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 Stock Market V49, MARKET REBORN LIKE A TIGER ROAR !!!

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GregPG01
post Feb 4 2010, 09:03 PM

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QUOTE(mopster @ Feb 4 2010, 07:23 PM)
KUALA LUMPUR (Dow Jones)--KNM Group Bhd. (7164.KU) said Thursday that it has received a buyout offer of 90 sen a share from a company controlled by its managing director and founding shareholder, Lee Swee Eng.

The offer is at a 20% premium to KNM shares' closing price of 75 sen.

The maker of process equipment for the oil and gas industry said in a stock exchange filing that BlueFire Capital Group Ltd., an entity controlled by Lee, plans to acquire KNM's entire business and undertakings.

KNM said the proposal is subject to "satisfactory completion of due diligence, receipt of firm financing commitments, and negotiation and execution of definitive documentation."

BlueFire has been granted a limited exclusivity period up to March 22 to complete its due diligence and satisfy the other conditions, the company said.

BlueFire is acting in collaboration with GS Capital Partners VI Fund L.P and Mettiz Capital Ltd. and the international adviser on the deal is Goldman Sachs (Singapore) Pte., KNM said

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OMGOMGOMG~~ KNM BIG news !!!!!~~~ tomorrow KNM will hit 0.90 in no time!!!!!!  KNM's CNY ang pow ? laugh.gif

Congrats to anyone who bought KNM Below 0.90!!!!!  anyone bought today will auto untung 15cents... wahhhhh
No chance to goreng already... will probably open 0.895 cents tomorrow morning...
*
Good for KNM but not the call warrant holders...
GregPG01
post Feb 4 2010, 09:04 PM

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Somehow I feel taking private KNM at 0.90 is cheap. Sigh.
GregPG01
post Feb 4 2010, 11:06 PM

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So we are expecting KNM to gap to 0.88 tmr?
GregPG01
post Feb 4 2010, 11:21 PM

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QUOTE(mopster @ Feb 4 2010, 11:15 PM)
hmm talking about KNM... i had a look on KNM's babies...

I dont know whether IBs who offered CWs will adjust the Exercise price or ratio since KNM made the announcement.. I hope yes.. coz if not... many ppl will get burned...

here are my findings:

KNM-CB
Last Traded: 0.065
Exercise Price: 0.85
Exercise Ratio: 2:1

Lowest Since Listing: 0.55
CB price to exercise at 90c: 0.025

Potential losees if you bought at lowest: 45.5%

KNM-CC
Last Traded: 0.095
Exercise Price: 0.75
Exercise Ratio: 2:1

Lowest Since Listing: 0.09
CC price to exercise at 90c: 0.075

Potential losees if you bought at lowest: 16.7%

KNM-CD
Last Traded: 0.095
Exercise Price: 0.80
Exercise Ratio: 1:1

Lowest Since Listing: 0.185
CD price to exercise at 90c: 0.10

Potential losees if you bought at lowest: 45.9%

KNM-HA
Put warrant... I dunno how to count gain/loss  notworthy.gif

*All the babies should still be alive when the privatisation exercise finishes
*I apologize first if my calculations are wrong.. i'm newbie  sweat.gif
*While mothershare holders are rejoicing, warrant holders are shivering now...  hmm.gif
*
Why would the IB want to adjust the exercise price ? It's a sure win for them. No experience in call warrant in a company that is about to be taken off. Need sifu to share experience.

GregPG01
post Feb 4 2010, 11:55 PM

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QUOTE(cherroy @ Feb 4 2010, 11:50 PM)
No, Cws, or put warrant won't adjust their exercise price due to the announcement. They are not related, as CW, HW are warrant issued by third party, not related at all to the company.

All the babies won't be alive if privatisation exercise finishes, as KNM share no longer in the market or listed, if the privatisation completed. What's for those babies in the market if mother is no there anymore.

There is always clause in the CWs, whenever if the mothershare underlying no longer exist or whatever issue, they had set up rule how to deal with it. Can be final exercise based on privatisation price, or whatever they had put up prior before hand.

If the privatisation price is proposed at 0.90. Probably market fair price should be around 0.85, as it doesn't make sense for anyone to buy beyond or even at 0.90 if privatisation has strong possibilities go through, unless investors 0.90 is huge undervalued and don't want to sell at 0.90 for privatisation plan to go through.
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So tmr, call KNM warrant holders will sweat.gif OR hold and hope it's a hoax.
GregPG01
post Feb 5 2010, 09:26 AM

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Checkout CSCSTEL dividends. Rm0.20 and it's price at Rm1.5x only now. Charts shows a breakout yesterday and dip now because of weak market sentiment.
GregPG01
post Feb 5 2010, 09:47 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 5 2010, 09:38 AM)
like what GregPG01 analyst, a sudden spike of volume on yesterday due to the news, today/tomorrow could be a good chance to buy.  hmm.gif
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I was an idiot to sell 2 weeks ago when KLCI breakdown. This morning buy back.
GregPG01
post Feb 5 2010, 10:05 AM

