QUOTE(teongpeng @ Apr 16 2010, 05:58 PM)
lol. poor you. but saying something is more likely to happen does not mean it definitely will happen. to get 20 heads in a row is just bad luck on your part.
Added on April 16, 2010, 6:00 pm
Added on April 16, 2010, 6:02 pm
its not that i fail to understand. i already told u i understood. all im asking is for ppl to explore an alternate view to the same problem. haih.....
Learn to think out of the box ppl!
there is no "out of the box" to think of, this is not a creative question. this is how much you understand statistics and probability (as well, as how sometimes, whats "logical" is not always true)
Added on April 16, 2010, 8:30 pm
QUOTE(cheecken0 @ Apr 16 2010, 09:08 AM)
If you are talking about tossing a coin DISREGARDING the previous results then yes, the probability is 50:50
but if you are talking about tossing a coin many times and determine the probability of getting a predefined result such as 3 heads and 3 tails then it would not be 50:50 (to be exact, it is 5/16)
1) what are the odds of getting a coin to show heads in 1 flip? 50:50
2) what are the odds of getting a coin to flip heads after knowing that it has given head, tails, tails, on its previous 3 throws? it is STILL 50:50 (note that the events are independent)
3) what are the odds of getting a coin to flip Head, Tail, Tail, Head in correct sequence? 1/16 : 15/16
See where I am going?
Edit: wrong probability
i'm not so sure you got the 3 head/3 tail (in any sequence) right, but too lazy to check at the moment.
true, now answer my original question,
if i have a coin, and for the past 10 flips, i get 4 heads, 6 tails; what do you think my next flip would most likely be?
which some genius answered,
ive read a long argument on that in another forum. and im not so sure its that clearcut.
what do you think?This post has been edited by lin00b: Apr 16 2010, 08:30 PM