the placement unit? No, private placement means private. This is downside of private placement. But advatange side of private placement is that existing shareholders don't need to fork out a single cent for it, while company can generate cash, provided money raised from private placement does increase the company profitability, which doesn't affect the dilution part of story. Private placement cannot be more than 10% of existing paid up capital to prevent |
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Apr 28 2010, 08:28 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
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Apr 29 2010, 02:26 AM
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3,807 posts Joined: Jan 2006 |
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Apr 29 2010, 02:54 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(monkeyking @ Apr 29 2010, 02:26 AM) You need to look at the structure of reit itself in term of hotelier business. Reit might not and generally not involve in hotel business. They just own the hotel as properties which being rent out to the hotel management company. Uncertainty about Stareit, which and yield of properties is not totally known. There are a few name like Japan Ski Resort which has signed some MoU for the acquisition. |
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Apr 29 2010, 03:43 PM
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Senior Member
3,807 posts Joined: Jan 2006 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Apr 29 2010, 03:54 PM) Please refrain using capital letter, kind of annoying to others, and capital letter in forum means shouting at others. You need to look at the structure of reit itself in term of hotelier business. Reit might not and generally not involve in hotel business. They just own the hotel as properties which being rent out to the hotel management company. Uncertainty about Stareit, which and yield of properties is not totally known. There are a few name like Japan Ski Resort which has signed some MoU for the acquisition. |
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Apr 30 2010, 08:03 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
AXREIT price before ex-date was 2.03. The dividend declared was 0.037. The price after ex-date is 2.01, with a gain of 0.02 today.
ATRIUM's price for today is 0.965, the highest this year I believe. Looks like my REITs portfolio is growing well, same thing as my property portfolio. Now is the time for properties to flourish |
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Apr 30 2010, 09:06 PM
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All Stars
10,596 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Hinamizawa |
Jordy, do you think REIT price has been rising sharply this few month starting this year, and going way ahead of fundamental?
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Apr 30 2010, 09:37 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(jasonkwk @ Apr 30 2010, 09:06 PM) Jordy, do you think REIT price has been rising sharply this few month starting this year, and going way ahead of fundamental? jasonkwk,No. In fact, the price is lagging the market. While fundamental is intact and prospects growing, the market will definitely follow suit. |
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Apr 30 2010, 11:44 PM
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Senior Member
5,191 posts Joined: May 2009 |
I cant believe my reits counter performed much better than those "growth" counters... and I collects equivalent to one year FD interest quarterly.... What else can I ask for more? |
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May 1 2010, 12:16 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(jasonkwk @ Apr 30 2010, 09:06 PM) Jordy, do you think REIT price has been rising sharply this few month starting this year, and going way ahead of fundamental? Reit just recover from slump and fear of recession and back to normal range. With inflation looming, properties valuation only has one way to go, i.e. up only. I would say reit is outperforming but not net in the stage of 'way ahead of fundamental' as even at current pricing (which has surged quite remarkably, yield wise is >7% which is about 3x current interest rate, which still a justify point to stay at current valuation, although I stated before valuation has reach a fair point, aka fully valued. But with interest rate is not going to shoot to the roof, there is little incentive for reit holders to dispose reit which carry >7% yield, so there is no incentive for big sell down, unless there is expectation to see a double dip, or potential economy problem that lead to difficulty in lease. To look at fundamental is simple, how much reit yield can offer as compared to interest rate, bond rate. If the gap is quite narrow, then yes, it could mean valuation is too rich. QUOTE(protonw @ Apr 30 2010, 11:44 PM) I cant believe my reits counter performed much better than those "growth" counters... and I collects equivalent to one year FD interest quarterly.... What else can I ask for more? In fact, AMfirst is making all time high of RM1.20. I hardly believe and never expect can make >30% on even without timing/making the investment during the bottom or crisis time.If get the timing right on Axreit, RM1.00, has made 100% gain even without taking account into the distriubtion along. In fact, a lot of so called 'growth stocks' are struggling due to their own issue, despite the economy recovering and KLCI has made up a lot of losing ground. |
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May 1 2010, 02:56 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
I think REITS were grossly undervalued in the past bcos many investors failed to understand REITS.
Now more investors understood the product, then tends to approach the fair value. In Malaysia, no matter how good a product is , if buyers do not get to see and believe, then slowly it becomes a bad product. Just my view. |
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May 1 2010, 10:01 PM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ May 1 2010, 12:16 AM) Reit just recover from slump and fear of recession and back to normal range. My first entry into REIT was in AXREIT for which I bought RM1.01. I can tell you at time in the middle of the subprime crisis, buying things like REIT was a real challenge to the emotion With inflation looming, properties valuation only has one way to go, i.e. up only. I would say reit is outperforming but not net in the stage of 'way ahead of fundamental' as even at current pricing (which has surged quite remarkably, yield wise is >7% which is about 3x current interest rate, which still a justify point to stay at current valuation, although I stated before valuation has reach a fair point, aka fully valued. But with interest rate is not going to shoot to the roof, there is little incentive for reit holders to dispose reit which carry >7% yield, so there is no incentive for big sell down, unless there is expectation to see a double dip, or potential economy problem that lead to difficulty in lease. To look at fundamental is simple, how much reit yield can offer as compared to interest rate, bond rate. If the gap is quite narrow, then yes, it could mean valuation is too rich. In fact, AMfirst is making all time high of RM1.20. I hardly believe and never expect can make >30% on even without timing/making the investment during the bottom or crisis time. If get the timing right on Axreit, RM1.00, has made 100% gain even without taking account into the distriubtion along. In fact, a lot of so called 'growth stocks' are struggling due to their own issue, despite the economy recovering and KLCI has made up a lot of losing ground. As mentioned, REITs benefitting from publicity surrounding it. |
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May 2 2010, 12:36 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(whizzer @ May 1 2010, 10:01 PM) My first entry into REIT was in AXREIT for which I bought RM1.01. I can tell you at time in the middle of the subprime crisis, buying things like REIT was a real challenge to the emotion Reit is still unpopular among retailer investors. As mentioned, REITs benefitting from publicity surrounding it. In fact, a lot of people don't know what is reit. They still treat it like a share out there, which share price hardly move one. |
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May 2 2010, 10:21 AM
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Senior Member
637 posts Joined: Jan 2006 From: Petaling Jaya |
People are noticing REITs a lot more now.
Maybe some want exposure to Property but don't want to actually own one, so they go for REITs. In a way they treat it like a unit trust fund. |
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May 2 2010, 12:40 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
It is not about the education or the knowledge of REITs (as I believe anybody who reads StarBiz would have understood REITs by now due to the coverage). It is more of the mindset of most Malaysian traders. They want quick profits, therefore they resort to trading.
Among my friends and investors, I can safely say that I am the only one investing for the long term. Even my mother was reluctant as first, but after my convincing, she eventually wanted to give REITs a try. |
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May 3 2010, 04:33 PM
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943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
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May 10 2010, 10:15 PM
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637 posts Joined: Jan 2006 From: Petaling Jaya |
Looks like ARREIT is gonna underperform for a while?
The dilution effects and the psychological impact of the cheaper placement price. |
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May 10 2010, 10:38 PM
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943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
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May 10 2010, 10:53 PM
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Senior Member
637 posts Joined: Jan 2006 From: Petaling Jaya |
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May 10 2010, 11:17 PM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(Aggroboy @ May 10 2010, 10:53 PM) You think so? Snippet from Maybank report (also attached below) in April 2010 If they don't put the RM519m to good use, we're looking at a 33% dilution to their dividend payout? ( I thought they have some purchases in plan which is why the private placement) ........................................................................................................ Acquisitions to complete by May ‘10. In Jan ’10, ARREIT proposed the acquisition of two commercial properties (Selayang Mall and Dana 13 office building) for RM227m. This will be funded via issuance of 140m new ARREIT units (proceeds of RM119m, assuming 85sen/unit) and LT borrowings of RM111m (5-year fixed rate). The acquisitions are expected to complete by May ’10 and could generate additional RM16m p.a. in net property income (at net property yield of 6.9%). We maintain our forecasts at this juncture which have yet to include this. Attached File(s)
2010.04.14_MBB_ARREIT.pdf ( 82.93k )
Number of downloads: 54 |
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May 16 2010, 01:27 PM
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Junior Member
64 posts Joined: Nov 2009 |
There is a misunderstading for some REIT holder. One may assume it property value goes up and end up with a higher value when they revalue the REIT after some time. But different REIT have different valuation policy, some only comply with SC guildeline that is revalue it once every three years, or some may chose to revalue it every years.
So, buying on revaluations and appreciations must consider very carefully, as case such as Starhill REIT have just revalue their property, which resulted in a huge gain, and they only revalue it once since their listing, listed around 2006 and revalue it on 2009. At another hand, The Al-‘Aqar KPJ REIT recorded additional contribution to the income from the revaluation of properties in conformance with Financial Reporting Standard 140 (FRS 140) requiring the revaluation of all properties annually. |
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May 16 2010, 05:31 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(Aggroboy @ May 10 2010, 10:53 PM) You think so? Generally,If they don't put the RM519m to good use, we're looking at a 33% dilution to their dividend payout? Private placement is only being allowed when those money raised through it is for the use of aquisition + pare down borrowing. SC won't allow for simply a private placement without much intention. |
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May 16 2010, 06:33 PM
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Senior Member
1,106 posts Joined: Apr 2009 |
what u all think abt dijaya?
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May 17 2010, 08:15 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
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May 17 2010, 10:08 PM
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Senior Member
1,106 posts Joined: Apr 2009 |
QUOTE(Jordy @ May 17 2010, 08:15 PM) de.crystal, sorry i am new to the share marketDijaya Corp is not a Real Estate Investment Trust. It is just a normal property developer-cum-property leasor. So I think it is not suitable to be discussed in this thread. so what are the counters for REIT? been searching at the 1st post but cant find any |
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May 17 2010, 10:52 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
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May 19 2010, 12:13 AM
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Junior Member
64 posts Joined: Nov 2009 |
Yesterday I receive my Starhill REIT circular.
Basicly I'm OK with the proposal, but haven't really decide vote against or vote for it. It propose selling of Starhill and Lot 10 for RM1.03 Billion, to be satisfied with issue of CPU and cash. Most of these cash and CPU will end up buying YTL Corp Hotels, which I must rethink twice. Nonetheless, if such proposal goes accordingly, Starhill REIT will become the first Malaysian Hospitality REIT. |
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May 19 2010, 11:46 AM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(wwloon32 @ May 19 2010, 12:13 AM) Yesterday I receive my Starhill REIT circular. With majority STARREIT holdings in YTL hands, I dont think our vote matters Basicly I'm OK with the proposal, but haven't really decide vote against or vote for it. It propose selling of Starhill and Lot 10 for RM1.03 Billion, to be satisfied with issue of CPU and cash. Most of these cash and CPU will end up buying YTL Corp Hotels, which I must rethink twice. Nonetheless, if such proposal goes accordingly, Starhill REIT will become the first Malaysian Hospitality REIT. Thus our only option is to sell if we don't like what we are getting (or keep if we believe in Francis' vision for STARREIT) |
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May 19 2010, 02:17 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(whizzer @ May 19 2010, 11:46 AM) With majority STARREIT holdings in YTL hands, I dont think our vote matters Disregard whether YTL holds how much the stake, if one doesn't like it, then just vote "no". Thus our only option is to sell if we don't like what we are getting (or keep if we believe in Francis' vision for STARREIT) It might not has any material effect, but if there is significant minority shareholders vote "no", then it also sends the message to the management board as well. (besides disposing) SC is going to change the new regulation on asset liabilities disposal issue in the near future as well. I would say exercise your right/preference disregard the outcome, although one might think or in actual fact, it could be irrelevant. You never know what happens next. |
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May 20 2010, 11:13 AM
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Elite
14,576 posts Joined: May 2006 From: Sarawak |
Cherroy, you always said that many people treat REITs like they were stocks, which is not correct.
Just wondering how we should actually treat REITs then? |
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May 20 2010, 12:32 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(kmarc @ May 20 2010, 11:13 AM) Cherroy, you always said that many people treat REITs like they were stocks, which is not correct. kmarc,Just wondering how we should actually treat REITs then? Sorry to interrupt. The business for REITs are in leasing out properties, and that is its ONLY business. Since the income for REITs is more or less stable, why would you want to trade it (buy and sell like ordinary stocks)? It is only when the income is not to your expectation that you should sell the counter and reinvest your money somewhere else. The longer you accumulate the distributions, the more you will gain. This is what we call profiting by holding. By the way, you will not forget your REITs counter because you will be receiving the cheques every quarter |
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May 20 2010, 01:59 PM
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Elite
14,576 posts Joined: May 2006 From: Sarawak |
QUOTE(Jordy @ May 20 2010, 12:32 PM) kmarc, Thx for the reply. I understand that part now. Sorry to interrupt. The business for REITs are in leasing out properties, and that is its ONLY business. Since the income for REITs is more or less stable, why would you want to trade it (buy and sell like ordinary stocks)? It is only when the income is not to your expectation that you should sell the counter and reinvest your money somewhere else. The longer you accumulate the distributions, the more you will gain. This is what we call profiting by holding. By the way, you will not forget your REITs counter because you will be receiving the cheques every quarter However, in the context of increasing stock price, is there a level where you would want to sell your REITs? I think this was discussed before but I can't remember the reply. Take for example HEKTAR. My ABP is around RM1.00 and the stock price is now RM1.20. That means a capital appreciation of 20%. So, if I were to hold it forever, that capital appreciation would mean nothing, provided I don't buy any more Hektar. If I sell Hektar, I will get the capital appreciation profit and the capital back to reinvest in other REITs that gives a higher dividend rate compared to HEKTAR. I don't really know how to express this but I hope you get my meaning. |
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May 20 2010, 02:46 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
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May 20 2010, 02:48 PM
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Elite
14,576 posts Joined: May 2006 From: Sarawak |
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May 20 2010, 02:49 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(kmarc @ May 20 2010, 01:59 PM) Thx for the reply. I understand that part now. You should look at its yield at 1.20.However, in the context of increasing stock price, is there a level where you would want to sell your REITs? I think this was discussed before but I can't remember the reply. Take for example HEKTAR. My ABP is around RM1.00 and the stock price is now RM1.20. That means a capital appreciation of 20%. So, if I were to hold it forever, that capital appreciation would mean nothing, provided I don't buy any more Hektar. If I sell Hektar, I will get the capital appreciation profit and the capital back to reinvest in other REITs that gives a higher dividend rate compared to HEKTAR. I don't really know how to express this but I hope you get my meaning. If the yield at 1.20 is not attractive for you, then time to let go, or there is little improvement in DPU, (eventually increase in yield). or the yield is expected to go lower or there is alternative investment that offer similar yield while less risky (like FD) or there is alternative reit which is better in term of their properties portfolio and better yield. Just raise a few point to consider, there may other many reason, and personal reason/preference as well. |
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May 20 2010, 02:52 PM
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Elite
14,576 posts Joined: May 2006 From: Sarawak |
QUOTE(cherroy @ May 20 2010, 02:49 PM) You should look at its yield at 1.20. Thx. That's the answer I was looking for. If the yield at 1.20 is not attractive for you, then time to let go, or there is little improvement in DPU, (eventually increase in yield). or the yield is expected to go lower or there is alternative investment that offer similar yield while less risky (like FD) or there is alternative reit which is better in term of their properties portfolio and better yield. Just raise a few point to consider, there may other many reason, and personal reason/preference as well. Another question, my ABP was RM1.00. So, in terms of yield, I should be calculating based on RM1.00 and not RM1.20 right (or even if the share price shoot up to RM1.50)? |
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May 20 2010, 02:55 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(kmarc @ May 20 2010, 02:52 PM) Thx. That's the answer I was looking for. Your consideration of yield should be at 1.20 or 1.50, when you decide/consider to sell time.Another question, my ABP was RM1.00. So, in terms of yield, I should be calculating based on RM1.00 and not RM1.20 right (or even if the share price shoot up to RM1.50)? Because once you sell, you can get 1.20 or 1.50, not already 1.00 aka the worth is 1.20. |
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May 20 2010, 02:59 PM
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Elite
14,576 posts Joined: May 2006 From: Sarawak |
QUOTE(cherroy @ May 20 2010, 02:55 PM) Your consideration of yield should be at 1.20 or 1.50, when you decide/consider to sell time. Ok, thx for clearing that up. I still look see look see REITs prices every SINGLE day! Because once you sell, you can get 1.20 or 1.50, not already 1.00 aka the worth is 1.20. |
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May 20 2010, 03:04 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
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May 20 2010, 03:19 PM
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Elite
14,576 posts Joined: May 2006 From: Sarawak |
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May 20 2010, 03:31 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(kmarc @ May 20 2010, 03:19 PM) Cool! I thought I was the weird one..... Stareit initially want to add more, after adding last month or so.Besides Qcap, any other REITs counter you're aiming for at the moment? But after read the whole proposal of the disposal of Lot 10 and Starhill then turn into hospitality reit, apparently, the realised capital gain and the proceed money raised will all being used to fund the new acquisition, so no extra DPU from the capital gain realised. While there will be period lose of income due to disposal as new properties is scheduled to be injected within 6 months after the proposal being carried out, so there will be 1 to 2 Q with low DPU. As both proposed disposal properties made up around 70%+ of current income. |
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May 20 2010, 03:35 PM
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Elite
14,576 posts Joined: May 2006 From: Sarawak |
QUOTE(cherroy @ May 20 2010, 03:31 PM) Stareit initially want to add more, after adding last month or so. Ok, thx for the info. Will aim for more REITs in the future..... But after read the whole proposal of the disposal of Lot 10 and Starhill then turn into hospitality reit, apparently, the realised capital gain and the proceed money raised will all being used to fund the new acquisition, so no extra DPU from the capital gain realised. While there will be period lose of income due to disposal as new properties is scheduled to be injected within 6 months after the proposal being carried out, so there will be 1 to 2 Q with low DPU. As both proposed disposal properties made up around 70%+ of current income. |
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May 20 2010, 05:10 PM
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Junior Member
371 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
im interested with axreit, what the best price to enter if im expecting 9% dividend yield
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May 20 2010, 06:25 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
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May 20 2010, 09:30 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
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May 27 2010, 10:36 PM
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Junior Member
64 posts Joined: Nov 2009 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ May 19 2010, 02:17 PM) Disregard whether YTL holds how much the stake, if one doesn't like it, then just vote "no". We can always vote "NO", and if there is enough "hands" to say "no",It might not has any material effect, but if there is significant minority shareholders vote "no", then it also sends the message to the management board as well. (besides disposing) SC is going to change the new regulation on asset liabilities disposal issue in the near future as well. I would say exercise your right/preference disregard the outcome, although one might think or in actual fact, it could be irrelevant. You never know what happens next. then the resolutions will not be passed. It's not about how much share that vote, it's about how much shareholder that vote. And the more share concentrated, the more dangerous it's, because when there is 99.9% of share goes to big shareholder and the company management, and 1 share for another shareholder, if the small shareholder vote "NO" in every resolutions, it'll effectively force to AGM to ground. Because as company management, they don't exercise their vote, which is why I believe that HO HUP tussle was set in. |
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May 27 2010, 11:09 PM
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Senior Member
1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
I plan to buy REIT when i get my salary this month, So far i have looked at Amfirst, UOAREIT, Axreit and ATRIUM.
