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 FOREX | v se7en, the market is very SucKy

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myvi5949
post Feb 18 2010, 11:02 PM

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QUOTE(AdamG1981 @ Feb 18 2010, 08:45 PM)
Euro getting ready to reverse direction biggrin.gif
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Nice call.. I see railway tracks, pinbar, prev S/R, and 55% fib retracement on the daily chart around 1.3735. Thats a strong confluence area but i think it still got some sideways action to go through.

btw this is a very good thread.. he uses the same technique like ff legend jacko. I really recommend it to others.

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=2331



This post has been edited by myvi5949: Feb 18 2010, 11:09 PM
myvi5949
post Feb 19 2010, 09:53 AM

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QUOTE(kevler @ Feb 19 2010, 08:54 AM)
as what i mentioned on last thread , UJ having bullish mode ..

UJ already pushed from 91.xx and still in bullish movement
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I got fooled by fake UJ trend breakout yesterday.. cry.gif
myvi5949
post Feb 19 2010, 10:21 AM

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QUOTE(AdamG1981 @ Feb 19 2010, 09:28 AM)
GU is in the dive again because the market is trying to price in what the fed will do in the next policy meeting after the discount hike. But that doesn't mean USD has no problems of its own.
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I am really weak in the fundamentals and how the currencies react from one another.. where do u learn all this stuff? sweat.gif
Hope after i finish reading Economics for Dummies book i understand better..
myvi5949
post Feb 20 2010, 05:46 PM

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QUOTE(unknowndevices @ Feb 20 2010, 12:34 AM)
the news is out...GU and EU is doing the climbing up(as for now)... unsure.gif
is there any big impact towards USD pairs?...nothing much(or did i missed something?)  hmm.gif

did you managed to closed anything?... cool2.gif
so what's your choices then?...all the best in trading... smile.gif
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Both GU and EU got pinbar on the daily chart.. Its a possible setup for me..
The plan is to wait for retest of 50% retracement of the pinbar for confirmation.. looking for long.. target around 1.5600 round number for GU. I dont like the pinbar on EU..shadow not long enough.
disclaimer: no positions

myvi5949
post Feb 20 2010, 11:57 PM

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QUOTE(J(o)y @ Feb 20 2010, 09:38 AM)
i used alpari-uk. quite low spread, but their problem is pricing is quoted with 5 digits, say EUR USD at 1.54321.
i find it very confusing,though they claim its advantageous in seeing a more accurate pricing.
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Alpari 5 digit system is more precise.. but it can mess around with your custom indicators..especially anyhing related to money management, spread and range indicators. I've mess around the settings but I cant find a way to switch to 4 digits.. in the end i switch to fxdd.
myvi5949
post Feb 21 2010, 07:45 AM

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QUOTE(Invince_Z @ Feb 21 2010, 07:19 AM)
so, instaforex is in scam list? shocking.gif
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Some people say Instaforex is a bucket shop. Personally, I would not want to park my money there. Their bonuses and aggressive promotion makes me wary.
Majority people go with big market maker broker.. big names like ibfx, oanda, alpari, mb trading etc.. Its really up to you to pick which is the best for u.


myvi5949
post Feb 21 2010, 12:37 PM

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QUOTE(Sham903n @ Feb 21 2010, 11:51 AM)
looks like manual day trading is taking its tol on me.. tired, everytime I wanna go sleep I have position on and need to clear bfore I log.. just 30mins later its start to go further, nothing is more frustating when you took profit early and see it runs to hundreds of pips after you went out... Looks like im gonna have to make my own ea... delving into c programming now.. anyone here a programer?
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Youre intraday bro? move to the daily and 4h chart la..much less stress. Naked chart ftw. biggrin.gif
myvi5949
post Feb 22 2010, 10:09 AM

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Do not use EA or robot if you are a beginner. Trade demo at least 3 months before opening live micro account. Find a good system using simple indicators first.. moving average and price action is the best indicator in my opinion.

EA is for experience traders that know how to read price action differentiate between a valid signal and a false one.
myvi5949
post Feb 23 2010, 05:51 PM

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QUOTE(Raymondetc @ Feb 23 2010, 10:31 AM)
Thank you Minimayo & Invinci_Z for the feedback.
Yes, understand M1 is very risky & stressful & time comsumming. Am trying scalping and guerila. i have the time as i'm unemployed at the moment. learning to control my stress, emotion & patience.