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OSK Research up Hai-O TP to RM10.55

http://www.theedgemalaysia.com/business-ne...-to-rm1055.html


GregPG01
post Feb 5 2010, 10:17 AM

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QUOTE(chyaw @ Feb 5 2010, 10:12 AM)
anyone got this research paper? Thanks!  notworthy.gif
*
Not yet out. Please wait yea. icon_rolleyes.gif
GregPG01
post Feb 5 2010, 10:23 AM

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QUOTE(GregPG01 @ Feb 5 2010, 10:17 AM)
Not yet out. Please wait yea.  icon_rolleyes.gif
*


Attached File(s)
Attached File  Hai_O_Keeping_Pace_20100205_OSK.pdf ( 80.16k ) Number of downloads: 22
GregPG01
post Feb 5 2010, 10:31 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Feb 5 2010, 10:29 AM)
notworthy.gif wanna topup more?
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Already top up. Just need it to break 8.80 and it should move higher.
GregPG01
post Feb 5 2010, 11:22 AM

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From RHBInvest on CSCSTEL.

Released the dividend first before the earnings. So everyone have to reverse calculate.


CSC Steel yesterday declared a dividend of 20 sen per share, consisting of 13 sen taxable dividend, 6 sen
franked dividend and 1 sen single-tier dividend.
- It said that the 13 sen taxable dividend is in line with CSC Steel’s dividend policy of distributing at least
50% of its profit after tax.
- Assuming the 13 sen taxable dividend per share is to account for 50-55% of its FY12/09 net profit, we
believe CSC Steel is likely to report a FY12/09 net profit of RM90-98m, which is significantly above
expectations.
- We are raising our FY12/09-11 net profit forecasts by 22.9-40.9%, mainly to reflect higher selling prices.
- Fair value raised by 23.1% from RM1.64 to RM2.02 based on 9x revised FY12/10 EPS of 22.4 sen.

This post has been edited by GregPG01: Feb 5 2010, 11:22 AM
GregPG01
post Feb 5 2010, 11:44 AM

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QUOTE(chyaw @ Feb 5 2010, 11:39 AM)
seems like ppl still don't believe Mr Lee. laugh.gif

DJ MARKET TALK:KNM Group +9.3%; Buyout Offer By Managing Director   
 
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 
   

0248 GMT [Dow Jones] KNM Group (7164.KU) last +9.3% at 82 sen after BlueFire Capital controlled by MD Lee Swee Eng offers to buy out of oil and gas services provider at 90 sen/share. "The stock could rise further to test 90 sen on arbitrage opportunity," says dealer. But AmResearch analyst Alex Goh says while there's a possibility that KNM's share price could move towards the 90 sen/share offer, "we are uncertain this offer will be realized"; adds spoke to KNM's management "and they seemed as surprised as us." Keeps Hold call with unchanged 82 sen target, pegged to a FY10 P/E of 13X, a 7% discount to KNM's 3-year average P/E of 14X, pending further details on offer.(ECH)
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I think he talked about taking it private once long time back....when prices was like 1/2 from now also.
GregPG01
post Feb 5 2010, 02:12 PM

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I know got NAIM kaki here also. Attached is first coverage from Midf . Don't think government can afford to lose Sarawak though.


Attached File(s)
Attached File  113140_178.pdf ( 196.69k ) Number of downloads: 20
GregPG01
post Feb 5 2010, 02:21 PM

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If the bears do prolong like what Maybank IB says ... what will happened to our small and medium caps le...I see them hard to move up with the overall market sentiment. Can only trade, hard to invest medium term.


GregPG01
post Feb 5 2010, 02:35 PM

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QUOTE(cks @ Feb 5 2010, 02:33 PM)
JCY IPO by HLe..

anyone interested??
*
The document never say "subscribe" or "don't subscribe" also.

Dali baru recommend Notion over JCY.

http://malaysiafinance.blogspot.com/2010/0...otion-vtec.html

This post has been edited by GregPG01: Feb 5 2010, 02:37 PM
GregPG01
post Feb 5 2010, 03:29 PM

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QUOTE(VyvernS @ Feb 5 2010, 03:28 PM)
Hahaha laugh.gif

This one ah.....many bad experiences.
I thought of entering at 7.00, den decided 6.90 would be better. Now 6.7x. I think I will wait... tongue.gif
*
I like your thoughts...6.00 dollars is better.
GregPG01
post Feb 5 2010, 03:37 PM

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QUOTE(chyaw @ Feb 5 2010, 03:36 PM)
tarak! But it is in my watchlist. Since Latexx will be annoucing their results today, I'm hoping Latexx will bring other gloves counter back to green.
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Gloves, yeah...please ask me to sell when Supermx reaches Rm6.x this time.
GregPG01
post Feb 5 2010, 03:53 PM

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QUOTE(protonw @ Feb 5 2010, 03:47 PM)
CI get redder.  Result of 30 index stocks kena dump. Out of 30 counters, only Digi and Plus green.  The rest red red.  sweat.gif
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Why index seems cannot fall more than 20 points one. Except after on 10-March-2008 of course.
GregPG01
post Feb 5 2010, 04:44 PM

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Oh, Tanjong... anyway just declare a GOOD dividend and make all of us happy enough.

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