I see potential in Axreit because they are positioned better in a recovering economy, Any comment for those other 3? |
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May 27 2010, 11:59 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(wwloon32 @ May 27 2010, 10:36 PM) We can always vote "NO", and if there is enough "hands" to say "no", Company resolution is passed on the basic of majority of shareholders agree aka on the basic of majority in shareholding.then the resolutions will not be passed. It's not about how much share that vote, it's about how much shareholder that vote. And the more share concentrated, the more dangerous it's, because when there is 99.9% of share goes to big shareholder and the company management, and 1 share for another shareholder, if the small shareholder vote "NO" in every resolutions, it'll effectively force to AGM to ground. Because as company management, they don't exercise their vote, which is why I believe that HO HUP tussle was set in. Unless in certain special circumstance like going to be implemented "asset and liabilities" sale/disposal ruling proposed by SC, which need higher watermark or some special circumstances that majority shareholders can't vote due to legislation or ruling incurred (which to protect the minority shareholders interest issue one), most resolution are passed based on majority in shareholding. Ho Hup tussle has a lot of number of shareholding as both parties didn't hold the majority stake of 51%. They need other shareholders to vote favourable them to win in the EGM. The % of shareholding dictates whether the resolution proposed can be go through or not. |
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May 29 2010, 05:59 PM
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Junior Member
64 posts Joined: Nov 2009 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ May 27 2010, 11:59 PM) Company resolution is passed on the basic of majority of shareholders agree aka on the basic of majority in shareholding. Normally voting will be by a show of hands and, as such, each shareholder has only one vote irrespective of the number of shares held, but a shareholder can demand that a “poll†vote is taken and a poll vote will count votes in proportion to the number of shares held by each shareholder.Unless in certain special circumstance like going to be implemented "asset and liabilities" sale/disposal ruling proposed by SC, which need higher watermark or some special circumstances that majority shareholders can't vote due to legislation or ruling incurred (which to protect the minority shareholders interest issue one), most resolution are passed based on majority in shareholding. Ho Hup tussle has a lot of number of shareholding as both parties didn't hold the majority stake of 51%. They need other shareholders to vote favourable them to win in the EGM. The % of shareholding dictates whether the resolution proposed can be go through or not. Ho Hup tussle is a tricky business. As the EGM demand, it can't appoint proxy unless it's a lawyer. This is a clearly breach of Company Act where is a shareholder can appoint proxies if they can't attend meetings. Also noted that the ex-management didn't take part in it, as does SSM doesn't endorse it. In short, it's clearly out of favour for minority shareholder. |
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May 30 2010, 07:55 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(wwloon32 @ May 29 2010, 05:59 PM) Normally voting will be by a show of hands and, as such, each shareholder has only one vote irrespective of the number of shares held, but a shareholder can demand that a “poll†vote is taken and a poll vote will count votes in proportion to the number of shares held by each shareholder. Yup.The vote by hands is to reduce the red tape and hassle of need to verify shareholding when voting, it is just for simplitic solution, nobody want to wait hours for verify and calculate the shareholding in voting most ordidnary resolution which generally not much issue or disagreemnt to start with. But it doesn't mean more hands will win either, as take this scenario like Stareit. Even there are plenty of Staretit minority disapprove the sale of Lot 10 and Starhill, it cannot stop the resolution to pass through as well. As YTL as the major shareholder (99% chance) will request the resolution to be passed on the basic of shareholding number to pass through the resolution. After all, this is what they proposed one. By no mean, I discourage or encourage shareholders to vote against or for this resolution. Don't get me wrong. Vote according to you like/wish in the resolution should be one adopted disregard the outcome of it. |
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May 31 2010, 04:37 PM
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Senior Member
1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
News on sunway reit
Sunway City Bhd (SunCity) has entered into an agreement with the Government of Singapore Investment Corp Ltd (GIC), whereby GIC has agreed to acquire 134mil units or 5% of the proposed listing of Sunway Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) at the lower of the institutional price and 98 sen per unit. SunCity had also on 27 May 2010 entered into an underwriting agreement with Sunway REIT Management Sdn Bhd, OSK Trustees Berhad (on behalf of Sunway REIT), RHB Investment Bank (as the coordinator) and RHB Investment Bank, CIMB Investment Bank Berhad and Maybank Investment Bank Berhad (as Joint Underwriters), to severally but not jointly underwrite the offering of 134mil units, subject to clawback and reallocation, to the Malaysian public. There will be no public offering of the REIT in the United States http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...24&sec=business No offering in states, Means less foreign fund ? |
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May 31 2010, 11:09 PM
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Junior Member
64 posts Joined: Nov 2009 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ May 30 2010, 07:55 PM) Yup. If there is enough of minority against the proposal, it only take 18% to reject it.The vote by hands is to reduce the red tape and hassle of need to verify shareholding when voting, it is just for simplitic solution, nobody want to wait hours for verify and calculate the shareholding in voting most ordidnary resolution which generally not much issue or disagreemnt to start with. But it doesn't mean more hands will win either, as take this scenario like Stareit. Even there are plenty of Staretit minority disapprove the sale of Lot 10 and Starhill, it cannot stop the resolution to pass through as well. As YTL as the major shareholder (99% chance) will request the resolution to be passed on the basic of shareholding number to pass through the resolution. After all, this is what they proposed one. By no mean, I discourage or encourage shareholders to vote against or for this resolution. Don't get me wrong. Vote according to you like/wish in the resolution should be one adopted disregard the outcome of it. YTL as RRPT is forbidden to vote. And Poll depends on whether it's call. Let see what happen tomorrow, we'll never know what happen. |
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Jun 1 2010, 11:24 AM
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Junior Member
230 posts Joined: Jan 2008 |
Rather disappointing Q1'2010 results just released from UOAREIT. Had a feeling things were amiss after the long wait for results. Fortunately, the share price still holding steady at 1.40. Anyone else holding UOAREIT?
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Jun 1 2010, 03:17 PM
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Junior Member
14 posts Joined: Jun 2010 |
STAREIT can be consider. Reason: LOT 10 & Starhill have sold to starhill global singapore, now their hand holding big money, may have suprise news.
I love Reit too |
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Jun 1 2010, 04:12 PM
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Junior Member
64 posts Joined: Nov 2009 |
QUOTE(RobinHood888 @ Jun 1 2010, 03:17 PM) STAREIT can be consider. Reason: LOT 10 & Starhill have sold to starhill global singapore, now their hand holding big money, may have suprise news. No surprise, actually. It's not new and it's very clear that Francis Yeoh is going to buys hotel from YTL.I love Reit too Some EGM info: http://investalks.com/viewthread.php?tid=2983 |
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Jun 1 2010, 04:33 PM
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Junior Member
14 posts Joined: Jun 2010 |
QUOTE(wwloon32 @ Jun 1 2010, 04:12 PM) No surprise, actually. It's not new and it's very clear that Francis Yeoh is going to buys hotel from YTL. How they play the hotel & how the result is the real surprise. We never know. That what I mean hihi Some EGM info: http://investalks.com/viewthread.php?tid=2983 This post has been edited by RobinHood888: Jun 1 2010, 04:44 PM |
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Jun 1 2010, 08:47 PM
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Junior Member
64 posts Joined: Nov 2009 |
QUOTE(RobinHood888 @ Jun 1 2010, 04:33 PM) If you look at YTL corp hotel segment, you may get some figures.And there will be next EGM, that is the important one. By the time they push for the next EGM, we as unitholder will get circular which list down those assets and their earnings. Not a surprise, you will know it next few month. |
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Jun 2 2010, 01:06 AM
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Junior Member
467 posts Joined: Apr 2008 |
About Atrium, has anyone received any news about the renewal tenancy for DHL and Danzasmal Domestic Logistics Services ? Their near 10 year tenancy is expiring within these few months and almost 75% of Atrium tenancies are expiring by next year. It shouldn't take that long to decide to stay or to move....
Thinking I am going to call the tenant tomorrow for tips. |
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Jun 2 2010, 04:36 PM
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Junior Member
14 posts Joined: Jun 2010 |
QUOTE(wwloon32 @ Jun 1 2010, 08:47 PM) If you look at YTL corp hotel segment, you may get some figures. already know mean not a surprise,And there will be next EGM, that is the important one. By the time they push for the next EGM, we as unitholder will get circular which list down those assets and their earnings. Not a surprise, you will know it next few month. surprise mean we dont know yet. haha We never know the future. Maybe new concept of hotel or resident? etc, etc. The question. Stareit with new hotel business beneift will be higher than the LOT10 & Starhill or not? |
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Jun 2 2010, 07:59 PM
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Senior Member
3,807 posts Joined: Jan 2006 |
Starhill REIT unitholders yesterday approved the disposal of Starhill Gallery and Lot 10 shopping centre in Kuala Lumpur for RM1.03b.The disposal of the two properties to Ara Bintang is part of a rationalisation exercise to reposition Starhill REIT as a hospitality REIT, the first of its kind in Malaysia. The sales exercise, is to be completed by 3Q10, will be satisfied by both RM625m cash and Singapore dollar denominated convertible preference units in Starhill Global REIT worth RM405m. Sunway Real Estate Investment Trust (Sunway REIT) plans to sell 1.65b units in its initial public offering at an indicative offer price of RM1.00, according to a draft prospectus released Wednesday. The IPO will be the largest so far this year in Malaysia and will make Sunway REIT the country’s biggest REIT with an estimated market capitalization of RM2.6b, well ahead of the current leader Starhill REIT, which has a market value around RM1b. 1.52b units will be sold to Malaysian and foreign institutional investors at an indicative offer price of RM1.00, with the final price to be determined after a bookbuilding exercise. The remaining 134m units will be offered to retail investors at RM0.97, or 97% of the final institutional price, whichever is lower. Bookbuilding is targeted to start June 10, while the retail offering is expected to open June 15. The final pricing will be determined on June 24. Sunway REIT is then expected to make its Bursa Malaysia debut on July 8. |
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Jun 2 2010, 08:02 PM
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Senior Member
1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
Sunway Reit at Rm 1 per share, Think it is a fair price given its large asset like sunway pyramid
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Jun 2 2010, 08:29 PM
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Junior Member
467 posts Joined: Apr 2008 |
Just to stir the water about Atrium, called DHL Shah Alam this morning and have a chat with a staff there, seems they have not heard about the possibility about their relocation. On the other hand nowhere could reach Danzasmal.
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Jun 3 2010, 11:43 PM
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Junior Member
64 posts Joined: Nov 2009 |
QUOTE(RobinHood888 @ Jun 2 2010, 04:36 PM) already know mean not a surprise, It's already known.surprise mean we dont know yet. haha We never know the future. Maybe new concept of hotel or resident? etc, etc. The question. Stareit with new hotel business beneift will be higher than the LOT10 & Starhill or not? It's already said and written. No new hotels except for YTL corp ones. There isn't much hotels at YTL corp, and I can name few: Pangkor Laut's, Vistana's, Ritz-Carlton's , Tanjong Jara's, Cameron's,Niseko's etc. I personally expect 60 mil for it. This post has been edited by wwloon32: Jun 3 2010, 11:51 PM |
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Jun 4 2010, 02:48 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
Another new private placement by Axreit to acquire 2 new industrial properties.
http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...78&sec=business |
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Jun 4 2010, 04:29 PM
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Junior Member
228 posts Joined: Dec 2007 |
I am new in REIT too. Where to find the market price & history data? Do i need to open some sort of account to buy? Is it in Bursa website? Please help, all taiko.
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Jun 4 2010, 05:07 PM
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Senior Member
1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 4 2010, 02:48 PM) Another new private placement by Axreit to acquire 2 new industrial properties. Boss, If you could check at page B5 at the star market today, There is a list of REIT in malaysia together with its dividend, I checked at their company website and OSK research platform but couldnt come up with the dividend figure. Is there a trick to see how it tally up?http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...78&sec=business |
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Jun 4 2010, 07:59 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jun 4 2010, 05:07 PM) Boss, If you could check at page B5 at the star market today, There is a list of REIT in malaysia together with its dividend, I checked at their company website and OSK research platform but couldnt come up with the dividend figure. Is there a trick to see how it tally up? idunnolol,You take the ANNUAL distribution of the counter and divide it by the price. I don't see why you can't get the yield figure. |
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Jun 4 2010, 08:13 PM
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Junior Member
16 posts Joined: May 2006 |
maybank and rhb recommend Axis and AmanahRaya REIT. But if looks at the yield return record, UOA and Tower are winners. For bargain buy, Tower is the most undervalue REIT.
Hmmm....should buy which one eh? |
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Jun 4 2010, 08:24 PM
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1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(Jordy @ Jun 4 2010, 07:59 PM) idunnolol, Bro, I mean the dividend per unit figure not the Gross dividend yield. I check at thestar dividend history for all the counter and there is always a shortfall of 1-2 sen from the dividend per unitYou take the ANNUAL distribution of the counter and divide it by the price. I don't see why you can't get the yield figure. |
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Jun 4 2010, 11:28 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(kfkok @ Jun 4 2010, 08:13 PM) maybank and rhb recommend Axis and AmanahRaya REIT. But if looks at the yield return record, UOA and Tower are winners. For bargain buy, Tower is the most undervalue REIT. kfkok,Hmmm....should buy which one eh? We don't only look for yield when investing in REITs as there are various negative reasons as to why the yields are high (i.e. bad performance, poor management, making unpopular decisions, etc). So, the only way is to choose counters which are stable and with high growth potential. QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jun 4 2010, 08:24 PM) Bro, I mean the dividend per unit figure not the Gross dividend yield. I check at thestar dividend history for all the counter and there is always a shortfall of 1-2 sen from the dividend per unit idunnolol,Perhaps the figures shown are net DPU. |
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Jun 5 2010, 12:13 AM
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16 posts Joined: May 2006 |
QUOTE(Jordy @ Jun 4 2010, 11:28 PM) kfkok, Thanks for your advice! We don't only look for yield when investing in REITs as there are various negative reasons as to why the yields are high (i.e. bad performance, poor management, making unpopular decisions, etc). So, the only way is to choose counters which are stable and with high growth potential. idunnolol, |
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Jun 5 2010, 10:09 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
Most research houses give good rating on Axreit, due to
1. it is the one that constantly grow their asset base and diversified. It is the one that seen most "hardwork" in growing their asset base. 2. DPU is on the upwards trend looking from long term, as new injection of properties mostly contribute positive to the company earning despite with private placement. 3. Asst is not limited to a few properties, and have range from offices to industrial. 4. Share liquidity is ok, whcih fund managers find little difficult to buy and sell. 5. Properties generally located in good area. Having said that, at current price of RM2.00, I view it is about fully value already for near term. |
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Jun 5 2010, 10:21 AM
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1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
What you think of sunway? OSK yesterday said it might give out the lowest DPU compared to all other. They estimate that sunway Dividend yield to be around 6.3% only
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Jun 5 2010, 10:54 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jun 5 2010, 10:21 AM) What you think of sunway? OSK yesterday said it might give out the lowest DPU compared to all other. They estimate that sunway Dividend yield to be around 6.3% only Personally, I will sit out the IPO and wait the market price to adjust itself and see how afterwards.As 6.x% is not attractive enough. IPO is rather weak across lately. So I don't expect market to trade at premium to its IPO especially consider that it only carries 6.3% as you mentioned. Just my personal view. |
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Jun 5 2010, 11:28 AM
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1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 5 2010, 10:54 AM) Personally, I will sit out the IPO and wait the market price to adjust itself and see how afterwards. I agree with you since starhill and amanah reit is also offering around 8% and only cost around 0.8 per uni. However i am going to buy some small lots of sunway in hope of capital appreciationAs 6.x% is not attractive enough. IPO is rather weak across lately. So I don't expect market to trade at premium to its IPO especially consider that it only carries 6.3% as you mentioned. Just my personal view. |
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Jun 5 2010, 11:33 AM
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64 posts Joined: Nov 2009 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 5 2010, 10:54 AM) Personally, I will sit out the IPO and wait the market price to adjust itself and see how afterwards. Agree with you.As 6.x% is not attractive enough. IPO is rather weak across lately. So I don't expect market to trade at premium to its IPO especially consider that it only carries 6.3% as you mentioned. Just my personal view. Unless Sunway offer 7%+, it won't be attractive enough. Every REIT IPO offering less than 7% will dip for some time. |
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Jun 5 2010, 07:32 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jun 5 2010, 11:28 AM) I agree with you since starhill and amanah reit is also offering around 8% and only cost around 0.8 per uni. However i am going to buy some small lots of sunway in hope of capital appreciation idunnolol,Most REITs are still trading below IPO price mind you. So, I think it is not a good choice to buy SUNWAY in "hope" for capital appreciation. If what you mentioned about the 6.3% yield is true, then the price WILL definitely go downhill to meet a more acceptable yield (which is in the range of 7% - 8%). So buying during IPO in hope for capital "depreciation" is more like it |
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Jun 5 2010, 08:19 PM
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1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(Jordy @ Jun 5 2010, 07:32 PM) idunnolol, That's reassuring. I cant seem to find the IPO price for all those REIT. Is there any way i can check them?Most REITs are still trading below IPO price mind you. So, I think it is not a good choice to buy SUNWAY in "hope" for capital appreciation. If what you mentioned about the 6.3% yield is true, then the price WILL definitely go downhill to meet a more acceptable yield (which is in the range of 7% - 8%). So buying during IPO in hope for capital "depreciation" is more like it |
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Jun 5 2010, 10:21 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
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Jun 5 2010, 11:51 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jun 5 2010, 08:19 PM) That's reassuring. I cant seem to find the IPO price for all those REIT. Is there any way i can check them? I knew roughly some in my memory.Axreit start off around 1.50-1.60, if not mistaken, this can't remember accurately Qcapital around 0.8x-0.90 Amfirst 1.00 Stareit around 1.02 or 0.99, forget a bit already Atrium 0.99 or 1.00. I stand for corrected as this is somehow can straight away retrieve from my memory one. But Sunway Reit probably may start off with a few cents premium if IPO is good and manage to find many cornerstone instituitional investors to support it. As Singapore investment arms, PNB, EPF and some insurance fund also potential to become the cornerstone investors of it. I forsee may be start off with flat in IPO and a little few cents above IPO, then as time goes on, probably ease off to around 7% or more yield unless the reit can improve their earning and DPU and show high potential in rental revision upwards afterwards. Just my personal opinion though. |
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Jun 6 2010, 12:32 PM
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64 posts Joined: Nov 2009 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 5 2010, 11:51 PM) I knew roughly some in my memory. http://investalks.com/viewthread.php?tid=123&extra=page%3D1Axreit start off around 1.50-1.60, if not mistaken, this can't remember accurately Qcapital around 0.8x-0.90 Amfirst 1.00 Stareit around 1.02 or 0.99, forget a bit already Atrium 0.99 or 1.00. I stand for corrected as this is somehow can straight away retrieve from my memory one. But Sunway Reit probably may start off with a few cents premium if IPO is good and manage to find many cornerstone instituitional investors to support it. As Singapore investment arms, PNB, EPF and some insurance fund also potential to become the cornerstone investors of it. I forsee may be start off with flat in IPO and a little few cents above IPO, then as time goes on, probably ease off to around 7% or more yield unless the reit can improve their earning and DPU and show high potential in rental revision upwards afterwards. Just my personal opinion though. I uploaded the comparisons and IPO price there. If you are interested, just download it. I'm not allowed to upload it here. |
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Jun 7 2010, 09:23 AM
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153 posts Joined: Nov 2004 |
Hi, I'm newly entered into stock market. So, would like to start with REIT. Originally like to get AXREIT, but the price is too high.
