In economic case studies, Southeast Asian economists inevitably, have a penchant to compare Brunei and Singapore, the 2 smallest but wealthiest Southeast Asian states whom both shared a currency interchangeable agreement. A tale of 2 nations, Brunei and Singapore set out to diversify their economies 60 years ago, and diverged their path from there; one adopted an open, meritocratic system with emphasis to absorb the best and brightest foreign talents; another embraced a closed, ethnocentric structure which placed heavy restrictions on foreigners. The result is a real-life model lesson for other Southeast Asian states.

One couldn't imagine this was Singapore in 1960s, plagued with housing crisis and filled with slums and squatters
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By 1950s, Brunei had recovered from the ashes of World War 2. The destruction in war however, especially to its oil facilities, made Brunei aware of the needs to diversify its economy. At that time there was only one known reservoir in Seria, and the fear of it running out led the country to set forward and introduced the first National Development Plan (NDP) with an allocation of $100 million in 1953. The plan seek to lay the foundation for economic development by building infrastructure (communication systems, roads, water, electricity), and providing healthcare and education to all districts so to create a healthy, educated workforce.
Singapore suffered heavily in World War 2. The British boasted the island as the 'Gilbratar of the East', a fortress that would withstand any attack, so the Japanese blockaded it and gave it air bombings everyday to inflict maximum damages, until the surrender of the island in 1942. By 1950s though, Singapore had been stabilized enough to again focus on economic development.

Brunei: Seria 1950s, nation was undergoing mass infrastructure development
Emerged from the war in physical ruins, Singapore found itself with a large number of homeless residents whose homes were destroyed, and insufficient commercial activities to support them, leading to housing crisis, squatters and high unemployment which plagued the island throughout the 1950s. In 1947, the British Housing Committee Report noted Singapore had "one of the world’s worst slums - a disgrace to a civilized community", with the average person per building density was 18.2 by 1947 and high-rise buildings were rare. In 1959, the problem of shortage was still unsolved, and the people of Singapore was already not happy with the British as their leaders.
The British authorities granted Singapore and Brunei the power of self-government in 1959, but the colonial administration still controlled external foreign relations and shared responsibilities in matters such as police and defense.
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Going into 1960s, Brunei had became a livable place with booming economic activities, and a GDP per capita 3 times higher than Singapore. A second reservoir in South West Ampa field was discovered, further boosting oil revenues. Oil exports account for 92% of the economy while rubber exports 1.5%
A simple statistics in 1960, Brunei, with a population of slightly under 0.1 million, exported $326 million worth of goods, impressively compared to Singaporean (1.64 million population) exports of $543 million. The Sultanate was clearly way ahead of the Lion City at this time.

Singapore 1960s: Chinatown, a chaotic slums, common occurrence throughout the country.
Suffocated by high unemployment and housing crisis, Singapore in mid-1950s identified industrialization as the way to diversify and keeping the economy afloat. The entrepot trade accounted for 70% of the economy at that time, but was deemed shaky as Malaysia and Indonesia could commit themselves to build a rival port across the strategic Strait of Malacca anytime. This came true when Malaysia later built the Port Klang, eventually growing into the closest competition against the Port of Singapore in Southeast Asia.
The 1950-1960s was a completely different era for Singapore. There was little or no foreign investments, and if Singapore wished to industrialize, it must carry them out on its own, under limited budget. So serious was the economic problems that in 1963 Singapore decided to join the Federation of Malaysia in hope to solve its stagnated economy and other social issues.
Singapore began 'forced industrialization', building cheap factories in mass quantities and sent the unemployed to work there, setting up the Jurong industrial estate, its first industrial town. Singapore's industrialization programme began with factories producing garments, textiles, toys, wood products and hair wigs. The Housing and Development Board (HDB) was formed in 1960 to solve Singapore's housing crisis, and to clear up the squatters and slums. It began to construct what is known as HDB flats to resettle the population. Only after nearly 20 years, and the building of tens of thousands of flats, Singapore's housing problems was finally solved at late 1970s.

