QUOTE(jasonkwk @ Apr 30 2010, 09:06 PM)
Jordy, do you think REIT price has been rising sharply this few month starting this year, and going way ahead of fundamental?
Reit just recover from slump and fear of recession and back to normal range.
With inflation looming, properties valuation only has one way to go, i.e. up only.
I would say reit is outperforming but not net in the stage of 'way ahead of fundamental' as even at current pricing (which has surged quite remarkably, yield wise is >7% which is about 3x current interest rate, which still a justify point to stay at current valuation, although I stated before valuation has reach a fair point, aka fully valued.
But with interest rate is not going to shoot to the roof, there is little incentive for reit holders to dispose reit which carry >7% yield, so there is no incentive for big sell down, unless there is expectation to see a double dip, or potential economy problem that lead to difficulty in lease.
To look at fundamental is simple, how much reit yield can offer as compared to interest rate, bond rate. If the gap is quite narrow, then yes, it could mean valuation is too rich.
QUOTE(protonw @ Apr 30 2010, 11:44 PM)
I cant believe my reits counter performed much better than those "growth" counters... and I collects equivalent to one year FD interest quarterly.... What else can I ask for more?

In fact, AMfirst is making all time high of RM1.20. I hardly believe and never expect can make >30% on even without timing/making the investment during the bottom or crisis time.
If get the timing right on Axreit, RM1.00, has made 100% gain even without taking account into the distriubtion along.
In fact, a lot of so called 'growth stocks' are struggling due to their own issue, despite the economy recovering and KLCI has made up a lot of losing ground.