Anyone have any comments on HEKTAR & STAREIT? Still good buy? Thanks. |
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Jun 7 2010, 10:56 AM
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274 posts Joined: Jul 2008 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 5 2010, 11:51 PM) I knew roughly some in my memory. Cherroy,Axreit start off around 1.50-1.60, if not mistaken, this can't remember accurately Qcapital around 0.8x-0.90 Amfirst 1.00 Stareit around 1.02 or 0.99, forget a bit already Atrium 0.99 or 1.00. I stand for corrected as this is somehow can straight away retrieve from my memory one. But Sunway Reit probably may start off with a few cents premium if IPO is good and manage to find many cornerstone instituitional investors to support it. As Singapore investment arms, PNB, EPF and some insurance fund also potential to become the cornerstone investors of it. I forsee may be start off with flat in IPO and a little few cents above IPO, then as time goes on, probably ease off to around 7% or more yield unless the reit can improve their earning and DPU and show high potential in rental revision upwards afterwards. Just my personal opinion though. we can see/obtain IPO price at the following website. just select counter at top http://www.shareinvestor.com.my/tools.pl?i...ction=factsheet atrium 1.05 axreit 1.25 hektar 1.05 cheers This post has been edited by Muliku: Jun 7 2010, 10:59 AM |
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Jun 7 2010, 12:13 PM
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1,505 posts Joined: Dec 2006 From: Subang Jaya, Selangor |
guys, is sunway reit a shariah-compliant counter? i cant find any info about this. i hope that u can help me.
thanks |
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Jun 7 2010, 11:07 PM
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1,184 posts Joined: May 2005 |
Let's jump out from REIT investor's POV and look at Sunway REIT's listing.
The way that Sunway Group wants to start off Sunway REIT is as below: i) Sunway sells some of its assets to Sunway REIT. ii) Sunway REIT gets investors to subscribe their units to finance the purchase. iii) Sunway REIT pays Sunway Group, Sunway Group gets the money. My doubt is on the intention of Sunway Group, they sell off their assets within their group (even though the management might not be the same). Is the valuation going to be true and fair? In Malaysia valuator can be manipulator, they are paid by fees. |
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Jun 8 2010, 08:11 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(kbandito @ Jun 7 2010, 11:07 PM) Let's jump out from REIT investor's POV and look at Sunway REIT's listing. kbandito,The way that Sunway Group wants to start off Sunway REIT is as below: i) Sunway sells some of its assets to Sunway REIT. ii) Sunway REIT gets investors to subscribe their units to finance the purchase. iii) Sunway REIT pays Sunway Group, Sunway Group gets the money. My doubt is on the intention of Sunway Group, they sell off their assets within their group (even though the management might not be the same). Is the valuation going to be true and fair? In Malaysia valuator can be manipulator, they are paid by fees. It is a norm to see RPTs in REITs, as REITs in Malaysia are not allowed to develop their own properties. Therefore most of these REITs would "purchase" their properties from property developers (which could be their related companies). We would not know the true valuation for their properties, but we can measure the feasibility of the purchases through the yield generated by the newly injected property. If the yield seems fair, then we can assume that the valuation is fair. |
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Jun 8 2010, 09:56 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
The property valuation is carried out and done by independent properties valuer.
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Jun 8 2010, 10:15 PM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 8 2010, 09:56 PM) Can we trust those "independent" valuer? A lot of those "independent" or quasi-government institutions only will realize they are wrong once a big scandal happens to them, otherwise it is just "business" as normal. Examples includes Arthur Anderson (Enron), Moody's, Standard & Poor's (CDO's) and many more to be named. I am highly suspicious that our local valuers have nudge the valuation north of 20% for most REITs. This post has been edited by gark: Jun 8 2010, 10:16 PM |
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Jun 8 2010, 10:20 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(gark @ Jun 8 2010, 10:15 PM) Can we trust those "independent" valuer? A lot of those "independent" or quasi-government institutions only will realize they are wrong once a big scandal happens to them, otherwise it is just "business" as normal. Examples includes Arthur Anderson (Enron), Moody's, Standard & Poor's (CDO's) and many more to be named. I am highly suspicious that our local valuers have nudge the valuation north of 20% for most REITs. It depends on how one views on this. A nudge or not, I don't know, even got a nudge at least must come from somewhere that is realistic based on the existing available paper and market condition, and transaction that had been done surrounding etc issue. But we invested in reit primary looking on its yield and earning ability, not on how much the value is given. Share price also behave towards its earning ability and not towards what is their worth. That's why whether the properties is being revalued or not is not a concern for reit holder. The concern for reit holder is always how much rental can get? Is the lease is going to be renewed and rental rate being revised upwards or not? This post has been edited by cherroy: Jun 8 2010, 10:23 PM |
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Jun 8 2010, 11:06 PM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 8 2010, 10:20 PM) That's why whether the properties is being revalued or not is not a concern for reit holder. The problem is that REIT's consider a positive valuation of it's existing assets as an 'income' and not as a capital gain. This point is troubling for me, when somehow when I evaluate REIT's like a share, something is not right because EPS and PE ratio is then askew-ed. As most REIT's trade below BV ratio, have low current asset/liabilities and low cash is a bit troubling for me. The concern for reit holder is always how much rental can get? Is the lease is going to be renewed and rental rate being revised upwards or not? This post has been edited by gark: Jun 8 2010, 11:08 PM |
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Jun 8 2010, 11:37 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(gark @ Jun 8 2010, 11:06 PM) The problem is that REIT's consider a positive valuation of it's existing assets as an 'income' and not as a capital gain. This point is troubling for me, when somehow when I evaluate REIT's like a share, something is not right because EPS and PE ratio is then askew-ed. As most REIT's trade below BV ratio, have low current asset/liabilities and low cash is a bit troubling for me. gark,How is the cash raising exercise bad if the cash are to be used to increase the fund's NAV? Is private placement worse than taking in more gearing? |
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Jun 8 2010, 11:42 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(gark @ Jun 8 2010, 11:06 PM) The problem is that REIT's consider a positive valuation of it's existing assets as an 'income' and not as a capital gain. This point is troubling for me, when somehow when I evaluate REIT's like a share, something is not right because EPS and PE ratio is then askew-ed. As most REIT's trade below BV ratio, have low current asset/liabilities and low cash is a bit troubling for me. We as reit holder always look at realised income figure only, as it is those realised income that enable reit holder to get a piece of distribution. Any positive revalaution will register as income, but it is not a realised income, it won't boost the DPU. The primary concern is always the quarterly or semi-annual distribution/dividend. Market won't give a damn how much the revaluation is, as reflected by share price movement. But share price will shoot up, if the DPU is going higher and higher. Reit gives at least 90% of their realised income, so the most left is 10% cash remaining, so low cash is the nature of it. As you are not running a business in reit, you are just holding a property and collect rent only, there is little need to be in high cash position. Why we like or want to invest in reit? Because any profit made is distributed. Unlike ordinary stock, company can withold forever their cash position without rewarding shareholders at all disregard the size of cash. Also, with profit needs to be distributed, it minimise the chance of profit (realised income) figure being "cooked". Reit is not as same as businesses. There is no need for reit to raise cash unless for newer acquisition of properties, while newer acquisition of properties should increase the reit income in the future to offset the dilution part of story. If not, the acquisition through dilution is not bringing benefit to the reit holders. Axreit has been undergone 2x private placement, but it didn't dilute the DPU, instead it increases the DPU overtimes, through newer properties and more diversified. |
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Jun 9 2010, 08:38 AM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
Ok, thanks for the info, so far I have evaluated most of the REIT's, either they are not attractive enough or their evaluation is still too high, so I will take the wait and see approach. I am still avoiding those REIT's which buy back from their own company, I feel they might not be fair enough to their shareholders.
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Jun 9 2010, 11:24 AM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
Is there any news when will the Sunway REIT(also the two other huge one that's coming soon) be out? When they come out, do you think the "revaluation" may make current REIT's price higher or lower?
Please advice. Thank you |
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Jun 10 2010, 12:25 PM
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Senior Member
1,505 posts Joined: Dec 2006 From: Subang Jaya, Selangor |
sunway reit's ipo is set at july 8.
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Jun 10 2010, 01:39 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
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Jun 10 2010, 02:05 PM
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289 posts Joined: Jun 2008 From: Penang |
Sunway woos REIT cornerstone investors
May 24, 2010 KUALA LUMPUR, May 24 — Sunway City may place out about a fifth of its planned IPO of a real estate investment trust (REIT) to cornerstone investors who have greater holding power for the shares, sources with direct knowledge of the deal said. The country's sixth-biggest property company by market value is in talks with seven local funds in the hopes of getting some of them to become cornerstone investors in the IPO which is expected to raise around US$500 million (RM1.66 billion), the sources said. The Sunway REIT, with a fund size of 2.78 billion units, is set to become Malaysia's largest when it is listed in the third quarter of this year. The Sunway REIT offering comes at a time when companies elsewhere in Asia downsize or put on hold listing plans due to uncertain global market conditions following the fallout of the euro zone debt crisis. Malaysia's most recent IPO debut saw Masterskill Education open sharply lower in the trading debut of its US$240 million IPO, hurt by euro zone turmoil and an overly rich valuation. Sunway's planned REIT offering has received positive response from investors so far due to its size, steady income source and good growth prospects, a source said. "This is something significant that investors would not want to miss. The interest is definitely there, the question is pricing," said the source. The sources could not be named because they were not authorised to speak to the media. The Sunway REIT will feature some 1.65 billion units for public subscription, of which 1.5 billion are for institutional and selected investors, the company said earlier this month. "They are talking to seven funds, which consist of insurance funds, unit trust funds, government-linked investment companies, and a few pension funds," said a second source. Sunway is looking to place out about one-fifth of the offering to cornerstone investors, one of the sources said. Cornerstone investors normally commit to buy shares before a public listing and promise to hold them until a later date. Sunway City declined comment. The issue price of the Sunway REIT will be determined in a book-building process. Earlier this month, Sunway City said it would receive 2.7 billion ringgit in cash and about 1.0 billion units in the REIT for the eight properties it will inject into the unit. The properties, comprise of shopping malls, office towers, and hotels, have a combined market value of about RM3.7 billion. Sunway City Group, controlled by Malaysian businessman Tan Sri Jeffery Cheah, will own about 38 per cent of Sunway REIT after the listing, which the company said may be completed mid-July. — Reuters |
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Jun 10 2010, 08:28 PM
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3,807 posts Joined: Jan 2006 |
Sunway Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT)
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Jun 10 2010, 08:53 PM
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83 posts Joined: Mar 2010 |
Increasing bumiputra property ownership. In this context, Pelaburan Hartanah Berhad will establish a Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) to facilitate Bumiputra investment in commercial and industrial properties and benefit from property appreciation
Wonder if this Govt linked REIT will be listed |
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Jun 10 2010, 11:11 PM
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943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(Neonlight @ Jun 10 2010, 08:53 PM) Increasing bumiputra property ownership. In this context, Pelaburan Hartanah Berhad will establish a Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) to facilitate Bumiputra investment in commercial and industrial properties and benefit from property appreciation If this specific for bumi-investment, dont think can list like normal in share market. How to make sure only bumi can buy & trade only ?Wonder if this Govt linked REIT will be listed Furthermore, also already got GLC ARREIT, no need more competition |
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Jun 11 2010, 09:26 AM
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39 posts Joined: Jul 2006 |
Hi all
Have been following this REITs thread here for some time now and would like to bring up a topic for advise/discussion: Between direct property investmt and REITs, which provides better returns? Also taking into consideration effort (of maintaining a tenant etc) vs reward (yield). I know some pros for REITs (not sure abt the rest..) that has been highlighted, but they don't really provide me insights of the actual experience. REITs -Experienced managers to handle the properties -More liquid than a physical property -A stake at larger assets Anyone here who owns both rental properties as well as in REITs be able to share their opinions? |
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Jun 11 2010, 09:33 AM
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1,177 posts Joined: Nov 2007 |
Investing into property directly makes more money, provided that you make sensible purchases on a rental yield basis. The reason is simple: leverage. You can borrow up to 90% to buy a property and rent it out. That vastly inflates the real return to you.
That said, I still invest in REITs myself. It's easier, more liquid and I hate dealing with tenants. |
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Jun 11 2010, 09:39 AM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
QUOTE(wankongyew @ Jun 11 2010, 09:33 AM) Investing into property directly makes more money, provided that you make sensible purchases on a rental yield basis. The reason is simple: leverage. You can borrow up to 90% to buy a property and rent it out. That vastly inflates the real return to you. You can also leverage with REIT's if you want, since the yields are comparable. Also both property have capital gains. That said, I still invest in REITs myself. It's easier, more liquid and I hate dealing with tenants. This post has been edited by gark: Jun 11 2010, 09:42 AM |
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Jun 11 2010, 11:14 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(amy_tan @ Jun 11 2010, 09:26 AM) Hi all I can tell from real experience, (residential properties)Have been following this REITs thread here for some time now and would like to bring up a topic for advise/discussion: Between direct property investmt and REITs, which provides better returns? Also taking into consideration effort (of maintaining a tenant etc) vs reward (yield). I know some pros for REITs (not sure abt the rest..) that has been highlighted, but they don't really provide me insights of the actual experience. REITs -Experienced managers to handle the properties -More liquid than a physical property -A stake at larger assets Anyone here who owns both rental properties as well as in REITs be able to share their opinions? Real rental properties are not easy to manage, quite troublesome sometimes, depended on your luck and quality of tenants. Real cost after deducting expenses like maintenance fee, quit rent, assessment, repairing cost, the real return could be below 5-6% as well. A strate title already can cost you a few thousand buck. Illiquid, sell a property may takes months or up to half to a year before actually receiving all the proceed from the sale. Direct property investment good thing is that, the value of the property is depended on the property market itself, not like stock market sentiment, that could affect the reit price. And you have total control on the property. |
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Jun 11 2010, 11:21 AM
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1,184 posts Joined: May 2005 |
Good and bad for REITs and residential investing.
You can leverage in residential investing, the risk is there but less risky than common stock, illiquid as mentioned. You cannot leverage in REITs (unless you take personal loan etc), very liquid but COCR is sometime less than residential investing? |
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Jun 11 2010, 11:26 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(kbandito @ Jun 11 2010, 11:21 AM) Good and bad for REITs and residential investing. You can leverage on reit by using margin account. You can leverage in residential investing, the risk is there but less risky than common stock, illiquid as mentioned. You cannot leverage in REITs (unless you take personal loan etc), very liquid but COCR is sometime less than residential investing? Personal loan is a big no no. |
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Jun 11 2010, 12:20 PM
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1,184 posts Joined: May 2005 |
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Jun 11 2010, 12:38 PM
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Junior Member
39 posts Joined: Jul 2006 |
Good sharing, thanks for your responses.
I actually have several REITs in my pocket but now fiddling with the thought of 'upgrading' (if it is considered an upgrade) to direct property. I'm a young executive and comfortable with my cashflow so considering to either to continue channelling more money into REITs or enter the complicated task of handling tenants. |
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Jun 11 2010, 01:35 PM
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Senior Member
1,177 posts Joined: Nov 2007 |
QUOTE(kbandito @ Jun 11 2010, 12:20 PM) This is different from T+3. This is pledging shares as collateral in order to get a loan to buy more shares. I'd imagine it's not much different from a loan to buy a house or a car, except that if the value of your collateral suddenly falls, you face a margin call, i.e. an order from your bank to provide more capital or have the bank force sell your shares off. |
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Jun 11 2010, 01:37 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(kbandito @ Jun 11 2010, 12:20 PM) Margin can last indefinitely. Margin mean use existing share or reit as collateral to get more loan money. QUOTE(amy_tan @ Jun 11 2010, 12:38 PM) Good sharing, thanks for your responses. For me, I consider as "downgrade" become more hassle. I actually have several REITs in my pocket but now fiddling with the thought of 'upgrading' (if it is considered an upgrade) to direct property. I'm a young executive and comfortable with my cashflow so considering to either to continue channelling more money into REITs or enter the complicated task of handling tenants. Reit is an upgrade version, and comfortable version. Also risk involved is higher than reit. But it depends on individual appetite on this issue, nothing right or wrong. Fyi, residential rental market is not that lcurative compared to commercial. |
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Jun 11 2010, 01:44 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
The 10th Malaysia Plan with massive property constructions around KL/Selangor would once again change the prospective of KL properties.