Brunei 1960s: Clearly a better place than Singapore
The merger with Malaysia did not go well, Singapore was rocked by racial riot in 1964 (Brunei was similarly hit by a revolt in 1962) and the increasing tension with Kuala Lumpur led to its expulsion from the Malaysian federation in 1965. By the time Singapore was ejected from Malaysia, its economy was in a very bad shape and Western analysts were predicting that the new country, with no resource at all, could not survive. No one at that time could had known that, in 2012 Singapore would be one of the most developed nation on Earth.
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The 1970s was a good time for Brunei. Angered by Western support for Israel, Arab nations launched the oil boycott, leading to the 1970s energy crisis and oil price shock. This gave Brunei a windfall and awashed it with petrodollar, followed by a sharp rise in living standard; for instance, just before the energy crisis in 1972, Brunei's per capita GDP was $2,926, but in 1973 it blossomed to $6,971 - even more than Japan's $4,157. By 1980, per capita in Brunei hit $25,538; the richest in Asia, compared to Japan's $9,034 and Singapore's $4,857. It was from here onwards the tiny Sultanate is to be forever associated with the word 'rich and wealthy'. It was also at here Brunei reached its greatest extent, never again in future would it had so wide a lead vis-a-vis Singapore and Japan.
Today, the 1970s golden age and the fact that Brunei was once Asia's richest in GDP per capita at that time, is rarely mentioned in the country, perhaps due to the embarrassment it might brought with the country's currently struggling economy.

Brunei 1970s: Good infrastructure, thriving commerce
Sudden boom in oil revenues allowed Brunei to enter a period of rapid economic growth, with oil income greatly expended to modernize the state. In 1974 it built the Brunei International Airport (1 year before Singapore Changi Airport was built in 1975), the country was able to connect itself with properly paved roads, commerce flourished and new wealth was created (many companies founded at this period went on to become the leading retailers in the country today), telecommunication greatly improved, infrastructure was better than Singapore, and education level rose sharply. The future of the Sultanate looked bright.
Despite that though, oil has given Brunei a sense of complacency. Other industries who once made up a considerable share of exports, like coal, rubber and cutch, were increasingly being neglected. Singapore was facing existential and survival threats, that forced it to act, while Brunei was able to sit comfortably on its oil revenues. Even though the 1970s was modern Brunei's best times, it also solidified its reliance on oil & gas.
After building factories continuously for 15 years, in 1970, Singapore finally got its high unemployment solved. There were some issues though, unlike Brunei who were rich enough to fund all developmental projects, the city-state was poor and could only afford to build flats and factories all these while.
Sorting housing crisis and high unemployment were the first priorities at that time, and infrastructure and education were left aside. In 1970, Singapore began to realize that no matter how much low-cost factories it built, it is only a tiny nation with tiny population, and neighboring Malaysia and Indonesia can eventually field a much larger labor force. There is no way it can compete if that occurred, but if Singapore has highly-educated workforce and high tech industries, it would be able to stay ahead.

Singapore early 1970s: Road much better and streets cleaner with slums cleared
Noting its poor infrastructure and low level of education, Singapore then stopped the mass-construction of factories, and instead allocated the funds to education, infrastructure development and factories upgrade. But the country wasn't rich and the budget couldn't support all the projects. Moreover it would take at least one decade before the new batch of highly-skilled workforce could be produced, something the city-state couldn't afford to wait. Singapore decided it wasn't plausible to do it by its own, and appealed to foreigners, opening up the country to foreign investments and skilled foreign immigrants.
The Singaporean leadership promised foreign companies what they loved to hear; the government would be incorruptible, the government would respect capitalism and all foreign investments, with no nationalization or seizure of assets would ever take place, and that Singapore would have regular and predictable law - many third World governments encourage investments but then change the rules at will, this would not be applicable to Singapore. The Lion City kept its promises and enforced them religiously. This differentiated Singapore with other third world nations, and successfully caught the attention of international businesses. Foreign investments began to flush into Singapore.
Sensing that it had won foreign interests, Singapore moved to offer "goodies" like tax concessions, simplified immigration procedures, tariff protection and exemption from import duties, and finally the lifting of foreign exchange controls. This pleased multinational corporations even more and they flocked in en masses, whose capital helped sped up Singapore's development by at least 10 years ahead. The rapid industrialization of Singapore also greatly aided it attracts large pool of talented foreigners, with the skill inflow so massive that, by 2011, 40% of Singapore's population are immigrants (27% non-citizens and another 13% foreign naturalized citizens)

