QUOTE(wongmunkeong @ Jun 27 2011, 07:33 PM)
Yeah but people, being people - the majority fears sales & chases higher highs nearly 80% the same time - good for "fools" like us

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I can still recall my friends/family calling me nuts going heavily into stocks, REITs and mutual funds end 2008 and 2009 (i split 50% of heavy ammo between 6 months "just in case 1997-1998 scenerio happens mar).
Bravo brother. Because in this world, 20% of people did things that 80% of the majority do not do.
You choose to beat the odds, the 20% rare people.. That is how success come..
Since 50-50 dump in REIT, Stock, UT, so you are millionaire now already? Haha
Stock rebounded more than 100% from 2008 to 2009.
Unit trust fired more than 50% during that period..
50 - 50 in both.. Both also win win and super win condition
Added on June 27, 2011, 10:20 pmQUOTE(kparam77 @ Jun 27 2011, 07:28 PM)
u jump..i jump...so every body kena jumpiang!!
waht i mean fund performance cannot be perdicted.....but an investor should advice on risk managent in unit trust if the investor too concervative..
normaly i advice my clients go for long term, instead worry abt current fund performance. for the past 25 to 30 yrs, 86/87, 97/98 and 2008/2009, market kena teruk and turn back. if not turn back................... habis-lah semua investors lost every single $.
today theedge says....europe severeign debt crisis/midle east/ possibility US slipping into recession/ china-inflation.....will there be another global economic slowdown after 2008???
any comment??
and it could be another buying opportunity for local markets??
correct me if i wrong.
I think Europe Sovereign Debt issue can still be under control. Depends on the European Leader to head on a rescue package or not. Mainly from Greece default. Should not be a so big issue after all. But there are still risk in this.
In my opinion, economy down turn will not be so fast..
Obama wanna try retain seat, and first in his head is to get this oil issue to become not an issue. Will try to push oil to remain at usd 80-90 per barrel range. As of current market, oil had dipped a lot, and lingering at USD 90/ barrel already.
According to last experience (2008 crisis), partly driven by oil hike.. Oil went euphoria mode, jumping higher and higher, until reaching usd 147/barrel (Holy cow).. A lot of cost increase drastically because of this oil increase.. And when it reaches a peak point, which market is unable to tolerate this bullshit anymore, oil slump drastically.. Corporate closed down, forming double dip, market plunge to deep shit mode)
It can be seen that the world is trying to control the prices of the oil.. Will not expect the economy to head downwards so soon. Probably at the end of 2013 or around 2014 will be another turning point, because the cycle can still be shorter as time goes on.
Start -> 1997
Next -> 2008 (Gap of 9 years)
Forcast -> Gap of approx 7 years -> 2015
Just my 2 cents of lousy forecast
This post has been edited by Bonescythe: Jun 27 2011, 10:20 PM