Frankly, is it good for Malaysia ? This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jun 11 2010, 01:45 PM |
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Jun 11 2010, 01:50 PM
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637 posts Joined: Jan 2006 From: Petaling Jaya |
QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jun 11 2010, 01:44 PM) The 10th Malaysia Plan with massive property constructions around KL/Selangor would once again change the prospective of KL properties. Funny enough analysts are not extra bullish on the construction sector, meaning they already factored in the benefits long ago.Frankly, is it good for Malaysia ? Other than that, more traffic jams for us |
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Jun 11 2010, 01:56 PM
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1,177 posts Joined: Nov 2007 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 11 2010, 01:37 PM) Also risk involved is higher than reit. Do you really believe that directly investing in property is more risky than REITs? At least it seems to me that you have more of a sense of control when you invest in a piece of your own property. It's up to you to put in the legwork to scope out a property, interview tenants, periodically check up on them etc. With REITs, yeah, you can read all the reports and filings, but at the end of the day, it still comes down to trusting that they aren't lying about they say.But it depends on individual appetite on this issue, nothing right or wrong. As I've said before, I like REITS a lot, but I'm still scared of a day when one of them goes belly up and it turns out that they've been playing games with their accounts, not being paid rent, didn't maintain their properties well, get scammed by their related party big brother company etc. I hope that day will never comes, as REITs grow larger, it seems almost inevitable to me that something bad might happen with one of them. This post has been edited by wankongyew: Jun 11 2010, 01:57 PM |
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Jun 11 2010, 01:59 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(Aggroboy @ Jun 11 2010, 01:50 PM) Funny enough analysts are not extra bullish on the construction sector, meaning they already factored in the benefits long ago. The supply would well exceed the demands.Other than that, more traffic jams for us Why the Govt wants to spend the money to create such an over supply situation ? Then later you need to use good money to bail out the bad money. liao. The property crisis is in the making, if we are not careful. Need to study the history of Dubai carefully. Again, it is just my view. This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jun 11 2010, 03:05 PM |
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Jun 11 2010, 02:15 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(wankongyew @ Jun 11 2010, 01:56 PM) Do you really believe that directly investing in property is more risky than REITs? At least it seems to me that you have more of a sense of control when you invest in a piece of your own property. It's up to you to put in the legwork to scope out a property, interview tenants, periodically check up on them etc. With REITs, yeah, you can read all the reports and filings, but at the end of the day, it still comes down to trusting that they aren't lying about they say. Invest a new or own properties, risk involved :As I've said before, I like REITS a lot, but I'm still scared of a day when one of them goes belly up and it turns out that they've been playing games with their accounts, not being paid rent, didn't maintain their properties well, get scammed by their related party big brother company etc. I hope that day will never comes, as REITs grow larger, it seems almost inevitable to me that something bad might happen with one of them. 1. Developers abandon the project 2. Particular properties out of favour, due to whatever reason, little people interest in those area. We had seen many completed/OC passed shoplot being abandoned due to non-strategic location, due to whatever reason, no single tenants interested. 3. Particular property has low demand, cannot/difficult to sell. 4. Tenants don't pay, and don't want to move out either. I no doubt you worry about trust is logic, just invest into own property, means there are more factors involved, and risk involved. While for individual less wealthy, the max one can invest into own properties, won't more than a few. A mistake of 2 in choosing the property, could means significant impact as well, particular those property cannot be sold out, abandoned one. In reit, you could spread the investment into a few, while even one play foul, it won't impact individual as severe as 1 mistake in real property. While in reit, market is liquid in general, you still can get out with losses in reit share price only, but for real properties, once the property is not in demand, you cannot sell at all. That's where why I said risk is smaller. Also, existing law is not protecting enough for purchasers if anything happening. Rent being paid or not, can see through the cashflow statemet. Cashflow statement is something not easy to play with. Account playing, any company can do, not limited to reit. RPT, so does with ordinary listed company. In fact, RPT is worst in some ordinary listed company than reit. Properties well maintained or not, it depended on the management company, rental market won't lie. So as you said, the most important aspect in choosing reit is the management company prudent in managing the properties. At least reit will distribute 90% of the income to us as shareholders, and cannot foul play on this issue. Unlike ordinary company, can report millions or billion of profit, but keep those cash in company, then suddenly kaboom, those cash gone. If really worry about the foul play issue, ordinary listed company stand 10x bigger risk than reit. This post has been edited by cherroy: Jun 11 2010, 02:17 PM |
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Jun 11 2010, 02:18 PM
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637 posts Joined: Jan 2006 From: Petaling Jaya |
QUOTE(wankongyew @ Jun 11 2010, 01:56 PM) At least it seems to me that you have more of a sense of control when you invest in a piece of your own property. It's up to you to put in the legwork to scope out a property, interview tenants, periodically check up on them etc. Hmm true. It's almost a part-time job keeping up tabs of our own property, dealing with bad tenants is also a major PITA. Yields not much better, but you stand to gain a lot from appreciation.REIT is like, okay, read some research docs, put in an excel, key in transaction online, lepak and wait every year for dividend check |
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Jun 11 2010, 02:26 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(Aggroboy @ Jun 11 2010, 02:18 PM) Hmm true. It's almost a part-time job keeping up tabs of our own property, dealing with bad tenants is also a major PITA. Yields not much better, but you stand to gain a lot from appreciation. Ya if you have done your home works, REITs are practically a Safe form of Internet Investing, without leaving your house or Office.REIT is like, okay, read some research docs, put in an excel, key in transaction online, lepak and wait every year for dividend check The beauty of it. the E dividends make them more attractive. This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jun 11 2010, 02:27 PM |
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Jun 11 2010, 02:47 PM
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943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 11 2010, 01:37 PM) Margin can last indefinitely. I think have to evaluate case by case. For me, I might be enticed to liquidate my REIT to buy the physical property if it is at an absolute bargain. There are many such opportunities like that around. It seems like most of those property millionaires get rich that way (like Rich Dad). However, I think I have not heard any sharing from REIT millionaires Margin mean use existing share or reit as collateral to get more loan money. For me, I consider as "downgrade" become more hassle. Reit is an upgrade version, and comfortable version. Also risk involved is higher than reit. But it depends on individual appetite on this issue, nothing right or wrong. Fyi, residential rental market is not that lcurative compared to commercial. (Note: I may be wrong, please give some examples of REIT millionaires, so that we can be encouraged In some cases, the capital appreciation can be astronomical esp for land. (Should have bought some land in bangsar twenty years ago, etc). |
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Jun 11 2010, 02:53 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(whizzer @ Jun 11 2010, 02:47 PM) I think have to evaluate case by case. For me, I might be enticed to liquidate my REIT to buy the physical property if it is at an absolute bargain. There are many such opportunities like that around. It seems like most of those property millionaires get rich that way (like Rich Dad). However, I think I have not heard any sharing from REIT millionaires (Note: I may be wrong, please give some examples of REIT millionaires, so that we can be encouraged In some cases, the capital appreciation can be astronomical esp for land. (Should have bought some land in bangsar twenty years ago, etc). And Tamasek is going to buy some Sunreit. Another Billionaire . REIT is about Asset Allocation if you believe you need one. This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jun 11 2010, 02:56 PM |
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Jun 11 2010, 03:02 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(whizzer @ Jun 11 2010, 02:47 PM) I think have to evaluate case by case. For me, I might be enticed to liquidate my REIT to buy the physical property if it is at an absolute bargain. There are many such opportunities like that around. It seems like most of those property millionaires get rich that way (like Rich Dad). However, I think I have not heard any sharing from REIT millionaires (Note: I may be wrong, please give some examples of REIT millionaires, so that we can be encouraged In some cases, the capital appreciation can be astronomical esp for land. (Should have bought some land in bangsar twenty years ago, etc). Yes, case by case, different investment approach has its own good and bad, so does reit vs real own properties. But for me, as working class, that have little time to deal with those troublesome documentation, dealing with problematic tenants, travel half to 1 hour just to collect rental each month, reit is better in term of conveniences and risk issue. As buying a property could mean extension time spent of reseach, exploring the issue, legal cost etc involved, too hassle and less diversified. Reit investors majority is reallly big one, instituitional investors. As it is a form of fixed income instrument for them. |
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Jun 11 2010, 03:05 PM
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943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jun 11 2010, 02:53 PM) There are odeli Billionaires like EPF invested in REITS. Companies like EPF, Temasek don't qualify because they are already billionaires And Tamasek is going to buy some Sunreit. Another Billionaire . REIT is about Asset Allocation if you believe you need one. I am talking about hardworking individuals who invest primarily in REITs. (Maybe taikor Cherroy would be the first one |
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Jun 11 2010, 03:09 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(whizzer @ Jun 11 2010, 03:05 PM) Companies like EPF, Temasek don't qualify because they are already billionaires We have lot of people made good buck of money through reit, particular Axreit.I am talking about hardworking individuals who invest primarily in REITs. Our forumer, Neo making quite a lot through reit as well. |
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Jun 11 2010, 03:11 PM
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12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
QUOTE(whizzer @ Jun 11 2010, 03:05 PM) Companies like EPF, Temasek don't qualify because they are already billionaires How about capital gain, these few hot years (2009-2010)capital gain from physical properties are quite high (30% a year), but REIT's has been on the slow side (5%~10%). Is it because the properties held by the REIT is already over valued, or commercial properties are less 'hot'? I am talking about hardworking individuals who invest primarily in REITs. (Maybe taikor Cherroy would be the first one |
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Jun 11 2010, 03:27 PM
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943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(gark @ Jun 11 2010, 03:11 PM) How about capital gain, these few hot years (2009-2010)capital gain from physical properties are quite high (30% a year), but REIT's has been on the slow side (5%~10%). Is it because the properties held by the REIT is already over valued, or commercial properties are less 'hot'? Actually, CAP gains from REITs can behigh too depending on when you buy it. For e.g. my first purchase of AXREIT in 2008 was at RM 1.01. Now AXREIT is at RM2. Thats almost 100% cap gain (not counting the divy yet). Having said that, I bought at height of economic crisis thus didnt dare to buy much. Since then I have bought at different price (1.49, 1.95 and most recently at 2.0). However, my reasons for REITs are for generating income with capital appreciation considered incidental. |
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Jun 11 2010, 03:50 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(gark @ Jun 11 2010, 03:11 PM) How about capital gain, these few hot years (2009-2010)capital gain from physical properties are quite high (30% a year), but REIT's has been on the slow side (5%~10%). Is it because the properties held by the REIT is already over valued, or commercial properties are less 'hot'? Commercial properties particularly office space is expected to be under some stresses due to over-supply problem. While with economy downturn and severe recession previously, company is more "thrifty" in term of hiring, expanding office space rental etc. Rental market is not very strong. The physical properties appreciation has something to do low interest rate environment, speculation and inflation expectation/threat. Residential yield is low to start with, so not attractive enough. Even one invested on their own on residential properties, the net yield, after deducting all the expenses like assessment, maintenance fee etc, the net yield could be around 4-5% only. Not to mention property manager need to charge 1% on the management fee side, so chance is left is 3-4%. You want to invest in a reit that carry 3-4%? Might as well put in FD then. Unless you are runnning at high leverage, then only residential properties seems viable, if not, there is no incentive for people to invest in residential reit. Reit every year give you around 7%. While capital appreciation side, you need to see your entry price. It is different league to compare reit price appreciation with physical properties price appreciation. As even physical properties appreciation, you cannot liquidate a single cent while reit you can do it anytime. Reit price primary affected by its yield. Actually don't look at physical properties appreciation price tag alone, you need to take in net cost or net gain. In order to realise the physical properties gain, you need to sell, legal fee, stamp duty, RPGT, involved, which easily cost a few thousand up to ten of thousand. People always neglect the net expenses incurred but only looking at surface figure only. |
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Jun 11 2010, 04:05 PM
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1,177 posts Joined: Nov 2007 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 11 2010, 03:09 PM) We have lot of people made good buck of money through reit, particular Axreit. All that is still anecdotal data however. If we want to compare anecdotes, there are members on the Property Talk side of the forum who claim that they can get yields of 40% or more.Our forumer, Neo making quite a lot through reit as well. Anyway, if someone is the type who would be persuaded by anecdotes, REITs is probably the wrong place to be. You'd expect slow and steady gains from REITs, not dramatic returns. I don't think you can "get rich" through REITs. You need to have a significant bit of capital already to make it interesting. It is theoretically more possible to "get rich" through direct property investment if you manage to make exactly the right bet at the right time, but more often than not, you just get your hands burn. |
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Jun 11 2010, 04:26 PM
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12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 11 2010, 03:50 PM) Thanks a lot Cherroy for the massive amount of info, appreciated the intelligent discussion. Now having some capital, was thinking either to buy another property (expensive and low yield nowadays so keep on deferring.... Penny for your thoughts? This post has been edited by gark: Jun 11 2010, 04:44 PM |
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Jun 11 2010, 04:33 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(wankongyew @ Jun 11 2010, 04:05 PM) All that is still anecdotal data however. If we want to compare anecdotes, there are members on the Property Talk side of the forum who claim that they can get yields of 40% or more. The right mentality of investment is to get a piece of return that is higher than FD or conventional tools like bonds with some risk involved.Anyway, if someone is the type who would be persuaded by anecdotes, REITs is probably the wrong place to be. You'd expect slow and steady gains from REITs, not dramatic returns. I don't think you can "get rich" through REITs. You need to have a significant bit of capital already to make it interesting. It is theoretically more possible to "get rich" through direct property investment if you manage to make exactly the right bet at the right time, but more often than not, you just get your hands burn. Investment is not for "get rich" or "get rich quick". Claim or not claim, I/we don't care, what we care what is the risk we are taking, what expected return can be. In reit, we expect some yield for 7-8% which is 2x FD rate can offer, with any capital appreciation side is a bonus, and not something take for granted. If FD is offering 7-8%, I/we might dump reit as well. People only talk about good side of story of real physical properties investment, like who become millionaire become invested in properties, who gain 40% yield because buy at right location right timing etc. But there are still a lot of people that buying some properties under abandoned project (which bank still charge loan interest), shoplots that grow grasses only, little tenants want to rent, buying lots in shopping mall that never fill up more than 30-50% etc. There are also a lot of people bought properties at 10K, but now worth 150k, after 20-30 years, but if calculated carefully, the real/net return rate is worst than FD. But still people proclaim, it is a successful investment, see invested in properties 10K become 150K, or become millionaire, in fact it is not a successful investment. This is always little point in comparing which investment is better than the others, it never has any conclusion because there is never "best/better" investment than the others. They just has some pros which one may like and comfortable with it. This post has been edited by cherroy: Jun 11 2010, 04:40 PM |
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Jun 11 2010, 05:02 PM
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39 posts Joined: Jul 2006 |
Good conclusion
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Jun 11 2010, 05:21 PM
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943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 11 2010, 04:33 PM) The right mentality of investment is to get a piece of return that is higher than FD or conventional tools like bonds with some risk involved. wow.. my kinda answer Investment is not for "get rich" or "get rich quick". Claim or not claim, I/we don't care, what we care what is the risk we are taking, what expected return can be. In reit, we expect some yield for 7-8% which is 2x FD rate can offer, with any capital appreciation side is a bonus, and not something take for granted. If FD is offering 7-8%, I/we might dump reit as well. People only talk about good side of story of real physical properties investment, like who become millionaire become invested in properties, who gain 40% yield because buy at right location right timing etc. But there are still a lot of people that buying some properties under abandoned project (which bank still charge loan interest), shoplots that grow grasses only, little tenants want to rent, buying lots in shopping mall that never fill up more than 30-50% etc. There are also a lot of people bought properties at 10K, but now worth 150k, after 20-30 years, but if calculated carefully, the real/net return rate is worst than FD. But still people proclaim, it is a successful investment, see invested in properties 10K become 150K, or become millionaire, in fact it is not a successful investment. This is always little point in comparing which investment is better than the others, it never has any conclusion because there is never "best/better" investment than the others. They just has some pros which one may like and comfortable with it. |
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Jun 11 2010, 05:47 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(gark @ Jun 11 2010, 04:26 PM) Also I have to pay 24%-25% income tax on the rental gains Yup, nearly forget about the tax issue as well. Net yield for physical properties could be 5%, but after deduct income tax, it become 4% (if 25%) only. Reit only incurred 10% witholding tax. Penny for your thoughts? The catch are always several factor 1. Liquidity, I rate liquidity is one of most important aspect of financial management. 2. Real hard asset ownership feel, reit cannot offer this. 3. Want lazy -> reit. Want hand on -> real properties 4. Diversified, reit is offering better option in this 5. Control, real property better. Reit, you need to trust the property management company solely, how to manage. Actually it is not right to conclude reit has lower gain and physical properties has higher, because everything is still on going process, as even your existing physical properties has appreciated 30%, ,until you sell it, it never a gain. Who's know today prime properties can be nobody want one 10 years later. In real situation, it did happen, although not on prime location in KL/PG etc. But this is really happening on some township. Also physical real properties could gain 30% this year or next year. But can it be no appreciation at all for the rest 5-10 years and normalise the total return? The answer can be yes as well. It is not normal to see properties price to appreciate more than 15-20% pa in general. |
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Jun 11 2010, 07:09 PM
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3,807 posts Joined: Jan 2006 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 11 2010, 05:33 PM) In reit, we expect some yield for 7-8% which is 2x FD rate can offer, with any capital appreciation side is a bonus, and not something take for granted. If FD is offering 7-8%, I/we might dump reit as well. Cheers. |
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Jun 11 2010, 08:55 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(monkeyking @ Jun 11 2010, 07:09 PM) Cheers. 10% FD rate may never occur in our or my life time again. and also, I don't wish it to be happening. 1998 FD rate was 10%+, which I had seen some people dump FD 5 years at a rate of 10.xx% + Free Astro subscription for 1 year inclusive hardware installation. |
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Jun 11 2010, 09:12 PM
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1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
Your right, The only time that happen is during 97 recession
Btw Cherroy, Is there any significant bad side to REIT except for lack of liquidity of normal stock? |
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Jun 12 2010, 12:16 AM
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943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 11 2010, 08:55 PM) If FD is 10%, then reit price will be adjusted to a yield around 15%. Market is always efficience in this kind of adjustment. I think got some other countries giving > 10% FD. Maybe Greece or Iceland 10% FD rate may never occur in our or my life time again. and also, I don't wish it to be happening. 1998 FD rate was 10%+, which I had seen some people dump FD 5 years at a rate of 10.xx% + Free Astro subscription for 1 year inclusive hardware installation. |
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Jun 12 2010, 01:06 PM
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4,436 posts Joined: Oct 2008 |
QUOTE(monkeyking @ Jun 11 2010, 07:09 PM) Cheers. Xuzen |
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Jun 12 2010, 02:06 PM
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12 posts Joined: Jun 2010 |
CapitaMalls Malaysia Trust (CMMT) to be listed in Busa Main Market soon.
http://biz.thestar.com.my/news/story.asp?f...33&sec=business |
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Jun 12 2010, 05:35 PM
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3,807 posts Joined: Jan 2006 |
This post has been edited by monkeyking: Jun 13 2010, 02:46 AM |
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Jun 12 2010, 06:22 PM
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1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
1.1 share to institution which means retail investor price is more expensive. Sunway IPO is suppose to be at RM 1 with 6.7% projected.
