QUOTE(omores @ May 26 2009, 11:12 AM)
If so, then CPO prices will naturally go up in tandem will reduced supplies, wont it?
1. look at the FCPO Avg spot month price..
2. look at the histric rise of Crude Oil to the current price of 61 USD..
With the continued rise of Crude Oil, some FF have used FCPO as a hedge... chasing FCPO prices as Crude Oil move upwards..
referring to item 1. , u will see that the pattern is eratic with both highs and lows in different month...
As a buyer (say manufacturer) this is definately not favourable with FCPO flactuating without direction.
I think chances are default rates will be steadily increasing if FCPO prices do not find its actual value.
The world economy hasnt actually fully recovered... yes if u say shortage in FCPO would lead to an increase in price... but look at the demand buyers (i.e. manufacturers) are struggling on their end.
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