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 REIT V2, Real Estate Investment Trust

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Jordy
post Apr 30 2010, 09:37 PM

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QUOTE(jasonkwk @ Apr 30 2010, 09:06 PM)
Jordy, do you think REIT price has been rising sharply this few month starting this year, and going way ahead of fundamental?
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jasonkwk,

No. In fact, the price is lagging the market. While fundamental is intact and prospects growing, the market will definitely follow suit.
Jordy
post May 2 2010, 12:40 PM

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It is not about the education or the knowledge of REITs (as I believe anybody who reads StarBiz would have understood REITs by now due to the coverage). It is more of the mindset of most Malaysian traders. They want quick profits, therefore they resort to trading.

Among my friends and investors, I can safely say that I am the only one investing for the long term. Even my mother was reluctant as first, but after my convincing, she eventually wanted to give REITs a try.
Jordy
post May 17 2010, 08:15 PM

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QUOTE(de.crystal @ May 16 2010, 06:33 PM)
what u all think abt dijaya?
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de.crystal,

Dijaya Corp is not a Real Estate Investment Trust. It is just a normal property developer-cum-property leasor. So I think it is not suitable to be discussed in this thread.
Jordy
post May 17 2010, 10:52 PM

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QUOTE(de.crystal @ May 17 2010, 10:08 PM)
sorry i am new to the share market
so what are the counters for REIT?
been searching at the 1st post but cant find any  hmm.gif
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de.crystal,

If you look at the newspaper or Bursa's website, you will notice a sector named "Reits".
Jordy
post May 20 2010, 12:32 PM

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QUOTE(kmarc @ May 20 2010, 11:13 AM)
Cherroy, you always said that many people treat REITs like they were stocks, which is not correct.

Just wondering how we should actually treat REITs then?  hmm.gif Fire and forget?  smile.gif
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kmarc,

Sorry to interrupt. The business for REITs are in leasing out properties, and that is its ONLY business. Since the income for REITs is more or less stable, why would you want to trade it (buy and sell like ordinary stocks)? It is only when the income is not to your expectation that you should sell the counter and reinvest your money somewhere else. The longer you accumulate the distributions, the more you will gain. This is what we call profiting by holding.

By the way, you will not forget your REITs counter because you will be receiving the cheques every quarter tongue.gif
Jordy
post May 20 2010, 06:25 PM

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QUOTE(Molotov Cocktail @ May 20 2010, 05:10 PM)
im interested with axreit, what the best price to enter if im expecting 9% dividend yield
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Molotov Cocktail,

As with any other investments, you divide the distribution by the current price. So if you want 9% yield, the price would be between 1.60 - 1.70.
Jordy
post Jun 4 2010, 07:59 PM

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QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jun 4 2010, 05:07 PM)
Boss, If you could check at page B5 at the star market today, There is a list of REIT in malaysia together with its dividend, I checked at their company website and OSK research platform but couldnt come up with the dividend figure. Is there a trick to see how it tally up?
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idunnolol,

You take the ANNUAL distribution of the counter and divide it by the price. I don't see why you can't get the yield figure.
Jordy
post Jun 4 2010, 11:28 PM

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QUOTE(kfkok @ Jun 4 2010, 08:13 PM)
maybank and rhb recommend Axis and AmanahRaya REIT. But if looks at the yield return record, UOA and Tower are winners. For bargain buy, Tower is the most undervalue REIT.

Hmmm....should buy which one eh?  rclxub.gif
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kfkok,

We don't only look for yield when investing in REITs as there are various negative reasons as to why the yields are high (i.e. bad performance, poor management, making unpopular decisions, etc). So, the only way is to choose counters which are stable and with high growth potential.

QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jun 4 2010, 08:24 PM)
Bro, I mean the dividend per unit figure not the Gross dividend yield. I check at thestar dividend history for all the counter and there is always a shortfall of 1-2 sen from the dividend per unit
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idunnolol,

Perhaps the figures shown are net DPU.
Jordy
post Jun 5 2010, 07:32 PM

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QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jun 5 2010, 11:28 AM)
I agree with you since starhill and amanah reit is also offering around 8% and only cost around 0.8 per uni. However i am going to buy some small lots of sunway in hope of capital appreciation
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idunnolol,

Most REITs are still trading below IPO price mind you. So, I think it is not a good choice to buy SUNWAY in "hope" for capital appreciation. If what you mentioned about the 6.3% yield is true, then the price WILL definitely go downhill to meet a more acceptable yield (which is in the range of 7% - 8%). So buying during IPO in hope for capital "depreciation" is more like it smile.gif
Jordy
post Jun 5 2010, 10:21 PM

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QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jun 5 2010, 08:19 PM)
That's reassuring. I cant seem to find the IPO price for all those REIT. Is there any way i can check them?
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idunnolol,

Look at their respective annual reports. They will have the IPO price stated in the fund information page.
Jordy
post Jun 8 2010, 08:11 PM

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QUOTE(kbandito @ Jun 7 2010, 11:07 PM)
Let's jump out from REIT investor's POV and look at Sunway REIT's listing.