Still think its a good deal? Btw starhill is at 0.8 and projected return is 8% |
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Jun 12 2010, 08:54 PM
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4,436 posts Joined: Oct 2008 |
QUOTE(monkeyking @ Jun 12 2010, 05:35 PM) There are more than 10 more REITs counter listed in KLSE that gives >6.8% yield. I'll pass... Xuzen |
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Jun 12 2010, 09:05 PM
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3,807 posts Joined: Jan 2006 |
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Jun 13 2010, 04:35 PM
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25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(xuzen @ Jun 12 2010, 08:54 PM) 6.8%? Yup, 6.8% is a bit low.There are more than 10 more REITs counter listed in KLSE that gives >6.8% yield. I'll pass... Xuzen But the quality of the properties like Gurney plaze is a strong selling point, as the properties is 1. in strategic location, land value for sure appreciated in the future as situated or surrounded by luxury condo, with multi-million properties surround. 2. Strong rental market, fully occupied, and potential rental increment in the future. 3. Mall is well maintained and crowded. |
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Jun 14 2010, 12:54 AM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 13 2010, 04:35 PM) Yup, 6.8% is a bit low. Not to mention also it is along Gurney Drive, a sure-fire place to attract tourists. But you should know more But the quality of the properties like Gurney plaze is a strong selling point, as the properties is 1. in strategic location, land value for sure appreciated in the future as situated or surrounded by luxury condo, with multi-million properties surround. 2. Strong rental market, fully occupied, and potential rental increment in the future. 3. Mall is well maintained and crowded. |
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Jun 14 2010, 01:41 AM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 13 2010, 04:35 PM) Yup, 6.8% is a bit low. But if that's such good locations (gurney plaza, sungai wang are superb location and very crowded), why only 6.8%? I thought REIT suppose to give very high portion of their profit out as dividend? But the quality of the properties like Gurney plaze is a strong selling point, as the properties is 1. in strategic location, land value for sure appreciated in the future as situated or surrounded by luxury condo, with multi-million properties surround. 2. Strong rental market, fully occupied, and potential rental increment in the future. 3. Mall is well maintained and crowded. This post has been edited by yok70: Jun 14 2010, 01:42 AM |
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Jun 14 2010, 08:42 AM
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12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
QUOTE(yok70 @ Jun 14 2010, 01:41 AM) But if that's such good locations (gurney plaza, sungai wang are superb location and very crowded), why only 6.8%? I thought REIT suppose to give very high portion of their profit out as dividend? Maybe they "over declare" their property value to their own REIT's, thus selling the properties at a higher price. When the property is sold at 'above' market value, naturally the yields will have to come down because the rentals cannot catch up with the rich valuation. |
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Jun 14 2010, 09:56 AM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
QUOTE(gark @ Jun 14 2010, 08:42 AM) Maybe they "over declare" their property value to their own REIT's, thus selling the properties at a higher price. When the property is sold at 'above' market value, naturally the yields will have to come down because the rentals cannot catch up with the rich valuation. Oh boy! It's exactly like "government spending, citizen suffering" situation! |
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Jun 14 2010, 10:05 AM
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1,177 posts Joined: Nov 2007 |
But how can the REIT own Sungei Wang Plaza? I thought that its lots are completely owned by private individuals. Did the REIT buy many lots from individuals? That would explain the low yield. It must have been expensive to persuade people to let go of their Sungei Wang lots...
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Jun 14 2010, 10:45 AM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
QUOTE(wankongyew @ Jun 14 2010, 10:05 AM) But how can the REIT own Sungei Wang Plaza? I thought that its lots are completely owned by private individuals. Did the REIT buy many lots from individuals? That would explain the low yield. It must have been expensive to persuade people to let go of their Sungei Wang lots... Is it? Oh....i don't know that... |
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Jun 15 2010, 03:58 PM
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Senior Member
1,184 posts Joined: May 2005 |
CapitaMall owns 61.9% of Sungei Wang Plaza, the remaining are strata-titled units which are owned by individual.
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Jun 17 2010, 07:07 AM
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Senior Member
1,042 posts Joined: Jan 2005 |
Anyone got their hands on IPO form for Sunway Reit ?? If yes, where can i access to it. But the return is not that attractive from 6%pa though. Think Axis Reit is far out better
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Jun 17 2010, 08:47 AM
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Senior Member
7,106 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Jun 17 2010, 10:19 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
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Jun 17 2010, 01:38 PM
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Senior Member
8,438 posts Joined: Nov 2005 |
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Jun 17 2010, 02:32 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(jasontoh @ Jun 17 2010, 01:38 PM) Ain't just posted in your qouted one.. Not mean to recommend, but Qcapital half year distribution will be coming after this month, around 3.5-3.8 cents is expected. Axreit also about 8%, but current at Rm2.00 is about fully value. These are 2 my favourite at the moment. Capitalreit also look interesting. |
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Jun 17 2010, 02:49 PM
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Senior Member
8,438 posts Joined: Nov 2005 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 17 2010, 02:32 PM) Ain't just posted in your qouted one.. How come I cannot find Capitalreit?Not mean to recommend, but Qcapital half year distribution will be coming after this month, around 3.5-3.8 cents is expected. Axreit also about 8%, but current at Rm2.00 is about fully value. These are 2 my favourite at the moment. Capitalreit also look interesting. |
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Jun 17 2010, 02:50 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
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Jun 17 2010, 02:52 PM
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Senior Member
8,438 posts Joined: Nov 2005 |
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Jun 17 2010, 02:53 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
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Jun 17 2010, 03:01 PM
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Senior Member
8,438 posts Joined: Nov 2005 |
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Jun 17 2010, 09:07 PM
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Junior Member
371 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
hi cherroy, what do you think of the only heathcare related reit, alaqar, is there still room for growth
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Jun 18 2010, 12:55 PM
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Junior Member
27 posts Joined: May 2010 |
May i ask how and when are we charged the 10% withholding tax?
From the dividend distribution? |
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Jun 18 2010, 01:20 PM
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Junior Member
467 posts Joined: Apr 2008 |
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Jun 18 2010, 01:27 PM
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Senior Member
1,516 posts Joined: May 2006 |
a newbie question here, if the dividen payment date is tomorrow, i buy the counter today, can i still get the dividend? thank you
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Jun 18 2010, 02:07 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(Molotov Cocktail @ Jun 17 2010, 09:07 PM) hi cherroy, what do you think of the only heathcare related reit, alaqar, is there still room for growth I don't study much about this counter. It just own the properties previously under KPJ, then restructure into reit, which in turn those hospital belonged to them, and KPJ rent from them. To say it is a healthcare reit, somehow not quite right, it just rent their properties which is hospital to KPJ. They have nothing to do with healthcare or directly involve in healthcare. This is as far as I understand, I could be wrong. QUOTE(Larrylow @ Jun 18 2010, 01:27 PM) a newbie question here, if the dividen payment date is tomorrow, i buy the counter today, can i still get the dividend? thank you No, you must buy before the publised ex-date, not payment date. |
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Jun 18 2010, 02:45 PM
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Senior Member
5,191 posts Joined: May 2009 |
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Jun 18 2010, 07:33 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(Molotov Cocktail @ Jun 17 2010, 09:07 PM) hi cherroy, what do you think of the only heathcare related reit, alaqar, is there still room for growth Molotov Cocktail,I am not an expert valuer, but from my understanding, since Alaqar's properties are specialised buildings (i.e. can be used ONLY for a certain purpose), I believe that its properties will have limited opportunity for appreciation, therefore limiting their income growth. This is just my opinion, which could be wrong. This post has been edited by Jordy: Jun 19 2010, 12:14 AM |
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Jun 18 2010, 08:04 PM
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Senior Member
1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
As an insider for the healthcare market, I think that alaqar is very stable. All their location is in strategic area and they can safely dispose of it to other healthcare provider if they choose to
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Jun 19 2010, 10:08 AM
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Senior Member
1,933 posts Joined: Mar 2006 From: ~Universe~ |
Sorry guys,
Wanna ask is buying REIT same as shares? Would like to buy Sunway Reit.. |
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Jun 19 2010, 11:17 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
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Jun 19 2010, 11:24 AM
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Senior Member
4,436 posts Joined: Oct 2008 |
Al'Aqar properties have only one tenant i.e. KPJ run hospital. There are no other tenant. So Al'aqar is a proxy to KPJ's performance. As long KPJ do well, Al'aqar should do well. And looks like KPJ is doing well for the moment.
With a 7.xx% dividend p.a., it is not too bad. It is like you are buying a proxy to KPJ counter. Xuzen |
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Jun 19 2010, 12:43 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(xuzen @ Jun 19 2010, 11:24 AM) Al'Aqar properties have only one tenant i.e. KPJ run hospital. There are no other tenant. So Al'aqar is a proxy to KPJ's performance. As long KPJ do well, Al'aqar should do well. And looks like KPJ is doing well for the moment. xuzen,With a 7.xx% dividend p.a., it is not too bad. It is like you are buying a proxy to KPJ counter. Xuzen KPJ may be doing well, but the rental income is tied to the value of the property. So if the value doesn't appreciate as much, I don't see any reason KPJ would want to increase the rental for the property. My 2 cents. |
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Jun 19 2010, 01:35 PM
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Senior Member
4,436 posts Joined: Oct 2008 |
QUOTE(Jordy @ Jun 19 2010, 12:43 PM) xuzen, Just to add, Dynaquest's SPG gives Al'Aqar only a 3.5/10 rating i.e. a below average rating. There must be a reason why they rate it below average, but I do not know why. KPJ may be doing well, but the rental income is tied to the value of the property. So if the value doesn't appreciate as much, I don't see any reason KPJ would want to increase the rental for the property. My 2 cents. So as usual... "caveat emptor". Xuzen |
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Jun 19 2010, 03:38 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(xuzen @ Jun 19 2010, 01:35 PM) Just to add, Dynaquest's SPG gives Al'Aqar only a 3.5/10 rating i.e. a below average rating. There must be a reason why they rate it below average, but I do not know why. My guess (I could be wrong), is that,1. All building/properties are customised which originated from KPJ. 2. KPJ is the sole tenant of those properties while KPJ is also the major stake shareholder as well as party that inject/dispose the properties to the reit. So all are close tied to KPJ. While customised building will have more difficulty to rent out, if one day, the sole tenant doesn't want to rent anymore. |
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Jun 19 2010, 04:00 PM
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Senior Member
1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 19 2010, 03:38 PM) My guess (I could be wrong), is that, Regarding issue 1, Old and new hospital can always be converted to office block with some effort. If you see at the new tawakal hospital, It have a build it 4 storey car lot with capacity for 200 cars +/-1. All building/properties are customised which originated from KPJ. 2. KPJ is the sole tenant of those properties while KPJ is also the major stake shareholder as well as party that inject/dispose the properties to the reit. So all are close tied to KPJ. While customised building will have more difficulty to rent out, if one day, the sole tenant doesn't want to rent anymore. The chance of KPJ not wanting to rent the building is very slim, Most of the building is in strategic area with tawakal right next to GH, KPJ Ipoh right in the downtown. Everyday people do get ill and as long they prefer private health care than KPJ will survive. Anecdotal evidence suggest more and more foreign patient are flocking in to KPJ Hospital for treatment ie Indonesian |
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Jun 19 2010, 07:11 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(xuzen @ Jun 19 2010, 01:35 PM) Just to add, Dynaquest's SPG gives Al'Aqar only a 3.5/10 rating i.e. a below average rating. There must be a reason why they rate it below average, but I do not know why. Xuzen,So as usual... "caveat emptor". Xuzen I have given the reason why it is rated low. QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jun 19 2010, 04:00 PM) Regarding issue 1, Old and new hospital can always be converted to office block with some effort. If you see at the new tawakal hospital, It have a build it 4 storey car lot with capacity for 200 cars +/- idunnolol,The chance of KPJ not wanting to rent the building is very slim, Most of the building is in strategic area with tawakal right next to GH, KPJ Ipoh right in the downtown. Everyday people do get ill and as long they prefer private health care than KPJ will survive. Anecdotal evidence suggest more and more foreign patient are flocking in to KPJ Hospital for treatment ie Indonesian When a building needs conversion, it takes a lot of effort on the purchaser's part. It would be more cost effective to build a new building from scratch. Who would want to buy a hospital building just to convert it into a usable building, when all other buildings are available widely? We are not in Singapore. As cherroy mentioned earlier, the earning potential of KPJ does NOT affect the earning of Alaqar or the property's value. Property is valued based on demand. If there is no demand, the price would be stagnant. |
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Jun 19 2010, 07:31 PM
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Senior Member
1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(Jordy @ Jun 19 2010, 07:11 PM) Xuzen, There are some merits in reusing old building. If you notice now, A lot of "Medical Centre " and small hospital are actually based in shoplots. Case in point would be the old tawakal building as well as alpha medical centreI have given the reason why it is rated low. idunnolol, When a building needs conversion, it takes a lot of effort on the purchaser's part. It would be more cost effective to build a new building from scratch. Who would want to buy a hospital building just to convert it into a usable building, when all other buildings are available widely? We are not in Singapore. As cherroy mentioned earlier, the earning potential of KPJ does NOT affect the earning of Alaqar or the property's value. Property is valued based on demand. If there is no demand, the price would be stagnant. |
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Jun 19 2010, 07:59 PM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jun 19 2010, 07:31 PM) There are some merits in reusing old building. If you notice now, A lot of "Medical Centre " and small hospital are actually based in shoplots. Case in point would be the old tawakal building as well as alpha medical centre idunnolol,That is reusing the old shoplots, but in this case, it is the other way around. You should take note that the structure for specialised hospital is different from that of a normal property. If I were going to buy a hospital to be converted into an office building, I really don't know what would I use the mortuary for. |
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Jun 19 2010, 09:07 PM
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Senior Member
1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(Jordy @ Jun 19 2010, 07:59 PM) idunnolol, I forgot there is one case where the previous sentosa medical center was reused as tune hotel That is reusing the old shoplots, but in this case, it is the other way around. You should take note that the structure for specialised hospital is different from that of a normal property. If I were going to buy a hospital to be converted into an office building, I really don't know what would I use the mortuary for. Actually,i think hospital would make great conversion to a hotel like tune. Most of the rooms are a bit soundproofed with rooms on both side of the hallway, Anyway i am going offtopic here but there are some "unspecified" use for mortuary |
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Jun 19 2010, 09:11 PM
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Senior Member
2,991 posts Joined: Jun 2007 |
QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jun 19 2010, 09:07 PM) I forgot there is one case where the previous sentosa medical center was reused as tune hotel A hospital converted into a hotel is a good script for a horror movie.Actually,i think hospital would make great conversion to a hotel like tune. Most of the rooms are a bit soundproofed with rooms on both side of the hallway, Anyway i am going offtopic here but there are some "unspecified" use for mortuary I for one wouldn't stay in a hotel if it's previously used to be a hospital. Imagine how many people died in the same building before. How many people willing, or dare to stay in this hotel? |
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Jun 19 2010, 10:35 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jun 19 2010, 07:31 PM) There are some merits in reusing old building. If you notice now, A lot of "Medical Centre " and small hospital are actually based in shoplots. Case in point would be the old tawakal building as well as alpha medical centre I understand you pov, just a reit holder, we want the portfolio properties 1. independant with the major stake holder aka no/less RPT issue, and little conflict of interest. In this issue, there is conflict of interest as increase rental rate would hurt KPJ earning or increase its cost. The issue is same with Stareit (at least about half only as compared to 100%), Amfirst as well. That's why Axreit is always preferred by investors or strong point of Axreit. 2. Reit is not properties development company. As reit holders, we merely want its as passive income, aka own the properties and constant collect rental only. This is a fixed income instrument. We don't want to see our reit venture in properties development, change/redevelop the properties. We just want the properties is maintain in good shape which has a lot of demand in rental market, as well as could be potential improved in valuation. 3. Whether those properties is originated from shoplots or build from scatch is the not main issue here. We as reit holder, pay the valuation based on value and yield potential. Even those are from old shoplot conversion, but when injected into reit time, it is based on market valuation of those properties, it doesn't come cheap, it is based on fair actual valuatoin when the properties being injected time. You paid the land valuation + building together. If the building is customised and has little demand on it, the value part is land only, building valuation paid won't be recovered. 4. Just like Jordy said, there is no competition in lease demand for those properties due to customised and nature of it (whole building or 10 shoplot together one). Unlike office space, when the properties fully occupied, and still there is demand for it, then rental rate stand a chance of increasing. As a conclusion, we want reit as indepedant as possible, not rely on everyone, major stake holders, to generate income, which is based on its own competitiveness in the market and suriving on its own. It is same with ordinary share or listed company. This is important because if a company is surviving on its own based on its competitiveness, then there is more security of its long term future. Don't get me wrong, I no doubt Al'qar provide quite decent yield as well and security in term of rental/lease (as it is very unlikely KPJ won't rent those properties), just something we can highlight about the issue, and why people give lower rating. |
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Jun 19 2010, 11:16 PM
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Senior Member
1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
Thanks for taking your time for making it clear cherroy
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Jun 20 2010, 12:07 AM
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Elite
5,626 posts Joined: Nov 2004 From: Klang, Selangor |
QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jun 19 2010, 11:16 PM) idunnolol,Well, finally cherroy hit you |
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Jun 20 2010, 12:50 AM
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Senior Member
739 posts Joined: Jan 2009 |
I'm still researching which reits is the best to invest in?
any advices????thanks~ |
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Jun 22 2010, 10:04 AM
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Senior Member
8,510 posts Joined: Dec 2004 From: KayEL |
Trying 1st IPO this year. SUNWAY REIT. Closing today at 5.00pm.
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Jun 22 2010, 11:24 AM
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Senior Member
2,148 posts Joined: Nov 2007 |
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Jun 22 2010, 01:37 PM
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Senior Member
3,807 posts Joined: Jan 2006 |
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Jun 22 2010, 05:12 PM
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Junior Member
48 posts Joined: Sep 2007 From: Kuala Lumpur |
still waiting for IGB's REIT, if they're ever going to do that.
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Jun 22 2010, 05:16 PM
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Senior Member
4,305 posts Joined: Sep 2008 |
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Jun 23 2010, 08:57 PM
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Senior Member
1,109 posts Joined: Mar 2007 |
Any idea when is IGB REIT IPO?
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Jun 24 2010, 09:13 AM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
With listing of so many new REITs, would the price of current REITs be affected ? Your opinion ?
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Jun 24 2010, 10:25 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(whizzer @ Jun 24 2010, 09:13 AM) No.Instead it is good for investors, more choice, more competition, more diversificaiton potential. It is good for reit sector. More competition, reit manager need to work hard to attract investors. |
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Jun 24 2010, 12:43 PM
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Junior Member
171 posts Joined: Sep 2008 |
I see some REITs charge 0.3% for management fee and some charge 0.6%. They are allowed to charge up to 1% of NAV. I feel this might be quite a big drag on our returns. Hoping to hear some comments on this.
Thanks |
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Jun 24 2010, 01:08 PM
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Senior Member
1,177 posts Joined: Nov 2007 |
I don't know why any of you would be interested in these IPOs. As far as I can tell, their predicted yields are lower than every other REIT already on the market. Plus, there's the fact that the REITs in Malaysia have a history of underperforming in trading after they launch. I don't expect that you'd be able to flip them for a profit on the first day of trading like in the old days.
Please correct me if I'm wrong. |
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Jun 24 2010, 01:09 PM
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Senior Member
637 posts Joined: Jan 2006 From: Petaling Jaya |
0.3% to 0.6% doesn't look too bad wor
The only funds comparable to 0.3% fees are ETFs. I'm seeing 1.60+% for some mutual funds and yet they are not giving you 7-8% consistently. This post has been edited by Aggroboy: Jun 24 2010, 01:27 PM |
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Jun 24 2010, 01:40 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
When everyone says Axis is already at its market value but Quill Capita is still undervalue(having more room to grow its price), I don't understand. Any Taiko who knows, please tell me.
