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 Stock Market V49, MARKET REBORN LIKE A TIGER ROAR !!!

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AdamG1981
post Feb 19 2010, 03:22 PM

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Genting - very simple, valuation.

Genting International revenue is under questioned now.

a) With China slowing down, there will be less newly printed yuan coming to Singapore.

b) Competition with Sands Singapore and Macau.


So why do one still buy Genting SP at such high valuations when there's no earnings visibility?
AdamG1981
post Feb 19 2010, 03:28 PM

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QUOTE(ExpZero @ Feb 19 2010, 12:26 AM)
in term of divesify, who will win berjaya?
a)I still have confident toward china.
b)Macau having financial issue so it shouldn't be a big problem to gensp.

Anyway, I agree for the last part which Genting SP was overated. Investor putting too much hope on it.
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Never underestimate your competitor, especially those who are in the business for a very long long long time
AdamG1981
post Feb 19 2010, 04:49 PM

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FTSE just turned green
AdamG1981
post Feb 20 2010, 09:24 PM

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HUAT HUAT HUAT!

Tomorrow is the 8th day of CNY. HUAT AH!!!
AdamG1981
post Feb 21 2010, 11:22 PM

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Will Shanghai down with the kauness or UP with the kauness tomorrow? smile.gif
AdamG1981
post Feb 22 2010, 08:05 AM

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Green for aussie and japan trading session
AdamG1981
post Feb 22 2010, 09:24 AM

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And the profit taking begins with the earnest


Added on February 22, 2010, 9:33 amYou guys are advised to take further profit as PBOC might raise yield on its repo operations with its primary dealers.



This post has been edited by AdamG1981: Feb 22 2010, 09:33 AM
AdamG1981
post Feb 22 2010, 09:53 AM

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QUOTE(chyaw @ Feb 21 2010, 06:46 PM)
CI sliding... laugh.gif

Added on February 22, 2010, 9:47 amAdam! How come shanghai turn green now?
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Further short la...PBOC will announce sale of 1 yr bill soon enough
AdamG1981
post Feb 22 2010, 10:13 AM

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Supermax too high, and rubber price behaves too parabolically for my liking
AdamG1981
post Feb 22 2010, 10:15 AM

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QUOTE(GregPG01 @ Feb 21 2010, 07:14 PM)
OSK comes with TP 10.00. Siow or not. rclxub.gif
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Dreaming....

The fact is, when analysts come out with such high numbers, usually its time to sell.
AdamG1981
post Feb 22 2010, 10:19 AM

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Thats the problem, if EPS doesnt grow fast enough to play catch up with its own valuation, then its overbought.

Now the h1n1 fear is over, well at least temporarily, and rubber prices are way too high to justify. I see rubber demand falling off as we approach 2nd half of the year
AdamG1981
post Feb 22 2010, 10:53 AM

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I realized that no one shares this thoughts with me. Dont you guys think that after CNY, China will be more aggressive in managing its peoples' inflation expectations?
AdamG1981
post Feb 22 2010, 11:22 AM

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QUOTE(chyaw @ Feb 21 2010, 08:03 PM)
I think most of us here do not have the knowledge to share on this... laugh.gif  That's including me. notworthy.gif
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Maybe China will give us another "surprise" after HK closing. biggrin.gif
AdamG1981
post Feb 22 2010, 11:36 AM

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QUOTE(lsmpro80 @ Feb 21 2010, 08:33 PM)
HSI is picking up a lot. i think i agree with you .. that there might be a surprise coming...  notworthy.gif
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After CNY, the Chinese government and PBOC have the incentive to reduce the CIC (currency in circulation) and liquidity to further suppress inflation expectations. So normally, i would sell instead of buying

This post has been edited by AdamG1981: Feb 22 2010, 11:38 AM
AdamG1981
post Feb 22 2010, 11:40 AM

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QUOTE(chyaw @ Feb 21 2010, 08:38 PM)
where should we move our money to?  notworthy.gif
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As of now? Keep cash
AdamG1981
post Feb 22 2010, 04:09 PM

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Two words: Greed kills biggrin.gif
AdamG1981
post Feb 22 2010, 04:29 PM

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Still dont want to take profit?

By Bloomberg News
Feb. 22 (Bloomberg) -- China’s central bank will sell 17 billion yuan of one-year bills tomorrow, it said in a statement posted on the Web site.



AdamG1981
post Feb 22 2010, 05:04 PM

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FTSE red.
AdamG1981
post Feb 23 2010, 12:06 AM

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QUOTE(David_Brent @ Feb 22 2010, 07:23 AM)
"GREED IS GOOD"

Gordon Gekko - Wall Street (1987)

rclxm9.gif
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Did i mention today that China will sell its 1 year bill tomorrow? 17 billion worth.
AdamG1981
post Feb 23 2010, 12:31 AM

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PBOC is conducting its monetary operations called repurchase agreements, or REPOS. What happen is, PBOC sells its bonds to primary dealers at an agreed yield for PBOC to buy back at the later date.

Lets say tomorrow yield is 2.00% for 365 days (1 year) So, the higher the yield, the monetary policy will shift to a tightening policy as money supply decreases.

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