The way that Sunway Group wants to start off Sunway REIT is as below:
i) Sunway sells some of its assets to Sunway REIT.
ii) Sunway REIT gets investors to subscribe their units to finance the purchase.
iii) Sunway REIT pays Sunway Group, Sunway Group gets the money.

My doubt is on the intention of Sunway Group, they sell off their assets within their group (even though the management might not be the same).
Is the valuation going to be true and fair? In Malaysia valuator can be manipulator, they are paid by fees.
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kbandito,

It is a norm to see RPTs in REITs, as REITs in Malaysia are not allowed to develop their own properties. Therefore most of these REITs would "purchase" their properties from property developers (which could be their related companies). We would not know the true valuation for their properties, but we can measure the feasibility of the purchases through the yield generated by the newly injected property. If the yield seems fair, then we can assume that the valuation is fair.
Jordy
post Jun 8 2010, 11:37 PM

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QUOTE(gark @ Jun 8 2010, 11:06 PM)
The problem is that REIT's consider a positive valuation of it's existing assets as an 'income' and not as a capital gain. This point is troubling for me, when somehow when I evaluate REIT's like a share, something is not right because EPS and PE ratio is then askew-ed. As most REIT's trade below BV ratio, have low current asset/liabilities and low cash is a bit troubling for me.  hmm.gif Furthermore most REIT's raise cash by dilution is bad.  shakehead.gif
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gark,

How is the cash raising exercise bad if the cash are to be used to increase the fund's NAV? Is private placement worse than taking in more gearing?
Jordy
post Jun 14 2010, 12:54 AM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Jun 13 2010, 04:35 PM)
Yup, 6.8% is a bit low.

But the quality of the properties like Gurney plaze is a strong selling point, as the properties is
1. in strategic location, land value for sure appreciated in the future as situated or surrounded by luxury condo, with multi-million properties surround.
2. Strong rental market, fully occupied, and potential rental increment in the future.
3. Mall is well maintained and crowded.
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Not to mention also it is along Gurney Drive, a sure-fire place to attract tourists. But you should know more smile.gif
Jordy
post Jun 18 2010, 07:33 PM

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QUOTE(Molotov Cocktail @ Jun 17 2010, 09:07 PM)
hi cherroy, what do you think of the only heathcare related reit, alaqar, is there still room for growth
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Molotov Cocktail,

I am not an expert valuer, but from my understanding, since Alaqar's properties are specialised buildings (i.e. can be used ONLY for a certain purpose), I believe that its properties will have limited opportunity for appreciation, therefore limiting their income growth.

This is just my opinion, which could be wrong.

This post has been edited by Jordy: Jun 19 2010, 12:14 AM
Jordy
post Jun 19 2010, 12:43 PM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ Jun 19 2010, 11:24 AM)
Al'Aqar properties have only one tenant i.e. KPJ run hospital. There are no other tenant. So Al'aqar is a proxy to KPJ's performance. As long KPJ do well, Al'aqar should do well. And looks like KPJ is doing well for the moment.

With a 7.xx% dividend p.a., it is not too bad. It is like you are buying a proxy to KPJ counter.

Xuzen
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xuzen,

KPJ may be doing well, but the rental income is tied to the value of the property. So if the value doesn't appreciate as much, I don't see any reason KPJ would want to increase the rental for the property.

My 2 cents.
Jordy
post Jun 19 2010, 07:11 PM

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QUOTE(xuzen @ Jun 19 2010, 01:35 PM)
Just to add, Dynaquest's SPG gives Al'Aqar only a 3.5/10 rating i.e. a below average rating. There must be a reason why they rate it below average, but I do not know why.

So as usual... "caveat emptor".

Xuzen
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Xuzen,

I have given the reason why it is rated low.

QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jun 19 2010, 04:00 PM)
Regarding issue 1, Old and new hospital can always be converted to office block with some effort. If you see at the new tawakal hospital, It have a build it 4 storey car lot with capacity for 200 cars +/-

The chance of KPJ not wanting to rent the building is very slim, Most of the building is in strategic area with tawakal right next to GH, KPJ Ipoh right in the downtown. Everyday people do get ill and as long they prefer private health care than KPJ will survive. Anecdotal evidence suggest more and more foreign patient are flocking in to KPJ Hospital for treatment ie Indonesian
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idunnolol,

When a building needs conversion, it takes a lot of effort on the purchaser's part. It would be more cost effective to build a new building from scratch. Who would want to buy a hospital building just to convert it into a usable building, when all other buildings are available widely? We are not in Singapore.

As cherroy mentioned earlier, the earning potential of KPJ does NOT affect the earning of Alaqar or the property's value. Property is valued based on demand. If there is no demand, the price would be stagnant.
Jordy
post Jun 19 2010, 07:59 PM

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QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jun 19 2010, 07:31 PM)
There are some merits in reusing old building. If you notice now, A lot of "Medical Centre " and small hospital are actually based in shoplots. Case in point would be the old tawakal building as well as alpha medical centre
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idunnolol,

That is reusing the old shoplots, but in this case, it is the other way around. You should take note that the structure for specialised hospital is different from that of a normal property. If I were going to buy a hospital to be converted into an office building, I really don't know what would I use the mortuary for.
Jordy
post Jun 20 2010, 12:07 AM

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QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jun 19 2010, 11:16 PM)
Thanks for taking your time for making it clear cherroy smile.gif
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idunnolol,

Well, finally cherroy hit you smile.gif Whatever I want you to realise has been said by cherroy. As REIT holders, we must look long term and look for the catalyst for rental yield improvement. When we deal in properties, we need to think in terms of demand, and not potential. They are different.
Jordy
post Jul 24 2010, 08:00 PM

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QUOTE(-Teddy- @ Jul 23 2010, 11:08 PM)
Is it possible to get into REIT via M2U's non-margin facility? My FD will mature by year end and REIT seems to have acceptable risks. I Googled around and found very little information on REITs in Malaysia. Is there any guides for total newbie?
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QUOTE(-Teddy- @ Jul 24 2010, 07:02 PM)
Thanks for recommendation. I was Googling specifically for REITs in Malaysia. Maybe I should try REIT in general first.
Thanks for the link. Just to get things right, REIT can be purchased from online stock trading services offered by banks? Do you guys have a mentor of some sort when you get started?
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-Teddy-,

If I am not mistaken, you are Vincent aka [GM]Teddy? smile.gif Do you have a CDS account currently? Yes, you'll need a CDS account to start with REITs. There was once a blog which tracks mREITs, but I think it has been shut down now. I had a mentor when I first started, which was myself. There is no better lesson than making mistakes yourself and learn from it. I lost twice in the stock market before I learned how to trade intelligently. Now my money keeps growing.

As long as you have a CDS account, you can start trading REITs just like any other stocks online.
Jordy
post Jul 24 2010, 09:10 PM

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QUOTE(-Teddy- @ Jul 24 2010, 08:17 PM)
Erm, do I know you?  hmm.gif

I was about to apply for an account on Maybank, by next month after my exams so that I can concentrate. The loses are all worthwhile if you learn something from it. I'll start small to see how this entire thing works. Thanks for the advice smile.gif


Added on July 24, 2010, 8:19 pm
Will definitely monitor this thread.  wink.gif Thanks for the link.
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-Teddy-,

You used to know me and a female friend of mine who worked in my cybercafe, but have not met me in person. I used to host Ivalice if you still remember smile.gif

That is right, you will have to be in it to learn it. There is no use reading books or look for online information as you will learn nothing. To invest in REITs, all you need is common sense. Be sure you know what properties they are invested/investing into, and then use your common sense to evaluate the potential. Of course, you will also need to have some basic knowledge of the forces of property price movements.

QUOTE(idunnolol @ Jul 24 2010, 08:37 PM)
Is that blog trustworthy?

IT list AL-aqar KPJ under Plantation sector,
BTW Teddy Bro, Are you starting out small like 1-5 lots at a time? If yes then do note the brokerage charges as it will decide how many rounds of dividend you need to cover back brokerage charge
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idunnolol,

I have only visited the blog twice, but I know it is trustworthy as it is only reporting facts and figures, not recommendations or research.

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