According to their TP: Axis: 2.28 (maybank), 2.35 (RHB) Quill: 1.18 (maybank), 1.17 (RHB) Both are about 18% discount on current price. So, what's going on? |
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Jun 24 2010, 01:55 PM
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Senior Member
3,944 posts Joined: Jul 2008 |
QUOTE(yok70 @ Jun 24 2010, 02:40 PM) When everyone says Axis is already at its market value but Quill Capita is still undervalue(having more room to grow its price), I don't understand. Any Taiko who knows, please tell me. Should be base on their NAVAccording to their TP: Axis: 2.28 (maybank), 2.35 (RHB) Quill: 1.18 (maybank), 1.17 (RHB) Both are about 18% discount on current price. So, what's going on? |
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Jun 24 2010, 02:44 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Jun 24 2010, 01:55 PM) thanks! But I'm not sure if I get it correctly. Please correct me if I am wrong. You mean for instance, researchers think that Axis has zero discount in price, but with possibility of 18% grow in profit. And for Quill, it has 18% discount in price, but with 0% of possibility to grow in profits? |
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Jun 24 2010, 03:03 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(constant @ Jun 24 2010, 12:43 PM) I see some REITs charge 0.3% for management fee and some charge 0.6%. They are allowed to charge up to 1% of NAV. I feel this might be quite a big drag on our returns. Hoping to hear some comments on this. It is a minimal issue. At least must pay some management fee, if not, reit manager eat sand meh. Thanks Can't expect buy reit and goyang kaki without doing any job, while don't want to pay management fee which the reit can generate 7-8% yield for you. As long as the manager take good care and manage well, it is consider none issue. In UT, they charge initial service charge of 5-6%, annual management fee 1.5% at least, yet some give negative return even after 3-5 years, while some return rate lower than FD rate. But little people complain about the charges, so if compared with reit, reit is still way cheaper while constantly give you 7-8% yield annually, as compared to UT which may give zero dividend. Bare in mind, those 7-8% yield has already taken account of the management fee charges. Without management fee charges the yield is 8-9%. Added on June 24, 2010, 3:05 pm QUOTE(yok70 @ Jun 24 2010, 01:40 PM) When everyone says Axis is already at its market value but Quill Capita is still undervalue(having more room to grow its price), I don't understand. Any Taiko who knows, please tell me. Those fair value is subjective matter. According to their TP: Axis: 2.28 (maybank), 2.35 (RHB) Quill: 1.18 (maybank), 1.17 (RHB) Both are about 18% discount on current price. So, what's going on? Axreit is given higher TP mainly due to EPS is showing gradually improvement, resulted from higher rental revision, constantly new properties injection to boost its earning, and diversified. Remember reit price/TP set mainly is base on yield attractiveness. So does for ordinary share out there. It is how much return can get from you invested money. This post has been edited by cherroy: Jun 24 2010, 03:05 PM |
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Jun 24 2010, 03:21 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 24 2010, 03:03 PM) Added on June 24, 2010, 3:05 pm Those fair value is subjective matter. Axreit is given higher TP mainly due to EPS is showing gradually improvement, resulted from higher rental revision, constantly new properties injection to boost its earning, and diversified. Remember reit price/TP set mainly is base on yield attractiveness. So does for ordinary share out there. It is how much return can get from you invested money. |
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Jun 24 2010, 06:31 PM
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Senior Member
3,807 posts Joined: Jan 2006 |
However, industry observers said SunREIT was expected to face heated competition with another REIT — CapitaMalls Malaysia Trust (CMMT) — that had recently received regulatory approval to float its three mature Malaysian assets on Bursa Securities. The REIT is expected to list on July 16 2010. SunREIT had more and better assets compared to CMMT. SunREIT’s jewel in the crown, the Sunway Pyramid Shopping Mall, would enjoy higher rental pricing power, given that it was the prime shopping mall in the Sunway/Subang Jaya area. Sunway Pyramid’s average monthly rental per square foot had increased to RM8.99 for the eight months ended Feb 28, 2010 from RM7.93 for the year ended June 30, 2007. Sunway Pyramid also boasts an average occupancy rate of 99.3%. In contrast, CMMT’s jewel in the crown, Sungei Wang Plaza in Kuala Lumpur, was 62.8%-owned by CapitalMalls Asia Ltd (CMA) and thus, it would be more challenging for CMA to dictate rental pricing. Up to 1.35 billion units would be listed, while a total of 786.52 million units would be offered for sale under the IPO. CMA would retain a 41.7% stake in CMMT, but there is an over-allotment option of up to 15% of the total units amounting to 117.98 million units, which would mean CMA could retain only a 33% stake in CMMT. |
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Jun 24 2010, 10:48 PM
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Junior Member
371 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
the dividend of reits is real dividend or not? i mean after the exdate, do the price decrease like ordinary share?
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Jun 24 2010, 11:02 PM
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Senior Member
1,173 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: Port Dickson |
All dividend result to adjustment down of share prices.
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Jun 24 2010, 11:05 PM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(Molotov Cocktail @ Jun 24 2010, 10:48 PM) the dividend of reits is real dividend or not? i mean after the exdate, do the price decrease like ordinary share? Yeah.. It's real. Last time I have to pinch myself to make sure Jokes aside, REITs tends to behave like stocks after div (because they are sort of like stocks too). The price will be adjusted to cater for distribution. However, sometimes after that, the price may go higher. I suspect that maybe those holding the REITs could be using the div to buy more units. (I know I do sometimes This post has been edited by whizzer: Jun 24 2010, 11:27 PM |
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Jun 24 2010, 11:51 PM
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Junior Member
371 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
really? all this time i thought the dividend is like ordinary share, will consider to invest in reits after this
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Jun 27 2010, 09:12 PM
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Junior Member
132 posts Joined: Nov 2006 |
SunwayReit IPO result, see attached. 100% allocated for those applied.
There might be chances where the one who applied 2.5m unit might come from Sunway internally. Else, it going to be under subscribed. Ppl is saving bullet on next week CapitalMall Reit? Attached File(s)
PRESS_RELEASE.pdf ( 185.64k )
Number of downloads: 68 |
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Jun 28 2010, 11:08 AM
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3,807 posts Joined: Jan 2006 |
Cheers. This post has been edited by monkeyking: Jun 28 2010, 11:22 AM |
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Jun 28 2010, 01:46 PM
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QUOTE(return78 @ Jun 27 2010, 09:12 PM) SunwayReit IPO result, see attached. 100% allocated for those applied. @return78,There might be chances where the one who applied 2.5m unit might come from Sunway internally. Else, it going to be under subscribed. Ppl is saving bullet on next week CapitalMall Reit? I am new to REITs. Can u explain more about Capitamall? |
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Jun 28 2010, 04:29 PM
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7,106 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
Saw CapitalMall's Prospectus d in my workplace, will grab a copy. They are advertising a 6.9% return.
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Jun 28 2010, 06:12 PM
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1,933 posts Joined: Mar 2006 From: ~Universe~ |
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Jun 28 2010, 06:43 PM
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Jun 28 2010, 06:47 PM
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1,933 posts Joined: Mar 2006 From: ~Universe~ |
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Jun 28 2010, 08:45 PM
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1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
Damn,Sunway reit public share price went down to 0.88, Based on the revised dividend % to price, It would see it jump from 6.9% to around 7.6%
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Jun 28 2010, 09:25 PM
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4,305 posts Joined: Sep 2008 |
QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jun 28 2010, 08:45 PM) Damn,Sunway reit public share price went down to 0.88, Based on the revised dividend % to price, It would see it jump from 6.9% to around 7.6% Not very sure you are correct or not, cannot directly derive the income I think. Because that might based on estimation of higher selling price, with lower selling price, trust might need to loan more money and make the interest higher, thus reduce distributable income and get lower yield (slightly higher than 6.9%, but 7.6% is unlikely)... imho. |
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Jun 28 2010, 10:12 PM
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132 posts Joined: Nov 2006 |
CapitalMalls Malaysia IPO prospectus.
Something good to digest. http://announcements.bursamalaysia.com/EDM...C1?OpenDocument |
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Jun 28 2010, 10:39 PM
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7,106 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Jun 29 2010, 12:01 AM
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1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(htt @ Jun 28 2010, 09:25 PM) Not very sure you are correct or not, cannot directly derive the income I think. Because that might based on estimation of higher selling price, with lower selling price, trust might need to loan more money and make the interest higher, thus reduce distributable income and get lower yield (slightly higher than 6.9%, but 7.6% is unlikely)... imho. Presumed haha, But if indeed they are paying 7.6%, Then it changed from the least to among the highest dividend paying |
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Jun 29 2010, 12:06 AM
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25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jun 28 2010, 08:45 PM) Damn,Sunway reit public share price went down to 0.88, Based on the revised dividend % to price, It would see it jump from 6.9% to around 7.6% QUOTE(htt @ Jun 28 2010, 09:25 PM) Not very sure you are correct or not, cannot directly derive the income I think. Because that might based on estimation of higher selling price, with lower selling price, trust might need to loan more money and make the interest higher, thus reduce distributable income and get lower yield (slightly higher than 6.9%, but 7.6% is unlikely)... imho. Not quite right in this issue.The income of the reit is fixed aka if sunway rental income is Rm100 million then no matter what the price of IPO, it won't affect the income or situation of the reit itself. When IPO time, it is sunway sold their stake out of the reit, aka if the IPO price is lower, it just means the parent company is getting less from the IPO. It won't affect the reit itself, nor the reit needs to raise loan. |
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Jun 29 2010, 12:11 AM
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1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 29 2010, 12:06 AM) Not quite right in this issue. So from your explanation, Is there a merit for price:dividend ratio of 6.9 jump to 7.6 based on its new priceThe income of the reit is fixed aka if sunway rental income is Rm100 million then no matter what the price of IPO, it won't affect the income or situation of the reit itself. When IPO time, it is sunway sold their stake out of the reit, aka if the IPO price is lower, it just means the parent company is getting less from the IPO. It won't affect the reit itself, nor the reit needs to raise loan. |
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Jun 29 2010, 12:20 AM
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25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jun 29 2010, 12:11 AM) So from your explanation, Is there a merit for price:dividend ratio of 6.9 jump to 7.6 based on its new price I don't read the prospectus nor knowing the details inside, frankly speaking. So I need some confirmation before can comment on this issue. As I not applying the IPO either. |
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Jun 29 2010, 08:37 AM
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4,305 posts Joined: Sep 2008 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 29 2010, 12:06 AM) Not quite right in this issue. Might be true also... hehe... someone pls go and read and understand and let us know The income of the reit is fixed aka if sunway rental income is Rm100 million then no matter what the price of IPO, it won't affect the income or situation of the reit itself. When IPO time, it is sunway sold their stake out of the reit, aka if the IPO price is lower, it just means the parent company is getting less from the IPO. It won't affect the reit itself, nor the reit needs to raise loan. |
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Jun 29 2010, 01:44 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
My top choice are ARREIT and QCAPITA. I want to put AXREIT in too but since everyone says it's "over price" liao. Do you think its price will drop?
What's yours? This post has been edited by yok70: Jun 29 2010, 01:45 PM |
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Jun 29 2010, 02:30 PM
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943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(yok70 @ Jun 29 2010, 01:44 PM) My top choice are ARREIT and QCAPITA. I want to put AXREIT in too but since everyone says it's "over price" liao. Do you think its price will drop? I think the word used was "fully valued" not overprice What's yours? Fully valued to me indicates that based on past & current performance record, it is at its fair value. However, some might not think its overprice if they take into consideration the future potential. |
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Jun 29 2010, 02:32 PM
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25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(yok70 @ Jun 29 2010, 01:44 PM) My top choice are ARREIT and QCAPITA. I want to put AXREIT in too but since everyone says it's "over price" liao. Do you think its price will drop? Fully value is not equal to "over price"What's yours? Fully value, is just means current pricing is fair, not cheap not expensive, and according to general market perception what level it should be. |
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Jun 29 2010, 02:38 PM
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12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
I see. So still can consider it then.
I always buy a few counters to diversify the risk. I don't mind pay a little more management fees This post has been edited by yok70: Jun 29 2010, 02:40 PM |
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Jun 30 2010, 11:09 PM
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17,053 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Jul 1 2010, 09:05 AM
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Jul 1 2010, 09:36 AM
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12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
Wah, with Capital REIT having double page full color advertisement in all major newspaper, guess the investors will have to pay for those eh?
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Jul 1 2010, 11:13 AM
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9 posts Joined: Jul 2008 |
i think so
Added on July 1, 2010, 12:29 pmwhat is withholding tax? This post has been edited by waiyokchin: Jul 1 2010, 12:29 PM |
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Jul 1 2010, 01:32 PM
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QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 29 2010, 12:06 AM) Not quite right in this issue. Just read the prospectus, you are right on that, there is a mechanism in place to adjust down the value of payment to vendor if the IPO price is lower than expectation, so the 7.6% stood.The income of the reit is fixed aka if sunway rental income is Rm100 million then no matter what the price of IPO, it won't affect the income or situation of the reit itself. When IPO time, it is sunway sold their stake out of the reit, aka if the IPO price is lower, it just means the parent company is getting less from the IPO. It won't affect the reit itself, nor the reit needs to raise loan. |
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Jul 1 2010, 02:05 PM
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1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
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Jul 1 2010, 02:30 PM
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9 posts Joined: Jul 2008 |
try applying the ipo
Added on July 1, 2010, 2:35 pmwhy singapore has no withholding tax? This post has been edited by waiyokchin: Jul 1 2010, 02:35 PM |
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Jul 1 2010, 02:38 PM
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1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
Its already after IPO la bro
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Jul 1 2010, 03:04 PM
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9 posts Joined: Jul 2008 |
capitamall?
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Jul 1 2010, 03:14 PM
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4,305 posts Joined: Sep 2008 |
QUOTE(waiyokchin @ Jul 1 2010, 03:04 PM) Sunway REIT we mean, Capitalmall not very sure, I already allotted Sunway REIT, but I think Capitalmall might have similar mechanism as well, not sure about it as I haven't read that, highly unlikely to apply for that, though I like Sg. Wang & Gurney Plaza more, but don't want to get myself exposed too much on REIT. For Sunway REIT, think the pricing of RM0.90 should be quite fair if we take Starhill REIT as reference. |
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Jul 1 2010, 04:39 PM
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17,053 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
QUOTE(htt @ Jul 1 2010, 03:14 PM) Sunway REIT we mean, Capitalmall not very sure, I already allotted Sunway REIT, but I think Capitalmall might have similar mechanism as well, not sure about it as I haven't read that, highly unlikely to apply for that, though I like Sg. Wang & Gurney Plaza more, but don't want to get myself exposed too much on REIT. For Sunway REIT, think the pricing of RM0.90 should be quite fair if we take Starhill REIT as reference. Two third of Sunway REIT net profit will come from their Jewel which is Sunway Pyramid. The rest of this REIT's property only contributes one third of it hmm |
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Jul 1 2010, 06:03 PM
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9 posts Joined: Jul 2008 |
wat is sunway piramid?
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Jul 1 2010, 06:52 PM
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17,053 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Jul 2 2010, 11:00 AM
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1,577 posts Joined: May 2005 From: USJ |
Sunway REIT IPO already closed rite?
If i want to invest in it, the only way to buy now is through the open share market? |
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Jul 2 2010, 11:02 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(raist86 @ Jul 2 2010, 11:00 AM) Sunway REIT IPO already closed rite? Yes. If i want to invest in it, the only way to buy now is through the open share market? There is another IPO going on now, CapitalMall. Open market share price may about the same with IPO when listing time. I don't expect too much different in price with IPO price after listing. |
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Jul 3 2010, 02:16 AM
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12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
I saw someone asking what is withholding tax several times, but no answer. I also want to ask this same question.
It says the dividend with withholding tax: for Resident Individual = 10%. Is it deduction of the dividend? |
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Jul 3 2010, 08:00 AM
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467 posts Joined: Apr 2008 |
QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 3 2010, 02:16 AM) I saw someone asking what is withholding tax several times, but no answer. I also want to ask this same question. Yes, 10% off from dividend. Comparing to previously 15%, the witholding tax is reducing. Our local has been asking government to drop the tax to bring REITs more lively.It says the dividend with withholding tax: for Resident Individual = 10%. Is it deduction of the dividend? |
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Jul 3 2010, 09:41 AM
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1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
Possible to claim back those witholding taxes?
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Jul 3 2010, 09:41 AM
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23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 3 2010, 02:16 AM) I saw someone asking what is withholding tax several times, but no answer. I also want to ask this same question. This question had been answered many times before in V one. And I put it on the first page of V2 ( Post 2 ) in a summarised form.It says the dividend with withholding tax: for Resident Individual = 10%. Is it deduction of the dividend? I think the current new batch of foumers are not maximizing the vast data and info compiled. Even some have school homeworks, they expect others to do for them . End of the day, you think there is a fast track to success in Investing Again , it is just my view. This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 3 2010, 10:23 AM |
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Jul 3 2010, 09:43 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
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Jul 3 2010, 05:02 PM
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12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
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Jul 3 2010, 05:40 PM
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2,429 posts Joined: Jul 2007 |
i've applied for sunway reit through maybank2u and now the status is Cleared. does this mean the application is successful? i've tried to check for the ipo application status on the midf web site and sunway reit is not listed yet on the web page.
Added on July 3, 2010, 6:57 pmfor those who owns m-reits, do u trade the shares on price uptrend or accumulate more on downside to average down the cost of investment? most of the m-reits are fairly illiquid. This post has been edited by jutamind: Jul 3 2010, 06:57 PM |
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Jul 3 2010, 08:34 PM
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1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
Just a wild idea. Would a Mcdonald or any fast food joint type or REIT be successful considering Mcdonald main aim is land banking in expensive area
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Jul 4 2010, 12:55 AM
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12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jul 3 2010, 08:34 PM) Just a wild idea. Would a Mcdonald or any fast food joint type or REIT be successful considering Mcdonald main aim is land banking in expensive area |
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Jul 4 2010, 01:22 AM
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1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(gark @ Jul 4 2010, 12:55 AM) This post has been edited by idunnolol: Jul 4 2010, 01:38 AM |
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Jul 4 2010, 02:24 AM
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12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
I remember there is a rule that all m-reit MUST give their 90% or more of their rental profit as dividend to shareholders. Please correct me if I'm wrong. If so, how come Sunway REIT and the other upcoming Capita Malls REIT propose only around 6.7% dividend? Does that means their profit is not so good? But Sunway Piramid? Sungai Wang? Gurney Plaza? How come profit not good?