Any secret weapon on your arsenal for M1?
Cheers
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I wont recommend M1 for a beginner... but as long as you practice good money management..i dont see why not either.
I stumble upon this thread when trolling ff.. system looks good for 1 minute in my humble opinion..

http://www.forexfactory.com/showthread.php?t=156106
myvi5949
post Feb 25 2010, 02:50 PM

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If u guys trading exotic pair there is also a good signal in CADCHF daily chart.. pinbar reversal towards direction of the trend. Nearest resistance is 1.0377

This post has been edited by myvi5949: Feb 25 2010, 02:54 PM
myvi5949
post Mar 2 2010, 03:39 PM

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basket system..dangerous if u donno what u doing.
myvi5949
post Mar 3 2010, 12:36 PM

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Wonder where I can mingle with other Malaysian trader.. I join cariG0ld forum..but there are more people selling affiliate and broker recommendation than real traders. Many of the member use EA and it looks like they have no idea of money management.. sweat.gif

This post has been edited by myvi5949: Mar 3 2010, 12:37 PM
myvi5949
post Mar 3 2010, 01:07 PM

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i can share my trades...but i am still noob at this.. i have journal in other forum.. but seems like very little response from experienced trader.. thinking of opening journal in babypips forum if they have that section.

» Click to show Spoiler - click again to hide... «


This post has been edited by myvi5949: Mar 3 2010, 01:11 PM
myvi5949
post Mar 9 2010, 12:05 PM

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QUOTE(bulkbiz @ Mar 9 2010, 11:17 AM)
I wish I know what is forex when I was 19 sad.gif
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yeah i know what u mean.. now i feel like an old man edi biggrin.gif
myvi5949
post Mar 9 2010, 08:04 PM

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when market is trading sideways like the past few weeks, its best to use bollinger bands.. trade the upper and lower part of the bands.. great result if u put in eurusd or usdchf.. just make sure ur trading the right side of the market.
myvi5949
post Mar 10 2010, 09:23 AM

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QUOTE(Edition @ Mar 9 2010, 08:31 PM)
What if the market trending? What indi best to use for scalping?
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When market is trending sideways with no clear direction..the scalpers will make more money.. I like to use bollinger bands as a visual guide.. Indicators are just tools of the trade, do not rely on them for entry signal.. Learn to read price action.

Anything lower than H1 timeframe is risky imho.. U can scalp on the H4.. use tight stop loss near the SNR around the upper and lower bollinger bands.

Can u spot my entry points? biggrin.gif Trade with the trend.. short position only.

user posted image

Once u see price moves harmonically like this, its a no brainer. You can also use it in trending market..but require some experience..

This post has been edited by myvi5949: Mar 10 2010, 09:25 AM
myvi5949
post Mar 10 2010, 10:34 AM

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QUOTE(J(o)y @ Mar 10 2010, 09:55 AM)
Scalping on a 4hr TF??
I thot for scalping u shd use 1M or 5M right. Scalping means go in and out within few minutes right?
In few minutes a 4hr TF doesn't really change much.

I does intraday and uses 15M, but still use 4hr to see trend
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If you are beginner, the worst thing u can do is start trading the 5M and 1M.. Those lower timeframes are high volatility areas. Only the gamblers and great traders are able to cope with this risky timeframes. I am not saying u cannot make money on these timeframe..You can. But it is highly unlikely that u can make a living out of scalping M5 and M1.

I do not scalp. What i meant by scalping on H4 is taking "touch trades" of the Support and Resistance areas. Put a tight stop loss above and below the bbands..By using this method your risk to reward ratio would be very big. It may not work every time. But once u got in a good trade.. the winning trades will overcome the losing trades.

This is just the way I trade. It may not be as exciting as basket trading or trading with colorful indicators, but it makes sense to me in the long run.


myvi5949
post Mar 10 2010, 04:21 PM

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QUOTE(sleepwalker @ Mar 10 2010, 02:48 PM)
There are plenty of traders out there making a living out of scalping. Everybody knows that the longer you leave the trade open, the more riskier your trade becomes as it is expose to more uncertainty. Trading on H4 as you mentioned is not scalping. Scalpers do not use buy-stop and sell-stops. We open at market price.