Singapore late 1970s: with mass influx of foreign investments, modern high-rise replacing old buildings
The Singaporean government adopted a business-friendly approach and actively adapt to their needs, for example, in 1970s, when high-tech industries abroad informed Singapore that they wanted labors with adequate technical skills, the city-state immediately launched free government training institutes which would train working adults twice a week for 3-hour sessions over a period of two year to meet that demands. IT companies like Apple Computers was satisfied and located its facilities to Singapore. The good governance, responsive and proactive economic policies of the island attracted even Shell and Esso, who constructed the world's third largest oil-refinery center on Singapore. The foundation to make Singapore a future first world industrialized nation, was planted in this period.
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Stepping into 1980s, the energy crisis had calmed and oil prices subsided. This hit Brunei hard and GDP fell sharply, a price to pay for failing to identify and develop alternate industries in the golden 70s. After Sultanate attained independence in 1984, economic diversification was again being raised. There were 2 economic paths Brunei could take; the nation's environment was ripe for rapid industrialization at the time, but would require the huge absorption of foreign workers. This was the developmental model later taken up by wealthy Gulf states like Kuwait, Dubai and Qatar in their industrialization progress.
Qatar absorbed so much foreign workers that in 2011 the Qatari only account for 20% of the population. Similar case can be applied to Kuwait where only 33% of its population at the moment is Kuwaiti. For Dubai, only 17% of its population are Emirati. Dubai however, has successfully diversified its economy with oil and natural gas currently accounted for less than 6% of the government's revenues.

Brunei 1980s: Seria, excellent infrastructure, living standard high, but very slow progress
Foreign worker absorption of such extent though, is rather impossible in Brunei due to the country's MIB (Melayu Islam Beraja: Malay Islamic Monarchy) philosophy that stressed the ethnic Malay, who make up the majority of Brunei's population, must always remain dominant race in the country. The conservative social and political nature of Brunei also played its role in the hesitation towards opening up the country; the fears that an influx of foreign elements may disrupt the nation's social customs, tradition and religion, together with the concerns that local Bruneian Malay entrepreneurs may not be ready for intense international competition, means the Sultanate would not be seeing the same kind of massive foreign participation like in Singapore.
Plan for industrialization was dropped (which it came to regret later) in favor of investing Brunei's huge foreign reserves overseas. Among Brunei's investments include luxurious hotels in North America and Europe frequented by top ranking Bruneian officials (which later merged to form the Dorchester Collection), the Willeroo Cattle Farm in Australia, which itself is larger than the entire Brunei, and various property assets across the world. The dependence on oil hence continued, though the fisheries and retail industries saw significant expansion at this time.
On the other hand, as a result of massive foreign investments and rapid industrialization, Singapore had emerged as an Asian economic tiger by 1980s. Its industries at this time had been upgraded and equipped with sophisticated technologies way ahead of all other ASEAN states. The country's capital-intensive industrial base had been setup and was ready to transform itself into an advanced, high tech economy. Around this time, as part of its high-tech drive, the island successfully attracted Southeast Asia's first wafer fabrication plant, which by 2011 would help Singapore produced 10% of the world's silicon wafer. The dependence on foreign firms was also noted, in 1980, foreign-owned firms accounted for 73.7% of Singapore's gross output, and 84.7% of its direct exports.

Singapore 1980s: City central already well-developed with towers
During the 1980s, Singapore's industries had expanded to electronics, computer, shipbuilding and repairing, oil rig construction, chemicals, petroleum refining, and raw materials refining like rubber processing. The first ever economic recession since independence however, took the country by surprise in 1985, devastated Singaporean economy and sent its rapid growth into negative.
The government quickly identified the problems and responded by freezing wages, lowering taxes, and reducing Central Provident Fund contributions. The island was able to nurse itself back to health by 1988, but learnt the painful way that while trying to diversify the economy, it focused too much on high-tech manufacturing. Such lesson would forever changed Singapore, and the country decided to further diverse into service industries as the 'second growth engine', concentrating on the likes of IT, telecommunications, engineering, banking & finance, and medical, while adding more varieties to manufacturing. In 1987, the country built its first MRT line.
This post has been edited by soundsyst64: Jun 24 2012, 09:03 AM
May 5 2012, 07:52 PM, updated 14y ago
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