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Jul 4 2010, 09:57 AM
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171 posts Joined: Sep 2008 |
QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 4 2010, 02:24 AM) I remember there is a rule that all m-reit MUST give their 90% or more of their rental profit as dividend to shareholders. Please correct me if I'm wrong. If so, how come Sunway REIT and the other upcoming Capita Malls REIT propose only around 6.7% dividend? Does that means their profit is not so good? But Sunway Piramid? Sungai Wang? Gurney Plaza? How come profit not good? That simply means paying out 90% or 100% will yield about 6.7% based on IPO price. Got to read the prospectus to give a clear answer. |
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Jul 4 2010, 09:59 AM
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467 posts Joined: Apr 2008 |
QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 4 2010, 02:24 AM) I remember there is a rule that all m-reit MUST give their 90% or more of their rental profit as dividend to shareholders. Please correct me if I'm wrong. If so, how come Sunway REIT and the other upcoming Capita Malls REIT propose only around 6.7% dividend? Does that means their profit is not so good? But Sunway Piramid? Sungai Wang? Gurney Plaza? How come profit not good? 90% is true. The yielding is low due to the IPO price is bit higher, I wish the market would make adjustment itself.Added on July 4, 2010, 10:05 am QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jul 3 2010, 08:34 PM) Just a wild idea. Would a Mcdonald or any fast food joint type or REIT be successful considering Mcdonald main aim is land banking in expensive area I guess there is a way that Mcdonald's listing in REITs, provided all properties run as Mcd belong to Golden Arches. Then they may list it like KPJ. Can anyone confirm the vendors of those properties ? I know KFC is renting shops for business, but Mcd I haven't heard.This post has been edited by rayloo: Jul 4 2010, 10:05 AM |
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Jul 4 2010, 11:23 AM
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QUOTE(rayloo @ Jul 4 2010, 09:59 AM) 90% is true. The yielding is low due to the IPO price is bit higher, I wish the market would make adjustment itself. Be advised that sunway IPO price have came down to 0.88 per share . If and only If profit didnt change. Expect to receive 7.6% dividend based on entry priceAdded on July 4, 2010, 10:05 am I guess there is a way that Mcdonald's listing in REITs, provided all properties run as Mcd belong to Golden Arches. Then they may list it like KPJ. Can anyone confirm the vendors of those properties ? I know KFC is renting shops for business, but Mcd I haven't heard. Regarding that question. McD in america actually buy and then rent out those units to franchisee. They are actually not in the business of making burger as mentioned by former CFO. They only sell burger because it enable the franchisee to pay the rent to MCD |
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Jul 4 2010, 04:17 PM
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QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jul 4 2010, 11:23 AM) McD in america actually buy and then rent out those units to franchisee. They are actually not in the business of making burger as mentioned by former CFO. They only sell burger because it enable the franchisee to pay the rent to MCD This is true, I read an article about Mcd business module. Don't know whether local practise the same way. |
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Jul 4 2010, 09:26 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
I'm just not very comfortable on dividends payment. Look at some stocks, after price dropped for dividends payment, its price never come back. It's so different from the original meaning itself (a profit sharing gift from the company to shareholders). The same thing happens to bonus issue. To avoid the risk, some investors sell before ex-date.
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Jul 5 2010, 12:15 AM
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25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 4 2010, 09:26 PM) I'm just not very comfortable on dividends payment. Look at some stocks, after price dropped for dividends payment, its price never come back. It's so different from the original meaning itself (a profit sharing gift from the company to shareholders). The same thing happens to bonus issue. To avoid the risk, some investors sell before ex-date. Price never comes back has a lot to do with company earning ability afterwards, not because the dividend ex that make the share price goes down or cannot go back up.If a stock is constantly paying the same dividend or higher than previously 99% of the chance the share price will reflect to what its dividend ability (provided those dividend is sustainable in the first place through operation business profitability) For eg. If a stock can give 10 cents currently with Rm1.50 and constantly throughout years and decade, after 15 years, its share price goes to zero? It is already a bargain after 5 years at Rm1.00 with 10 cents dividend. (if as said the share price never move or goes back up and goes down with ex-dividend) |
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Jul 5 2010, 09:45 AM
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12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 5 2010, 12:15 AM) Price never comes back has a lot to do with company earning ability afterwards, not because the dividend ex that make the share price goes down or cannot go back up. Your example is very funny. I like that! If a stock is constantly paying the same dividend or higher than previously 99% of the chance the share price will reflect to what its dividend ability (provided those dividend is sustainable in the first place through operation business profitability) For eg. If a stock can give 10 cents currently with Rm1.50 and constantly throughout years and decade, after 15 years, its share price goes to zero? It is already a bargain after 5 years at Rm1.00 with 10 cents dividend. (if as said the share price never move or goes back up and goes down with ex-dividend) However, the market is not as reasonable sometimes. Some stocks getting good profits but less market attention, it's like they need more advertisement. |
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Jul 5 2010, 10:36 AM
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25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 5 2010, 09:45 AM) Your example is very funny. I like that! If you intend to hold it long term and just getting the dividend, as long as the dividend is good enough, who care about market attention on it. However, the market is not as reasonable sometimes. Some stocks getting good profits but less market attention, it's like they need more advertisement. You are not going to sell if a stock giving good dividend throughout decade. In fact, less attention, means you could potential buy it more cheaply. The most important is the company's long term prospect is intact and good while company is generous on dividend policy based on its profitability. If look for short term or trading purpose different story. Dividend play is always about long term play. |
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Jul 5 2010, 04:56 PM
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1,006 posts Joined: Mar 2006 From: Proud of Kelantan |
still got shark accumulating aqar reit probably bc recent dividend is good
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Jul 5 2010, 05:10 PM
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943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QCAPITA @ 1.00 !
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Jul 5 2010, 06:36 PM
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12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
QUOTE(whizzer @ Jul 5 2010, 05:10 PM) Ya man! Don't tell me something wrong with the company! I just bought it at 1.01 and was very happy, then I saw 1.00!! Added on July 5, 2010, 6:39 pm QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 5 2010, 10:36 AM) If you intend to hold it long term and just getting the dividend, as long as the dividend is good enough, who care about market attention on it. Yeah, you are right. I've been too nervous on the market movement. You are not going to sell if a stock giving good dividend throughout decade. In fact, less attention, means you could potential buy it more cheaply. The most important is the company's long term prospect is intact and good while company is generous on dividend policy based on its profitability. If look for short term or trading purpose different story. Dividend play is always about long term play. I just a bit worry if what happened last year could happen again this year. Do you think? This post has been edited by yok70: Jul 5 2010, 06:39 PM |
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Jul 5 2010, 07:12 PM
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3,807 posts Joined: Jan 2006 |
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Jul 5 2010, 07:14 PM
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3,807 posts Joined: Jan 2006 |
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Jul 5 2010, 09:33 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
I hope it's just a panic sell! Since the buying queue is also very large. |
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Jul 7 2010, 03:42 PM
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2,148 posts Joined: Nov 2007 |
SUNREIT besok listing.
Initial Public Offering Date of listing : 8/07/2010 Enlarged issued and paid up share capital in the following Units : 2,680,112,300 Currency : MYR 2,407,760,808 Stock code : 5176 Stock name : SUNREIT ISIN Code : MYL5176TO001 Board : Main Market Sector : Real Estate Investment Trust |
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Jul 8 2010, 10:46 AM
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8,510 posts Joined: Dec 2004 From: KayEL |
QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jul 4 2010, 11:23 AM) Be advised that sunway IPO price have came down to 0.88 per share . If and only If profit didnt change. Expect to receive 7.6% dividend based on entry price RM0.90 eh, not RM0.88. Where's d source? Listed today. I got few guni of it. |
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Jul 8 2010, 11:05 AM
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2,148 posts Joined: Nov 2007 |
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Jul 8 2010, 11:06 AM
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Junior Member
63 posts Joined: Aug 2009 |
QUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 8 2010, 10:46 AM) Can taikor explain why SUNREIT drops on its first listing...very disappointing to those investors who had successfully applied during IPO.Btw, is it advisable to buy SUNREIT if compare to other reits in terms of dividend yield & capital appreciation? Thank you. |
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Jul 8 2010, 11:45 AM
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Senior Member
2,148 posts Joined: Nov 2007 |
Can buy SUNREIT straight from market, no need susah susah apply liao.
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Jul 8 2010, 01:37 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(smartly @ Jul 8 2010, 11:45 AM) Ya, already expected, posted week ago.A lot of investors still cannot change the mindset that getting IPO is not guaranteed to make money or when list time, the market price must be higher than IPO. Even for ordinary shares, a handful of are listed below its IPO price. Especially if the yield is not attractive than existing reit out there. |
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Jul 8 2010, 01:51 PM
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Senior Member
3,589 posts Joined: Mar 2005 From: Bolehland |
What is Sunway yield now based on current price?
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Jul 8 2010, 01:53 PM
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Senior Member
4,305 posts Joined: Sep 2008 |
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Jul 8 2010, 02:01 PM
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Junior Member
186 posts Joined: Sep 2006 |
Closed at 0.875...wonder at what price should be deemed reasonable...current yield around 7+%
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Jul 8 2010, 02:05 PM
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Junior Member
429 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Malaysia |
My personal target price: 0.82
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Jul 8 2010, 02:06 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
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Jul 8 2010, 02:29 PM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
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Jul 8 2010, 02:32 PM
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Senior Member
3,589 posts Joined: Mar 2005 From: Bolehland |
Sunway Carnival don't really have much shoppers. Feel quite empty there also.
Normally, shopping mall in Penang won't last long except Gurney |
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Jul 8 2010, 02:35 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(whizzer @ Jul 8 2010, 02:29 PM) Location is not strategic.Crowd is low Not fully occupied. Nearby got 3 shopping mall around, while too many hypermarket surround also, one of the mall is in dying shape. Population at there area is not high. Don't get me wrong, it is a nice mall, but crowd is not there due to population and spending power is low at there area. So I don't expect this mall can do very well, main reason, wrong location to start with vs Capitaland's Gurney Plaze in island, which always crowded, and higher spending power there. This post has been edited by cherroy: Jul 8 2010, 02:37 PM |
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Jul 8 2010, 02:41 PM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 8 2010, 02:35 PM) Location is not strategic. Thanks for the info Crowd is low Not fully occupied. Nearby got 3 shopping mall around, while too many hypermarket surround also, one of the mall is in dying shape. Population at there area is not high. Don't get me wrong, it is a nice mall, but crowd is not there due to population and spending power is low at there area. So I don't expect this mall can do very well, main reason, wrong location to start with vs Capitaland's Gurney Plaze in island, which always crowded, and higher spending power there. |
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Jul 8 2010, 05:42 PM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 8 2010, 02:35 PM) Location is not strategic. Sunway Carnival is ok lah, so far can see all the shop lots occupied. Parking is also very full during weekend. Will go there once a month or so. At least it is better compared to Pinang Megamall and Aeon Seberang Prai, those two are really waiting to close shop already. The only problem is that the mall is quite smallish, and also the anchor tenants have little floor space. The sunway hotel next to it, is also have quite low occupancy, but it's cheap. You will be surprised people living on the mainland is lazy to go to the island, as you have to pay RM 5.60 plus it is too crowded & jam here and there. Crowd is low Not fully occupied. Nearby got 3 shopping mall around, while too many hypermarket surround also, one of the mall is in dying shape. Population at there area is not high. Don't get me wrong, it is a nice mall, but crowd is not there due to population and spending power is low at there area. So I don't expect this mall can do very well, main reason, wrong location to start with vs Capitaland's Gurney Plaze in island, which always crowded, and higher spending power there. Added on July 8, 2010, 5:47 pm QUOTE(harrychoo @ Jul 8 2010, 02:32 PM) Queensbay is giving gurney a run for it's money, used to favor gurney, but nowadays prefer Queensbay as it is bigger, with better layout and tenants. Gurney is quite cramped especially at the LG floor, now modern shopping mall emphasize a lot more open areas compared to maximizing retail space. Gurney is more of the latter, but it is trying to expand. This post has been edited by gark: Jul 8 2010, 05:47 PM |
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Jul 8 2010, 06:57 PM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(gark @ Jul 8 2010, 05:42 PM) Sunway Carnival is ok lah, so far can see all the shop lots occupied. Parking is also very full during weekend. Will go there once a month or so. At least it is better compared to Pinang Megamall and Aeon Seberang Prai, those two are really waiting to close shop already. The only problem is that the mall is quite smallish, and also the anchor tenants have little floor space. The sunway hotel next to it, is also have quite low occupancy, but it's cheap. You will be surprised people living on the mainland is lazy to go to the island, as you have to pay RM 5.60 plus it is too crowded & jam here and there. Manage to get some QCAPITA@1.01 today Added on July 8, 2010, 5:47 pm Queensbay is giving gurney a run for it's money, used to favor gurney, but nowadays prefer Queensbay as it is bigger, with better layout and tenants. Gurney is quite cramped especially at the LG floor, now modern shopping mall emphasize a lot more open areas compared to maximizing retail space. Gurney is more of the latter, but it is trying to expand. This post has been edited by whizzer: Jul 8 2010, 07:00 PM |
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Jul 9 2010, 02:11 AM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
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Jul 9 2010, 04:45 AM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 9 2010, 02:11 AM) I also got some QCapita at 1.01 yesterday! I checked in the online match record for QCAPITA that the selling party was JPMORGAN. Also today, got some ARReit at 0.845! I want to put more % of my portfolio to less risky Reits! Foreign fund exiting This post has been edited by whizzer: Jul 9 2010, 04:47 AM |
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Jul 9 2010, 03:42 PM
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Senior Member
2,148 posts Joined: Nov 2007 |
STABILISING ACTION
SUNWAY REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST (SUNWAY REIT) In accordance with Section 9(2) of the Capital Markets and Services (Price Stabilisation Mechanism) Regulations 2008, RHB Investment Bank Berhad, as Stabilising Manager, has purchased the following units in Sunway REIT: Date of purchase : 8 July 2010 Number of units purchased : 16,000,000 Price range of purchases : RM0.875 to RM0.89 The full text of this announcement is available in the enclosed attachment. This announcement is dated 9 July 2010. You are advised to read the full contents of the announcement or attachment at http://www.bursamalaysia.com. Learn something new today, there is such thing as regulatory called "Stabilizing Action". |
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Jul 9 2010, 04:15 PM
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Senior Member
1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
If it need stabilizing action,common sense will say its in trouble
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Jul 9 2010, 04:28 PM
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Senior Member
736 posts Joined: Sep 2004 From: KL |
Hope someone can help me to clear this out.
I bought the IPO SunwayREIT thru Maybank2u. The IPO listing price is 0.970 and my transaction is successful. But the opening is at 0.88. The balance will auto transfer back to my maybank2u online? Now the worse part is I check my share portfolio thru Maybank2u stock online, is not there. I called maybank to check and they told me I need to wait for a letter from Bursa in 14 days to confirm whether the transaction is successful or not. Now my $ is gone & also stock also none. So I have to wait for 14days from 8/7 or the due date of 30/6? |
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Jul 9 2010, 04:36 PM
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Senior Member
2,148 posts Joined: Nov 2007 |
QUOTE(wongck @ Jul 9 2010, 04:28 PM) Hope someone can help me to clear this out. Reference price revised downward to 0.88sen for retailer which mean you will receive a refund of 9sen by check.I bought the IPO SunwayREIT thru Maybank2u. The IPO listing price is 0.970 and my transaction is successful. But the opening is at 0.88. The balance will auto transfer back to my maybank2u online? Now the worse part is I check my share portfolio thru Maybank2u stock online, is not there. I called maybank to check and they told me I need to wait for a letter from Bursa in 14 days to confirm whether the transaction is successful or not. Now my $ is gone & also stock also none. So I have to wait for 14days from 8/7 or the due date of 30/6? Share will be deposited to your CDS account where you supply in the M2U during application. Question is did you provide CDS information in the first place ? |
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Jul 9 2010, 04:41 PM
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Senior Member
2,429 posts Joined: Jul 2007 |
QUOTE(smartly @ Jul 9 2010, 04:36 PM) Reference price revised downward to 0.88sen for retailer which mean you will receive a refund of 9sen by check. anyway to check the status of CDS account? or we have to go through the broker to check whether the shares have been credited to our CDS account?Share will be deposited to your CDS account where you supply in the M2U during application. Question is did you provide CDS information in the first place ? |
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Jul 9 2010, 04:46 PM
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Senior Member
736 posts Joined: Sep 2004 From: KL |
QUOTE(smartly @ Jul 9 2010, 04:36 PM) Reference price revised downward to 0.88sen for retailer which mean you will receive a refund of 9sen by check. Yes, my CDS account is there. This is not the first time I subscribe the IPO thru Maybank2u. I never face this problem before.Share will be deposited to your CDS account where you supply in the M2U during application. Question is did you provide CDS information in the first place ? |
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Jul 9 2010, 04:46 PM
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Senior Member
2,148 posts Joined: Nov 2007 |
QUOTE(jutamind @ Jul 9 2010, 04:41 PM) anyway to check the status of CDS account? or we have to go through the broker to check whether the shares have been credited to our CDS account? If you did supply your CDS account during application then you need to check with yr broker/remisier whether shares have been credited else check using your online trading platform.Added on July 9, 2010, 4:49 pm QUOTE(wongck @ Jul 9 2010, 04:46 PM) Yes, my CDS account is there. This is not the first time I subscribe the IPO thru Maybank2u. I never face this problem before. Most direct way is to check with MIDF and see is your application sucessful.This post has been edited by smartly: Jul 9 2010, 04:49 PM |
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Jul 9 2010, 04:55 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(wongck @ Jul 9 2010, 04:28 PM) Hope someone can help me to clear this out. This is bulls#t, I bought the IPO SunwayREIT thru Maybank2u. The IPO listing price is 0.970 and my transaction is successful. But the opening is at 0.88. The balance will auto transfer back to my maybank2u online? Now the worse part is I check my share portfolio thru Maybank2u stock online, is not there. I called maybank to check and they told me I need to wait for a letter from Bursa in 14 days to confirm whether the transaction is successful or not. Now my $ is gone & also stock also none. So I have to wait for 14days from 8/7 or the due date of 30/6? 14 days? Whether successful or not, already known prior before the listing. You should be successful in getting in, as the IPO is not overly subscribed. 1.0x subscription rate aka only a small portion (0.0x%) won't get it. or there is some technical issue that resulted your application being rejected |
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Jul 9 2010, 05:02 PM
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Senior Member
4,305 posts Joined: Sep 2008 |
QUOTE(wongck @ Jul 9 2010, 04:46 PM) Yes, my CDS account is there. This is not the first time I subscribe the IPO thru Maybank2u. I never face this problem before. Strange... I can see the share in my portfolio before it list, if the application success, also the m2u will show the successful amount... You see nothing? |
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Jul 9 2010, 05:06 PM
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Senior Member
736 posts Joined: Sep 2004 From: KL |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 9 2010, 04:55 PM) This is bulls#t, If it is rejected, it will auto transfer the $ back to my bank account. But it doesn't. The technical issue u mean is on Maybank or the IPO?14 days? Whether successful or not, already known prior before the listing. You should be successful in getting in, as the IPO is not overly subscribed. 1.0x subscription rate aka only a small portion (0.0x%) won't get it. or there is some technical issue that resulted your application being rejected So I have to wait for 14 Days again? Then only call back to maybank to check? QUOTE(htt @ Jul 9 2010, 05:02 PM) Strange... I can see the share in my portfolio before it list, if the application success, also the m2u will show the successful amount... You see nothing? Yes, I am very confirm it is not in my share portfolio. Even I try to sell it also cannot.This post has been edited by wongck: Jul 9 2010, 05:08 PM |
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Jul 9 2010, 05:12 PM
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Senior Member
2,429 posts Joined: Jul 2007 |
QUOTE(wongck @ Jul 9 2010, 05:06 PM) If it is rejected, it will auto transfer the $ back to my bank account. But it doesn't. The technical issue u mean is on Maybank or the IPO? sned an email to MIDF and they should be able to feedback to you on your IPO status.So I have to wait for 14 Days again? Then only call back to maybank to check? Yes, I am very confirm it is not in my share portfolio. Even I try to sell it also cannot. |
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Jul 9 2010, 05:19 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(wongck @ Jul 9 2010, 05:06 PM) If it is rejected, it will auto transfer the $ back to my bank account. But it doesn't. The technical issue u mean is on Maybank or the IPO? Even it is technical issue that resulted being rejected, the status whether getting the IPO should be clear either get or not. So I have to wait for 14 Days again? Then only call back to maybank to check? Yes, I am very confirm it is not in my share portfolio. Even I try to sell it also cannot. Not the like in the limbo, don't know. I would say it is handled unprofessionally. Try to call your broker or broker that you apply the IPO, they are the one responsible and only can help you. I don't know whether you are using nominee account or not. But if it is under nominee, MIDF might be helpless in your issue as well (I am not sure in this issue), as your name won't appear under the shareholders list. |
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Jul 9 2010, 05:25 PM
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All Stars
23,851 posts Joined: Dec 2006 |
DELETED
This post has been edited by SKY 1809: Jul 9 2010, 08:06 PM |
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Jul 10 2010, 08:26 PM
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Senior Member
2,429 posts Joined: Jul 2007 |
just received a notice from MIDF saying that my application for SUNREIT is successful, but still no refund of the balance....probably next week.