One part of scalping is when I buy on dips as the trend goes up. If a trend move 50 pips, I can make 70-80 pips out of that as I keep opening trades on every dip as the trend goes up and moving the other trades to BE. So even when the market moves 50 pips, I make more than 50 pips out of that move.

I realised that the more I trade, the shorter my time frame and the more scapling I do as I can see the price action better with experience. I don't have to open a position and wait for it to move anymore. I know when it is going to move and open accordingly. After a while it is a very simple guessing game of when peaks and valleys will form. I can do as much as 20 trades in 2-3 hours during scalping periods. Scalpers make money irrespective of whether it is trending or ranging. I remember the days of doing day trading and not opening any positions when it is ranging. Such a waste to watch the market go up and down but not opening any positions. Now I can sell at every peak and buy at every valley.

The best part of scalping is the education you get from it. Of course you have to spend more time at the markets when you scalp but consider that as tuition fees. The more time you spend at the market, the more you learn.

It's odd that some people are not willing to spend 2-3 hours per night on forex. Here is something for the people to ponder. It took most of you guys 6 years of primary school, 5-7 years of high school, 3-4 years of university before you can come out to work and make a living. Some people think that they can master forex by spending 30 mins every night for a few months. Oh.. they are so so wrong.
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I got your point. Its not that I condemn scalping perse. Its just that many beginners jump straight into the shorter timeframes with the promise of making huge profits in a short amount of time.

In order to make money on the lower timeframes u have to be very nimble with your trades. You wont have much time to analyze price movement and this will go against the inexperienced trader.. Its also a very stressful way to make money. The longer timeframes are more predictable.. There are alot of information in every pivot point. Trading is all about managing risks, and it is easier to manage risk on H4 and D1. You are trading with the majority.. big money will eat small fish for lunch.

The main difficulty in trying to successfully scalp Forex market is to exercise the discipline needed to quickly cut off losing trades. It is the reason why a lot of Forex traders will fail with a scalping Forex trading strategy. Unless you have lay out a detail mechanical system OR you have a good profitable EA that is profitable day in and day out in any market condition (highly unlikely) it is very unlikely for the newbie to make money using this method.

Another thing that I do not like about scalping is that some of the method used is more towards "gambling" and not trading. These methods includes news trading, London open trading, martingale etc etc.. which is very risky. Newbies are not interested to read price action.. We are more attracted to the colorful and complicated indicators.

Screen time is important to attune yourself to the markets movements.. but it can be counterproductive because we will have this illusion that more screen time equals more profits. I know this from experience, you will open a position just because you can. Any bad setup can be a good setup if u want it to be.

myvi5949
post Mar 10 2010, 04:51 PM

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QUOTE(sleepwalker @ Mar 10 2010, 04:37 PM)
Excuse me.. and how is long term trading not gambling too? After all you are buying and selling nothing? Irrespective of how long the trade stays open, a trade is a trade. There is no difference between a 1 min trade and a 1 week trade. Both trades are done against the broker since most of us are retail traders. There is no pairing or matching with any opposite trades. So scalping is not gambling and don't like the broker fool you.
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Some methods of scalping are gambling imho. Those using EA robot are gambling too.. putting money on the table without knowledge and control of the circumstances IS gambling. If you are scalping using MA or PASR methods thats a different story. But only the best traders are able to control their emotion taking 20 trades everyday making quick decision off 5M and 1M timeframe without fear and greed. Trading psychology is not natural..u have to be train to be "emotionless" to get to that point.
myvi5949
post Mar 10 2010, 06:56 PM

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If anyone is able to trade with consistent profits for 3 months off the M15 then my hats off to him. Its just that I've seen so many traders who tried and fail. Just go read any forex forum and u can see alot of examples.

When you're trading off lower time frames a lot of elements are going against you. The broker could spike you out. The trading cost will be higher. A politician can say something stupid an suddenly u hit your SL. Your risk per trade will quadruple but your potential earnings would also soar.

If a beginner could not make consistent profits on the easier and more predictable slower timeframes then it is unlikely that you be able to make consistent profits on lower timeframes. Scalping should be done with discretion and with a good mechanical system.

Everyone got different styles of trading. Some will use shotgun.. Some use pistol. Some will use a sniper rifle.

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