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 Stock Market V36: Return of the Bull, Part IV, Bull defies Newton's Law of Gravity

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AdamG1981
post Jul 29 2009, 02:19 PM

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Shanghai down 200 points!!!

AdamG1981
post Jul 29 2009, 02:22 PM

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Dow futures -50
Shanghai -230
HSI futures -460

Nikkei futures -40
AdamG1981
post Jul 29 2009, 02:23 PM

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QUOTE(naz_b_85 @ Jul 28 2009, 11:21 PM)
Are you still bullish or thinking reversal?
*
I be buying, but waiting for the right time.

AdamG1981
post Jul 29 2009, 02:40 PM

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Dow futures -82
HSI futures -755

AdamG1981
post Jul 29 2009, 03:05 PM

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Anyone want to sell me kinsteel?
AdamG1981
post Jul 29 2009, 03:16 PM

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No i am not bullish, i am just doing swing trade.
AdamG1981
post Jul 29 2009, 04:45 PM

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Kinsteel rocks biggrin.gif
AdamG1981
post Jul 30 2009, 12:10 AM

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The US dollar index is testing resistance aka previous support. As you can see, the SPX is trying to test the inverse h&s neckline with RSI at 50 which shows tremendous support.

Like i said, this is a bull market, rather than a bear market rally. The main reason is,
Investors want the market to drop so they can buy before its too late. Those investors are "underinvested". So believe in your analysis, oil dropping at 4 dollars are a reaction of euro dropping like a rock along with a bearish inventory.

Good thing is, China will reduce fuel prices.
AdamG1981
post Jul 30 2009, 12:28 AM

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QUOTE(David_Brent @ Jul 29 2009, 09:14 AM)
Does this mean we should bargain hunt over the next days, Adam?
Or side-line?
*
DB, i am not too sure if you received my newslettter yesterday but i did say its better to stay on the sidelines and wait for dips to long.

If you want to contra, you should wait for the price to fall close to near 10 sma, then purchase and then sell at 3 sma. (Applicable on high volume stocks only)

August 1st is Chinese PMI, so be very wary tomorrow and friday.


Added on July 30, 2009, 12:32 amWill it be useful if i hold a technical analysis class for stocks and futures held at OSK HQ?



This post has been edited by AdamG1981: Jul 30 2009, 12:32 AM
AdamG1981
post Jul 30 2009, 12:51 AM

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QUOTE(David_Brent @ Jul 29 2009, 09:42 AM)
I read the newsletters religiously every day and saw your comment about buying on dips. My problem is: what is a dip?
One man's dip is another man's trench - if you see what I mean. Does buying TANJONG at 14.60 today when it just hit 15.30 constitute a 'dip' - for example?  hmm.gif

I definitely think a technical analysis class for stocks and futures held at OSK HQ would be widely welcomed and well attended by many  - especially on here. I would sign up like a shot. icon_rolleyes.gif

DB
*
DB,

IT's all about buying when there's a panic selling, such as today when shanghai crashed. That was a good opportunity to daytrade some high volume stocks. For Tanjong, it's all about your timeframe, how long do you want to hold and do you feel comfortable buying at that PRICE?

Here are some tips that might help to identify a dip.

Contra play requires a very capable technical ability to identify short term oversold base on the timeframe you are using. Since contra is T+4 for some, it is highly advisable to only purchase stocks when 4 hr chart is oversold, with possible candlestick (inverted hammer, hammer, doji, piercing engulfing) Please use 2 technical indicators the most with moving averages as support and resistance.

IF you are a pure chartist, support and resistance or (SR) and trendline are useful to identify possible entry and EXIT points.

IF i do hold a class, i will explain this in further details.


Added on July 30, 2009, 12:52 amDB, if you don't do contra, please focus on the weekly and daily chart patterns, or technical indicators.

This post has been edited by AdamG1981: Jul 30 2009, 12:52 AM
AdamG1981
post Jul 30 2009, 09:10 AM

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I have sent out newsletter this morning issuing a call to buy, as i can see 1200 coming due to dow's and spx strength. Please check with me if you don't have it.

As for KNM, yes, i will buy on dips and keep it but for contra play i will watch oil prices. My TP still remains at 1.00 for my remaining shares.


AdamG1981
post Jul 30 2009, 09:14 AM

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Will China crash or recover? biggrin.gif
AdamG1981
post Jul 30 2009, 09:30 AM

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Better watch the steel sector as China going to report PMI soon.

China up 29
AdamG1981
post Jul 30 2009, 09:31 AM

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SSEC +46...

Really crazy

Please watch the three lions carefully.

AdamG1981
post Jul 30 2009, 09:33 AM

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QUOTE(panasonic88 @ Jul 29 2009, 06:32 PM)
me guess you have gotten your Kinsteel yesterday?  rolleyes.gif
*
Tak ada. smile.gif

I bought couple of commodity stocks calls.

AdamG1981
post Jul 30 2009, 09:36 AM

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Shanghai stock exchange.
AdamG1981
post Jul 30 2009, 10:01 AM

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Naz, do you mean mortgage API?
AdamG1981
post Jul 30 2009, 10:12 AM

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QUOTE(SKY 1809 @ Jul 29 2009, 07:05 PM)
Our Future Q should be happy. brows.gif
*
Buy on dips.. biggrin.gif
AdamG1981
post Jul 30 2009, 10:16 AM

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Omores, you didnt receive my MSN MSGS?

AdamG1981
post Jul 30 2009, 12:33 PM

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Watch UK HPI (housing prices) due out at 2. If better than expected, dow futures and FTSE might rally.

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