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Jul 11 2010, 05:35 AM
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Senior Member
3,807 posts Joined: Jan 2006 |
Cheers. This post has been edited by monkeyking: Jul 11 2010, 05:38 AM |
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Jul 11 2010, 10:42 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(monkeyking @ Jul 11 2010, 05:35 AM) Cheers. The properties disposal will only finalised after 3Q, so for the financial result until 1 half 2010, DPU should be around 3.x cents as well, identical to previous H. THe injection of properties is not completed, Japan resort is the first one, and should be follow several new properties. Those properties should be replacing the income of Lot10 and Starhill. The acquired properties should be contributing to the reit income as soon as after the injection, as those properties are operating currently one. But in between the gap of disposal and new properties injection, expect some period without much income for the reit. From my personal view, the manager is slow to inform reit holders about the situation, especially the new target properties injection (which is primary info reit holders need to know), but market roughly guess several already. This post has been edited by cherroy: Jul 11 2010, 10:44 AM |
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Jul 11 2010, 11:16 AM
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Junior Member
83 posts Joined: Mar 2010 |
From your post cherroy, Is it a good idea to dispose off what ever lots i am holding now to other greener pasture?
This post has been edited by Neonlight: Jul 11 2010, 11:16 AM |
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Jul 11 2010, 11:43 AM
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Senior Member
3,807 posts Joined: Jan 2006 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 11 2010, 11:42 AM) They have until Sept to finalise the rationalisation proposal. (if not mistaken the time frame). The properties disposal will only finalised after 3Q, so for the financial result until 1 half 2010, DPU should be around 3.x cents as well, identical to previous H. THe injection of properties is not completed, Japan resort is the first one, and should be follow several new properties. Those properties should be replacing the income of Lot10 and Starhill. The acquired properties should be contributing to the reit income as soon as after the injection, as those properties are operating currently one. But in between the gap of disposal and new properties injection, expect some period without much income for the reit. From my personal view, the manager is slow to inform reit holders about the situation, especially the new target properties injection (which is primary info reit holders need to know), but market roughly guess several already. Cheers brother cherroy. |
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Jul 11 2010, 11:47 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(Neonlight @ Jul 11 2010, 11:16 AM) From your post cherroy, Is it a good idea to dispose off what ever lots i am holding now to other greener pasture? It depends on personal preference.I am still holding it, as I believe yield should be around 7% as well with the new injection, so no point to dispose then the money being kept in FD that yield less than 3%. Also current reit market price is not high, if around 1.00 or near to NAV then may be considering. Just my personal view, don't mean to recomment other to hold/buy/sell. |
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Jul 11 2010, 11:53 AM
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Senior Member
3,807 posts Joined: Jan 2006 |
QUOTE(Neonlight @ Jul 11 2010, 12:16 PM) From your post cherroy, Is it a good idea to dispose off what ever lots i am holding now to other greener pasture? Cheers brother Neonlight. |
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Jul 11 2010, 11:55 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(monkeyking @ Jul 11 2010, 11:43 AM) Cheers brother cherroy. As Stahill and Lot 10 compeleted the disposal on June. The realised capital gain and money proceed from it will be used to acquire/fund the newer properties injection, which has stated in the proposal. While the disposal involved cash (600+ million) + Starhill Global convertible preference shares (400+ million), which carry 5.65% yield. So Stareit by holding the convertible preference shares, still getting 5.65% income from it aka 400 mil x 5.65% = 20+ million interest income annual, or 10+ million for the 2nd half of 2010. So it is not the like total no income. |
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Jul 11 2010, 12:15 PM
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Senior Member
3,807 posts Joined: Jan 2006 |
QUOTE(cherroy @ Jul 11 2010, 12:55 PM) No, there will still income from JW Marriot, Ritz Charlton, Japan resort, and newer properties injection should be completed before 4Q 2010, I would say expect some drop in dividend as there is gap between the disposal and injection of properties. As Stahill and Lot 10 compeleted the disposal on June. The realised capital gain and money proceed from it will be used to acquire/fund the newer properties injection, which has stated in the proposal. While the disposal involved cash (600+ million) + Starhill Global convertible preference shares (400+ million), which carry 5.65% yield. So Stareit by holding the convertible preference shares, still getting 5.65% income from it aka 400 mil x 5.65% = 20+ million interest income annual, or 10+ million for the 2nd half of 2010. So it is not the like total no income. Cheers brother cherroy. |
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Jul 11 2010, 01:35 PM
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Senior Member
1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
Haha,if there is special dividend,i think i am better off holding till ex date then sell it to other better managed company
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Jul 12 2010, 09:43 AM
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1,184 posts Joined: May 2005 |
Speaking of the Japan Resort that Starhill mentioned to buy, I don't see any official announcement on the proposed acquisition at Bursa website.
Is it really coming? |
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Jul 12 2010, 11:00 AM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
QUOTE(kbandito @ Jul 12 2010, 09:43 AM) Speaking of the Japan Resort that Starhill mentioned to buy, I don't see any official announcement on the proposed acquisition at Bursa website. I think if not mistaken YTL is the one buying the resort and not STAREIT and since the rationalization has not finish yet, so my guess it will be injected in due time together with other YTL hotel properties. Anyone got a list of potential YTL properties to be injected ?Is it really coming? This post has been edited by whizzer: Jul 12 2010, 11:10 AM |
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Jul 12 2010, 01:45 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
Anyone has any recent REIT sector review? I only have one MBB's review by March, which is a little old now.
Thank you!! PS: Do you think Axis still a good buy for current price? |
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Jul 12 2010, 05:09 PM
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Senior Member
2,148 posts Joined: Nov 2007 |
Stareit gives 3.199sen.
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Jul 12 2010, 05:42 PM
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Senior Member
1,173 posts Joined: Apr 2005 From: Port Dickson |
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Jul 12 2010, 06:29 PM
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Senior Member
1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
Dear Cherroy and Moneyking
NO special dividend ... YET Announcement Type: Entitlements (Notice of Book Closure) Company Name: STARHILL REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST Stock Name: STAREIT Date Announced: 12/07/2010 Announcement Detail: EX-date: 30/07/2010 Entitlement date: 03/08/2010 Entitlement time: 05:00:00 PM Entitlement subject: Income Distribution Entitlement description: Final Income Distribution of 3.1990 sen per unit (of which is taxable in the hands of unitholders) in respect of the financial year ended 30 June 2010 |
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Jul 13 2010, 01:55 AM
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64 posts Joined: Nov 2009 |
QUOTE(kbandito @ Jul 12 2010, 09:43 AM) Speaking of the Japan Resort that Starhill mentioned to buy, I don't see any official announcement on the proposed acquisition at Bursa website. It doesn't mention about it.Is it really coming? The Japan resort is bought by YTL. After an EGM and approval, Starhill may buy resort from YTL. |
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Jul 13 2010, 03:46 AM
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Senior Member
3,807 posts Joined: Jan 2006 |
QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jul 12 2010, 07:29 PM) Dear Cherroy and Moneyking NO special dividend ... YET Announcement Type: Entitlements (Notice of Book Closure) Company Name: STARHILL REAL ESTATE INVESTMENT TRUST Stock Name: STAREIT Date Announced: 12/07/2010 Announcement Detail: EX-date: 30/07/2010 Entitlement date: 03/08/2010 Entitlement time: 05:00:00 PM Entitlement subject: Income Distribution Entitlement description: Final Income Distribution of 3.1990 sen per unit (of which is taxable in the hands of unitholders) in respect of the financial year ended 30 June 2010 5109 STAREIT STARHILL REITS Quarterly rpt on consolidated results for the financial period ended 31/3/2010 Quarter: 3rd Quarter Financial Year End: 30/06/2010 Report Status: Unaudited Submitted By: HO SAY KENG Attached thumbnail(s) |
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Jul 13 2010, 09:00 AM
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Senior Member
1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
So we are trading at around 40% discount to NAV value, All key figure did improve but only by small margin
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Jul 13 2010, 10:56 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
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Jul 13 2010, 04:35 PM
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64 posts Joined: Nov 2009 |
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Jul 13 2010, 09:12 PM
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Senior Member
8,510 posts Joined: Dec 2004 From: KayEL |
SUNREIT refund update
Just got a MAYBANK cheque (Jln Ampang) for the refund, dated 28th June. Will deposit 2molo.. Sender - MIDF, sapa lagi |
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Jul 13 2010, 10:15 PM
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2,148 posts Joined: Nov 2007 |
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Jul 14 2010, 12:52 AM
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172 posts Joined: Jun 2009 |
i got my refund today also. But the sunreit price....not much suprise!
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Jul 14 2010, 10:37 AM
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Senior Member
846 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Kuantan Pahang |
mine too
i took the effort to screenshot it for you all since there are stupid people claiming that the share issues was 90¢ and not 88¢ (so if you're one of them, if you don't know please keep your mouth shut) QUOTE(smartly @ Jul 8 2010, 11:05 AM) korekQUOTE(zamans98 @ Jul 8 2010, 10:46 AM) source given. now you give source of your guni or we treat your guni is just full of ****This post has been edited by aeronic: Jul 14 2010, 10:42 AM Attached thumbnail(s) |
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Jul 14 2010, 05:24 PM
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4,333 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
Thanks, aeronic, for putting the SUNREIT offer price issue to rest.
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Jul 14 2010, 05:42 PM
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Senior Member
3,944 posts Joined: Jul 2008 |
QUOTE(BrendaChee @ Jul 14 2010, 01:52 AM) What type of surprise are you expecting? I am quite surprise that the price still can maintain around 88 cents since its yield are much more lower compare with other reits. Personally, i prefer capital mall trust than sunreit. |
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Jul 14 2010, 06:06 PM
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Senior Member
2,429 posts Joined: Jul 2007 |
weird...still havent got the refund...
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Jul 14 2010, 07:10 PM
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Senior Member
1,044 posts Joined: Jun 2008 |
QUOTE(darkknight81 @ Jul 14 2010, 05:42 PM) What type of surprise are you expecting? Do be informed that if profit remain the same, Then price to dividend yield would be on par with other reit I am quite surprise that the price still can maintain around 88 cents since its yield are much more lower compare with other reits. Personally, i prefer capital mall trust than sunreit. |
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Jul 14 2010, 07:38 PM
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Junior Member
172 posts Joined: Jun 2009 |
it is funny also, i got my sunreit refund yesterday but my hubby yet to receive the cheque. By the way, we stay in the same house !
What a joke ! Ha ha ha |
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Jul 15 2010, 04:28 AM
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Senior Member
3,807 posts Joined: Jan 2006 |
» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... « Its initial portfolio includes Gurney Plaza, Sungei Wang Plaza and The Mines. CMMT will be the designated listed vehicle forCapitaMalls Asia’s retail assets here This post has been edited by monkeyking: Jul 15 2010, 04:39 AM Attached thumbnail(s) |
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Jul 15 2010, 02:03 PM
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Junior Member
186 posts Joined: Sep 2006 |
Hmm...just wonder what would be the best course of action when you get your dividends...
Should you, reinvest it back to the market or invest maybe in Trust Funds or maybe some savings scheme or just use it? Better if can roll the money bigger, right...so, any opinions? |
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Jul 15 2010, 06:32 PM
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Senior Member
2,516 posts Joined: Feb 2007 From: Uarla Umpur |
QUOTE(Maxsimax @ Jul 15 2010, 02:03 PM) yeah best would be reinvest it.. but even if you have 10lot of reit worth abt 10k @ 1 MYR ,you only get abt 600 bucks worth of dividend per year.. not sure how u can reinvest that dividend for a better dividend... |
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Jul 15 2010, 08:18 PM
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Senior Member
943 posts Joined: Mar 2009 |
ARREIT divy...
5127 ARREIT AMANAHRAYA REITS 2nd Income Distribution 1.9997 Sen (1.6242 Sen taxable & 0.3755 Sen T.E.) Entitlement Details: Second Income Distribution of 1.9997 sen per ARREIT unit (taxable of 1.6242 sen per unit and tax-exempt of 0.3755 sen per unit) for the statutory financial period ended 30 June 2010 Entitlement Type: Income Distribution Entitlement Date and Time: 29/07/2010 04:00 PM Year Ending/Period Ending/Ended Date: 31/12/2010 EX Date: 27/07/2010 To SCANS Date: Payment Date: 26/08/2010 Interest Payment Period: Rights Issue Price: 0.000 Trading of Rights Start On: Trading of Rights End On: Stock Par Value: |
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Jul 16 2010, 10:11 AM
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Senior Member
2,148 posts Joined: Nov 2007 |
CMMT drop below reference price.
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Jul 16 2010, 10:20 AM
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Senior Member
637 posts Joined: Jan 2006 From: Petaling Jaya |
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Jul 16 2010, 10:39 AM
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Senior Member
4,333 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
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Jul 16 2010, 10:46 AM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
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Jul 16 2010, 12:53 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
They have about 100 millions units for stabilizing managers to play with.
When the yield gets to 8.5%, it will be very attractive! |
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Jul 16 2010, 02:14 PM
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Junior Member
131 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
I applied for Capitamalls IPO 3000 units. On CIMB eIPO it shows that I got 3000 shared alotted.
But after listing today it shows my portfolio only has 2900 shares. Any idea where the 100 went? |
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Jul 16 2010, 02:17 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
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Jul 16 2010, 02:39 PM
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Senior Member
4,305 posts Joined: Sep 2008 |
QUOTE(takax2040 @ Jul 16 2010, 02:14 PM) I applied for Capitamalls IPO 3000 units. On CIMB eIPO it shows that I got 3000 shared alotted. Actually you only allotted 2,900 unit, the 100 unit will be refund to you, just don't know whether it will come with the refund cheque or direct into your a/c, my friends also haven't got the refund yet.But after listing today it shows my portfolio only has 2900 shares. Any idea where the 100 went? |
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Jul 16 2010, 03:58 PM
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Junior Member
429 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Malaysia |
QUOTE(yok70 @ Jul 16 2010, 12:53 PM) They have about 100 millions units for stabilizing managers to play with. The recent Sunreit and Cmmt IPO seems to have some news about stabilizing managers being appointed. So from what I kinda understand, it means these big fund managers will control the price of the REIT from over speculation or massive sell down? When the yield gets to 8.5%, it will be very attractive! If that's the case, then who are the stabilizing managers for all the other REITs listed in KLSE (e.g ARREIT AXREIT, etc.) |
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Jul 16 2010, 04:03 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(hocklai8 @ Jul 16 2010, 03:58 PM) The recent Sunreit and Cmmt IPO seems to have some news about stabilizing managers being appointed. So from what I kinda understand, it means these big fund managers will control the price of the REIT from over speculation or massive sell down? This is more for initial period after IPO only. If that's the case, then who are the stabilizing managers for all the other REITs listed in KLSE (e.g ARREIT AXREIT, etc.) Not forever. |
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Jul 16 2010, 04:05 PM
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Senior Member
4,305 posts Joined: Sep 2008 |
QUOTE(hocklai8 @ Jul 16 2010, 03:58 PM) The recent Sunreit and Cmmt IPO seems to have some news about stabilizing managers being appointed. So from what I kinda understand, it means these big fund managers will control the price of the REIT from over speculation or massive sell down? Stabilizing manager normally borrow share (over-allotment) from offeror to sell to investors during the floating, and return share or money back when the period over. For previous listed REIT, don't think there is such arrangement, so don't have (maybe some have, but I didn't notice that).If that's the case, then who are the stabilizing managers for all the other REITs listed in KLSE (e.g ARREIT AXREIT, etc.) |
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Jul 16 2010, 04:13 PM
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Staff
25,802 posts Joined: Jan 2003 From: Penang |
QUOTE(htt @ Jul 16 2010, 04:05 PM) Stabilizing manager normally borrow share (over-allotment) from offeror to sell to investors during the floating, and return share or money back when the period over. For previous listed REIT, don't think there is such arrangement, so don't have (maybe some have, but I didn't notice that). They appoint stablising manager is because both of them size of IPO is rather big as compared others. There are a lot of free float shares around. |
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Jul 16 2010, 05:26 PM
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All Stars
12,698 posts Joined: Jun 2010 From: kuala lumpur |
I sure hope CMMT can drop to 0.90 like cherroy taiko said.
Quite a long way to go man...guess must be after the stabilizing period. |
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Jul 17 2010, 02:31 AM
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Senior Member
3,807 posts Joined: Jan 2006 |
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Jul 17 2010, 07:54 AM
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Senior Member
4,333 posts Joined: Jan 2003 |
I wonder how REITs will perform in a bear market in relation to normal equities. Will REIT prices drop nominally or follow the index?
If REIT prices drop to unrealistic levels, it could be time to pick some up for good dividend yields, assuming the property market is still intact. |
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Jul 17 2010, 08:51 AM
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Senior Member
12,534 posts Joined: Mar 2009 From: Penang, KL, China, Indonesia.... |
Historically REITs perform like a bond in bull times, and like an equity when in bear times.
This is not apparent in Malaysia's REITs during the last bear run, but it happened to a lot of foreign REIT's that they actually lost rental incomes and their value of properties depreciated. So if I were you I will be more careful to pick high yield REIT's unless there is not much impact on the property prices or rentals. |
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